Alex McCoy — OGILVIE

Alex McCoyOF Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 24 R/R 6'5" / 260 lbs A+ HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION535 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP302

ISO141

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT34

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED36

scouting grade only

DEFENSE42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	23	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	226	195	62	12	4	6	20	53	7	14	2	318	401	513	914	195	400	23	9	397	155	+15	+2	—	—	+5	2.2
2025	23	ROK	ACL Padres	—	21	18	5	3	0	1	0	7	3	0	1	278	381	611	992	333	400	33	0	431	178	+2	-0	—	—	+0	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	226	200	48	8	2	5	15	74	7	14	2	240	315	375	690	135	332	33	7	305	93	-2	+2	—	—	+5	0.5
2025	23	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	—	21	18	4	2	0	1	0	10	3	0	1	222	333	500	833	278	281	48	0	262	63	-1	-0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	247	218	51	10	2	6	15	84	10	14	3	234	313	381	693	147	341	34	6	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	247	213	67	15	4	7	20	60	10	14	3	315	399	521	920	207	400	24	8	400	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	247	220	51	10	2	6	15	84	10	14	3	232	313	377	690	145	328	34	6	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	247	220	51	10	2	6	15	84	10	14	3	232	313	377	690	145	328	34	6	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	A+ MLE	SD	—	535	484	109	24	1	15	35	185	10	24	9	225	291	372	663	147	324	35	7	287	80	-13	+1	+0	-3	+12	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A+ RAW	SD	—	427	370	99	27	1	15	42	111	10	21	6	268	358	468	825	200	337	26	10	363	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AA RAW	SD	—	108	99	32	4	0	4	8	29	0	3	3	323	374	485	859	162	418	27	7	377	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	A+ MLE	SD	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		305	30	10	288	81	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	24	A+ MLE	SD	—	545	493	110	24	1	15	36	188	10	24	9	223	289	367	657	144	321	34	7	287	80	-13	+1	-0	-3	+12	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	SD	22%	331	300	66	14	1	10	22	107	6	7	3	220	287	373	660	153	304	32	7	297	87	-5	+0	-1	-2	+7	-0.1
2028	26	MLB MLE	SD	35%	609	552	125	26	2	20	42	192	10	11	4	226	293	389	683	163	303	32	7	304	92	-6	+1	-3	-4	+13	0.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	SD	40%	627	566	129	27	2	21	45	195	11	10	4	228	297	394	691	166	303	31	7	305	93	-5	+0	-3	-4	+14	0.2
2030	28	MLB MLE	SD	44%	627	566	128	26	2	21	46	194	10	9	3	226	296	390	686	164	302	31	7	305	93	-6	+1	-3	-4	+14	0.1
2031	29	MLB MLE	SD	45%	622	561	126	26	2	20	46	194	10	8	3	225	295	385	680	160	301	31	7	303	91	-7	+0	-4	-4	+13	-0.1
2032	30	MLB MLE	SD	45%	614	554	124	25	2	20	45	193	10	7	2	224	294	384	678	161	299	31	7	300	89	-8	+1	-5	-4	+13	-0.2
2033	31	MLB MLE	SD	45%	387	350	77	16	1	12	28	123	6	4	1	220	289	374	663	154	297	32	7	296	87	-6	+0	-5	-2	+8	-0.4
2027	25	MLB CTX	SD	22%	73	67	14	3	0	2	5	24	1	2	1	209	274	343	617	134	301	33	7	284	87	-1	+0	-0	-0	+2	-0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	SD	35%	211	190	43	9	1	7	15	66	4	4	1	226	297	395	691	168	300	31	7	291	92	-2	+0	-1	-1	+5	0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	SD	40%	252	228	52	10	1	9	18	78	4	4	1	228	296	399	695	171	299	31	7	293	93	-2	+0	-1	-2	+5	0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	SD	44%	274	247	55	11	1	9	20	85	5	4	1	223	294	385	679	162	298	31	7	292	93	-2	+0	-2	-2	+6	0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	SD	45%	277	250	56	11	1	9	20	86	5	4	1	224	295	384	679	160	297	31	7	290	91	-3	+0	-2	-2	+6	-0.0
2032	30	MLB CTX	SD	45%	277	250	55	11	1	9	20	87	5	3	1	220	291	380	671	160	296	31	7	287	89	-4	+0	-2	-2	+6	-0.1
2033	31	MLB CTX	SD	45%	176	158	35	7	0	6	13	56	3	2	1	222	293	380	673	158	294	32	7	284	87	-3	+0	-2	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1540	1390	310	62	5	51	111	482	27	23	7	223	293	385	678	162	300	31	7	290	91	-17	+2	-10	-9	+33	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	131	26	2	22	47	203	11	10	3	223	293	387	680	164	299	31	7	290	91	-7	+1	-4	-4	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4074	3676	827	170	14	130	290	1285	73	70	23	225	295	385	680	160	305	32	7	302	91	-42	+3	-24	-23	+83	-0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	132	27	2	21	46	205	12	11	4	225	295	386	681	160	305	32	7	302	91	-7	+1	-4	-4	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.3	1,540	50	22	226	292	387	-9	-9	1.8	1.8
/162	664	22	10	-4.0	-4.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Dayan Viciedolast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,798 PA	2.7	1,798	66	2	254	298	424	-18	-29	0.3	0.3
/162	664	24	1	-6.6	-10.7	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	3.5	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
/162	664	21	5	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alex McCoy (OGILVIE)	24	20→34	55→60	30→36	40	214/281/357	142	305	7	9	33%	6%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyreque Reed 2021 · A	24	41→37	48→50	42→40	41	210/275/353	143	294	16	5	33%	7%	77	-0.3	212/281/360	148	321	18	5	37%	8%	81	-0.1	197/271/349	151	297	20	3	39%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Jabari Henry 2015 · A	24	42→41	52→55	41→45	49	219/300/392	173	278	20	6	28%	9%	95	+1.0	189/263/334	145	262	17	6	33%	8%	69	-0.9	155/230/286	130	214	16	5	35%	8%	42	-1.8
✕Eric Haase 2017 · AA	24	35→42	49→60	41→40	35	187/241/337	151	281	16	3	39%	6%	61	-1.5	195/250/367	172	282	22	4	38%	6%	71	-0.8	217/276/424	207	286	30	2	35%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Drew Ellis 2019 · A	23	40→37	47→55	37→40	45	205/268/342	138	254	15	4	26%	7%	72	-0.7	205/283/350	145	268	16	3	28%	9%	80	-0.2	183/280/352	170	235	19	4	30%	10%	78	-0.2
✕Tom Murphy 2015 · AA	24	40→38	50→65	43→45	41	208/274/365	156	287	18	5	33%	7%	80	-0.2	208/255/373	165	298	19	5	36%	5%	74	-0.5	247/319/462	215	314	30	2	30%	9%	117	+1.1
✕Aristides Aquino 2019 · AA	25	36→41	49→60	45→50	37	197/242/346	149	259	17	7	32%	5%	63	-1.4	221/283/428	207	273	30	10	31%	7%	98	+1.2	212/278/428	216	266	32	9	33%	7%	91	+0.4
✕Mike Bianucci 2011 · A	25	40	52→60	41→40	36	215/259/377	162	280	21	4	32%	5%	76	-0.4	213/259/369	156	270	20	4	29%	4%	74	-0.5	226/265/420	194	260	28	2	25%	4%	87	+0.2
✕Nick Akins 2012 · A	24	38	52→55	42→45	40	202/267/365	162	274	20	3	33%	7%	77	-0.3	204/264/329	125	273	14	8	30%	6%	67	-1.1	187/246/300	114	240	14	11	28%	6%	53	-1.2
✕Devin Mann 2021 · A	24	44	49→50	44→45	46	222/291/369	146	287	17	7	28%	8%	86	+0.3	215/294/365	150	282	16	5	28%	8%	87	+0.4	210/294/364	154	277	16	4	29%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Jamie Romak 2010 · AA	24	35→45	48→55	38→45	38	186/248/325	140	264	16	2	36%	6%	61	-1.5	214/273/345	131	271	15	5	26%	6%	74	-0.5	207/263/389	182	276	22	5	33%	6%	78	-0.2
✕Curtis Terry 2021 · A	24	43→40	50→55	43→30	38	221/276/373	153	292	17	3	30%	5%	82	+0.0	220/283/375	155	269	17	4	25%	6%	85	+0.2	212/279/372	160	253	18	2	24%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Travis Vetters 2008 · A	24	42	51→65	45	35	219/271/385	166	297	19	5	32%	4%	83	+0.1	225/277/351	126	317	11	6	31%	5%	76	-0.4	227/278/345	119	321	10	5	31%	5%	73	-0.2
✕Anthony García 2015 · A	23	37→47	49→55	42→45	41	196/260/343	147	251	16	5	29%	6%	69	-0.9	217/283/346	129	265	13	7	23%	7%	78	-0.3	219/290/359	140	265	17	4	24%	7%	83	+0.0
✕Kyle Martin 2009 · A	24	42	49→55	45	40	220/264/370	149	273	17	5	26%	5%	76	-0.4	205/259/310	105	271	9	7	27%	6%	61	-1.5	147/207/208	61	195	3	6	25%	5%	18	-1.2
✕Justin Nelson 2007 · A	24	39→41	51→55	44→45	42	205/273/373	168	284	18	7	34%	8%	81	-0.1	220/291/395	175	314	20	5	34%	8%	93	+0.8	221/298/410	189	309	24	2	34%	9%	98	+0.7
✕Alex Call 2019 · AA	24	40→48	43→50	43→50	43	199/264/312	113	275	10	7	30%	7%	63	-1.3	200/260/315	115	273	11	9	29%	7%	62	-1.4	238/341/359	122	289	11	12	20%	12%	103	+0.8
●Kody Hinze 2011 · A	24	42→47	46→50	38→30	43	210/278/335	125	296	13	2	32%	8%	74	-0.6	223/293/374	151	297	20	3	30%	9%	88	+0.5	219/295/379	160	278	23	1	29%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Joe DeCarlo 2018 · A	24	37→38	48→50	43→30	43	192/276/329	137	274	16	3	35%	8%	73	-0.6	198/269/315	117	285	12	3	33%	7%	66	-1.1	175/243/264	89	253	10	0	33%	7%	42	-1.0
✕Johermyn Chavez 2013 · AA	24	41→47	47→50	38→45	43	210/276/344	134	272	15	5	28%	7%	75	-0.5	211/276/320	109	290	11	6	30%	6%	70	-0.9	201/264/288	86	283	12	0	32%	5%	57	-0.4
✕Bobby Dalbec 2019 · AA	24	37→44	52→60	43→50	35	183/259/349	165	319	21	4	46%	8%	71	-0.8	210/285/406	196	291	26	5	36%	8%	93	+0.8	214/288/415	200	301	28	9	37%	8%	94	+0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps