Josh Hogue

CF Jupiter Hammerheads

Age 23 L/R A HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	22	AMIA	250	.233/.343/.357	5	3	55	—	.191/.278/.286
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBMIA	360	.200/.273/.307	6	5	65	-0.2
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBMIA	86	.196/.271/.301	2	1	68	-0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBMIA	156	.199/.273/.306	3	2	70	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Max EV65

Z-Con%57

Whiff%55

BB%52

Speed52

K%46

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJacob Wetzel (age 23) · Christopher Familia (age 23) · Jose Brizuela (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 237 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .271 / .304

PA237

HR4

K%29

BB%8

ISO107

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 31 / POW 43

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT31

scouting grade only

POWER43

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	250	210	49	9	1	5	31	63	4	3	1	233	343	357	700	124	301	25	12	316	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	250	220	42	7	1	4	22	86	4	3	1	191	278	286	564	95	274	34	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	250	219	42	7	1	4	22	86	4	3	1	192	278	288	565	96	286	34	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	250	210	49	9	1	5	31	63	4	3	1	233	343	357	700	124	301	25	12	316	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	250	222	42	7	1	4	22	86	4	3	1	189	278	284	561	95	274	34	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	250	222	42	7	1	4	22	86	4	3	1	189	278	284	561	95	274	34	9	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	360	324	64	11	2	6	29	105	4	5	1	200	273	307	580	107	270	29	8	264	65	-15	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	MIA	30%	285	257	52	9	2	5	23	82	3	4	1	203	277	315	591	112	272	29	8	268	68	-11	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.3
2029	25	MLB MLE	MIA	44%	354	318	66	12	2	7	29	101	4	5	1	205	279	320	600	115	273	29	8	272	70	-13	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.3
2030	26	MLB MLE	MIA	51%	399	359	74	13	2	8	33	112	4	6	2	207	281	325	606	117	274	28	8	274	72	-13	+0	+0	+1	+9	-0.3
2031	27	MLB MLE	MIA	52%	420	378	79	14	2	9	35	117	4	5	2	208	282	326	608	118	275	28	8	275	72	-14	+0	+0	+1	+9	-0.3
2028	24	MLB CTX	MIA	30%	86	78	16	3	0	2	7	25	1	1	0	196	271	301	572	105	264	29	8	260	68	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	MIA	44%	156	140	28	5	1	3	13	44	2	2	1	199	273	306	579	108	265	28	8	264	70	-6	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2030	26	MLB CTX	MIA	51%	202	181	36	6	1	4	17	57	2	3	1	200	275	310	585	110	265	28	8	266	72	-7	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
2031	27	MLB CTX	MIA	52%	220	198	40	7	1	4	18	62	2	3	1	201	276	312	588	111	266	28	8	267	72	-7	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	664	597	120	21	3	13	55	188	7	9	3	201	276	312	588	111	268	28	8	265	68	-23	+1	+0	+2	+14	-0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	118	21	3	13	54	184	7	9	3	202	278	315	593	113	269	28	8	265	68	-22	+1	+0	+2	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	1945	1745	355	62	10	37	161	567	21	27	8	203	279	314	593	111	276	29	8	269	68	-61	+2	+0	+6	+37	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	118	21	3	12	54	189	7	9	3	202	278	310	588	108	275	29	8	269	68	-23	+1	+0	+2	+14	-0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Ruben Rivera'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,818 PA	2.7	1,818	64	50	206*	292*	376*	-1	+20	4.0	4.0
/162	664	23	18	-0.3	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 4
#3Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#5Damon Buford'93-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,072 PA	3.1	2,072	54	56	230*	296*	371*	-1	-2	0.2	0.8
/162	664	17	18	-0.4	-0.5	0.1	pk7: 1
#6Rick Bosetti'76-'82 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,656 PA	2.5	1,656	17	30	243*	286*	358*	+3	+16	0.6	0.6
/162	664	7	12	+1.4	+6.5	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.4	901	18	13	206	276	320	+3	+8	-0.3	-0.2
/162	664	13	9	+2.4	+5.5	-0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josh Hogue (OGILVIE)	23	26→31	38→43	45→50	56	198/271/304	106	270	4	4	29%	8%	65	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A	23	39→34	43→45	50	47	194/280/301	107	268	12	10	30%	9%	68	-1.0	192/268/302	110	281	9	13	32%	9%	63	-1.4	180/256/297	117	269	7	16	33%	9%	55	-1.0
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	38	45→55	47→45	46	195/271/314	120	240	13	8	25%	7%	68	-1.0	215/270/381	166	280	21	4	31%	6%	82	-0.0	212/261/402	190	265	27	0	32%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Jose Brizuela 2016 · A	23	41→39	44→50	50→45	45	206/271/326	120	274	11	7	28%	8%	69	-0.9	208/265/331	123	293	14	5	32%	7%	68	-1.0	187/241/315	128	257	17	1	34%	6%	53	-0.9
✕Randy Florentino 2023 · A	23	37	41→45	47→45	41	184/247/274	90	275	9	6	35%	7%	48	-2.5	197/245/283	86	259	8	6	26%	6%	49	-2.4	182/223/254	73	228	7	4	23%	5%	32	-1.1
✕Lance Ray 2013 · A	23	38→37	45	45	45	196/264/320	124	261	13	6	29%	8%	65	-1.2	201/265/317	116	278	10	6	30%	7%	65	-1.2	151/221/203	52	215	4	5	30%	8%	20	-1.0
✕Jonny Butler 2022 · A	23	43→33	40→50	51→55	43	207/268/296	89	302	7	9	32%	8%	61	-1.5	199/264/310	111	281	9	16	31%	7%	62	-1.4	179/252/293	114	245	10	19	30%	8%	52	-1.2
✕Cody Morissette 2023 · A	23	38→31	46→45	45→55	42	198/263/322	123	265	14	5	30%	7%	65	-1.2	185/237/301	116	246	13	11	30%	6%	51	-2.3	184/241/305	121	240	14	19	29%	6%	51	-1.4
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→30	42→45	51→60	40	198/262/303	106	282	9	12	32%	6%	60	-1.6	182/252/273	91	277	7	13	35%	6%	50	-2.3	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Darrien Miller 2024 · A	23	39→42	44→45	48→45	47	194/289/310	116	258	12	6	28%	9%	74	-0.6	192/313/294	102	262	8	5	27%	11%	80	-0.2	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Michael Pérez 2016 · A	23	35	41→50	42→40	42	178/243/275	96	257	9	4	33%	7%	47	-2.6	210/262/308	98	279	8	3	26%	6%	61	-1.5	225/285/350	124	287	13	0	25%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Carlos Soto 2022 · A	23	40	45	45→30	48	200/279/322	122	273	12	3	30%	9%	72	-0.7	197/273/311	114	289	10	5	33%	9%	66	-1.1	146/235/244	98	221	7	0	35%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Alex Iadisernia 2024 · A	23	38→37	46→50	52→55	43	196/263/328	132	261	14	16	30%	7%	67	-1.1	197/263/295	98	277	8	16	30%	7%	59	-1.7	178/248/250	72	257	3	19	30%	7%	42	-2.0
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	40→38	44→40	55→50	47	201/283/322	121	254	11	15	25%	8%	74	-0.6	215/303/306	91	265	8	14	20%	9%	77	-0.3	215/311/283	68	261	5	15	18%	9%	73	-0.3
✕Tristan Gray 2019 · A	23	39→36	47→50	42→40	39	199/250/342	143	275	14	6	33%	6%	65	-1.2	205/271/347	142	266	15	4	28%	7%	74	-0.6	197/252/324	127	261	14	3	29%	6%	61	-1.0
✕Daniel Vellojin 2024 · AA	24	39	43→45	45	49	192/277/302	110	267	11	6	30%	10%	66	-1.1	177/253/266	89	250	8	6	31%	8%	49	-2.4	150/230/223	73	210	7	4	31%	8%	29	-1.4
✕Mark Fleury 2011 · A	23	39→40	45	48→45	42	200/261/328	128	269	12	4	30%	7%	65	-1.2	201/276/300	99	299	7	6	32%	9%	65	-1.2	186/276/265	79	285	4	6	33%	10%	56	-0.7
✕Trey Paige 2024 · A	23	40	39→40	49→50	42	192/266/272	80	290	6	7	34%	8%	55	-2.0	202/270/291	89	307	6	9	33%	8%	60	-1.6	197/270/292	94	292	7	12	32%	8%	58	-1.1
✕Anthony Hall 2024 · A	23	43	44→45	46→45	43	210/276/326	115	297	11	6	32%	8%	70	-0.8	190/248/277	87	313	7	10	38%	7%	49	-2.4	150/206/208	58	270	4	13	43%	7%	14	-1.4
✕Cole Roederer 2023 · AA	23	43→33	44→45	47→50	40	211/269/329	118	300	12	12	33%	7%	69	-0.9	197/270/310	113	292	12	11	34%	8%	65	-1.2	176/259/283	106	262	11	11	35%	9%	53	-1.3
✕Omar Martinez 2024 · A	23	40→37	46→45	48→40	46	201/281/327	126	283	15	6	33%	9%	74	-0.6	191/265/312	121	288	15	4	36%	8%	64	-1.3	176/253/289	113	268	15	1	38%	8%	53	-1.3

Josh Hogue

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps