Carlos Sanchez — OGILVIE

Carlos SanchezC Beloit Sky Carp

Age 21 S/R 5'9" / 175 lbs A+ HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION240 act + 22 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.150 / .227 / .200

PA22

HR0

K%32

BB%9

BABIP224

ISO50

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	174	151	37	5	1	4	18	32	1	6	1	245	329	371	700	126	277	18	10	311	97	-1	+1	—	—	+4	0.4
2023	18	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	149	128	28	3	0	1	18	21	0	1	1	219	315	266	581	47	248	14	12	270	69	-6	-0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2024	19	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	130	109	21	7	0	1	15	30	5	1	0	193	318	284	602	92	253	23	12	284	79	-3	+0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2025	20	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	204	177	46	7	2	2	27	50	0	1	1	260	358	356	714	96	352	25	13	328	108	+2	-0	—	—	+4	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	174	158	29	4	1	3	11	45	1	6	1	184	241	278	520	95	216	26	6	227	40	-12	+1	—	—	+4	-0.8
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	149	135	23	2	0	1	11	30	0	1	1	170	233	207	440	37	203	20	7	204	24	-13	-0	—	—	+3	-1.1
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	130	114	16	5	0	1	10	44	5	1	0	140	240	211	451	70	201	34	8	197	19	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-1.0
2025	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	204	184	37	6	2	2	20	70	0	1	1	201	279	288	567	87	309	34	10	249	55	-11	-0	—	—	+4	-0.7
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	174	158	29	4	1	3	11	45	1	6	1	184	241	278	520	95	228	26	6	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	—	174	151	37	5	1	4	18	32	1	6	1	245	329	371	700	126	277	18	10	311	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	149	135	23	2	0	1	11	30	0	1	1	170	233	207	440	37	206	20	7	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	—	149	128	28	3	0	1	18	21	0	1	1	219	315	266	581	47	248	14	12	270	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	130	114	16	5	0	1	10	44	5	1	0	140	240	211	451	70	214	34	8	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	—	130	109	21	7	0	1	15	30	5	1	0	193	318	284	602	92	253	23	12	284	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	204	184	37	6	2	2	20	70	0	1	1	201	279	288	567	87	312	34	10	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	204	177	46	7	2	2	27	50	0	1	1	260	358	356	714	96	352	25	13	328	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	174	160	29	4	1	3	11	45	1	6	1	181	241	275	516	94	216	26	6	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	149	137	23	2	0	1	11	30	0	1	1	168	233	204	437	36	203	20	7	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	130	114	16	5	0	1	10	44	5	1	0	140	240	211	451	70	201	34	8	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	204	182	37	6	2	2	20	70	0	1	1	203	279	291	571	88	309	34	10	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	149	137	23	2	0	1	11	30	0	1	1	168	233	204	437	36	203	20	7	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	130	114	16	5	0	1	10	44	5	1	0	140	240	211	451	70	201	34	8	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Jupiter Hammerheads	—	204	182	37	6	2	2	20	70	0	1	1	203	279	291	571	88	309	34	10	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ MLE	MIA	—	240	209	31	5	0	8	27	77	1	2	0	148	249	287	536	139	181	32	11	245	52	-14	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.4
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A RAW	MIA	—	102	82	19	2	0	5	19	16	1	1	0	232	382	439	821	207	230	16	19	371	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A+ RAW	MIA	—	138	116	18	4	0	5	19	40	0	1	0	155	274	319	593	164	176	29	14	268	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A+ MLE	MIA	0%	22	20	3	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	150	227	200	427	50	230	32	9	240	48	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	A+ MLE	MIA	—	262	229	34	6	0	8	29	84	1	2	0	148	247	279	527	131	186	32	11	244	52	-15	+0	+0	+5	+6	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIA	35%	296	263	47	9	1	6	29	88	2	2	1	179	265	289	554	110	239	30	10	255	59	-15	+0	+0	+5	+6	-0.3
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIA	49%	385	341	64	12	1	9	38	111	3	3	1	188	275	308	583	120	244	29	10	264	65	-16	+0	+0	+7	+8	-0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	MIA	53%	444	394	75	14	1	11	44	126	3	3	1	190	277	315	591	124	248	28	10	270	69	-16	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	476	422	82	15	2	12	47	134	4	3	1	194	281	325	606	130	249	28	10	273	71	-17	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.3
2031	26	MLB MLE	MIA	56%	493	437	85	16	2	12	49	139	4	3	1	195	282	323	604	128	249	28	10	274	71	-17	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.3
2032	27	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	499	442	86	16	2	13	50	141	4	3	1	195	282	328	610	133	249	28	10	274	71	-17	+0	+0	+9	+11	0.3
2033	28	MLB MLE	MIA	55%	498	440	84	16	1	12	51	141	4	3	1	191	281	314	594	123	248	28	10	273	71	-17	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.2
2034	29	MLB MLE	MIA	53%	491	434	82	15	1	12	50	140	4	3	1	189	279	311	590	122	247	29	10	271	69	-18	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.0
2035	30	MLB MLE	MIA	53%	482	426	80	15	1	11	49	139	4	3	1	188	278	305	583	117	246	29	10	268	68	-19	+0	-2	+9	+10	-0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	MIA	35%	102	90	16	3	0	2	10	30	1	1	0	178	267	278	545	100	232	29	10	244	59	-5	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIA	49%	187	166	30	5	1	4	18	54	1	1	0	181	265	295	560	114	237	29	10	252	65	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	MIA	53%	234	207	39	7	1	5	23	66	2	2	0	188	276	304	580	116	241	28	10	258	69	-9	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	261	231	44	8	1	6	26	73	2	2	0	190	278	312	590	121	242	28	10	260	71	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	MIA	56%	274	243	46	8	1	7	27	77	2	2	0	189	276	317	593	128	242	28	10	261	71	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	274	242	46	8	1	7	28	77	2	2	0	190	279	318	598	128	241	28	10	261	71	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2033	28	MLB CTX	MIA	55%	272	240	45	8	1	6	28	77	2	2	0	188	278	304	582	117	241	28	10	260	71	-9	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	MIA	53%	262	231	43	8	1	6	27	75	2	2	0	186	277	307	584	121	240	29	10	259	69	-10	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	MIA	53%	253	223	41	7	1	6	26	73	2	1	0	184	275	305	580	121	239	29	10	256	68	-10	+0	-1	+5	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2119	1873	350	62	8	49	213	602	16	15	0	187	275	307	582	120	245	28	10	258	64	-78	+3	-2	+38	+46	0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	107	19	2	15	65	185	5	5	0	186	274	304	579	118	243	28	10	258	64	-24	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4743	4210	793	146	15	105	461	1355	38	35	12	188	274	305	579	117	248	29	10	263	64	-153	+2	-4	+73	+89	0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	108	20	2	14	63	186	5	5	2	187	272	302	574	114	247	29	10	263	64	-24	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.2	2,121	52	14	191	276	316	+38	+20	2.0	2.0
/162	664	16	4	+11.9	+6.3	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Sanchez (OGILVIE)	21	40	25	40	50	165/252/260	95	230	4	2	31%	10%	48	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sergio Burruel 2012 · A	21	42	35→30	42→30	47	199/275/260	61	277	3	4	27%	8%	55	-1.9	215/268/277	62	300	3	6	27%	6%	55	-1.9	242/305/311	69	297	6	1	19%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Deivi Estrada 2022 · A	21	45	36→30	46→50	45	208/280/278	70	304	4	8	30%	8%	61	-1.5	185/243/254	69	327	4	8	41%	7%	41	-3.0	144/186/202	58	310	3	4	52%	4%	5	-1.1
✕Jose Herrera 2018 · A	21	42	39→40	44→40	45	203/251/288	85	249	6	3	21%	6%	52	-2.2	203/268/290	87	267	6	4	25%	8%	59	-1.6	210/292/298	88	277	8	3	26%	10%	69	-0.5
✕Jan Vázquez 2012 · A	21	41	36→40	45	39	191/252/258	67	290	3	5	33%	6%	46	-2.6	201/256/276	75	287	7	7	31%	5%	51	-2.2	215/293/302	88	284	7	7	25%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Milkar Perez 2023 · A	21	41	34→40	44→40	53	184/288/234	50	286	2	4	32%	12%	55	-1.9	211/292/290	79	315	4	3	31%	9%	69	-0.9	209/288/290	81	306	5	2	30%	9%	65	-0.7
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2019 · A	21	41→45	37→40	48→50	44	198/260/271	72	274	5	7	28%	7%	51	-2.2	184/259/260	76	272	5	14	31%	9%	49	-2.4	199/285/288	89	292	7	15	31%	10%	63	-0.8
✕Adrian Nieto 2011 · A	21	40→47	36→45	45→40	44	191/257/253	62	266	4	4	28%	7%	47	-2.6	208/268/310	102	295	9	4	31%	7%	64	-1.3	219/283/333	114	299	11	3	29%	8%	73	-0.3
✕Alvaro Gonzalez 2022 · A	21	39	37→30	42→40	43	185/266/254	69	276	5	6	32%	8%	51	-2.2	173/260/255	82	290	7	5	39%	8%	50	-2.3	123/220/193	70	216	5	2	41%	8%	20	-1.1
✕Elvis Perez 2018 · A	22	45	36→30	46→45	43	209/266/276	67	286	3	7	27%	6%	54	-2.0	201/245/293	92	285	7	6	31%	5%	51	-2.3	178/210/273	95	240	9	2	30%	4%	30	-1.2
✕Deivi Mejia 2011 · A	21	40	39→40	43→30	44	193/264/278	85	266	7	5	29%	8%	55	-1.9	212/259/304	92	276	7	4	25%	4%	59	-1.7	224/268/311	87	267	6	1	18%	3%	64	-0.5
✕Terry Serrano 2008 · A	21	41	35→30	46→55	49	191/267/245	53	257	2	13	25%	9%	49	-2.4	202/275/269	67	295	3	16	29%	9%	57	-1.8	195/275/262	67	298	2	22	32%	10%	52	-0.8
✕Mack Chambers 2022 · A	22	42	37→40	45→50	44	199/258/274	76	267	4	7	26%	7%	51	-2.2	211/273/310	99	281	8	11	26%	7%	65	-1.2	201/269/297	95	262	9	13	25%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Griff Erickson 2009 · A	21	42→50	38→45	42→40	44	202/268/282	80	277	6	4	28%	7%	57	-1.8	216/277/322	106	271	8	3	22%	8%	70	-0.9	215/291/341	126	265	13	2	23%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Julian Morillo 2012 · A	20	41	34→30	45→50	47	189/257/241	52	248	1	8	23%	7%	44	-2.8	212/258/289	77	283	4	7	25%	5%	55	-2.0	242/264/328	86	301	4	4	20%	1%	61	-0.3
✕Franklin Tineo 2016 · A	21	36	38→45	41→50	47	177/258/254	77	247	5	7	29%	9%	48	-2.5	190/264/281	91	260	7	10	28%	8%	56	-1.9	184/261/280	96	239	8	13	25%	8%	53	-0.7
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	47	-2.6	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	53	-2.1	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	49	-0.9
✕Jose Martinez 2018 · A	21	45	36→30	39→45	43	213/259/273	61	275	4	5	24%	6%	51	-2.3	202/257/269	67	269	4	6	25%	7%	50	-2.3	190/249/248	59	251	3	6	24%	7%	41	-1.7
✕Carlos Colmenares 2007 · A	21	42→52	37→40	40→50	46	200/254/275	75	251	4	6	21%	6%	50	-2.3	216/274/293	77	289	4	10	25%	7%	62	-1.4	259/295/394	135	304	9	17	18%	5%	89	+0.1
✕Claudio Finol 2021 · A	21	42	37→40	43→45	40	202/249/275	72	266	4	5	25%	5%	47	-2.5	192/249/275	83	270	6	8	29%	6%	49	-2.4	178/246/255	77	255	7	10	31%	7%	42	-0.6
✕Franklin Navarro 2016 · A	21	39	36→40	45→40	38	188/224/252	65	248	4	5	26%	4%	32	-3.6	205/240/287	82	288	6	4	30%	4%	47	-2.5	194/228/253	59	309	4	0	37%	4%	32	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps