Luis Tejeda — OGILVIE

Luis Tejeda P ACL Rockies

Age 21 RHP 6'2" / 170 lbs ROK

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.32

FIP5.32

K%18.8%

BB%14.0%

K-BB%4.9%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	13	5	37	161	34	15	6	38%	2.8	14.4%	11.6%	2.7%	4.1%	5.65	5.62	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	13	5	37	161	34	15	6	38%	2.8	21.1%	9.3%	11.8%	3.7%	5.65	4.60	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	11	9	49	205	43	10	3	82%	4.5	14.3%	6.1%	8.2%	1.8%	4.74	3.65	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	11	9	49	205	43	10	3	82%	4.5	14.3%	6.1%	8.2%	1.8%	4.74	3.65	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	11	9	49	205	43	10	3	82%	4.5	21.0%	4.9%	16.1%	1.5%	4.74	2.76	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	15	1	24	114	19	13	2	7%	1.6	11.3%	14.3%	-2.9%	2.4%	5.92	5.24	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	15	1	24	114	19	13	2	7%	1.6	11.3%	14.3%	-2.9%	2.4%	5.92	5.24	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	15	1	24	114	19	13	2	7%	1.6	16.7%	11.4%	5.3%	1.8%	5.92	4.21	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	16	0	20	91	17	14	3	0%	1.3	12.7%	19.2%	-6.5%	4.8%	3.54	7.07	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	16	0	20	91	17	14	3	0%	1.3	12.7%	19.2%	-6.5%	4.8%	3.54	7.07	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	16	0	20	91	17	14	3	0%	1.3	18.7%	15.4%	3.3%	3.3%	3.54	5.41	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	21	MLB	COL	1	0	1	4	1	1	0	0%	1.0	18.8%	14.0%	4.9%	3.0%	5.32	5.32	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	COL	22	0	23	97	20	12	3	0%	1.0	20.5%	12.2%	8.3%	3.0%	5.04	4.92	-0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	COL	10	0	11	46	10	6	1	0%	1.1	20.5%	12.2%	8.3%	3.0%	5.04	4.92	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	11	48	10	6	1	0%	1.0	20.5%	12.2%	8.3%	3.0%	5.04	4.54	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	177	106	18	0%	1.1	20.5%	12.2%	8.3%	3.0%	5.04	4.54	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		55	15	131	571	77	65	17	27%	2.4	13.5%	11.4%	2.1%	3.0%	5.03	5.07	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		84	23	200	874	118	99	26	27%	2.4	13.5%	11.4%	2.1%	3.0%	5.03	5.07	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Luis Tejeda (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.32	18.8%	14.0%	3.0%	—	4.92	20.5%	8.3%	23	-0.40	—	—	—
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	89
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	85
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	85
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	84
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	399	84
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	83
Brandon Komar R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	17.7%	11.6%	3.1%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.16	3.01	538	83
Matthew Swain R 2019 · 4.37 FIP	21	SW	4.37	15.9%	13.9%	1.6%	.362	5.19	20.6%	7.5%	115	+0.82	4.37	175	82
Justin Kelly R 2021 · 5.93 FIP	22	SU	5.93	15.5%	14.3%	4.2%	.259	4.93	15.4%	6.8%	149	-1.00	3.17	196	82
Rolddy Muñoz R 2021 · 4.32 FIP	21	SU	4.32	21.4%	13.7%	2.4%	.342	3.54	21.1%	9.8%	149	-0.78	3.18	287	82
Miguel Guerrero R 2021 · 5.00 FIP	21	SU	5.00	16.4%	12.9%	3.0%	.349	4.96	17.5%	5.4%	115	-0.04	4.56	171	82
Joel Garcia R 2023 · 4.26 FIP	19	SW	4.26	18.4%	13.0%	1.9%	.341	3.88	16.7%	9.5%	72	-0.38	3.02	104	81
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.76	23.1%	12.3%	156	-0.79	3.23	254	81
Francisco Moreno R 2016 · 4.36 FIP	21	SU	4.36	14.9%	11.5%	1.9%	.297	6.32	9.9%	-2.0%	84	+1.96	3.88	162	81
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	81
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	81
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	81
Cre Finfrock R 2018 · 4.27 FIP	22	SW	4.27	17.9%	16.5%	1.1%	.286	4.63	23.0%	11.3%	38	+0.36	4.27	103	81
Luis F. Castillo R 2016 · 4.51 FIP	21	SU	4.51	16.7%	10.5%	2.7%	.337	3.50	19.7%	12.3%	96	-1.01	2.95	254	81
Josnier Parra R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	21	SU	4.56	15.9%	9.8%	2.9%	.319	5.01	12.1%	2.9%	118	+0.45	3.76	150	80