Cole Schoenwetter

P Dayton Dragons

Age 22 RHP 6'3" / 190 lbs A+ peak 0.6 · 2030

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	MIX2 levels	18	12	52	6.54	3.37	26.4%	16.0%	—	K 18.5% · BB 19.5% · FIP 4.54
2025	20	ACIN	26	18	78	5.86	4.98	20.9%	16.8%	—	K 15.5% · BB 19.8% · FIP 6.03
2026	21	A+CIN	6	5	23	5.09	3.84	23.1%	16.7%	—	K 17.8% · BB 19.2% · FIP 4.66
2027PROJ	22	MLBCIN	9	9	45	6.26	6.26	15.7%	20.0%	-0.7
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBCIN	7	7	36	5.88	5.76	17.4%	17.4%	-0.3
2029PROJ70% MLB	24	MLBCIN	9	9	52	5.58	5.46	18.5%	15.8%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff35Control20Command25

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 92%

CompsKyle Larsen (age 21) · Jackson Fristoe (age 22) · Danny Flatt (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 152144vR 136

ERA6.26

FIP6.26

K%15.7%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-4.3%

Proj IP45

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 45 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL2020

CMD2525

K†3045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	12	52	250	66	40	2	67%	2.9	18.5%	19.5%	-1.0%	1.0%	6.54	4.54	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	12	52	250	66	40	2	67%	2.9	18.5%	19.5%	-1.0%	1.0%	6.54	4.54	—
2024	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	12	52	250	66	40	2	67%	2.9	26.4%	16.0%	10.4%	0.8%	6.54	3.37	—
2025	20	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	26	18	78	358	75	60	9	69%	3.0	15.5%	19.8%	-4.3%	3.2%	5.86	6.03	—
2025	20	A MLE	Daytona Tortugas	26	18	78	358	75	60	9	69%	3.0	15.5%	19.8%	-4.3%	3.2%	5.86	6.03	—
2025	20	A RAW	Daytona Tortugas	26	18	78	358	75	60	9	69%	3.0	20.9%	16.8%	4.2%	2.5%	5.86	4.98	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	6	5	23	108	25	18	1	83%	3.8	17.8%	19.2%	-1.3%	1.2%	5.09	4.66	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Dayton Dragons	6	5	23	108	25	18	1	83%	3.8	17.8%	19.2%	-1.3%	1.2%	5.09	4.66	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	Dayton Dragons	6	5	23	108	25	18	1	83%	3.8	23.1%	16.7%	6.5%	0.9%	5.09	3.84	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	CIN	9	9	45	190	30	38	5	100%	5.0	15.7%	20.0%	-4.3%	2.9%	6.26	6.26	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	CIN	14	14	73	309	54	54	9	100%	5.2	17.4%	17.4%	0.0%	2.8%	5.88	5.76	-0.7
2029	24	MLB MLE	CIN	13	13	75	316	58	50	9	100%	5.8	18.5%	15.8%	2.7%	2.8%	5.58	5.46	-0.5
2030	25	MLB MLE	CIN	13	13	76	320	61	47	9	100%	5.8	19.1%	14.7%	4.4%	2.8%	5.37	5.27	-0.3
2031	26	MLB MLE	CIN	13	13	76	320	62	47	9	100%	5.8	19.4%	14.5%	4.8%	2.8%	5.27	5.23	-0.3
2032	27	MLB MLE	CIN	12	12	75	315	61	46	9	100%	6.2	19.4%	14.6%	4.8%	2.9%	5.27	5.26	-0.3
2033	28	MLB MLE	CIN	12	12	72	306	59	45	9	100%	6.0	19.2%	14.8%	4.5%	3.0%	5.32	5.35	-0.4
2034	29	MLB MLE	CIN	12	12	69	292	56	44	9	100%	5.8	19.0%	15.0%	4.0%	3.1%	5.42	5.48	-0.5
2035	30	MLB MLE	CIN	11	11	65	274	51	42	9	100%	5.9	18.7%	15.3%	3.4%	3.3%	5.56	5.66	-0.6
2028	23	MLB CTX	CIN	7	7	36	152	27	26	4	100%	5.1	17.4%	17.4%	0.0%	2.8%	5.88	5.76	-0.3
2029	24	MLB CTX	CIN	9	9	52	220	41	35	6	100%	5.8	18.5%	15.8%	2.7%	2.8%	5.58	5.46	-0.3
2030	25	MLB CTX	CIN	11	11	62	262	50	39	7	100%	5.6	19.1%	14.7%	4.4%	2.8%	5.37	5.27	-0.3
2031	26	MLB CTX	CIN	11	11	66	279	54	41	8	100%	6.0	19.4%	14.5%	4.8%	2.8%	5.27	5.23	-0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	CIN	11	11	67	283	55	41	8	100%	6.1	19.4%	14.6%	4.8%	2.9%	5.27	5.26	-0.3
2033	28	MLB CTX	CIN	11	11	67	283	54	42	8	100%	6.1	19.2%	14.8%	4.5%	3.0%	5.32	5.35	-0.3
2034	29	MLB CTX	CIN	11	11	64	270	51	41	8	100%	5.8	19.0%	15.0%	4.0%	3.1%	5.42	5.48	-0.4
2035	30	MLB CTX	CIN	10	10	61	258	48	39	9	100%	6.1	18.7%	15.3%	3.4%	3.3%	5.56	5.66	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		81	81	476	2009	380	304	59	100%	5.9	18.9%	15.1%	3.8%	2.9%	5.43	5.03	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	160	128	25	100%	5.9	18.9%	15.1%	3.8%	2.9%	5.43	5.03	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		50	35	154	716	121	140	15	70%	3.1	16.9%	19.6%	-2.7%	2.1%	5.97	5.30	-3.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		65	46	200	932	157	183	20	70%	3.1	16.9%	19.6%	-2.7%	2.1%	5.97	5.30	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cole Schoenwetter (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.26	15.7%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.49	18.3%	2.4%	224	-0.77	—	—	—
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	92
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	88
Danny Flatt R 2024 · 6.12 FIP	20	SP-	6.12	14.5%	15.7%	4.1%	.304	5.81	13.0%	-1.9%	76	-0.31	5.37	122	84
Jefferson Jean R 2024 · 6.45 FIP	19	SP-	6.45	18.3%	21.5%	4.0%	.311	4.79	16.9%	-0.3%	87	-1.66	4.79	132	83
Trey Riley R 2019 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	10.6%	19.0%	2.1%	.344	5.78	17.4%	5.2%	74	-0.00	4.35	227	83
Kevin Gowdy R 2019 · 5.31 FIP	21	SP-	5.31	11.1%	17.0%	1.8%	.321	5.50	16.3%	6.0%	130	+0.19	3.11	333	82
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	81
Wills Montgomerie R 2018 · 5.10 FIP	23	SP-	5.10	19.3%	19.1%	2.2%	.275	4.51	20.1%	6.0%	105	-0.59	4.51	153	81
Luis Mateo R 2015 · 5.17 FIP	22	SP-	5.17	11.4%	14.7%	2.1%	.315	5.67	15.0%	-1.3%	55	+0.50	4.52	112	81
Fernando Baez R 2015 · 6.56 FIP	23	SP-	6.56	18.6%	18.8%	4.8%	.322	4.51	26.9%	7.8%	94	-2.05	3.45	129	80
Luis Mora R 2016 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	16.3%	15.4%	3.8%	.303	5.27	23.9%	1.2%	43	-0.51	3.95	119	80
Orlando Gonzalez R 2024 · 6.34 FIP	21	SP-	6.34	13.8%	18.8%	3.7%	.155	4.18	18.9%	4.9%	71	-2.16	3.83	114	80
Jacob Cravey R 2024 · 5.15 FIP	22	SP-	5.15	14.4%	18.0%	1.8%	.333	5.84	14.7%	1.0%	124	+0.69	4.97	208	80
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	79
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	79
Erick Reynoso R 2024 · 7.34 FIP	21	SP-	7.34	13.1%	22.6%	4.5%	.226	6.10	15.5%	-7.0%	107	-1.24	6.06	180	79
Luis Martinez-Gomez R 2024 · 5.22 FIP	21	SP-	5.22	13.9%	15.4%	2.5%	.237	4.69	20.8%	6.1%	105	-0.53	3.76	133	79
Rubén Menes R 2024 · 5.62 FIP	22	SP-	5.62	15.8%	15.2%	3.5%	.235	4.77	15.6%	2.4%	81	-0.85	3.39	112	79
Mason McGwire R 2024 · 6.46 FIP	20	SP-	6.46	11.7%	21.2%	3.0%	.298	4.11	21.4%	10.7%	79	-2.35	4.11	155	78
Drew Conover R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	23	SW	6.25	15.6%	29.8%	1.3%	.272	5.19	12.6%	-3.4%	106	-1.06	4.49	145	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.1	70	18.6%	15.6%	1.13	5.51
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*