Tommy Henry
P
Reno Aces
+0.0
WAR
Age 29
LHP
6'3" / 205 lbs
AAA
ERA4.90
FIP4.78
xFIP2.56
SIERA2.16
K%19.6%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%9.7%
IP52
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.0peak
2026
STUF3030
CTRL4040
CMD3535
K†3030
FB Velo
p1089.8
Whiff%
p1016.7%
K%
p1116.5%
xwOBA vs
p100.385
SI (2%)
CU (28%)
CH (23%)
FB-1.0 (27%)
SL-1.6 (21%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | 23 | 23 | 116 | 493 | 135 | 53 | 24 | 22.2% | 11.8% | 4.4% | 5.21 | 5.12 | +0.2 |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 30 | 30 | 160 | 679 | 139 | 65 | 21 | 18.7% | 9.9% | 3.4% | 4.22 | 4.67 | +1.1 |
| 2023 | 26 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 21 | 20 | 110 | 472 | 86 | 41 | 15 | 17.7% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 4.57 | 4.46 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 27 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 29 | 27 | 146 | 653 | 144 | 72 | 19 | 20.0% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 4.98 | 4.43 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | 13 | 11 | 61 | 278 | 59 | 22 | 10 | 17.8% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 7.67 | 4.51 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | ARI | 52 | — | 52 | 221 | 34 | 24 | 7 | 15.2% | 10.8% | 3.2% | 5.24 | 5.32 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | ARI | 51 | — | 51 | 214 | 31 | 23 | 7 | 14.7% | 10.9% | 3.3% | 5.34 | 5.41 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | ARI | 49 | — | 49 | 206 | 29 | 23 | 7 | 14.1% | 11.0% | 3.3% | 5.44 | 5.51 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | ARI | 47 | — | 47 | 198 | 27 | 22 | 7 | 13.5% | 11.2% | 3.4% | 5.55 | 5.63 | -0.4 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB | ARI | 45 | — | 45 | 189 | 24 | 21 | 7 | 12.8% | 11.3% | 3.5% | 5.67 | 5.75 | -0.4 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB | ARI | 43 | — | 43 | 180 | 22 | 21 | 6 | 12.1% | 11.5% | 3.6% | 5.80 | 5.89 | -0.5 |
| 2032 | 35 | MLB | ARI | 40 | — | 40 | 170 | 19 | 20 | 6 | 11.4% | 11.8% | 3.7% | 5.95 | 6.04 | -0.5 |
| 2033 | 36 | MLB | ARI | 38 | — | 38 | 159 | 17 | 19 | 6 | 10.6% | 12.0% | 3.8% | 6.11 | 6.21 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 116 | 111 | 593 | 2575 | 499 | 266 | 88 | 19.4% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 5.02 | 4.64 | +4.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 39 | 37 | 200 | 868 | 168 | 90 | 30 | 19.4% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 5.02 | 4.64 | +1.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tommy Henry (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.32 | 15.2% | 10.8% | 3.2% | — | 5.51 | 14.1% | 3.1% | 146 | +0.19 | — | — | — |
| Jose Meraz L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.31 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 2.4% | .282 | 3.80 | 10.5% | -2.0% | 30 | -0.51 | 3.70 | 110 | 74 |
| Ross Detwiler L 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.45 | 14.2% | 12.2% | 3.7% | .356 | 4.80 | 14.1% | 5.9% | 242 | -0.65 | 3.45 | 512 | 72 |
| Brian Duensing L 2029 · 4.46 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.46 | 11.5% | 8.1% | 2.4% | .252 | 3.76 | 20.2% | 11.8% | 137 | -0.70 | 2.63 | 198 | 71 |
| Marlon Arias L 2027 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.30 | 16.8% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .330 | 3.73 | 17.2% | 9.5% | 22 | -0.57 | 3.73 | 154 | 71 |
| Keith Hessler L 2026 · 5.04 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.04 | 19.8% | 13.3% | 3.5% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.29 | 228 | 69 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.43 | 18.9% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .300 | 3.46 | 24.1% | 15.6% | 112 | -0.97 | 2.83 | 223 | 69 |
| Caleb Thielbar L 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.16 | 11.8% | 10.8% | 1.2% | .253 | 2.66 | 19.0% | 16.6% | 57 | -1.50 | 2.22 | 459 | 69 |
| Brian Flynn L 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.49 | 17.7% | 10.1% | 2.9% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 277 | 69 |
| Jimmy Reyes L 2025 · 4.88 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.88 | 13.8% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.03 | 200 | 68 |
| Jeremy Bleich L 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.34 | 10.1% | 7.8% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.65 | 19.1% | 13.1% | 146 | -0.69 | 3.20 | 241 | 67 |
| Tyler Alexander L 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 29 | SU | 5.28 | 15.7% | 10.7% | 3.9% | .272 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.28 | 128 | 66 |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.68 | 20.2% | 9.6% | 3.8% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.70 | 175 | 66 |
| Jack Snodgrass L 2025 · 5.04 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.04 | 15.7% | 10.1% | 3.6% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 118 | 66 |
| Bryan Harper L 2025 · 4.65 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.65 | 14.9% | 13.9% | 1.9% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.19 | 133 | 66 |
| Brandon Mann L 2029 · 4.73 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.73 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 4.1% | .320 | 3.99 | 19.0% | 7.6% | 128 | -0.74 | 3.59 | 190 | 65 |
| Marco Tovar L 2025 · 5.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 5.03 | 16.1% | 11.3% | 3.4% | .317 | 4.78 | 12.6% | 7.0% | 82 | -0.25 | 3.78 | 327 | 65 |
| Colton Johnson L 2024 · 4.53 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.53 | 12.2% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 106 | 65 |
| Aaron Brown L 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.16 | 17.4% | 12.8% | 1.6% | .275 | 5.36 | 21.3% | 8.8% | 66 | +1.20 | 4.02 | 269 | 65 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.44 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 3.3% | .253 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 126 | 65 |
| Eric Surkamp L 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 29 | SW | 5.14 | 16.4% | 9.3% | 4.1% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.11 | 182 | 64 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.