Ovis Portes
P
Dayton Dragons
Age 21
RHP
6'4" / 167 lbs
A+
peak 0.6 · 2029
2026 ROS PROJECTION66 act + 42 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 159149vR 140
ERA6.25
FIP6.25
K%17.1%
BB%20.9%
K-BB%-3.8%
ROS IP42
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 108 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL BOS Red | 11 | 1 | 22 | 93 | 28 | 11 | 0 | 9% | 2.0 | 20.5% | 14.8% | 5.7% | 0.0% | 1.21 | 3.24 | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL BOS Red | 11 | 1 | 22 | 93 | 28 | 11 | 0 | 9% | 2.0 | 30.1% | 11.8% | 18.3% | 0.0% | 1.21 | 2.07 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Red | 4 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 1.1 | 37.5% | 25.0% | 12.5% | 0.0% | 12.46 | 3.10 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Red | 4 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 1.1 | 37.5% | 25.0% | 12.5% | 0.0% | 12.46 | 3.10 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 7 | 39 | 176 | 50 | 29 | 0 | 47% | 2.6 | 19.4% | 22.7% | -3.3% | 0.0% | 3.69 | 4.34 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 15 | 7 | 39 | 176 | 50 | 29 | 0 | 47% | 2.6 | 28.4% | 16.5% | 11.9% | 0.0% | 3.69 | 2.77 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 23 | 15 | 61 | 287 | 67 | 49 | 6 | 65% | 2.7 | 17.3% | 20.1% | -2.9% | 2.6% | 5.87 | 5.59 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 23 | 15 | 61 | 287 | 67 | 49 | 6 | 65% | 2.7 | 23.3% | 17.1% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 5.87 | 4.58 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 17 | 16 | 66 | 312 | 83 | 39 | 8 | 94% | 3.9 | 20.2% | 14.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 7.13 | 5.01 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | CIN | 9 | 9 | 42 | 177 | 30 | 37 | 5 | 100% | 4.7 | 17.1% | 20.9% | -3.8% | 2.8% | 6.25 | 6.25 | -0.8 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17.1% | 20.9% | -3.8% | 2.8% | 6.25 | 6.25 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 108 | 489 | 113 | 76 | 13 | — | — | 23.2% | 15.5% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 6.78 | 5.49 | -0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 21 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 17.1% | 20.9% | -3.8% | 2.8% | 6.25 | 5.87 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | CIN | 9 | 9 | 44 | 186 | 35 | 33 | 5 | 100% | 4.9 | 18.7% | 17.8% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 5.84 | 5.70 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | CIN | 9 | 9 | 46 | 193 | 38 | 31 | 5 | 100% | 5.1 | 19.8% | 15.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.50 | 5.34 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | CIN | 8 | 8 | 47 | 198 | 41 | 29 | 5 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.5% | 14.6% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 5.25 | 5.11 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | CIN | 8 | 8 | 48 | 201 | 42 | 28 | 6 | 100% | 5.9 | 20.9% | 13.8% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 5.07 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 8 | 8 | 48 | 201 | 42 | 28 | 6 | 100% | 5.9 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 4.99 | 4.94 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 8 | 8 | 47 | 198 | 42 | 27 | 6 | 100% | 5.8 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 4.98 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 8 | 8 | 45 | 192 | 40 | 27 | 6 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.0% | 14.0% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 5.03 | 5.07 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | CIN | 4 | 4 | 22 | 93 | 17 | 17 | 3 | 100% | 5.5 | 18.7% | 17.8% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 5.84 | 5.70 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | CIN | 6 | 6 | 33 | 139 | 28 | 22 | 4 | 100% | 5.5 | 19.8% | 15.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.50 | 5.34 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | CIN | 7 | 7 | 39 | 165 | 34 | 24 | 5 | 100% | 5.6 | 20.5% | 14.6% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 5.25 | 5.11 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | CIN | 7 | 7 | 42 | 177 | 37 | 24 | 5 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.9% | 13.8% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 5.07 | 4.97 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 7 | 7 | 43 | 182 | 38 | 25 | 5 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 4.99 | 4.94 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 7 | 7 | 43 | 182 | 38 | 25 | 5 | 100% | 6.1 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 4.98 | 4.98 | -0.2 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 7 | 7 | 42 | 177 | 37 | 25 | 5 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.0% | 14.0% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 5.03 | 5.07 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 46 | 46 | 266 | 1121 | 231 | 163 | 31 | 100% | 5.8 | 20.6% | 14.5% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 5.18 | 4.73 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 35 | 200 | 844 | 174 | 123 | 23 | 100% | 5.7 | 20.6% | 14.5% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 5.18 | 4.73 | +1.6 | ||
| Career | — | 70 | 43 | 193 | 892 | 175 | 163 | 17 | 61% | 2.8 | 19.6% | 18.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 5.47 | 4.83 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 73 | 45 | 200 | 926 | 181 | 169 | 18 | 61% | 2.8 | 19.6% | 18.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 5.47 | 4.83 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ovis Portes (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.25 | 17.1% | 20.9% | 2.8% | — | 5.38 | 19.7% | 3.6% | 137 | -0.87 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Larsen R 2026 · 5.50 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.50 | 15.8% | 17.9% | 2.7% | .274 | 5.00 | 20.2% | 6.7% | 77 | -0.50 | 4.71 | 137 | 92 |
| Jackson Fristoe R 2027 · 5.78 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.78 | 17.0% | 24.2% | 1.9% | .258 | 6.42 | 15.6% | -2.0% | 110 | +0.64 | 4.79 | 138 | 87 |
| Chris Viall R 2025 · 5.86 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.86 | 18.9% | 21.9% | 2.9% | .314 | 5.11 | 21.3% | 5.8% | 88 | -0.75 | 4.97 | 108 | 85 |
| Chad Bryant R 2026 · 6.04 FIP | 21 | SP- | 6.04 | 14.8% | 20.7% | 2.9% | .337 | 5.67 | 16.0% | -3.4% | 81 | -0.37 | 3.93 | 136 | 85 |
| Orlando Suarez R 2024 · 6.57 FIP | 19 | SP- | 6.57 | 15.5% | 23.2% | 3.4% | .309 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 113 | 84 |
| Wilian Bormie R 2027 · 5.64 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.64 | 21.6% | 20.4% | 3.2% | .275 | 4.00 | 23.3% | 9.2% | 184 | -1.64 | 3.21 | 207 | 83 |
| Marco Jimenez R 2027 · 5.16 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.16 | 19.6% | 17.7% | 2.7% | .372 | 4.06 | 18.3% | 6.7% | 148 | -1.10 | 3.36 | 183 | 83 |
| Luis Mora R 2026 · 5.78 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.78 | 16.3% | 15.4% | 3.8% | .303 | 5.55 | 23.9% | 1.2% | 43 | -0.23 | 3.95 | 119 | 82 |
| Marwys Cabrera R 2025 · 5.42 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.42 | 13.5% | 18.4% | 2.1% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 131 | 81 |
| Ryan Degges R 2027 · 5.50 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.50 | 15.1% | 16.7% | 2.8% | .296 | 6.74 | 21.2% | 5.9% | 21 | +1.24 | 5.50 | 102 | 81 |
| Hunter Parks R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.41 | 18.7% | 16.8% | 3.2% | .312 | 5.36 | 17.8% | -0.6% | 163 | -0.05 | 3.51 | 278 | 81 |
| Lisandro Almonte R 2026 · 5.69 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.69 | 20.4% | 20.7% | 3.1% | .274 | 3.92 | 20.7% | 12.2% | 15 | -1.77 | 3.92 | 128 | 81 |
| Justin Militello R 2026 · 5.11 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.11 | 16.5% | 17.9% | 2.1% | .284 | 6.03 | 13.5% | -5.2% | 25 | +0.92 | 5.11 | 100 | 81 |
| Angel Rivero R 2024 · 5.06 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.06 | 19.9% | 16.7% | 2.8% | .325 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.60 | 105 | 80 |
| Kevin Gowdy R 2026 · 5.62 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.62 | 11.1% | 17.0% | 2.4% | .321 | 5.82 | 16.3% | 6.0% | 130 | +0.20 | 3.31 | 333 | 80 |
| Trey Riley R 2026 · 6.03 FIP | 21 | SP- | 6.03 | 10.6% | 19.0% | 2.6% | .344 | 6.14 | 17.4% | 5.2% | 74 | +0.11 | 4.48 | 227 | 80 |
| Mason McGwire R 2025 · 6.65 FIP | 20 | SP- | 6.65 | 11.7% | 21.2% | 3.4% | .298 | 3.50 | 23.5% | 12.6% | 52 | -3.15 | 3.50 | 128 | 79 |
| Felix Cepeda R 2026 · 6.04 FIP | 21 | SP | 6.04 | 17.0% | 21.6% | 3.0% | .276 | 4.84 | 17.6% | 0.9% | 144 | -1.20 | 3.61 | 204 | 79 |
| Fernando Baez R 2028 · 6.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 6.58 | 18.6% | 18.8% | 4.9% | .322 | 4.51 | 26.9% | 7.8% | 94 | -2.07 | 3.43 | 129 | 79 |
| Jacob Cravey R 2027 · 5.20 FIP | 22 | SP- | 5.20 | 14.4% | 18.0% | 1.9% | .333 | 5.70 | 14.6% | 0.7% | 120 | +0.50 | 5.13 | 204 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 8 | 46 | 20.1% | 15.5% | 1.08 | 5.35 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Jake Diekman ('24) | 9 | 51 | 28.6% | 13.8% | 0.91 | 4.07 |
| Greg Holland ('21) | 6 | 45 | 25.4% | 12.3% | 0.87 | 4.03 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |