Kevin NovoaC
DSL Miami
Age 21
R/R
5'11" / 175 lbs
ROK
HR -4%BB +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 2.2 · 2031
wRC+†64
AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .280 / .307
PA68
HR1
K%28
BB%8
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.2peak
2032
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +2.2 | $21M | +$20M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.1 | $21M | +$20M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.0 | $20M | +$19M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.8 | $19M | +$15M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +1.4 | $15M | +$11M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +1.0 | $11M | +$7M |
| Totals | $15M | $107M | +$92M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Miami | 36 | 35 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .114 | .139 | .143 | .282 | .029 | .182 | 36 | 0 | .144 | -32 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.4 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 66 | 56 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .250 | .364 | .268 | .631 | .018 | .311 | 17 | 11 | .278 | 71 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Miami | 134 | 109 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 31 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .174 | .318 | .202 | .520 | .028 | .237 | 23 | 11 | .249 | 49 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | MIA | 68 | 62 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .194 | .265 | .274 | .539 | .081 | .288 | 28 | 7 | .269 | 64 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB 11% | MIA | 117 | 106 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .217 | .284 | .330 | .615 | .113 | .291 | 26 | 8 | .288 | 79 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB 28% | MIA | 253 | 227 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 66 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .229 | .303 | .366 | .668 | .137 | .292 | 26 | 8 | .300 | 87 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +7 | 0.9 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB 45% | MIA | 351 | 313 | 73 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 89 | 4 | 6 | 1 | .233 | .310 | .374 | .684 | .141 | .293 | 25 | 9 | .307 | 93 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +10 | 1.5 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB 60% | MIA | 412 | 367 | 86 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 37 | 104 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .234 | .313 | .381 | .694 | .147 | .294 | 25 | 9 | .312 | 97 | -2 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +12 | 1.9 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB 77% | MIA | 449 | 399 | 94 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 41 | 113 | 6 | 8 | 1 | .236 | .316 | .388 | .705 | .153 | .294 | 25 | 9 | .314 | 99 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +8 | +13 | 2.2 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB 92% | MIA | 467 | 415 | 97 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 43 | 118 | 6 | 8 | 1 | .234 | .315 | .383 | .698 | .149 | .294 | 25 | 9 | .314 | 99 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +8 | +13 | 2.2 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB | MIA | 475 | 422 | 98 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 44 | 121 | 6 | 7 | 1 | .232 | .314 | .379 | .693 | .147 | .294 | 25 | 9 | .313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | -1 | +8 | +13 | 2.1 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB | MIA | 473 | 420 | 98 | 17 | 3 | 13 | 44 | 122 | 6 | 6 | 1 | .233 | .315 | .381 | .696 | .148 | .293 | 26 | 9 | .311 | 96 | -2 | +1 | -1 | +8 | +13 | 2.0 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB | MIA | 467 | 414 | 95 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 44 | 122 | 6 | 5 | 0 | .229 | .312 | .377 | .689 | .147 | .292 | 26 | 9 | .308 | 94 | -3 | +1 | -2 | +8 | +13 | 1.8 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 442 | 393 | 89 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 41 | 117 | 5 | 3 | 0 | .226 | .308 | .372 | .679 | .145 | .290 | 26 | 9 | .304 | 91 | -5 | +1 | -3 | +8 | +13 | 1.4 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 414 | 367 | 81 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 39 | 112 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .221 | .304 | .351 | .656 | .131 | .289 | 27 | 9 | .299 | 87 | -6 | +0 | -4 | +7 | +12 | 1.0 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 374 | 332 | 72 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 104 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .217 | .299 | .346 | .646 | .130 | .287 | 28 | 9 | .294 | 83 | -7 | +0 | -4 | +7 | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 323 | 286 | 61 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 92 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .213 | .297 | .336 | .633 | .122 | .285 | 28 | 9 | .288 | 78 | -8 | +0 | -5 | +6 | +9 | 0.2 |
| 2040 | 35 | MLB | MIA | 267 | 238 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 79 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .206 | .287 | .324 | .610 | .118 | .283 | 30 | 9 | .280 | 72 | -8 | +0 | -6 | +5 | +8 | -0.2 |
| 2041 | 36 | MLB | MIA | 211 | 188 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 65 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .202 | .282 | .309 | .591 | .106 | .280 | 31 | 9 | .271 | 66 | -8 | +0 | -6 | +4 | +6 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 5799 | 5149 | 1155 | 196 | 34 | 142 | 529 | 1529 | 79 | 65 | 9 | .224 | .306 | .358 | .665 | .134 | .289 | 26 | 9 | .300 | 88 | -79 | +9 | -31 | +104 | +164 | 17.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 577 | 130 | 22 | 4 | 16 | 59 | 171 | 9 | 7 | 1 | .225 | .307 | .360 | .667 | .135 | .290 | 26 | 9 | .300 | 88 | -9 | +1 | -4 | +12 | +18 | 1.9 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Miami | 36 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .222 | .314 | .537 | .114 | .240 | 25 | 0 | .240 | 42 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Marlins | 66 | 52 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .288 | .439 | .308 | .747 | .019 | .341 | 12 | 17 | .361 | 135 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +2 | 0.5 |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Miami | 134 | 100 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 2 | .250 | .432 | .310 | .742 | .060 | .312 | 16 | 18 | .355 | 130 | +4 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 0.9 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Kevin Novoa (OGILVIE) | 21 | — | — | — | — | .210/.280/.307 | .097 | .288 | 1 | 1 | 28% | 8% | 64 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
●Hunter Goodman 2022 · A |
22 | 46→47 | 42→65 | 50→40 | 43 | .220/.291/.330 | .111 | .304 | 9 | 7 | 29% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .215/.268/.415 | .200 | .284 | 26 | 4 | 34% | 6% | 88 | +0.9 | .221/.275/.455 | .234 | .259 | 32 | 2 | 29% | 6% | 99 | +1.4 |
|
✕Luis Alvarez 2011 · A |
21 | 48 | 43→45 | 47→45 | 46 | .231/.301/.344 | .113 | .287 | 10 | 6 | 22% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .218/.273/.326 | .108 | .274 | 10 | 5 | 23% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .212/.264/.322 | .111 | .252 | 13 | 1 | 21% | 4% | 57 | -0.3 |
|
✕Ricardo Olivar 2023 · A |
21 | 47→51 | 42→45 | 48→50 | 42 | .220/.290/.336 | .116 | .325 | 8 | 9 | 33% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .228/.308/.351 | .123 | .315 | 11 | 9 | 29% | 9% | 88 | +0.9 | .221/.304/.343 | .122 | .294 | 13 | 10 | 27% | 9% | 80 | +0.3 |
|
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2023 · A |
21 | 49→56 | 41→45 | 50 | 49 | .234/.299/.341 | .107 | .285 | 6 | 12 | 20% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .247/.308/.361 | .114 | .302 | 10 | 14 | 20% | 7% | 89 | +0.9 | .254/.316/.360 | .106 | .307 | 10 | 16 | 19% | 7% | 89 | +0.7 |
|
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A |
22 | 47→49 | 40→45 | 48→45 | 51 | .222/.330/.318 | .096 | .290 | 7 | 9 | 24% | 9% | 90 | +1.0 | .229/.317/.341 | .112 | .289 | 10 | 7 | 23% | 7% | 89 | +1.0 | .230/.322/.343 | .112 | .289 | 11 | 5 | 22% | 7% | 88 | +0.5 |
|
●Tyler Flowers 2007 · A |
21 | 44→54 | 44→55 | 48→40 | 43 | .217/.282/.334 | .118 | .294 | 12 | 4 | 29% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .238/.308/.388 | .150 | .308 | 15 | 4 | 26% | 8% | 96 | +1.5 | .261/.361/.419 | .158 | .334 | 18 | 0 | 25% | 10% | 124 | +1.9 |
|
✕Roberto Pérez 2010 · A |
21 | 50→41 | 40→55 | 46→30 | 42 | .233/.302/.324 | .092 | .334 | 7 | 7 | 30% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 | .204/.291/.288 | .084 | .287 | 5 | 3 | 27% | 10% | 64 | -0.8 | .206/.291/.377 | .171 | .260 | 23 | 1 | 30% | 10% | 84 | +0.3 |
|
✕Ramon Santana 2008 · A |
22 | 44→53 | 44→45 | 49→45 | 46 | .214/.295/.332 | .118 | .288 | 11 | 7 | 28% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | .215/.282/.328 | .113 | .315 | 10 | 8 | 33% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .212/.276/.321 | .109 | .318 | 8 | 4 | 33% | 6% | 62 | -0.4 |
|
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2016 · A |
21 | 42 | 46→50 | 52→40 | 44 | .205/.283/.341 | .136 | .298 | 13 | 8 | 34% | 9% | 74 | -0.1 | .199/.260/.324 | .125 | .272 | 14 | 4 | 31% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .192/.251/.302 | .111 | .255 | 13 | 1 | 29% | 6% | 48 | -0.7 |
|
✕Jeferson Morales 2021 · A |
22 | 44→46 | 40→45 | 48→50 | 52 | .208/.300/.315 | .107 | .258 | 6 | 10 | 20% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 | .202/.283/.334 | .132 | .263 | 13 | 9 | 27% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 | .223/.298/.355 | .132 | .277 | 12 | 8 | 23% | 7% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
●Lou Marson 2008 · A |
22 | 49→54 | 40 | 49→50 | 46 | .232/.296/.330 | .098 | .307 | 7 | 4 | 26% | 8% | 76 | +0.0 | .247/.319/.339 | .092 | .321 | 6 | 6 | 23% | 9% | 88 | +0.9 | .237/.316/.324 | .088 | .299 | 6 | 8 | 21% | 10% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A |
20 | 46→45 | 44→50 | 49→45 | 42 | .228/.277/.347 | .120 | .291 | 12 | 9 | 26% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .227/.283/.368 | .141 | .281 | 17 | 7 | 25% | 6% | 81 | +0.4 | .224/.287/.379 | .156 | .259 | 20 | 5 | 22% | 7% | 83 | +0.3 |
|
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A |
20 | 48→44 | 45→50 | 48→55 | 46 | .232/.304/.355 | .124 | .309 | 12 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 86 | +0.8 | .239/.303/.370 | .131 | .306 | 13 | 16 | 25% | 7% | 89 | +1.0 | .238/.303/.382 | .143 | .296 | 14 | 19 | 24% | 7% | 90 | +0.7 |
|
●Josmil Pinto 2010 · A |
21 | 44→54 | 47→55 | 47→40 | 45 | .221/.275/.359 | .138 | .264 | 14 | 4 | 22% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 | .217/.264/.351 | .134 | .265 | 14 | 3 | 23% | 5% | 68 | -0.5 | .254/.321/.415 | .161 | .304 | 18 | 0 | 22% | 8% | 105 | +1.7 |
|
●Andy Pages 2021 · A |
20 | 41→51 | 47→60 | 46→45 | 46 | .210/.298/.347 | .138 | .263 | 15 | 10 | 26% | 8% | 83 | +0.6 | .215/.301/.412 | .197 | .284 | 25 | 6 | 32% | 9% | 101 | +1.8 | .261/.318/.433 | .172 | .316 | 21 | 10 | 23% | 6% | 110 | +1.8 |
|
✕Miguel Palma 2022 · A |
20 | 42 | 43→45 | 47→40 | 47 | .204/.301/.317 | .113 | .282 | 11 | 9 | 29% | 9% | 77 | +0.1 | .216/.277/.335 | .119 | .281 | 14 | 4 | 27% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .209/.267/.315 | .106 | .274 | 13 | 2 | 27% | 6% | 58 | -0.6 |
|
✕José Caballero 2019 · A |
22 | 48→45 | 43→45 | 48→70 | 45 | .232/.292/.346 | .114 | .280 | 10 | 9 | 21% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .220/.293/.329 | .109 | .282 | 9 | 25 | 24% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .229/.321/.344 | .115 | .305 | 10 | 63 | 26% | 9% | 87 | +0.6 |
|
●Iván Herrera 2021 · A |
21 | 48→57 | 42→50 | 46→50 | 45 | .231/.294/.328 | .097 | .300 | 10 | 4 | 25% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .220/.302/.349 | .129 | .288 | 15 | 6 | 27% | 9% | 85 | +0.7 | .278/.371/.439 | .161 | .339 | 19 | 13 | 22% | 11% | 132 | +2.8 |
|
✕Nick Senzel 2017 · A |
22 | 48→56 | 44→50 | 51→50 | 47 | .232/.297/.363 | .132 | .298 | 10 | 16 | 25% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .253/.307/.400 | .147 | .331 | 13 | 14 | 26% | 7% | 98 | +1.6 | .259/.313/.416 | .157 | .335 | 15 | 16 | 26% | 7% | 102 | +1.2 |
|
✕Austin Romine 2010 · A |
21 | 47→51 | 45→50 | 47→45 | 41 | .235/.271/.359 | .124 | .278 | 13 | 7 | 21% | 4% | 72 | -0.2 | .239/.280/.351 | .112 | .295 | 12 | 5 | 22% | 5% | 74 | -0.1 | .256/.294/.402 | .146 | .322 | 18 | 2 | 26% | 5% | 91 | +0.4 |