Greg Farone
P
Richmond Flying Squirrels
Age 24
LHP
6'5" / 252 lbs
AA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.9 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION71 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 111120vR 130
ERA4.90
FIP4.90
K%18.6%
BB%10.4%
K-BB%8.2%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 135 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 106 | 448 | 121 | 40 | 11 | 100% | 4.6 | 20.3% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 2.8% | 4.00 | 4.26 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 23 | 106 | 448 | 121 | 40 | 11 | 100% | 4.6 | 27.0% | 8.9% | 18.1% | 2.5% | 4.00 | 3.30 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 17 | 17 | 71 | 318 | 69 | 37 | 14 | 100% | 4.2 | 17.6% | 12.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.86 | 6.14 | -1.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | SF | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 51 | 28 | 8 | 100% | 5.4 | 18.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 3.0% | 4.90 | 4.90 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | SF | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 4.83 | 4.83 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | SF | — | — | 135 | 592 | 120 | 65 | 22 | — | — | 20.2% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 5.40 | 5.55 | -0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | SF | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 18.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 4.83 | 4.45 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | SF | 13 | 13 | 75 | 316 | 61 | 31 | 10 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 4.79 | 4.76 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | SF | 12 | 12 | 75 | 316 | 63 | 31 | 10 | 100% | 6.2 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 3.0% | 4.73 | 4.71 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | SF | 12 | 12 | 74 | 312 | 63 | 31 | 10 | 100% | 6.1 | 20.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 3.1% | 4.72 | 4.72 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | SF | 12 | 12 | 72 | 302 | 61 | 30 | 10 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 3.2% | 4.76 | 4.80 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | SF | 11 | 11 | 68 | 289 | 57 | 30 | 10 | 100% | 6.2 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 4.86 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | SF | 11 | 11 | 64 | 271 | 53 | 29 | 10 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 5.01 | 5.10 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | SF | 6 | 6 | 33 | 139 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 5.5 | 19.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 2.9% | 4.72 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | SF | 8 | 8 | 50 | 211 | 42 | 21 | 6 | 100% | 6.2 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 2.9% | 4.66 | 4.64 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | SF | 10 | 10 | 57 | 241 | 48 | 24 | 7 | 100% | 5.7 | 20.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 2.9% | 4.65 | 4.65 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | SF | 10 | 10 | 60 | 253 | 51 | 25 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 4.69 | 4.73 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB | SF | 10 | 10 | 60 | 253 | 50 | 26 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 3.2% | 4.79 | 4.86 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB | SF | 10 | 10 | 58 | 245 | 48 | 26 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 19.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 4.93 | 5.02 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 54 | 54 | 320 | 1350 | 267 | 136 | 42 | 100% | 5.9 | 19.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 4.75 | 4.40 | +3.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 167 | 85 | 26 | 100% | 6.0 | 19.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 4.75 | 4.40 | +2.4 | ||
| Career | — | 40 | 40 | 176 | 766 | 147 | 87 | 29 | 100% | 4.4 | 19.2% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 4.75 | 5.04 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 45 | 45 | 200 | 869 | 167 | 99 | 33 | 100% | 4.4 | 19.2% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 4.75 | 5.04 | +0.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Greg Farone (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.90 | 18.6% | 10.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.73 | 19.8% | 9.9% | 224 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Zach Thornton L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.22 | 20.9% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.95 | 221 | 84 |
| Aidan Deakins L 2024 · 5.29 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.29 | 17.1% | 11.1% | 4.1% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 119 | 82 |
| Connor Wietgrefe L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.26 | 18.7% | 8.5% | 3.0% | .279 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 200 | 82 |
| James Paxton L 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.26 | 18.9% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .288 | 3.00 | 27.7% | 21.7% | 468 | -1.26 | 2.48 | 924 | 82 |
| Sebastian Gongora L 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.81 | 18.5% | 7.5% | 2.4% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 152 | 81 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2026 · 4.71 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.71 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 4.2% | .298 | 4.64 | 16.9% | 7.4% | 231 | -0.07 | 3.39 | 300 | 81 |
| Brian Holmes L 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.25 | 21.0% | 9.9% | 3.0% | .333 | 4.75 | 17.3% | 8.0% | 104 | +0.50 | 3.42 | 205 | 80 |
| Jake Zokan L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.12 | 12.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.80 | 24.2% | 22.5% | 37 | -3.32 | 1.80 | 120 | 80 |
| Kyle Twomey L 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.89 | 14.8% | 7.9% | 1.9% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 141 | 80 |
| Juan Pablo Oramas L 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.95 | 16.5% | 8.6% | 2.1% | .313 | 3.78 | 17.4% | 6.8% | 186 | -0.17 | 3.37 | 440 | 80 |
| Connor O'Halloran L 2023 · 5.02 FIP | 21 | SP | 5.02 | 17.2% | 12.3% | 3.3% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.02 | 104 | 79 |
| Will Dion L 2026 · 5.01 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.01 | 19.7% | 10.9% | 4.0% | .309 | 3.25 | 22.6% | 14.9% | 148 | -1.76 | 2.44 | 496 | 79 |
| Miguel Cienfuegos L 2028 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.52 | 13.6% | 10.5% | 4.1% | .257 | 4.63 | 14.5% | 5.5% | 228 | -0.89 | 3.09 | 299 | 79 |
| Jordan Fowler L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.30 | 13.2% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.30 | 124 | 79 |
| Michel Gelabert L 2024 · 4.58 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.58 | 18.7% | 12.1% | 2.8% | .248 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 107 | 79 |
| Tate Kuehner L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.73 | 21.5% | 13.8% | 1.3% | .295 | 3.97 | 18.7% | 7.0% | 40 | +0.24 | 3.73 | 245 | 78 |
| Christian MacLeod L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.83 | 21.5% | 13.6% | 3.3% | .269 | 4.13 | 20.5% | 7.4% | 96 | -0.70 | 3.84 | 249 | 78 |
| Dalton Pence L 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.89 | 22.0% | 8.1% | 3.0% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 153 | 78 |
| Misael Siverio L 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.00 | 16.8% | 10.8% | 1.7% | .343 | 4.52 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 63 | +0.52 | 4.00 | 185 | 78 |
| Adalberto Mejía L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 24 | SP | 3.96 | 18.7% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .313 | 3.76 | 19.5% | 9.3% | 117 | -0.20 | 3.39 | 427 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 7 | 72 | 19.6% | 10.1% | 1.22 | 4.82 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Bryan Shaw ('23) | 8 | 64 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 1.12 | 4.19 |
| Trevor Cahill ('21) | 7 | 67 | 21.3% | 10.1% | 1.29 | 4.66 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |