Ichiro Cano — OGILVIE

Ichiro Cano2B Daytona Tortugas

Age 21 L/R 5'11" / 175 lbs A HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION265 act + 176 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .315 / .308

PA176

HR2

K%27

BB%11

BABIP296

ISO92

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$8M	+$7M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$7M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$5M	+$4M
2035	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.6M
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$8M		$27M	+$23M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	19	ROK	2 teams	—	191	163	31	7	1	1	23	52	2	13	5	190	298	264	562	74	265	27	12	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	2 teams	—	191	151	44	9	1	1	35	34	2	13	5	291	431	384	815	93	361	18	18	372	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	3 teams	—	379	322	57	8	2	2	48	142	5	5	2	177	293	233	526	56	306	37	13	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	3 teams	—	379	309	84	12	2	3	61	94	5	5	2	272	400	353	753	81	379	25	16	348	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A	CIN	—	265	229	49	9	2	3	28	81	4	3	1	214	310	310	620	96	311	31	11	286	77	-7	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.2
YTD	21	A	CIN	—	265	220	56	10	3	4	37	57	4	3	1	255	372	382	753	127	321	22	14	340	118	+5	+0	+0	+1	+8	1.4
ROS	21	A	CIN	0%	176	152	33	6	1	2	19	47	3	3	1	216	315	308	623	92	291	27	11	282	74	-5	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.1
ROS	21	MLB	CIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		293	—	—	273	67	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	21	A	CIN	—	265	230	49	9	2	3	28	81	4	3	1	213	310	309	619	96	309	31	11	286	77	-7	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.2
TOT	21	A	CIN	—	441	381	82	15	3	5	47	128	7	6	2	215	312	309	621	94	305	29	11	284	76	-12	+0	+0	+2	+13	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	CIN	34%	400	350	78	15	3	6	42	103	5	5	1	223	315	334	649	111	294	26	10	295	84	-7	+1	+0	+1	+11	0.6
2028	23	MLB	CIN	48%	497	435	98	19	3	9	52	126	7	6	2	225	318	345	663	120	295	25	10	302	89	-6	+0	+0	+2	+14	1.0
2029	24	MLB	CIN	53%	503	439	102	20	3	10	52	126	7	6	2	232	323	360	683	128	296	25	10	306	92	-4	+0	+0	+2	+14	1.2
2030	25	MLB	CIN	55%	512	447	103	20	3	10	53	127	7	6	2	230	321	356	677	125	296	25	10	308	94	-4	+0	+0	+2	+15	1.3
2031	26	MLB	CIN	56%	520	454	105	20	3	11	54	129	7	7	2	231	322	361	684	130	296	25	10	308	94	-3	+1	+0	+2	+15	1.4
2032	27	MLB	CIN	55%	519	452	105	20	3	11	55	129	7	7	2	232	325	363	688	131	295	25	11	308	94	-3	+1	+0	+2	+15	1.4
2033	28	MLB	CIN	55%	514	447	103	20	3	10	55	129	7	6	2	230	324	356	680	125	295	25	11	307	93	-4	+0	-1	+2	+15	1.2
2034	29	MLB	CIN	53%	504	438	100	19	3	10	54	127	7	6	2	228	323	354	677	126	294	25	11	305	92	-5	+0	-1	+2	+14	1.1
2035	30	MLB	CIN	57%	493	430	97	19	3	9	53	126	7	5	1	226	320	347	667	121	293	26	11	303	90	-6	+1	-2	+2	+14	0.9
2027	22	MLB	CIN	34%	137	120	27	5	1	2	14	35	2	2	0	225	316	333	650	108	297	26	10	287	78	-3	+0	+0	+0	+4	0.1
2028	23	MLB	CIN	48%	241	211	48	10	1	4	25	61	3	3	1	227	318	341	659	114	298	25	10	294	83	-4	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.3
2029	24	MLB	CIN	53%	265	231	54	11	2	5	28	66	4	3	1	234	327	364	691	130	299	25	11	299	87	-4	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.5
2030	25	MLB	CIN	55%	280	245	57	11	2	6	29	70	4	4	1	233	324	367	691	135	299	25	10	301	88	-4	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.6
2031	26	MLB	CIN	56%	289	253	60	12	2	6	30	72	4	4	1	237	328	372	699	134	298	25	10	301	89	-4	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.6
2032	27	MLB	CIN	55%	285	249	58	11	2	6	30	71	4	4	1	233	325	365	691	133	298	25	11	301	89	-4	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.6
2033	28	MLB	CIN	55%	281	245	57	11	2	6	30	70	4	3	1	233	326	367	694	135	298	25	11	300	88	-4	+0	-0	+1	+8	0.5
2034	29	MLB	CIN	53%	269	234	54	11	2	5	29	68	4	3	1	231	326	359	685	128	297	25	11	298	86	-4	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.4
2035	30	MLB	CIN	57%	281	245	56	11	2	5	30	72	4	3	1	229	323	351	674	122	295	26	11	296	84	-5	+0	-1	+1	+8	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2328	2034	471	93	16	45	245	585	33	29	8	232	324	359	683	128	301	25	11	298	86	-36	+3	-2	+8	+66	3.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	132	26	4	13	68	163	9	8	2	232	324	361	685	129	301	25	10	298	86	-10	+1	-1	+2	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	5208	4529	1012	193	31	91	560	1363	71	75	24	223	318	340	658	117	297	26	11	298	87	-79	+5	-4	+19	+148	9.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	565	126	24	4	11	70	170	9	9	3	223	318	338	656	115	296	26	11	298	87	-10	+1	-1	+2	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	19	ROK	DSL Reds	—	173	134	38	8	1	1	34	30	2	11	4	284	435	381	816	97	349	17	20	373	143	+8	+1	—	—	+5	1.4
2024	19	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	18	17	6	1	0	0	1	4	0	2	1	353	389	412	801	59	462	22	6	361	135	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	77	65	14	2	0	0	9	23	3	1	0	215	338	246	584	31	333	30	12	285	76	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2025	20	ROK	ACL Reds	—	167	130	37	5	2	2	34	42	2	3	2	285	440	400	840	115	402	25	20	385	153	+10	-0	—	—	+5	1.5
2025	20	INTL	Mexico Verde	—	135	114	33	5	0	1	18	29	0	1	0	289	386	360	746	70	376	21	13	337	116	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Logan Forsythelast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA	9	3,502	70	42	246	327	370	+5	-11	8.6	9.2
	/162	664	13	8	246	327	370	+0.9	-2.2	1.6	pk7: 10
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,637	48	33	228	317	348	+9	+6	5.5	5.2
	/162	664	12	8	228	317	348	+2.4	+1.5	1.4	pk7: 5
#4Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ichiro Cano (OGILVIE)	21	40	30	40	60	215/312/309	94	305	5	6	29%	11%	76	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sergio Burruel 2012 · A	21	42	35→30	42→30	47	198/274/259	61	274	3	4	27%	8%	50	-1.8	213/266/275	62	297	3	6	27%	6%	48	-1.9	241/305/316	75	293	8	1	20%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Yohander Martinez 2023 · A	21	45	36→30	43→50	52	209/304/266	57	271	5	8	23%	10%	65	-0.7	197/304/264	67	284	5	6	29%	10%	65	-0.7	166/287/223	56	249	5	5	31%	11%	48	-0.6
✕Andy Paz 2014 · A	21	45	38→40	42→45	47	212/273/289	77	273	5	5	23%	7%	56	-1.3	200/258/270	70	282	5	5	29%	7%	44	-2.1	202/252/250	48	271	3	6	25%	6%	33	-0.9
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2023 · A	20	47	37→45	47→55	54	220/301/294	74	277	4	12	20%	10%	69	-0.4	211/284/306	95	333	9	15	36%	9%	65	-0.7	194/268/287	93	319	11	18	39%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Randy Florentino 2021 · A	21	43	40→50	42→45	47	204/282/302	97	297	7	6	32%	10%	63	-0.8	179/241/260	81	267	8	5	34%	7%	35	-2.8	183/233/258	75	242	8	4	27%	6%	29	-0.9
✕Jeffer Patino 2010 · A	21	44	38→45	40→45	48	207/268/286	79	249	5	5	19%	7%	53	-1.5	206/249/281	75	268	6	4	24%	5%	43	-2.2	201/233/264	63	262	6	2	25%	3%	28	-0.7
✕Noah Mendlinger 2022 · A	21	49→59	39→40	44→45	51	229/306/320	91	288	5	6	21%	9%	78	+0.2	243/331/320	77	296	4	8	18%	9%	89	+0.9	272/355/343	71	323	2	8	15%	8%	101	+1.3
✕Luis Sierra 2007 · A	20	45	36→40	39→45	50	207/292/280	72	272	3	5	23%	9%	63	-0.9	222/283/317	95	264	8	8	18%	6%	68	-0.5	224/278/323	99	258	10	8	17%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Daniel Vellojin 2021 · A	21	45	39→45	47→45	51	215/298/306	91	267	6	8	21%	9%	71	-0.3	200/293/314	114	279	11	5	29%	11%	72	-0.2	179/275/290	111	249	12	4	31%	11%	56	-0.7
✕Anthony Dimino 2016 · A	22	48	35→40	47→50	48	223/281/286	63	285	2	6	22%	7%	57	-1.2	245/310/310	65	315	3	12	21%	8%	76	+0.1	255/321/317	62	324	3	16	20%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Sherman Lacrus 2016 · A	22	46	40→30	45→50	49	222/293/313	91	261	7	7	18%	7%	71	-0.3	207/262/291	84	277	5	8	26%	6%	51	-1.7	188/240/263	74	248	4	9	25%	5%	33	-0.9
✕Greg Garcia 2011 · A	21	46→54	40	44→50	43	222/277/317	96	274	7	8	22%	5%	65	-0.7	237/310/328	91	301	5	9	21%	8%	82	+0.5	242/351/334	92	309	6	3	21%	13%	98	+0.8
✕Miguel Arrendell 2010 · A	22	44	37→30	48→50	56	206/306/277	71	269	4	11	23%	12%	68	-0.5	210/273/291	81	276	6	9	24%	8%	56	-1.3	206/261/281	75	263	6	10	23%	7%	45	-0.8
✕Leopoldo Correa 2013 · A	21	45	39→45	42→30	46	216/274/302	86	272	6	3	22%	7%	59	-1.1	206/259/285	79	274	5	5	25%	6%	48	-1.9	178/223/244	66	223	3	0	21%	4%	17	-0.9
✕Dalfis Ortiz 2013 · A	21	46	36→45	43→55	49	213/290/277	64	302	3	10	28%	10%	59	-1.1	219/279/302	83	272	3	14	19%	8%	61	-1.0	253/308/364	110	303	2	18	16%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Elias Arias 2015 · A	21	49	36→30	47→55	49	229/297/294	65	290	4	16	21%	8%	67	-0.5	201/258/275	74	289	5	11	30%	7%	45	-2.1	161/210/245	83	254	7	9	38%	5%	13	-0.9
✕Nelson Quiroz 2022 · A	20	46	37→40	47→40	49	214/282/293	80	268	3	4	20%	8%	60	-1.0	228/287/328	100	272	8	4	18%	7%	72	-0.2	266/310/330	64	299	2	0	12%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Cesar Berbesi 2021 · A	21	45	36→30	44→55	47	210/277/279	69	275	2	7	23%	7%	55	-1.4	197/293/285	88	340	5	13	38%	11%	64	-0.8	160/273/224	64	328	3	21	45%	13%	40	-0.7
✕Geraldi Diaz 2021 · A	21	45	38→40	45→40	49	211/297/295	84	269	5	6	22%	8%	69	-0.4	197/278/288	91	290	6	6	32%	8%	59	-1.1	170/258/262	92	261	7	4	35%	8%	43	-0.7
✕Juan Mosquera 2009 · A	21	43	33→30	46→55	52	197/290/240	43	280	1	14	27%	10%	51	-1.7	202/267/260	58	263	3	9	22%	8%	45	-2.1	183/242/211	28	222	0	9	16%	7%	19	-1.0