Alex Cook — OGILVIE

Alex Cook P Durham Bulls

Age 25 RHP 6'2" / 220 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2027 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION46 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113104vR 96

ERA4.18

FIP4.18

K%23.2%

BB%8.6%

K-BB%14.6%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 48 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	66	261	91	24	7	0%	1.9	26.1%	10.8%	15.3%	3.2%	3.14	4.04	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	35	0	66	261	91	24	7	0%	1.9	26.1%	10.8%	15.3%	3.2%	3.14	4.04	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	35	0	66	261	91	24	7	0%	1.9	34.9%	9.2%	25.7%	2.7%	3.14	2.81	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	8	8	37	150	38	12	2	100%	4.7	19.5%	9.2%	10.3%	1.6%	1.69	3.52	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	8	8	37	150	38	12	2	100%	4.7	19.5%	9.2%	10.3%	1.6%	1.69	3.52	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	Bowling Green Hot Rods	8	8	37	150	38	12	2	100%	4.7	25.3%	8.0%	17.3%	1.3%	1.69	2.73	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	0	20	83	28	8	1	0%	1.2	24.7%	5.6%	19.1%	2.2%	2.66	2.93	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	0	20	83	28	8	1	0%	1.2	24.7%	5.6%	19.1%	2.2%	2.66	2.93	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	0	20	83	28	8	1	0%	1.2	33.7%	9.6%	24.1%	1.2%	2.66	2.17	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			2	0	4	17	2	2	1	0%	1.8	11.8%	11.8%	0.0%	5.9%	7.36	7.19	-0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	39	6	46	187	48	16	7	15%	1.2	22.5%	7.4%	15.0%	3.9%	4.86	4.27	—
YTD	25	MLB MLE	Tampa Bay Rays	39	6	46	187	48	16	7	15%	1.2	22.5%	7.4%	15.0%	3.9%	4.86	4.27	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	AAA RAW	TB	37	6	43	170	46	14	6	16%	1.2	27.1%	8.2%	18.8%	3.5%	4.64	3.80	—
2026	25	MLB RAW	TB	2	0	4	17	2	2	1	0%	1.9	11.8%	11.8%	0.0%	5.9%	7.36	6.83	—
SO FAR	25	MLB RAW	TB	2	0	4	17	2	2	1	0%	1.9	11.8%	11.8%	0.0%	5.9%	7.36	6.83	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	TB	1	0	1	6	1	1	0	0%	1.5	23.2%	8.6%	14.6%	2.9%	4.18	4.18	+0.0
ROS	25	MLB CTX	TB	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	23.2%	8.6%	14.6%	2.9%	4.18	4.18	+0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	TB	—	—	48	193	49	17	7	—	—	25.6%	8.6%	17.0%	3.7%	4.84	4.27	+0.2
FULL	25	MLB A+C	TB	—	—	5	22	49	17	7	—	—	227.9%	76.2%	151.7%	33.1%	44.99	11.67	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	TB	43	0	45	192	45	16	6	0%	1.1	23.4%	8.6%	14.8%	2.9%	4.18	4.18	+0.2
2028	27	MLB MLE	TB	43	0	45	189	44	16	6	0%	1.0	23.4%	8.7%	14.7%	2.9%	4.21	4.22	+0.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	TB	41	0	43	182	42	16	5	0%	1.0	23.4%	8.6%	14.8%	2.9%	4.18	4.18	+0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	TB	40	0	42	177	41	15	5	0%	1.1	23.4%	8.7%	14.7%	2.9%	4.21	4.22	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		85	0	91	385	88	34	12	0%	1.1	22.9%	8.8%	14.1%	3.0%	4.32	3.95	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		187	0	200	848	194	75	26	0%	1.1	22.9%	8.8%	14.1%	3.0%	4.32	3.95	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		99	14	170	681	160	60	20	14%	1.7	23.5%	8.9%	14.6%	2.9%	3.23	3.86	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		116	16	200	801	188	71	24	14%	1.7	23.5%	8.9%	14.6%	2.9%	3.23	3.86	+0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Alex Cook (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.18	23.2%	8.6%	2.9%	—	4.20	23.4%	14.7%	90	+0.02	—	—	—
Blake Goldsberry R 2022 · 3.43 FIP	25	SU	3.43	23.6%	8.3%	2.3%	.257	5.26	23.6%	12.0%	44	+1.83	3.43	117	87
Nolan Clenney R 2021 · 3.73 FIP	25	SU	3.73	25.5%	8.4%	3.1%	.340	4.36	22.2%	13.5%	185	+0.63	3.73	223	87
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	86
Mitchell Stumpo R 2021 · 3.97 FIP	25	SU	3.97	25.6%	8.0%	3.7%	.299	5.27	22.4%	6.8%	121	+1.30	3.97	158	85
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	84
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	84
Chris Jefferson R 2022 · 3.53 FIP	25	SU	3.53	22.4%	10.2%	1.9%	.330	4.99	16.5%	3.9%	101	+1.46	3.53	140	83
Neil Ramírez R 2015 · 3.21 FIP	26	SU	3.21	25.0%	10.0%	1.7%	.289	4.75	28.3%	17.6%	151	+1.54	3.21	220	82
Matt Carasiti R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	25	SU	3.68	22.2%	7.6%	2.7%	.313	3.36	23.4%	12.8%	93	-0.32	2.80	312	82
Austin Smith R 2022 · 3.88 FIP	23	SU	3.88	22.7%	10.0%	2.6%	.274	5.15	16.3%	0.7%	52	+1.27	3.88	148	81
Trey McLoughlin R 2023 · 3.79 FIP	24	SU	3.79	23.7%	8.4%	3.0%	.295	4.59	20.8%	8.4%	121	+0.80	3.77	244	81
Roman Mendez R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	25	SU	4.31	19.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.275	4.52	20.2%	10.4%	118	+0.21	4.12	230	81
Jonathan Brand R 2023 · 3.95 FIP	23	SU	3.95	22.7%	10.8%	2.5%	.236	4.79	19.7%	9.4%	160	+0.84	3.34	198	80
Jackson Hicks R 2023 · 3.90 FIP	25	SU	3.90	22.6%	10.5%	2.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	116	80
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	80
Joe Colón J R 2015 · 3.27 FIP	25	SU	3.27	19.4%	7.4%	1.6%	.312	4.07	20.7%	7.8%	65	+0.80	3.27	113	80
Matt Ramsey R 2017 · 3.25 FIP	27	SU	3.25	24.2%	9.6%	1.8%	.330	3.21	23.6%	14.6%	81	-0.04	2.42	125	80
Barrett Loseke R 2022 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	21.7%	10.1%	3.4%	.311	5.31	22.6%	11.3%	22	+0.89	4.42	152	80
Zac Leigh R 2023 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	28.1%	11.7%	3.0%	.282	4.58	19.9%	3.7%	131	+0.74	3.70	201	80
Danny Hrbek R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	24	SU	3.98	21.3%	7.5%	3.1%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	100	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.5	35	23.3%	8.6%	1.13	4.19
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68