Nick Goodwin

SS New Hampshire Fisher Cats

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 215 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	23	A+TOR	385	.244/.366/.403	12	10	71	—	.195/.288/.331
2026	24	AAATOR	112	.258/.357/.412	2	0	79	—	.220/.304/.330
2026	24	AATOR	312	.264/.373/.483	10	2	99	—	.234/.317/.410
2027PROJ2% MLB	25	MLBTOR	6	.214/.294/.356	0	0	84	0.0
2028PROJ39% MLB	26	MLBTOR	141	.216/.296/.359	3	1	85	0.2
2029PROJ53% MLB	27	MLBTOR	204	.216/.296/.359	5	2	85	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$0.4M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Z-Con%88

Whiff%69

K%54

BB%52

Chase%42

Max EV22

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 91%

CompsJacob Amaya (age 25) · Rylan Bannon (age 25) · Pedro Pagés (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .294 / .356

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%17

BABIP272

ISO141

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	21	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	21	15	4	2	0	0	5	5	1	0	1	267	476	400	876	133	400	24	24	410	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	114	95	23	2	3	3	9	22	8	3	1	242	357	421	778	179	278	19	8	346	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	451	402	81	16	2	9	33	116	13	7	4	201	283	318	602	117	257	26	7	275	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	385	320	78	13	1	12	52	69	10	10	3	244	366	403	770	159	275	18	14	348	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	112	97	25	9	0	2	12	25	3	0	0	258	357	412	770	155	329	22	11	348	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	312	261	69	21	3	10	40	64	5	2	3	264	373	483	855	218	306	21	13	371	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	21	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	21	16	4	2	0	0	4	7	1	0	1	250	429	375	804	125	360	33	19	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	114	98	19	2	2	2	6	29	8	3	1	194	295	316	611	122	234	25	5	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	451	411	61	11	1	6	24	160	13	7	4	148	219	224	443	75	219	35	5	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	385	338	66	11	1	11	34	97	10	10	3	195	288	331	619	136	232	25	9	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	112	100	22	8	0	1	9	30	3	0	0	220	304	330	634	110	301	27	8	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	312	273	64	18	3	8	28	78	5	2	3	234	317	410	727	176	279	25	9	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	135	115	22	3	2	2	9	36	9	3	2	191	301	304	605	113	253	27	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	135	110	27	4	3	3	14	27	9	3	2	245	376	418	794	173	293	20	10	355	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	451	411	61	11	1	6	24	160	13	7	4	148	219	224	443	75	222	35	5	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	—	451	402	81	16	2	9	33	116	13	7	4	201	283	318	602	117	257	26	7	275	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	385	338	66	11	1	11	34	97	10	10	3	195	288	331	619	136	238	25	9	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	Vancouver Canadians	—	385	320	78	13	1	12	52	69	10	10	3	244	366	403	770	159	275	18	14	348	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	424	373	86	26	3	9	37	108	8	2	3	231	313	389	702	158	294	25	9	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	424	358	94	30	3	12	52	89	8	2	3	263	368	464	832	201	312	21	12	365	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	135	116	22	3	2	2	9	36	9	3	2	190	301	302	602	112	254	27	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	451	411	61	11	1	6	24	160	13	7	4	148	219	224	443	75	219	35	5	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	385	338	66	11	1	11	34	97	10	10	3	195	288	331	619	136	232	25	9	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	424	376	86	26	3	9	37	108	8	2	3	229	313	386	699	157	285	25	9	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	451	411	61	11	1	6	24	160	13	7	4	148	219	224	443	75	219	35	5	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	385	338	66	11	1	11	34	97	10	10	3	195	288	331	619	136	232	25	9	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	424	376	86	26	3	9	37	108	8	2	3	229	313	386	699	157	285	25	9	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TOR	2%	380	338	73	18	2	9	32	98	7	4	2	214	294	355	649	141	271	26	8	292	84	-7	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	TOR	2%	6	5	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	214	294	356	651	142	272	33	17	293	84	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	TOR	39%	364	324	69	17	2	8	31	93	6	3	2	215	295	358	653	142	272	26	9	293	85	-7	-0	+0	+4	+8	0.5
2029	27	MLB MLE	TOR	53%	388	345	74	18	2	9	33	99	7	3	2	216	296	358	653	142	272	26	9	294	85	-7	-0	+0	+4	+8	0.6
2030	28	MLB MLE	TOR	60%	400	356	77	19	2	9	34	102	7	2	2	216	295	356	651	140	273	26	8	293	84	-8	-0	-1	+4	+9	0.4
2031	29	MLB MLE	TOR	62%	400	358	76	18	2	9	33	103	6	1	2	215	294	353	646	138	273	26	8	291	83	-8	-1	-1	+4	+9	0.3
2032	30	MLB MLE	TOR	63%	398	356	76	18	2	9	33	103	6	1	1	214	292	348	640	135	272	26	8	288	81	-9	-0	-2	+4	+9	0.2
2033	31	MLB MLE	TOR	63%	386	345	73	17	2	8	32	101	6	1	1	210	287	339	626	129	269	26	8	282	77	-10	-0	-3	+4	+8	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	TOR	39%	141	126	27	7	1	3	12	36	2	1	1	216	296	359	654	143	273	26	9	294	85	-3	-0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	TOR	53%	204	182	40	10	1	5	17	52	3	2	1	216	296	359	655	142	273	25	8	294	85	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.3
2030	28	MLB CTX	TOR	60%	240	214	46	11	1	6	20	61	4	1	1	216	296	357	652	141	274	25	8	293	84	-5	-0	-0	+3	+5	0.3
2031	29	MLB CTX	TOR	62%	247	220	47	11	1	6	21	63	4	1	1	216	294	354	648	138	274	26	9	291	83	-5	-0	-1	+3	+5	0.2
2032	30	MLB CTX	TOR	63%	250	223	47	11	1	5	21	65	4	0	1	214	292	349	641	135	273	26	8	289	81	-6	-0	-1	+3	+5	0.1
2033	31	MLB CTX	TOR	63%	245	219	46	11	1	5	20	64	4	0	1	210	287	340	627	129	270	26	8	283	77	-7	-0	-2	+3	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1327	1184	253	61	6	30	111	341	21	5	6	214	293	351	644	138	272	26	8	290	76	-28	-1	-4	+14	+29	0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	124	30	3	15	54	167	10	2	3	214	291	353	645	140	272	26	8	290	76	-14	-1	-2	+7	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	4051	3605	741	173	21	87	327	1084	84	36	24	206	287	338	624	132	266	27	8	280	76	-55	-2	-7	+28	+58	2.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	119	28	3	14	52	174	13	6	4	206	285	337	623	131	266	27	8	280	76	-13	-0	-2	+7	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#4George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	2.0	1,332	30	6	215	290	353	+14	+9	2.1	2.1
/162	664	15	3	+7.1	+4.5	1.0	pk7: 2
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Goodwin (OGILVIE)	25	45	45	45	55	212/292/352	140	271	7	3	26%	8%	84	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jacob Amaya 2024 · AAA	25	45→47	45	48→45	50	226/297/349	123	278	13	6	23%	9%	84	+0.1	209/275/311	102	285	10	9	28%	8%	67	-1.1	193/261/281	88	273	9	9	31%	8%	53	-1.1
✕Rylan Bannon 2021 · AAA	25	45→47	47→50	45→50	47	225/292/363	138	284	14	7	25%	8%	85	+0.2	196/278/332	136	250	16	12	27%	9%	74	-0.6	194/292/330	136	256	16	12	29%	11%	76	-0.3
✕Pedro Pagés 2024 · AAA	25	43→44	45→50	48→40	45	214/282/338	124	283	14	4	28%	8%	76	-0.4	226/281/359	133	290	16	5	27%	6%	80	-0.2	224/274/353	130	283	17	3	27%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Devin Mann 2023 · AAA	26	43→45	49→50	43→45	48	218/301/370	152	273	16	5	26%	9%	91	+0.6	216/296/354	138	291	14	5	29%	9%	85	+0.2	206/289/333	127	280	13	4	29%	9%	75	-0.3
✕Carlos Narváez 2024 · AAA	25	38→45	46→45	45	46	193/282/317	124	279	14	7	34%	10%	72	-0.7	212/291/338	126	290	14	7	30%	9%	80	-0.2	205/284/324	120	276	13	6	29%	8%	74	-0.4
✕Andre Lipcius 2023 · AAA	25	48→51	45	49→45	53	235/311/363	129	286	11	9	22%	10%	92	+0.7	232/298/362	130	288	15	7	24%	8%	87	+0.4	221/286/351	129	272	16	5	24%	7%	78	-0.3
✕Jacob Wilson 2015 · AA	25	44→48	46→50	43→40	46	221/280/353	133	261	13	5	21%	6%	79	-0.2	197/257/323	126	244	14	4	25%	6%	63	-1.3	220/285/374	154	261	17	1	22%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Chadwick Tromp 2020 · AAA	25	47	45	41→40	47	233/298/357	124	286	13	5	23%	7%	86	+0.3	216/259/360	144	271	18	4	27%	5%	72	-0.7	213/269/334	121	264	14	0	25%	7%	67	-0.5
✕Grant Psomas 2008 · AA	25	44→50	48→50	45	44	221/281/367	146	282	15	8	27%	7%	82	-0.0	197/261/330	133	285	13	7	34%	7%	66	-1.1	141/211/268	128	216	12	2	39%	8%	32	-1.5
✕Jeremy Lucas 2015 · AA	24	45→44	46→45	46→30	49	223/295/358	136	273	13	3	23%	8%	85	+0.2	222/287/333	111	276	11	3	23%	7%	76	-0.4	222/287/326	104	272	10	1	21%	7%	72	-0.4
✕Jose Gil 2012 · AAA	25	45	45	47→45	45	226/279/351	125	272	13	6	22%	6%	78	-0.3	217/274/316	99	269	9	8	22%	6%	68	-1.0	193/248/286	94	230	10	9	21%	6%	49	-1.1
✕Yu Chang 2021 · MLB	25	45→47	46→50	48→45	43	223/283/356	133	301	14	7	30%	7%	80	-0.1	224/280/382	158	292	18	7	29%	6%	85	+0.2	211/266/369	157	270	20	6	29%	6%	77	-0.1
✕Paul McIntosh 2024 · AAA	26	42→43	49→45	45	47	215/296/360	145	278	17	8	28%	9%	87	+0.4	216/284/339	123	270	14	6	25%	7%	77	-0.3	209/277/327	118	257	13	4	23%	7%	69	-0.5
✕Manuel Bobadilla 2009 · AAA	25	47	44→40	45	50	230/308/342	112	285	12	5	23%	9%	86	+0.3	234/304/337	103	291	10	6	22%	8%	83	+0.1	231/301/321	89	285	8	3	20%	8%	76	-0.2
✕Ian Rice 2019 · AA	25	41→40	48→50	44→30	49	209/298/350	141	280	16	3	30%	10%	85	+0.2	200/274/302	102	285	10	5	31%	8%	65	-1.2	158/229/219	60	230	5	0	31%	7%	30	-1.7
✕Luis Santana 2024 · AA	25	44	47→45	47→50	40	223/275/357	134	284	15	8	27%	5%	78	-0.3	205/264/312	107	256	11	8	24%	6%	63	-1.3	166/234/244	78	199	10	5	22%	6%	36	-1.8
✕Andrew Susac 2015 · MLB	25	44→39	49→50	46→30	48	224/301/371	146	290	17	3	28%	9%	91	+0.6	214/282/356	142	287	16	3	30%	8%	80	-0.1	188/256/323	135	253	16	0	31%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Ryan Khoury 2008 · AAA	24	49	45	47→45	47	238/303/364	125	300	12	5	24%	8%	89	+0.5	226/298/322	96	300	6	5	25%	8%	78	-0.3	216/291/300	84	289	3	4	24%	8%	67	-0.7
✕Alex Isola 2024 · AA	26	44	49→50	44→40	47	224/291/365	141	278	17	5	26%	8%	86	+0.3	208/271/321	113	264	12	8	25%	7%	68	-1.0	174/240/261	87	216	9	6	24%	7%	42	-1.7
✕Luis Vázquez 2024 · AAA	24	46→47	46→45	42→50	42	227/286/351	124	297	14	10	28%	6%	80	-0.1	228/285/350	122	302	13	11	28%	6%	80	-0.2	221/274/331	110	296	12	13	28%	5%	67	-0.4

Nick Goodwin

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps