Kendeglys Virguez P Lake County Captains
Age 22 RHP 6'3" / 200 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION25 act + 90 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 105
ERA4.59
FIP4.59
K%23.9%
BB%11.8%
K-BB%12.2%
ROS IP90
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 115 IP
K: +1.4 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+1KBB: -1.9 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-2BBCONTACT: -1.0 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +15.6 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+16STAMTotal WAR: +1.48 (115 IP)+1.5WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4555
CMD3040
K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202218ROKDSL CLE Red17022115301920%1.317.7%20.7%-2.9%1.8%8.065.19
202218ROKDSL CLE Red17022115301920%1.326.1%16.5%9.6%1.7%8.064.13
202319ROKACL Guardians117391894028464%3.514.4%18.5%-4.1%1.7%7.685.19
202319ROKACL Guardians117391894028464%3.521.2%14.8%6.3%2.1%7.684.55
202420MIX2 levels25040169541540%1.622.5%10.8%11.8%3.7%3.574.58
202420MIX2 levels25040169541540%1.632.0%8.9%23.1%2.4%3.572.83
202521ROKACL Guardians7083813600%1.134.2%15.8%18.4%0.0%5.872.21
202521ROKACL Guardians7083813600%1.134.2%15.8%18.4%0.0%5.872.06
▸ 2026 Season
202622A+Lake County Captains22025111371310%1.125.7%13.5%12.2%1.1%4.743.26+0.4
ROS22MLBCLE860903809145110%1.023.9%11.8%12.2%3.0%4.594.59+0.6
ROS22MLBCLE023.9%11.8%12.2%3.0%4.594.59
2026 TOT22MLBCLE115491128581226.0%11.7%14.3%2.5%4.624.30+1.5
2026 FULL22MLBCLE0200023.9%11.8%12.2%3.0%4.594.21+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723MLBCLE890933949643120%1.024.5%10.8%13.7%3.0%4.464.40+0.9
202824MLBCLE9109640410041120%1.124.9%10.2%14.6%2.9%4.354.29+1.1
202925MLBCLE9209740910341120%1.125.1%10.0%15.1%2.9%4.274.22+1.3
203026MLBCLE9209740910340120%1.125.2%9.9%15.4%2.9%4.234.20+1.3
203127MLBCLE9109540310240120%1.025.2%9.9%15.3%3.0%4.244.24+1.2
203228MLBCLE880923919839120%1.125.1%10.1%15.0%3.1%4.294.32+1.0
202723MLBCLE44046194482160%1.024.5%10.8%13.7%3.0%4.464.40+0.1
202824MLBCLE64067283702980%1.024.9%10.2%14.6%2.9%4.354.29+0.3
202925MLBCLE750793348433100%1.125.1%10.0%15.1%2.9%4.274.22+0.7
203026MLBCLE810853599135100%1.025.2%9.9%15.4%2.9%4.234.20+0.9
203127MLBCLE820863639236110%1.025.2%9.9%15.3%3.0%4.244.24+0.9
203228MLBCLE810853599036110%1.025.1%10.1%15.0%3.1%4.294.32+0.8
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career42704481893474191560%1.025.0%10.1%14.9%3.0%4.293.89+7.9
/ 200 IP190020084421185250%1.125.0%10.1%14.9%3.0%4.293.89+3.5
Career82713462212798139%1.620.4%15.7%4.7%2.1%5.864.50+1.4
/ 200 IP12310200931190146199%1.620.4%15.7%4.7%2.1%5.864.50+2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Kendeglys Virguez (OGILVIE) 4.59 23.9%11.8%3.0% 4.30 24.8%14.5%286 -0.29
Alex Cook R 2026 · 3.93 FIP 22 SU 3.93 26.1%10.8%3.0%.266 3.69 22.1%13.7%83 -0.24 3.04 149 87
David Garner R 2026 · 3.94 FIP 22 SU 3.94 21.7%10.0%2.6%.282 4.65 19.8%5.2%98 +0.71 3.94 154 86
Shane Broyles R 2027 · 3.90 FIP 23 SU 3.90 21.9%11.5%2.2%.338 3.59 25.7%14.5%159 -0.31 3.10 218 85
Aaron Holiday R 2026 · 4.96 FIP 22 SU 4.96 21.9%11.3%4.2%.310 5.37 19.7%-3.3%59 +0.41 4.77 126 85
Todd Van Steensel R 2028 · 3.69 FIP 24 SU 3.69 22.5%11.6%1.9%.294 3.33 19.3%6.5%157 -0.36 2.87 223 85
Tyler Vogel R 2026 · 5.21 FIP 22 SU 5.21 23.4%14.3%4.2%.305 4.40 19.5%6.5%116 -0.81 3.83 182 84
Carlos Espinosa R 2026 · 4.44 FIP 22 SU 4.44 22.8%13.2%2.9%.331 4.60 23.0%11.3%103 +0.16 3.69 247 84
Matt Frawley R 2026 · 4.21 FIP 22 SU 4.21 19.5%10.0%2.7%.310 2.27 139 84
Johnny Barbato R 2027 · 3.52 FIP 23 SU 3.52 21.3%9.4%1.9%.284 4.50 21.6%11.4%167 +0.98 2.65 304 84
Jackson Kelley R 2027 · 3.84 FIP 23 SU 3.84 26.5%13.1%2.4%.313 3.92 21.1%9.9%138 +0.08 3.80 190 84
William Kempner R 2026 · 3.94 FIP 22 SU 3.94 21.5%12.2%2.0%.277 3.32 29.2%14.5%112 -0.62 3.29 173 84
Chay Yeager R 2026 · 4.47 FIP 22 SU 4.47 22.8%10.3%3.6%.237 4.47 110 84
Austin Ross R 2028 · 4.51 FIP 24 SU 4.51 20.7%9.6%3.5%.281 4.91 21.2%5.7%55 +0.40 4.51 121 83
Jacob Wallace R 2026 · 4.50 FIP 22 SU 4.50 26.6%13.1%3.6%.316 4.85 23.8%7.0%167 +0.35 4.00 271 83
Tanner Jacobson R 2027 · 4.08 FIP 23 SU 4.08 22.8%13.8%2.1%.313 4.97 21.1%5.4%115 +0.89 4.08 168 83
Tyler Mitzel R 2027 · 4.21 FIP 23 SU 4.21 24.1%12.0%3.0%.245 4.19 22.4%14.3%96 -0.02 3.95 142 83
Austin Smith R 2027 · 4.00 FIP 23 SU 4.00 22.7%10.0%2.8%.274 5.05 16.3%0.7%52 +1.05 4.00 134 83
Matt Keating R 2026 · 4.24 FIP 22 SU 4.24 23.3%14.8%2.3%.346 4.58 23.0%9.0%142 +0.34 3.39 208 83
Lucas Wepf R 2027 · 3.68 FIP 23 SU 3.68 27.6%10.7%2.8%.323 3.88 26.5%15.2%118 +0.20 2.90 176 82
Barrett Loseke R 2028 · 4.58 FIP 24 SU 4.58 26.2%12.8%3.8%.282 4.62 22.3%11.4%86 +0.04 4.36 152 82

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION79424.8%10.4%1.154.34
Patrick Sandoval ('24)68922.7%10.1%0.924.01
Zack Godley ('20)69422.1%9.5%1.134.86
Mike Clevinger ('23)711324.8%8.7%1.073.45
Jimmy Nelson ('21)511722.2%9.1%0.974.08
James Paxton ('24)810625.8%7.7%1.123.89
Nate Karns ('17)39624.2%9.3%1.224.24