Ichiro Cano — OGILVIE

Ichiro Cano2B Daytona Tortugas

Age 21 L/R 5'11" / 175 lbs A HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION447 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP323

ISO79

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$36M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$5M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$10M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	19	ROK	DSL Reds	—	173	134	38	8	1	1	34	30	2	11	4	284	435	381	816	97	349	17	20	373	138	+8	+1	—	—	+4	1.3
2024	19	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	18	17	6	1	0	0	1	4	0	2	1	353	389	412	801	59	462	22	6	361	131	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2025	20	A	Daytona Tortugas	—	77	65	14	2	0	0	9	23	3	1	0	215	338	246	584	31	333	30	12	285	79	-2	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2025	20	ROK	ACL Reds	—	167	130	37	5	2	2	34	42	2	3	2	285	440	400	840	115	402	25	20	385	147	+9	-0	—	—	+4	1.3
2025	20	INTL	Mexico Verde	—	135	114	33	5	0	1	18	29	0	1	0	289	386	360	746	70	376	21	13	337	114	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	173	147	30	6	1	1	21	45	2	11	4	204	312	279	591	75	270	26	12	267	67	-7	+1	—	—	+4	-0.3
2025	20	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	—	77	67	10	1	0	0	7	32	3	1	0	149	260	164	424	15	310	42	9	220	35	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	—	167	142	27	4	1	1	22	60	2	3	2	190	307	254	561	63	306	36	13	261	63	-7	-0	—	—	+4	-0.4
2024	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	191	163	33	7	1	1	23	50	2	13	5	202	309	276	585	74	278	26	12	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	191	151	44	9	1	1	35	34	2	13	5	291	431	384	815	93	361	18	18	372	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	379	325	59	8	2	2	45	143	5	5	2	182	291	237	528	55	313	38	12	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	3 teams	—	379	309	84	12	2	3	61	94	5	5	2	272	400	353	753	81	379	25	16	348	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	191	164	33	7	1	1	23	50	2	13	5	201	309	274	583	73	270	26	12	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	379	326	59	8	2	2	45	143	5	5	2	181	291	236	527	55	307	38	12	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	191	164	33	7	1	1	23	50	2	13	5	201	309	274	583	73	270	26	12	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	379	326	59	8	2	2	45	143	5	5	2	181	291	236	527	55	307	38	12	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A MLE	CIN	—	447	387	99	18	2	6	50	121	6	5	1	256	350	359	709	103	354	27	11	319	102	+1	+1	+0	+2	+10	1.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A RAW	CIN	—	447	367	109	19	3	7	68	85	6	5	1	297	413	422	835	125	367	19	15	376	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A MLE	CIN	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		320	30	10	300	89	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	21	A MLE	CIN	—	457	396	100	18	2	6	51	124	6	5	1	253	347	354	700	101	349	27	11	319	102	+1	+1	+0	+2	+10	1.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CIN	34%	483	420	97	18	2	6	54	129	6	4	1	231	327	326	653	95	319	27	11	304	92	-5	+0	+0	+2	+10	0.8
2028	23	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	521	451	108	19	3	9	58	136	7	5	1	239	335	355	690	115	317	26	11	311	97	-2	+1	+0	+2	+11	1.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	556	482	116	21	3	10	62	143	7	5	1	241	336	359	695	118	317	26	11	316	100	-0	+1	+0	+2	+12	1.5
2030	25	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	555	481	117	21	3	11	62	141	7	5	1	243	338	368	706	125	316	25	11	318	101	+1	+1	+0	+2	+12	1.6
2031	26	MLB MLE	CIN	56%	551	477	116	21	3	11	62	140	7	5	1	243	339	369	708	126	316	25	11	319	102	+1	+1	+0	+2	+12	1.6
2032	27	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	544	471	114	20	3	11	61	139	7	5	1	242	338	367	705	125	316	26	11	319	102	+1	+1	+0	+2	+12	1.6
2033	28	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	536	463	113	20	3	11	61	138	7	5	1	244	341	371	712	127	316	26	11	318	101	+1	+1	-1	+2	+12	1.4
2034	29	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	527	455	108	19	2	10	60	136	7	4	1	237	335	354	689	116	315	26	11	316	100	-0	+0	-1	+2	+11	1.2
2035	30	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	517	447	106	19	2	10	59	135	6	4	1	237	334	356	690	119	313	26	11	313	98	-1	+0	-2	+2	+11	1.0
2036	31	MLB MLE	CIN	52%	507	438	102	18	2	9	58	134	6	3	1	233	331	345	675	112	311	26	11	309	95	-3	+0	-3	+2	+11	0.7
2037	32	MLB MLE	CIN	56%	498	432	98	17	2	8	57	134	6	3	1	227	325	331	656	104	308	27	11	303	91	-5	+0	-4	+2	+11	0.4
2038	33	MLB MLE	CIN	59%	431	374	84	14	2	7	49	118	5	2	0	225	322	329	651	104	303	27	11	296	87	-7	+0	-4	+2	+9	0.0
2039	34	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	385	335	73	12	1	6	43	108	4	1	0	218	314	313	628	96	297	28	11	288	81	-9	+0	-5	+1	+8	-0.4
2027	22	MLB CTX	CIN	34%	166	144	34	6	1	2	19	44	2	1	0	236	333	333	667	97	322	27	11	299	92	-2	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	252	219	53	10	1	5	28	66	3	2	1	242	336	365	701	123	321	26	11	306	97	-1	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.5
2029	24	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	293	254	62	11	1	6	33	75	4	3	1	244	340	366	706	122	320	26	11	311	100	-0	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.8
2030	25	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	304	263	65	12	2	6	34	77	4	3	1	247	342	376	719	129	320	25	11	314	101	+0	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.8
2031	26	MLB CTX	CIN	56%	307	266	67	12	2	7	34	78	4	3	1	252	345	391	736	139	320	25	11	314	102	+1	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.9
2032	27	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	299	259	62	11	1	6	34	76	4	3	1	239	337	359	696	120	319	25	11	314	102	+1	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.9
2033	28	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	293	254	61	11	1	6	33	75	4	2	1	240	337	362	699	122	319	26	11	313	101	+0	+0	-0	+1	+6	0.8
2034	29	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	281	244	59	11	1	6	32	73	3	2	1	242	337	369	706	127	318	26	11	311	100	-0	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.6
2035	30	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	272	236	56	10	1	5	31	71	3	2	1	237	333	352	685	114	317	26	11	308	98	-1	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.5
2036	31	MLB CTX	CIN	52%	264	229	54	10	1	5	30	70	3	2	0	236	332	354	686	118	314	27	11	304	95	-2	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.4
2037	32	MLB CTX	CIN	56%	280	243	56	10	1	5	32	75	3	1	0	230	327	342	669	111	311	27	11	299	91	-3	+0	-2	+1	+6	0.2
2038	33	MLB CTX	CIN	59%	254	220	49	8	1	4	29	69	3	1	0	223	321	323	644	100	306	27	11	292	87	-4	+0	-2	+1	+6	0.0
2039	34	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	210	182	39	6	1	3	24	59	2	1	0	214	312	308	620	93	300	28	11	284	81	-5	+0	-3	+1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3475	3013	717	128	15	66	393	908	42	26	8	238	334	356	690	118	317	26	11	306	93	-15	+2	-11	+12	+75	6.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	564	134	24	3	12	74	170	8	5	1	238	335	355	689	117	317	26	11	306	93	-3	+0	-2	+2	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	7191	6223	1445	254	34	122	815	1927	89	69	18	232	330	343	672	111	314	27	11	306	93	-28	+6	-20	+24	+143	12.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	563	131	23	3	11	74	174	8	6	2	233	331	343	674	110	314	27	11	306	93	-3	+1	-2	+2	+14	1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alberto Callaspolast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,909 PA	5.9	3,909	52	22	265	329	365	+14	+17	12.4	12.9
/162	664	9	4	+2.4	+2.9	2.1	pk7: 13
#2Aaron Hickslast yr '24 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,651 PA	5.5	3,651	109	71	231	330	383	+7	-9	11.8	12.4
/162	664	20	13	+1.3	-1.6	2.1	pk7: 13
#3Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	5.3	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
/162	664	21	2	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#4Logan Forsythelast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,502 PA	5.3	3,502	70	42	246	327	370	+5	-11	8.6	9.2
/162	664	13	8	+0.9	-2.2	1.6	pk7: 10
#5Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#6Casey McGeheelast yr '16 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,061 PA	4.6	3,061	67	7	258	318	386	+3	+7	8.3	8.3
/162	664	15	2	+0.7	+1.4	1.8	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.7	3,786	65	30	234	327	346	+14	+8	9.3	8.0
/162	664	11	5	+2.4	+1.4	1.6	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ichiro Cano (OGILVIE)	21	40	30	40	60	229/327/319	90	320	3	4	27%	11%	89	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sergio Burruel 2012 · A	21	42	35→30	42→30	47	199/275/260	61	277	3	4	27%	8%	55	-1.9	215/268/277	62	300	3	6	27%	6%	55	-1.9	242/305/311	69	297	6	1	19%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Andy Paz 2014 · A	21	45	38→40	42→45	47	212/273/289	77	273	5	5	23%	7%	61	-1.5	202/261/272	70	282	5	5	28%	7%	52	-2.2	218/268/266	48	284	3	6	23%	6%	50	-0.7
✕Nelson Quiroz 2022 · A	20	45	37→40	47→40	49	212/281/290	78	265	3	4	20%	8%	64	-1.3	230/289/333	103	271	9	4	18%	7%	77	-0.3	263/309/326	63	295	2	0	11%	6%	77	-0.1
✕Randy Florentino 2021 · A	21	43	40→50	42→45	47	204/282/302	97	297	7	6	32%	10%	68	-1.0	180/243/263	83	270	8	5	34%	7%	44	-2.8	188/237/266	78	247	8	4	27%	6%	40	-0.9
✕Yohander Martinez 2023 · A	21	45	36→30	43→50	52	211/307/270	59	273	5	8	23%	10%	71	-0.8	198/307/266	68	283	5	6	29%	10%	70	-0.8	169/291/224	56	252	4	5	30%	11%	55	-0.6
✕Aaron Shipman 2013 · A	21	40→37	35→30	44→50	48	187/266/245	59	273	2	9	30%	9%	49	-2.4	224/306/292	68	309	2	16	25%	10%	74	-0.6	243/332/303	60	328	1	21	23%	11%	81	-0.0
✕Noah Mendlinger 2022 · A	21	49→59	39→40	44→45	52	230/311/322	91	292	5	6	22%	9%	82	+0.0	244/332/321	77	296	4	8	17%	9%	91	+0.6	271/353/338	68	317	2	8	14%	8%	100	+1.0
✕Leopoldo Correa 2013 · A	21	45	39→45	42→30	46	216/274/302	86	272	6	3	22%	7%	64	-1.3	206/259/285	79	274	5	5	25%	6%	54	-2.0	178/223/244	66	223	3	0	21%	4%	27	-0.9
✕Jeffer Patino 2010 · A	21	44	38→45	40→45	48	207/268/286	79	249	5	5	19%	7%	58	-1.7	206/249/281	75	268	6	4	24%	5%	49	-2.4	201/233/264	63	262	6	2	25%	3%	36	-0.8
✕Jhonny Pereda 2017 · A	21	44→47	37→40	39→40	47	207/267/283	75	250	5	3	19%	6%	57	-1.8	218/272/282	64	275	4	3	21%	7%	58	-1.7	272/342/370	98	361	7	0	25%	9%	101	+0.6
✕Dalfis Ortiz 2013 · A	21	46	36→45	43→55	49	213/290/277	64	302	3	10	28%	10%	64	-1.3	219/279/302	83	272	3	14	19%	8%	65	-1.2	253/308/364	110	303	2	18	16%	7%	91	+0.2
✕Anthony Dimino 2016 · A	22	48	35→40	47→50	48	223/281/286	63	285	2	6	22%	7%	62	-1.4	245/309/310	65	313	3	12	21%	8%	78	-0.3	256/318/318	62	321	3	16	20%	8%	80	-0.0
✕Shawn Zarraga 2010 · A	21	44	36→40	48→45	47	207/285/272	64	289	4	5	28%	8%	62	-1.4	235/300/323	88	304	6	8	23%	6%	79	-0.2	277/346/357	80	319	4	2	13%	7%	103	+0.5
✕Noe Becerra 2009 · AAA	22	42	37→30	44→40	47	201/265/269	68	260	5	7	24%	8%	53	-2.1	228/286/313	85	278	7	7	19%	7%	71	-0.8	282/332/341	59	319	2	0	12%	6%	93	+0.3
✕Greg Garcia 2011 · A	21	46→55	40	44→50	43	222/277/317	96	274	7	8	22%	5%	69	-0.9	239/314/332	93	303	5	9	21%	8%	86	+0.3	240/350/332	92	308	6	3	21%	13%	98	+0.6
✕Cesar Berbesi 2021 · A	21	45	36→30	44→55	47	210/277/279	69	275	2	7	23%	7%	60	-1.6	199/294/287	88	339	5	13	38%	11%	70	-0.9	162/274/229	67	327	3	21	45%	13%	47	-0.7
✕Luis Sierra 2007 · A	20	45	36→40	39→45	50	207/292/280	72	272	3	5	23%	9%	67	-1.1	222/283/317	95	264	8	8	18%	6%	72	-0.7	224/278/323	99	258	10	8	17%	5%	69	-0.4
●Niuman Romero 2006 · A	21	46→56	37→40	43→50	46	218/283/297	79	293	4	7	26%	7%	66	-1.1	218/281/281	63	285	3	7	23%	8%	61	-1.5	281/339/367	87	328	5	9	15%	8%	100	+1.2
✕Deivi Estrada 2022 · A	21	45	36→30	46→50	45	208/280/278	70	304	4	8	30%	8%	61	-1.5	185/243/254	69	327	4	8	41%	7%	41	-3.0	144/186/202	58	310	3	4	52%	4%	5	-1.1
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	38	40→45	47→45	46	182/270/274	91	279	8	6	35%	10%	57	-1.8	191/265/269	78	298	5	6	34%	9%	53	-2.1	177/255/266	89	258	8	2	32%	9%	47	-1.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps