Alex McCoy — OGILVIE

Alex McCoyOF Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 24 R/R 6'5" / 260 lbs A+ HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION336 act + 224 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .279 / .363

PA224

HR6

SB7

K%30

BB%6

BABIP288

ISO147

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT34

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED36

scouting grade only

DEFENSE42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-2	$5M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	23	A	2 teams	—	247	217	49	9	2	6	16	88	10	14	3	226	309	369	677	143	339	36	6	297	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A	2 teams	—	247	213	67	15	4	7	20	60	10	14	3	315	399	521	920	207	400	24	8	400	164	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	A+	SD	—	336	305	65	18	1	9	19	111	8	14	5	213	277	367	644	154	296	33	6	281	73	-10	+1	+0	-2	+10	-0.2
YTD	24	A+	SD	—	336	296	79	23	1	12	28	82	8	14	5	267	346	473	819	206	325	24	8	358	132	+12	+1	+0	-2	+10	2.1
ROS	24	A+	SD	0%	224	204	44	10	1	6	13	67	5	7	2	216	279	363	642	147	286	30	6	287	78	-6	+1	-1	-1	+6	-0.1
ROS	24	MLB	SD	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						282	0	0	268	63	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	A+	SD	—	337	306	65	18	1	9	19	111	8	14	5	212	276	366	642	154	295	33	6	281	73	-10	+1	-0	-2	+10	-0.2
TOT	24	A+	SD	—	560	509	109	28	2	15	32	178	13	21	7	214	278	365	643	151	293	32	6	284	75	-16	+1	-1	-3	+16	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	SD	22%	581	530	117	26	2	18	36	169	10	11	3	221	283	379	662	158	286	29	6	297	85	-10	+1	-3	-3	+16	0.2
2028	26	MLB	SD	35%	605	551	123	27	2	20	39	173	10	10	3	223	287	388	675	165	287	29	6	303	90	-7	+1	-3	-4	+17	0.5
2029	27	MLB	SD	40%	610	554	125	27	2	21	41	173	10	9	3	226	291	395	686	170	287	28	7	304	91	-6	+1	-3	-4	+17	0.6
2030	28	MLB	SD	44%	609	552	124	27	2	20	42	173	10	8	2	225	291	389	681	165	287	28	7	304	91	-6	+1	-3	-4	+17	0.5
2031	29	MLB	SD	45%	604	547	123	27	2	20	42	173	10	7	2	225	292	391	683	166	286	29	7	302	89	-7	+1	-4	-4	+17	0.3
2032	30	MLB	SD	45%	597	541	120	26	2	19	41	172	10	6	2	222	289	383	671	161	284	29	7	299	87	-9	+0	-5	-4	+17	0.0
2033	31	MLB	SD	45%	588	532	116	25	2	18	41	171	10	6	2	218	286	374	661	156	282	29	7	295	84	-11	+0	-5	-4	+17	-0.3
2027	25	MLB	SD	22%	128	117	26	6	1	4	8	37	2	2	1	222	283	393	677	171	282	29	6	279	72	-4	+0	-1	-1	+4	-0.2
2028	26	MLB	SD	35%	209	189	42	9	1	7	14	60	4	3	1	222	290	392	681	169	283	29	7	286	77	-5	+0	-1	-1	+6	-0.2
2029	27	MLB	SD	40%	245	223	50	11	1	8	16	70	4	3	1	224	288	390	678	166	283	29	7	287	78	-6	+0	-1	-1	+7	-0.2
2030	28	MLB	SD	44%	266	242	54	11	1	9	18	75	4	3	1	223	288	388	676	165	283	28	7	287	78	-7	+0	-1	-2	+8	-0.2
2031	29	MLB	SD	45%	269	244	55	12	1	9	19	77	4	3	1	225	292	393	686	168	282	29	7	285	76	-7	+0	-2	-2	+8	-0.3
2032	30	MLB	SD	45%	269	244	53	11	1	8	19	78	4	3	1	217	285	369	653	152	280	29	7	282	74	-8	+0	-2	-2	+8	-0.4
2033	31	MLB	SD	45%	267	243	52	11	1	8	18	78	4	3	1	214	279	366	646	152	278	29	7	279	71	-9	+0	-2	-2	+8	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1654	1503	332	71	7	53	112	475	26	20	7	221	286	383	670	162	284	29	7	284	75	-46	+1	-11	-10	+47	-1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	131	28	3	21	44	187	10	8	3	222	287	386	673	164	285	29	7	284	75	-18	+0	-4	-4	+18	-0.7
Career	—			—	4665	4228	941	204	17	148	311	1359	85	78	22	223	289	384	673	161	289	29	7	300	88	-65	+7	-27	-28	+132	1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	131	28	2	21	43	189	12	11	3	222	289	384	673	161	287	29	7	300	88	-9	+1	-4	-4	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	23	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	226	195	62	12	4	6	20	53	7	14	2	318	401	513	914	195	400	23	9	397	162	+16	+2	—	—	+6	2.5
2025	23	ROK	ACL Padres	—	21	18	5	3	0	1	0	7	3	0	1	278	381	611	992	333	400	33	0	431	188	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Eric Karroslast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,197 PA	5	2,197	73	13	255	317	418	-19	-17	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	22	4	255	317	418	-5.7	-5.2	1.2	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,655	54	21	224	287	390	-10	-9	1.4	1.4
	/162	664	22	9	224	287	390	-4.0	-3.8	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Dayan Viciedolast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,798 PA	5	1,798	66	2	254	298	424	-18	-29	0.3	0.3
	/162	664	24	1	254	298	424	-6.6	-10.7	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	6	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
	/162	664	21	5	238	305	421	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alex McCoy (OGILVIE)	24	20→34	55→60	30→36	40	214/278/365	151	293	15	21	32%	6%	75	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drew Ellis 2019 · A	23	40→37	47→55	37→40	46	206/268/342	136	253	15	4	25%	7%	68	-0.5	206/284/361	155	265	18	3	28%	9%	80	+0.4	187/284/370	183	237	21	4	30%	10%	81	+0.3
✕Jabari Henry 2015 · A	24	41→40	50→55	41→45	48	212/294/371	159	279	18	6	30%	10%	87	+0.8	189/265/341	152	271	19	6	35%	8%	67	-0.5	157/235/305	148	220	20	5	37%	8%	42	-1.4
✕Nick Akins 2012 · A	24	38	52→55	41→45	40	203/267/369	166	278	20	3	34%	7%	76	+0.0	204/263/328	124	275	14	8	30%	6%	62	-0.9	186/243/296	110	240	13	11	28%	6%	44	-1.2
✕Curtis Terry 2021 · A	24	42→43	48→55	43→30	38	214/271/355	142	286	15	3	30%	5%	72	-0.2	229/292/409	180	272	21	4	24%	6%	96	+1.5	226/292/418	193	258	24	2	23%	6%	95	+0.9
✕Anthony García 2015 · A	23	37→47	51→55	42→45	41	200/263/365	165	252	19	5	29%	6%	72	-0.2	218/284/352	134	268	14	7	24%	7%	77	+0.1	221/293/362	141	269	17	4	24%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Mark Fleisher 2008 · A	24	40	49→55	40→30	41	210/261/357	147	261	17	2	27%	6%	69	-0.4	225/272/378	153	290	17	4	28%	5%	79	+0.3	232/274/406	174	292	20	0	27%	4%	88	+0.5
✕Clint Coulter 2016 · A	23	41→42	48→50	41→40	44	211/285/360	149	263	15	5	26%	7%	80	+0.4	204/263/319	115	276	11	4	29%	5%	59	-1.1	202/269/353	151	245	18	4	25%	5%	68	-0.1
✕Mike Bianucci 2011 · A	25	40	52→65	41→40	35	212/255/372	160	281	21	4	32%	4%	70	-0.3	215/260/377	162	274	21	4	30%	4%	74	-0.1	237/281/440	203	274	29	2	26%	4%	96	+0.8
✕Devin Mann 2021 · A	24	44→46	49→55	44→45	46	222/293/372	149	287	17	7	28%	8%	86	+0.8	216/294/380	164	285	19	5	30%	8%	89	+1.0	213/296/385	172	282	20	4	30%	9%	89	+0.8
●Tom Murphy 2015 · AA	24	38→34	50→60	43→45	39	200/266/350	149	284	18	5	35%	7%	69	-0.4	197/244/350	153	293	18	5	38%	5%	59	-1.1	250/322/470	220	318	31	2	30%	9%	122	+1.4
✕Johermyn Chavez 2013 · AA	24	40→45	47→50	38→45	41	208/272/341	132	273	16	5	29%	6%	69	-0.4	215/278/329	114	296	12	6	30%	6%	69	-0.4	221/278/322	101	302	14	0	30%	4%	66	-0.1
✕Jacob Wilson 2014 · A	24	38→48	51→55	41→40	47	205/269/358	154	224	20	5	20%	7%	73	-0.1	205/263/336	131	253	14	5	25%	6%	64	-0.8	230/297/404	174	270	20	1	23%	7%	95	+0.8
✕Joe DeCarlo 2018 · A	24	36→37	49→55	43→30	42	191/274/336	146	272	18	3	35%	8%	70	-0.3	203/272/335	132	292	15	3	34%	7%	68	-0.5	180/245/285	105	260	12	0	34%	6%	40	-0.8
✕Tyreque Reed 2021 · A	24	41→35	47→50	42→40	41	205/272/338	133	293	14	5	34%	7%	69	-0.4	211/279/369	158	320	21	5	38%	8%	80	+0.4	195/267/360	165	291	24	3	40%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Kyle Martin 2009 · A	24	42	49→55	45	40	220/264/370	149	273	17	5	26%	5%	73	-0.1	205/259/310	105	271	9	7	27%	6%	56	-1.3	147/207/208	61	195	3	6	25%	5%	7	-1.2
✕Jacob Butler 2008 · A	25	40→41	50	38→30	45	209/279/362	153	275	18	3	31%	8%	78	+0.2	212/282/359	147	283	16	3	30%	8%	79	+0.3	195/269/343	148	257	17	0	30%	8%	65	-0.6
✕Aderlin Rodríguez 2016 · AA	24	41→47	47→60	41→30	37	212/247/350	138	270	15	3	28%	4%	61	-1.0	230/269/379	149	292	18	3	27%	4%	78	+0.2	238/283/427	188	288	25	1	27%	4%	94	+0.9
✕Jamie Romak 2010 · AA	24	34→44	49→55	38→45	38	186/248/329	143	266	17	2	36%	6%	56	-1.3	212/269/351	139	270	16	5	27%	6%	71	-0.3	216/274/355	139	264	17	5	25%	6%	71	-0.2
✕Justin Nelson 2007 · A	24	39→41	51→55	44→45	42	205/273/373	168	284	18	7	34%	8%	79	+0.3	220/291/401	181	316	22	5	35%	8%	93	+1.3	221/298/419	198	312	25	2	36%	9%	99	+1.0
✕Christian Villanueva 2015 · AAA	24	40→47	46→55	40→50	38	206/251/339	133	265	14	5	28%	4%	59	-1.1	216/266/367	151	254	18	4	23%	6%	73	-0.1	226/284/408	182	256	25	3	23%	6%	91	+0.9