Jhon Cabral — OGILVIE

Jhon Cabral P ACL Cubs

Age 21 RHP 6'1" / 172 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 6 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143135vR 127

ERA5.78

FIP5.78

K%22.3%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%2.3%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 6 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	16	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	10	10	23	118	17	36	0	100%	2.3	9.8%	38.1%	-28.3%	0.0%	8.74	7.10	—
2022	16	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	10	10	23	118	17	36	0	100%	2.3	14.4%	30.5%	-16.1%	0.0%	8.74	6.36	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	9	7	18	102	3	30	1	78%	2.0	2.0%	36.8%	-34.8%	1.4%	13.00	8.35	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	9	7	18	102	3	30	1	78%	2.0	2.9%	29.4%	-26.5%	1.0%	13.00	8.49	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	11	0	14	70	21	15	1	0%	1.3	20.4%	26.8%	-6.4%	2.2%	4.40	5.99	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	11	0	14	70	21	15	1	0%	1.3	20.4%	26.8%	-6.4%	2.2%	4.40	5.99	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	11	0	14	70	21	15	1	0%	1.3	30.0%	21.4%	8.6%	1.4%	4.40	4.22	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	15	0	13	69	17	17	0	0%	0.9	16.8%	30.8%	-14.0%	0.0%	6.07	5.59	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	15	0	13	69	17	17	0	0%	0.9	16.8%	30.8%	-14.0%	0.0%	6.07	5.59	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	15	0	13	69	17	17	0	0%	0.9	24.6%	24.6%	0.0%	0.0%	6.07	4.38	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	0	14	85	24	23	4	0%	0.9	21.3%	39.2%	-17.9%	5.5%	15.07	9.28	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	0	14	85	24	23	4	0%	0.9	21.3%	39.2%	-17.9%	5.5%	15.07	9.28	—
2026	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	0	14	85	24	23	4	0%	0.9	28.2%	27.1%	1.2%	4.7%	15.07	8.19	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	CHC	6	0	6	25	6	5	1	0%	1.0	22.3%	20.0%	2.3%	3.0%	5.78	5.78	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	CHC	19	0	20	84	20	14	2	0%	1.1	23.4%	16.6%	6.7%	2.9%	5.39	5.23	-0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	CHC	10	0	10	42	10	7	1	0%	1.0	23.4%	16.6%	6.7%	2.9%	5.39	5.23	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	10	7	1	0%	1.1	23.4%	16.6%	6.7%	2.9%	5.39	4.85	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	142	20	0%	1.1	23.4%	16.6%	6.7%	2.9%	5.39	4.85	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		61	17	83	444	58	156	8	28%	1.4	13.0%	35.1%	-22.1%	1.7%	9.58	7.39	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		148	41	200	1074	139	377	18	28%	1.4	13.0%	35.1%	-22.1%	1.7%	9.58	7.39	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jhon Cabral (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.78	22.3%	20.0%	3.0%	—	5.23	23.3%	6.7%	20	-0.55	—	—	—
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	83
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	82
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	81
Jordy Luciano R 2022 · 4.97 FIP	21	SU	4.97	24.9%	22.3%	2.1%	.306	5.33	17.1%	-4.8%	80	+0.36	4.97	104	81
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.56	176	81
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	80
Samuel Valerio R 2023 · 5.07 FIP	21	SU	5.07	24.7%	22.3%	2.2%	.315	6.73	20.7%	-7.8%	18	+1.66	4.00	117	80
Paul Gervase R 2022 · 4.91 FIP	22	SU	4.91	20.3%	16.2%	2.7%	.345	3.76	29.3%	16.0%	152	-1.15	3.38	211	80
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	80
Brandon Dufault R 2021 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	22.1%	15.9%	3.8%	.278	4.83	21.0%	4.2%	66	-0.49	4.38	152	79
Marcus Crescentini R 2015 · 5.80 FIP	22	SU	5.80	21.8%	21.9%	3.2%	.365	3.95	23.3%	11.6%	123	-1.85	2.74	150	79
Carlos Contreras R 2014 · 4.77 FIP	23	SU	4.77	20.2%	18.1%	2.0%	.304	4.35	18.4%	5.0%	107	-0.42	4.29	127	78
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	78
Osiel Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	21	SU	4.82	22.7%	15.7%	3.0%	.263	5.62	22.0%	7.6%	56	+0.80	3.38	124	78
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	77
Greg Weissert R 2016 · 5.22 FIP	21	SU	5.22	19.4%	19.3%	2.4%	.382	3.80	23.0%	10.3%	126	-1.42	2.57	487	77
Keegan Collett R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	21	SW	5.05	21.9%	24.6%	1.2%	.321	4.68	29.1%	9.0%	84	-0.37	3.93	184	77
Tommy DeJuneas R 2017 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	19.1%	15.5%	2.3%	.357	4.59	20.8%	4.9%	100	-0.13	3.93	178	77
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	77
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	77