Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Colorado | 13 | 5 | 37 | 161 | 34 | 15 | 6 | 38% | 2.8 | 14.4% | 11.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.65 | 5.22 | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Colorado | 13 | 5 | 37 | 161 | 34 | 15 | 6 | 38% | 2.8 | 21.1% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 3.7% | 5.65 | 4.60 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Colorado | 11 | 9 | 49 | 205 | 43 | 10 | 3 | 82% | 4.5 | 14.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 1.6% | 4.74 | 3.54 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Colorado | 11 | 9 | 49 | 205 | 43 | 10 | 3 | 82% | 4.5 | 21.0% | 4.9% | 16.1% | 1.5% | 4.74 | 2.76 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 15 | 1 | 24 | 114 | 19 | 13 | 2 | 7% | 1.6 | 11.3% | 14.3% | -2.9% | 2.3% | 5.92 | 5.19 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 15 | 1 | 24 | 114 | 19 | 13 | 2 | 7% | 1.6 | 16.7% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 5.92 | 4.21 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 16 | 0 | 20 | 91 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 12.7% | 19.2% | -6.5% | 4.9% | 3.54 | 7.16 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | ACL Rockies | 16 | 0 | 20 | 91 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 18.7% | 15.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.54 | 5.41 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | COL | 14 | 0 | 14 | 61 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 3.0% | 4.52 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | COL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | COL | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 4.30 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 3.92 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 3.92 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 55 | 15 | 131 | 571 | 77 | 65 | 16 | 27% | 2.4 | 13.5% | 11.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 5.03 | 4.92 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 84 | 23 | 200 | 874 | 118 | 99 | 24 | 27% | 2.4 | 13.5% | 11.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 5.03 | 4.92 | +1.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Luis Tejeda (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.52 | 22.2% | 9.9% | 3.0% | — | 4.30 | 23.2% | 14.1% | 20 | -0.22 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zurak R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 89 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 84 |
| Luis Romero R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 83 |
| Jake Elliott R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.82 | 19.2% | 7.1% | 2.6% | .353 | 3.81 | 18.1% | 10.0% | 202 | -0.01 | 3.10 | 354 | 82 |
| Austin Hutchison R 2027 · 4.05 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.05 | 19.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | .340 | 5.20 | 18.7% | 9.2% | 213 | +1.15 | 3.60 | 235 | 82 |
| Michael Gomez R 2027 · 3.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.38 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .283 | 3.78 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 286 | 81 |
| Addison Russ R 2027 · 3.90 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.90 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .324 | 3.02 | 25.6% | 17.5% | 121 | -0.88 | 2.96 | 194 | 81 |
| Chris Gau R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.76 | 20.0% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .290 | 3.23 | 29.5% | 23.5% | 37 | -1.53 | 2.88 | 211 | 81 |
| Huei-Sheng Lin R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.59 | 17.4% | 7.4% | 3.7% | .360 | 5.41 | 16.1% | 3.7% | 88 | +0.82 | 4.59 | 120 | 80 |
| Brendan Collins R 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 80 |
| Daniel Bies R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.96 | 24.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .339 | 3.22 | 20.3% | 11.0% | 89 | -0.74 | 3.22 | 115 | 80 |
| Brandon Beckel R 2027 · 3.66 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.66 | 19.4% | 10.3% | 1.6% | .250 | 4.18 | 18.8% | 10.2% | 119 | +0.52 | 3.66 | 166 | 80 |
| Zac Ryan R 2028 · 3.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.74 | 20.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .233 | 3.92 | 21.6% | 6.9% | 124 | +0.18 | 3.74 | 184 | 80 |
| Breidy Encarnación R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.48 | 21.8% | 9.4% | 1.9% | .222 | 3.47 | 23.0% | 11.0% | 67 | -0.01 | 3.10 | 164 | 80 |
| Inohan Paniagua R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.78 | 23.3% | 10.8% | 2.3% | .298 | 4.27 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 297 | +0.49 | 3.78 | 473 | 79 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 79 |
| Sandy Lugo R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.86 | 20.7% | 9.5% | 2.4% | .352 | 3.94 | 23.6% | 12.5% | 119 | +0.08 | 3.28 | 146 | 79 |
| Cole Stapler R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.83 | 19.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | .266 | 3.29 | 18.1% | 13.2% | 220 | -0.54 | 3.28 | 255 | 79 |
| Justin Lasko R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.72 | 17.1% | 8.6% | 1.8% | .286 | 4.78 | 15.8% | 8.1% | 152 | +1.06 | 3.72 | 173 | 79 |
| Danny Dopico R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.87 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .333 | 3.98 | 22.8% | 8.1% | 173 | +0.11 | 3.00 | 318 | 79 |