Dominic Fritton
P
Charleston RiverDogs
Age 23
LHP
6'1" / 190 lbs
A
peak 0.4 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION74 act + 26 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 100109vR 119
ERA4.38
FIP4.38
K%23.2%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%13.7%
ROS IP26
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 17 | 17 | 74 | 328 | 91 | 38 | 8 | 100% | 4.4 | 20.5% | 13.7% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 5.45 | 4.84 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | TB | 5 | 5 | 26 | 109 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.1 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | TB | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.2% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.38 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | TB | — | — | 100 | 437 | 116 | 48 | 11 | — | — | 26.6% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 2.6% | 5.17 | 4.72 | +0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | TB | 5 | 5 | 26 | 111 | 26 | 10 | 3 | 100% | 5.3 | 23.8% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 4.26 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | TB | 2 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.8% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 4.26 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 11 | 47 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.6 | 23.8% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 3.88 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 36 | 200 | 844 | 196 | 71 | 18 | 100% | 5.6 | 23.8% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 3.88 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 17 | 17 | 74 | 328 | 67 | 45 | 10 | 100% | 4.4 | 20.5% | 13.7% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 5.45 | 4.84 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 46 | 46 | 200 | 883 | 181 | 121 | 28 | 100% | 4.4 | 20.5% | 13.7% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 5.45 | 4.84 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dominic Fritton (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.38 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 3.0% | — | 4.26 | 23.8% | 14.7% | 26 | -0.12 | — | — | — |
| Jake Bennett L 2025 · 3.54 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.54 | 21.2% | 7.2% | 2.4% | .339 | 3.10 | 19.0% | 12.8% | 156 | -0.44 | 2.79 | 219 | 81 |
| Austin Emener L 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.86 | 19.4% | 9.3% | 4.1% | .306 | 5.42 | 23.7% | 8.9% | 49 | +0.56 | 4.86 | 109 | 81 |
| Hogan Harris L 2025 · 3.73 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.73 | 20.5% | 10.6% | 1.9% | .235 | 3.64 | 27.4% | 12.7% | 74 | -0.09 | 3.14 | 473 | 81 |
| Austin Warner L 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.06 | 18.6% | 8.1% | 2.7% | .291 | 4.43 | 17.6% | 9.4% | 284 | +0.37 | 3.88 | 491 | 80 |
| Sam Weatherly L 2025 · 3.86 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.86 | 24.0% | 12.8% | 2.1% | .323 | 4.14 | 21.9% | 8.9% | 41 | +0.28 | 3.86 | 189 | 80 |
| Dalton Pence L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.89 | 22.0% | 8.1% | 3.0% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32 | 153 | 80 |
| T.J. Sikkema L 2027 · 4.71 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.71 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 4.2% | .298 | 4.64 | 16.9% | 7.4% | 231 | -0.07 | 3.39 | 300 | 79 |
| Kash Mayfield L 2024 · 4.36 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.36 | 23.3% | 11.4% | 3.3% | .273 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 109 | 77 |
| Hunter Barco L 2026 · 3.51 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.51 | 23.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .275 | 3.79 | 22.7% | 10.5% | 150 | +0.28 | 3.51 | 212 | 77 |
| Anthony Veneziano L 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.24 | 24.9% | 10.8% | 3.4% | .298 | 5.19 | 18.7% | 8.0% | 358 | +0.95 | 4.24 | 501 | 76 |
| Brent Killam L 2026 · 4.35 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.35 | 29.1% | 14.5% | 3.4% | .284 | 7.12 | 18.4% | 9.6% | 80 | +2.77 | 4.35 | 121 | 76 |
| Jacob Latz L 2026 · 3.28 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.28 | 23.0% | 12.6% | 0.9% | .222 | 5.11 | 22.8% | 10.7% | 149 | +1.83 | 2.43 | 453 | 75 |
| Michel Gelabert L 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.58 | 18.7% | 12.1% | 2.8% | .248 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 107 | 75 |
| Evan Lee L 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.00 | 24.2% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .333 | 4.48 | 21.0% | 2.7% | 52 | +0.48 | 3.84 | 129 | 74 |
| Tyler Skaggs L 2028 · 3.21 FIP | 25 | SP | 3.21 | 26.1% | 9.2% | 2.1% | .300 | 3.81 | 23.0% | 15.2% | 290 | +0.60 | 3.21 | 372 | 74 |
| Samy Natera Jr. L 2026 · 5.17 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.17 | 22.9% | 13.3% | 4.2% | .294 | 3.68 | 29.8% | 14.8% | 108 | -1.49 | 1.94 | 191 | 74 |
| Brent Headrick L 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.52 | 22.9% | 14.0% | 2.9% | .383 | 4.63 | 24.2% | 16.7% | 227 | +0.11 | 2.40 | 382 | 74 |
| Cole Ragans L 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.15 | 20.2% | 11.2% | 4.2% | .296 | 3.38 | 26.8% | 17.4% | 445 | -1.77 | 2.46 | 623 | 74 |
| Mason Molina L 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.56 | 23.3% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .262 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.56 | 165 | 74 |
| Christian MacLeod L 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.36 | 16.4% | 10.5% | 2.4% | .312 | 4.46 | 21.0% | 7.7% | 184 | +0.10 | 3.84 | 249 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 26 | 23.5% | 9.3% | 1.16 | 4.34 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Zach McAllister ('18) | 4 | 57 | 24.8% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 3.63 |