Brock Rodden
SS Tacoma Rainiers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | AA/A+SEA | 576 | .257/.347/.416 | 14 | 29 | 65 | — | .211/.278/.337 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA/ROK/INTL2 orgs | 220 | .303/.376/.467 | 6 | 23 | 106 | — | .246/.307/.393 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAASEA | 410 | .262/.346/.499 | 19 | 8 | 80 | — | .215/.279/.392 |
| 2026 | 26 | MLBSEA | 72 | .197/.310/.279 | 0 | 0 | 72 | 0.4 | |
| 2027PROJ45% MLB | 27 | MLBSEA | 70 | .219/.287/.366 | 2 | 3 | 85 | 0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ56% MLB | 28 | MLBSEA | 160 | .218/.286/.363 | 4 | 6 | 84 | 0.3 | |
| 2029PROJ59% MLB | 29 | MLBSEA | 169 | .218/.285/.359 | 4 | 5 | 83 | 0.2 |
Tools · Recent Form · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 23 | A | Modesto Nuts | — | 157 | 144 | 46 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 319 | 376 | 465 | 841 | 146 | 373 | 15 | 7 | 374 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 266 | 240 | 50 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 74 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 208 | 266 | 342 | 608 | 133 | 271 | 28 | 7 | 266 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | — | 310 | 258 | 78 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 42 | 57 | 8 | 21 | 8 | 302 | 416 | 484 | 900 | 182 | 356 | 18 | 14 | 399 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 163 | 146 | 43 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 49 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 295 | 360 | 466 | 826 | 171 | 404 | 30 | 7 | 363 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | ROK | ACL Mariners | — | 15 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 273 | 467 | 273 | 739 | 429 | 27 | 20 | 370 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 25 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 42 | 38 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 342 | 405 | 526 | 931 | 184 | 429 | 21 | 10 | 411 | 164 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | — | 72 | 61 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 197 | 310 | 279 | 589 | 82 | 316 | 33 | 14 | 273 | 72 | -2 | -1 | +0 | +5 | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 410 | 359 | 94 | 22 | 3 | 19 | 43 | 93 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 262 | 346 | 499 | 844 | 237 | 299 | 23 | 10 | 366 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 72 | 61 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 197 | 310 | 279 | 589 | 82 | 316 | 33 | 14 | 273 | 71 | -2 | -1 | +0 | +5 | +2 | 0.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 157 | 148 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 257 | 299 | 365 | 664 | 108 | 315 | 20 | 4 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 266 | 245 | 44 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 86 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 180 | 224 | 302 | 526 | 122 | 231 | 32 | 5 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Everett AquaSox | — | 310 | 273 | 65 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 77 | 8 | 21 | 8 | 238 | 325 | 366 | 691 | 128 | 296 | 25 | 9 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 163 | 150 | 38 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 56 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 253 | 304 | 413 | 718 | 160 | 353 | 34 | 5 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | ROK MLE | ACL Mariners | — | 15 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 167 | 333 | 167 | 500 | 353 | 40 | 13 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 72 | 61 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 197 | 310 | 279 | 589 | 82 | 316 | 33 | 14 | 275 | 72 | -2 | -1 | +0 | +5 | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 410 | 372 | 80 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 112 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 215 | 279 | 392 | 671 | 177 | 256 | 27 | 7 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 157 | 148 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 257 | 299 | 365 | 664 | 108 | 316 | 20 | 4 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A RAW | Modesto Nuts | — | 157 | 144 | 46 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 319 | 376 | 465 | 841 | 146 | 373 | 15 | 7 | 374 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 576 | 518 | 107 | 21 | 4 | 11 | 40 | 163 | 9 | 29 | 11 | 207 | 275 | 326 | 601 | 120 | 274 | 28 | 7 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 576 | 498 | 128 | 27 | 5 | 14 | 60 | 131 | 9 | 29 | 11 | 257 | 347 | 416 | 763 | 159 | 317 | 23 | 10 | 338 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 220 | 202 | 50 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 77 | 4 | 23 | 2 | 248 | 303 | 391 | 694 | 144 | 364 | 35 | 5 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 220 | 195 | 59 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 62 | 4 | 23 | 2 | 303 | 376 | 467 | 843 | 164 | 411 | 28 | 9 | 373 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 482 | 433 | 92 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 40 | 136 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 212 | 284 | 376 | 660 | 164 | 271 | 28 | 8 | 284 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 482 | 420 | 106 | 25 | 4 | 19 | 53 | 117 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 252 | 340 | 467 | 807 | 214 | 301 | 24 | 11 | 352 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 157 | 147 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 259 | 299 | 367 | 667 | 109 | 315 | 20 | 4 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 576 | 522 | 107 | 21 | 4 | 11 | 40 | 163 | 9 | 29 | 11 | 205 | 275 | 324 | 599 | 119 | 266 | 28 | 7 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 220 | 202 | 50 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 77 | 4 | 23 | 2 | 248 | 303 | 391 | 694 | 144 | 353 | 35 | 5 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 482 | 436 | 92 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 40 | 136 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 211 | 284 | 374 | 657 | 163 | 265 | 28 | 8 | 284 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 576 | 522 | 107 | 21 | 4 | 11 | 40 | 163 | 9 | 29 | 11 | 205 | 275 | 324 | 599 | 119 | 266 | 28 | 7 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 220 | 202 | 50 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 77 | 4 | 23 | 2 | 248 | 303 | 391 | 694 | 144 | 353 | 35 | 5 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 482 | 436 | 92 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 40 | 136 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 211 | 284 | 374 | 657 | 163 | 265 | 28 | 8 | 284 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | SEA | 45% | 380 | 344 | 75 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 105 | 3 | 16 | 3 | 221 | 289 | 371 | 660 | 150 | 284 | 28 | 8 | 294 | 85 | -7 | +2 | +0 | +4 | +8 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | SEA | 45% | 70 | 64 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 219 | 287 | 366 | 652 | 147 | 281 | 27 | 7 | 291 | 85 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | SEA | 56% | 286 | 260 | 58 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 79 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 221 | 289 | 369 | 657 | 148 | 284 | 28 | 8 | 293 | 84 | -5 | +1 | -0 | +3 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB MLE | SEA | 59% | 284 | 258 | 57 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 78 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 220 | 287 | 365 | 652 | 145 | 283 | 27 | 8 | 291 | 83 | -6 | +1 | -1 | +3 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB MLE | SEA | 61% | 281 | 255 | 56 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 78 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 218 | 286 | 360 | 646 | 142 | 282 | 28 | 8 | 288 | 81 | -6 | +1 | -2 | +3 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB MLE | SEA | 63% | 263 | 239 | 51 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 73 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 216 | 283 | 353 | 636 | 137 | 280 | 28 | 8 | 284 | 79 | -7 | +1 | -2 | +3 | +6 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | SEA | 56% | 160 | 145 | 32 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 44 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 218 | 286 | 363 | 650 | 145 | 281 | 28 | 8 | 290 | 84 | -3 | +1 | -0 | +2 | +3 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB CTX | SEA | 59% | 169 | 153 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 47 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 218 | 285 | 359 | 645 | 142 | 280 | 28 | 8 | 288 | 83 | -3 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB CTX | SEA | 61% | 173 | 156 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 48 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 216 | 284 | 355 | 638 | 138 | 279 | 28 | 8 | 285 | 81 | -4 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB CTX | SEA | 63% | 165 | 150 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 46 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 214 | 281 | 348 | 629 | 134 | 277 | 28 | 8 | 282 | 79 | -4 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +4 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 739 | 665 | 144 | 31 | 5 | 16 | 63 | 209 | 4 | 19 | 6 | 217 | 288 | 350 | 639 | 134 | 288 | 28 | 9 | 285 | 79 | -17 | +1 | -4 | +12 | +16 | 1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 585 | 126 | 27 | 4 | 14 | 55 | 184 | 4 | 17 | 5 | 215 | 287 | 347 | 634 | 132 | 286 | 28 | 8 | 285 | 79 | -15 | +1 | -3 | +11 | +14 | 0.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2704 | 2454 | 540 | 115 | 17 | 65 | 197 | 759 | 27 | 100 | 27 | 220 | 285 | 360 | 646 | 140 | 288 | 28 | 7 | 285 | 79 | -29 | +4 | -6 | +19 | +29 | 1.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 590 | 130 | 28 | 4 | 16 | 47 | 182 | 6 | 24 | 6 | 220 | 285 | 363 | 647 | 142 | 287 | 28 | 7 | 285 | 79 | -14 | +2 | -3 | +9 | +14 | 0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAATacoma Rainiers · 410 PAwOBA .360 → .286 (−74)K% 22.7% → 27.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.68% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 7.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.73% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.953 | ×1.018 | 16.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.953 | ×1.018 | 6.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.953 | ×1.018 | 1.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 5.09% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.
Result: wOBA .360 → .286; ISO .237 → .178; BABIP .299 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAArkansas Travelers · 163 PAwOBA .355 → .309 (−47)K% 30.1% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.06% | ÷1.061 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.75% | ÷0.950 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 4.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.84% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 1.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.87% | ÷0.998 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 25.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.31% | ÷0.914 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 8.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.018 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.15% | ÷0.800 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 5.14% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 60, 1B 100, 2B 83, 3B 104, K 112, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .355 → .309; ISO .171 → .160; BABIP .404 → .353. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKACL Mariners · 15 PAwOBA .362 → .254 (−108)K% 26.7% → 38.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.67% | ÷0.999 | ×1.440 | — | — | 38.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.945 | 11.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.67% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 4.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 42.86% | ÷0.942 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.945 | 35.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.046 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.886 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.945 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 88, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 100, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .362 → .254; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .429 → .353. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Everett AquaSox · 310 PAwOBA .392 → .300 (−92)K% 18.4% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.39% | ÷1.003 | ×1.350 | — | — | 24.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.55% | ÷1.082 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 8.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.58% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 2.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.87% | ÷0.992 | ×0.910 | ×0.958 | ×0.988 | 22.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.97% | ÷1.040 | ×0.830 | ×0.958 | ×0.988 | 5.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.49% | ÷0.904 | ×0.820 | ×0.958 | ×0.988 | 1.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.48% | ÷1.175 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 3.12% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 135, 1B 98, 2B 108, 3B 81, K 101, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .392 → .300; ISO .182 → .133; BABIP .356 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAArkansas Travelers · 266 PAwOBA .262 → .224 (−39)K% 27.8% → 32.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.82% | ÷1.046 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.39% | ÷0.928 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 4.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.38% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.07% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 15.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.83% | ÷0.977 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 6.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.20% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.95% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.01% | ÷0.820 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.97% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 104, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 109, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .262 → .224; ISO .133 → .119; BABIP .271 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AModesto Nuts · 157 PAwOBA .364 → .289 (−75)K% 15.3% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.29% | ÷1.026 | ×1.360 | — | — | 20.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.01% | ÷1.013 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 4.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.27% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.83% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 22.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.17% | ÷1.050 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 6.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.67% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.990 | 1.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.67% | ÷0.883 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 1.50% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 95, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 105, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .364 → .289; ISO .146 → .111; BABIP .373 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .