Jaiker Garcia — OGILVIE

Jaiker Garcia P Bradenton Marauders

Age 21 RHP 6'4" / 175 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 15 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132124vR 116

ERA5.19

FIP5.19

K%21.2%

BB%14.6%

K-BB%6.6%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL TEX Red	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.3	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.00	0.99	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL TEX Red	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.3	25.0%	0.0%	25.0%	0.0%	0.00	1.60	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	7	0	7	44	5	7	2	0%	1.0	11.4%	15.9%	-4.5%	4.5%	19.64	6.65	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Blue	7	0	7	44	5	7	2	0%	1.0	11.4%	15.9%	-4.5%	4.5%	19.64	6.65	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Blue	7	0	7	44	5	7	2	0%	1.0	11.4%	15.9%	-4.5%	4.5%	19.64	8.15	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	11	10	39	182	43	18	4	91%	3.6	16.1%	12.4%	3.7%	2.3%	6.41	4.58	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	11	10	39	182	43	18	4	91%	3.6	16.1%	12.4%	3.7%	2.3%	6.41	4.58	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	11	10	39	182	43	18	4	91%	3.6	23.6%	9.9%	13.7%	2.2%	6.41	3.61	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	18	0	19	88	26	14	3	0%	1.1	20.1%	19.9%	0.2%	3.7%	4.66	5.93	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	18	0	19	88	26	14	3	0%	1.1	20.1%	19.9%	0.2%	3.7%	4.66	5.93	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	18	0	19	88	26	14	3	0%	1.1	29.5%	15.9%	13.6%	3.4%	4.66	4.60	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	10	9	34	150	36	16	7	90%	3.4	17.8%	12.6%	5.2%	6.1%	5.61	6.52	—
YTD	21	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	10	9	34	150	36	16	7	90%	3.4	17.8%	12.6%	5.2%	6.1%	5.61	6.52	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	A RAW	PIT	10	9	34	150	36	16	7	90%	3.4	24.0%	10.7%	13.3%	4.7%	5.61	4.99	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	PIT	35	0	37	157	35	20	5	0%	1.1	22.3%	12.7%	9.6%	2.9%	4.93	4.82	-0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	PIT	17	0	18	76	17	10	2	0%	1.1	22.3%	12.7%	9.6%	2.7%	4.81	4.70	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	18	77	17	10	2	0%	1.1	22.3%	12.7%	9.6%	2.7%	4.81	4.31	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	186	109	22	0%	1.1	22.3%	12.7%	9.6%	2.7%	4.81	4.31	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		47	19	101	468	80	66	19	40%	2.1	17.0%	14.1%	2.9%	4.0%	6.68	5.62	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		93	38	200	927	158	130	37	40%	2.1	17.0%	14.1%	2.9%	4.0%	6.68	5.62	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jaiker Garcia (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.19	21.2%	14.6%	3.0%	—	4.82	22.3%	9.6%	37	-0.37	—	—	—
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	91
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	84
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	83
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	82
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	80
Miguel Alfonseca R 2021 · 4.19 FIP	21	SP-	4.19	18.3%	12.1%	2.0%	.400	5.36	14.9%	-0.9%	92	+1.17	4.19	123	79
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	78
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	78
Nestor Lorant R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SW	5.53	18.7%	18.2%	3.1%	.280	3.86	20.5%	11.3%	249	-1.67	2.73	373	78
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.16	23.1%	9.1%	200	-1.68	3.51	223	77
Luis Aguilar R 2023 · 4.45 FIP	19	SW	4.45	17.6%	10.3%	2.8%	.356	4.27	16.7%	6.7%	111	-0.18	3.51	146	77
Lisandro Almonte R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	20.4%	20.7%	2.8%	.274	3.81	20.7%	12.2%	15	-1.73	3.81	128	77
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	76
Wander Guante R 2021 · 4.74 FIP	21	SW	4.74	21.3%	13.1%	3.3%	.354	5.30	14.7%	3.1%	255	+0.56	3.83	372	76
Luis Rosario R 2018 · 4.68 FIP	21	SP-	4.68	17.5%	11.8%	2.8%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	2.46	206	76
Rodolfo Sanchez R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	23.0%	13.6%	3.3%	.264	4.83	19.9%	6.3%	104	+0.12	3.59	255	76
Juan Perez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	21	SW	5.39	15.4%	14.1%	3.3%	.321	4.52	10.8%	0.0%	56	-0.87	4.52	113	76
Luis Rujano R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	20	SW	4.68	17.1%	16.6%	1.7%	.309	4.74	17.4%	0.9%	149	+0.06	4.54	202	76
Joseph Hernandez R 2021 · 4.39 FIP	21	SW	4.39	24.7%	16.7%	2.3%	.348	4.92	18.1%	4.0%	190	+0.53	4.39	260	76
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	22.0%	13.2%	1.14	5.01
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22