Carlos SanchezC Beloit Sky Carp
Age 21 S/R 5'9" / 175 lbs A+ HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION179 act + 119 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†49
AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .262 / .273
PA119
HR2
K%28
BB%9
BABIP238
ISO94
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -16.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-16BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +5.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+5POSREP: +8.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+8REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.10.40.70.80.90.9+$28M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.8$2M+$2M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.9$2M+$2M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.9$2M+$2M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $7M +$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Marlins — 174158 29413 11441 61 184241278520 95226 256 229 33 — — — — — —
202217 ROKDSL Marlins — 174151 37514 18321 61 245329371700 126277 1810 311 96 — — — — — —
202318 ROKFCL Marlins — 149135 23201 11310 11 170233207440 37208 217 204 14 — — — — — —
202318 ROKFCL Marlins — 149128 28301 18210 11 219315266581 47248 1412 270 65 — — — — — —
202419 ROKFCL Marlins — 130114 16501 10445 10 140240211451 70214 348 200 11 — — — — — —
202419 ROKFCL Marlins — 130109 21701 15305 10 193318284602 92253 2312 284 76 — — — — — —
202520 AJupiter Hammerheads — 204184 37721 20690 11 201279277557 76316 3410 251 50 — — — — — —
202520 AJupiter Hammerheads — 204177 46722 27500 11 260358356714 96352 2513 328 109 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD21 A+MIA — 179159 25308 17591 10 157243327570 170181 339 257 55 -9 +0 +0 +3 +5 -0.1
YTD21 A+MIA — 179151 304010 25431 10 199316424740 225200 2414 327 109 +2 +0 +0 +3 +5 1.0
ROS21 A+MIA 0% 119106 19402 11341 10 179262273535 94237 289 249 49 -7 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.1
ROS21 MLBMIA 0% 11 0000 000 00 233 00 241 42 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL21 A+MIA — 180160 25308 17591 10 156242325567 169179 339 257 55 -9 +0 +0 +3 +5 -0.1
TOT21 A+MIA — 298265 447010 28932 20 166251305556 139206 319 254 52 -16 +0 +0 +5 +8 -0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBMIA 35% 314281 531017 28872 41 189267306573 117246 289 264 60 -14 +0 +0 +6 +9 0.1
202823 MLBMIA 49% 398356 7013110 361073 51 197276323599 126251 279 272 66 -15 +1 +0 +7 +11 0.4
202924 MLBMIA 53% 453405 8115211 411204 51 200280328608 128254 269 277 71 -15 +1 +0 +8 +13 0.7
203025 MLBMIA 55% 482431 8716212 441274 61 202282332614 130255 269 280 73 -15 +1 +0 +9 +14 0.8
203126 MLBMIA 56% 497444 9017213 461314 61 203283338621 135255 269 281 73 -15 +1 +0 +9 +14 0.9
203227 MLBMIA 55% 502446 9117213 471324 61 204286339624 135254 269 281 73 -15 +1 +0 +9 +14 0.9
202722 MLBMIA 35% 10997 17302 10301 10 175259268527 93242 289 255 53 -6 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.1
202823 MLBMIA 49% 193172 34615 17522 21 198277331609 134246 279 262 59 -9 +0 +0 +3 +5 -0.0
202924 MLBMIA 53% 239213 43816 22632 31 202283333616 131249 269 267 63 -10 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.1
203025 MLBMIA 55% 264236 48917 24702 31 203282339621 136250 279 270 65 -10 +0 +0 +5 +7 0.2
203126 MLBMIA 56% 277247 49917 26732 31 198280328608 130250 269 271 65 -11 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.2
203227 MLBMIA 55% 276246 49917 26732 31 199281329610 130250 269 271 65 -11 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 13591212 24044534 12536111 155 198279327606 129250 279 268 63 -57 +1 +0 +24 +39 0.7
/ 162G— — 650580 11421216 601735 72 197278322600 126249 279 268 63 -27 +1 +0 +12 +18 0.3
Career— — 34223060 5961101374 30592628 429 195274312586 117251 279 266 62 -148 +5 +0 +61 +97 1.5
/ 162G— — 650581 11321214 581765 82 194273310583 115251 279 266 62 -28 +1 +0 +12 +18 0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Marlins — 174151 37514 18321 61 245329371700 126277 1810 311 96 -1 +1 — — +5 0.5
202318 ROKFCL Marlins — 149128 28301 18210 11 219315266581 47248 1412 270 65 -6 -0 — — +4 -0.2
202419 ROKFCL Marlins — 130109 21701 15305 10 193318284602 92253 2312 284 76 -4 +0 — — +4 0.0
202520 AJupiter Hammerheads — 204177 46722 27500 11 260358356714 96352 2513 328 109 +2 -0 — — +6 0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#3Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA
51,650782213260414+29-44.24.2
/162664311+11.9-1.71.7pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
31,3593416202279334+24+122.02.0
/162664178+11.9+5.91.0pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Carlos Sanchez (OGILVIE) 21 40 25 40 50 166/251/305 139206 102 31% 9% 52 -0.2 ————————— —————————
✕Terry Serrano
2008 · A 		21 41 35→30 46→55 49 191/267/245 53257 213 25% 9% 42 -2.3 202/275/269 67295 316 29% 9% 51 -1.7 195/275/2626729822232%10%46-0.8
✕Sergio Burruel
2012 · A 		21 42 35→30 42→30 47 198/274/259 61274 34 27% 8% 50 -1.8 213/266/275 62297 36 27% 6% 48 -1.9 241/305/316752938120%8%73-0.1
✕Jose Herrera
2018 · A 		21 42 39→40 44→40 45 203/251/289 86249 63 21% 6% 46 -2.0 203/267/293 90267 74 25% 8% 54 -1.4 206/288/299932749326%10%63-0.4
✕Deivi Estrada
2022 · A 		21 45 36→30 46→50 45 208/280/278 70305 48 31% 8% 56 -1.3 185/243/254 69328 38 41% 6% 33 -2.9 146/188/204583143452%4%-7-1.2
✕Elvis Perez
2017 · A 		21 47 36→30 46→45 45 220/278/291 71289 27 24% 7% 57 -1.2 202/250/281 79286 55 29% 6% 43 -2.2 181/215/272912488230%4%23-1.1
✕Yonathan Mendoza
2015 · A 		21 47 35→30 46→45 49 220/283/279 59274 28 20% 8% 56 -1.3 245/297/310 65293 46 17% 7% 70 -0.3 258/307/313563054516%6%73-0.1
✕Gustavo Omana
2007 · A 		21 44 35→30 46→45 45 206/260/260 55257 25 20% 6% 42 -2.3 229/278/299 70274 44 17% 5% 59 -1.1 261/301/322612944012%4%76+0.0
✕Griff Erickson
2009 · A 		21 42→50 38→45 42→40 44 202/268/282 80277 64 28% 7% 52 -1.6 216/279/322 106271 83 22% 8% 66 -0.6 213/289/34212926414224%9%75-0.0
✕Franklin Tineo
2016 · A 		21 36 38→45 41→50 47 177/258/254 77247 57 29% 9% 41 -2.3 190/264/281 91260 710 28% 8% 50 -1.7 184/261/2809623981325%8%47-0.7
✕Jose Martinez
2018 · A 		21 45 36→30 39→45 44 214/261/278 64274 45 23% 6% 46 -2.0 201/257/271 70267 46 25% 7% 43 -2.2 187/248/249612483624%7%32-1.7
✕Mack Chambers
2022 · A 		22 41 37→40 45→50 44 197/255/273 76263 47 26% 7% 43 -2.2 211/273/309 98276 811 25% 7% 61 -1.0 203/270/2979326081324%8%54-0.7
✕Deivi Mejia
2011 · A 		21 40 39→40 43→30 44 193/264/278 85266 75 29% 8% 50 -1.8 212/259/304 92276 74 25% 4% 53 -1.5 224/268/311872676118%3%59-0.4
✕Arquímedes Gamboa
2019 · A 		21 42→44 38→40 48→50 44 202/264/277 75279 57 28% 7% 48 -1.9 182/258/257 75275 514 32% 9% 42 -2.3 198/284/2909229881533%10%58-0.7
✕Julian Morillo
2012 · A 		20 41 34→30 45→50 47 189/257/241 52248 18 23% 7% 37 -2.7 212/258/289 77283 47 25% 5% 49 -1.8 242/264/328863014420%1%56-0.3
✕Juan Mosquera
2009 · A 		21 43 33→30 46→55 52 197/290/240 43280 114 27% 10% 51 -1.7 202/267/260 58263 39 22% 8% 45 -2.1 183/242/211282220916%7%19-1.0
✕Jose Perez
2023 · A 		19 41 36→40 44→45 51 193/275/258 65253 38 24% 9% 50 -1.8 200/306/292 92270 56 25% 12% 72 -0.2 182/303/271882445524%13%64-0.3
✕Jeremy Arocho
2021 · A 		22 48→46 36→30 48→60 47 224/285/296 72288 310 22% 7% 62 -0.9 224/322/278 54314 226 25% 12% 75 -0.0 217/330/2614529713424%14%71-0.2
✕Alvaro Gonzalez
2022 · A 		21 39 37→30 42→40 42 185/265/254 70276 56 33% 8% 45 -2.1 172/258/250 78292 65 40% 8% 41 -2.3 121/217/186652134241%8%6-1.2
✕Carlos Colmenares
2007 · A 		21 42→52 37→40 40→50 46 200/254/275 75251 46 21% 6% 43 -2.2 216/274/293 77289 410 25% 7% 57 -1.2 271/304/429158312131717%5%101+0.4
✕Wilfred Astudillo
2021 · A 		21 45 38→30 49→45 47 216/277/299 84266 58 20% 7% 59 -1.1 216/260/320 104258 115 21% 5% 58 -1.2 208/247/3019423912319%4%45-0.6