Roch Cholowsky — OGILVIE

Roch CholowskySS Winston-Salem Dash

Age 22 R/R A+ HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†86

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .300 / .358

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%8

BABIP290

ISO125

MLB%11%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$24M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 59

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT49

scouting grade only

POWER59

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE65

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Arb-1	$4M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.1M
2034	Arb-2	$5M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$6M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$12M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	46	36	6	3	0	1	7	9	2	3	0	167	333	333	667	167	185	20	15	306	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	46	39	6	3	0	1	4	12	2	3	0	154	267	308	574	154	155	26	9	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	46	39	6	3	0	1	4	12	2	3	0	154	267	308	574	154	185	26	9	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	Winston-Salem Dash	—	46	36	6	3	0	1	7	9	2	3	0	167	333	333	667	167	185	20	15	306	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	46	40	6	3	0	1	4	12	2	3	0	150	267	300	567	150	155	26	9	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	—	46	40	6	3	0	1	4	12	2	3	0	150	267	300	567	150	155	26	9	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CWS	11%	156	139	31	8	1	3	13	41	3	4	1	222	299	355	655	133	289	26	8	295	86	-3	+0	+2	+2	+3	0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	22	MLB CTX	CWS	11%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	223	300	358	658	135	290	33	0	296	86	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	CWS	43%	129	116	27	7	1	3	10	34	2	3	1	224	302	362	663	137	290	26	8	298	88	-2	+0	+1	+1	+3	0.4
2029	24	MLB MLE	CWS	52%	253	226	51	13	1	5	21	65	4	5	1	227	304	367	671	140	291	26	8	301	90	-3	+1	+3	+3	+5	0.9
2030	25	MLB MLE	CWS	56%	334	298	69	17	2	8	27	86	6	6	1	228	305	371	676	143	291	26	8	303	91	-4	+1	+4	+4	+7	1.3
2031	26	MLB MLE	CWS	57%	387	345	79	19	2	9	32	99	7	7	1	229	306	373	679	144	291	26	8	304	92	-4	+1	+5	+4	+8	1.5
2032	27	MLB MLE	CWS	57%	415	371	85	20	2	10	34	106	7	8	1	229	306	373	678	144	291	26	8	304	92	-4	+1	+5	+4	+9	1.6
2033	28	MLB MLE	CWS	56%	429	384	87	21	2	10	35	110	7	7	1	227	304	368	672	141	290	26	8	301	90	-5	+1	+5	+5	+9	1.5
2034	29	MLB MLE	CWS	55%	430	385	86	21	2	9	35	112	7	7	2	225	301	362	663	137	289	26	8	298	88	-6	+1	+4	+5	+9	1.3
2035	30	MLB MLE	CWS	54%	427	382	86	21	2	9	35	112	7	7	2	222	298	355	653	133	287	26	8	293	85	-8	+1	+3	+5	+9	1.0
2036	31	MLB MLE	CWS	54%	417	375	82	20	2	8	33	111	6	6	2	218	293	346	639	128	284	27	8	288	81	-9	+0	+3	+4	+9	0.7
2037	32	MLB MLE	CWS	54%	401	360	76	18	2	7	32	109	6	5	3	213	287	333	620	120	281	27	8	280	76	-12	-0	+2	+4	+9	0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	CWS	43%	56	50	11	3	0	1	5	15	1	1	0	225	302	364	667	139	291	27	9	299	88	-1	+0	+1	+1	+1	0.2
2029	24	MLB CTX	CWS	52%	132	118	28	7	1	3	11	34	2	3	0	228	305	370	674	142	292	26	8	302	90	-2	+1	+2	+1	+3	0.5
2030	25	MLB CTX	CWS	56%	186	166	37	9	1	4	15	48	3	4	1	229	306	374	679	145	292	26	8	304	91	-2	+0	+2	+2	+4	0.7
2031	26	MLB CTX	CWS	57%	222	198	45	11	1	5	18	57	4	4	1	230	307	376	683	146	292	26	8	306	92	-2	+0	+3	+2	+5	0.8
2032	27	MLB CTX	CWS	57%	235	210	49	12	1	6	19	60	4	4	1	230	306	376	682	146	292	26	8	305	92	-2	+0	+3	+3	+5	0.9
2033	28	MLB CTX	CWS	56%	242	216	50	12	1	6	20	62	4	4	1	228	304	371	676	143	291	26	8	303	90	-3	+0	+3	+3	+5	0.8
2034	29	MLB CTX	CWS	55%	237	212	48	12	1	5	19	62	4	4	1	226	302	365	667	139	290	26	8	299	88	-3	+0	+2	+3	+5	0.7
2035	30	MLB CTX	CWS	54%	232	207	46	11	1	5	19	61	4	4	1	223	298	358	656	135	288	26	8	295	85	-4	+0	+2	+2	+5	0.6
2036	31	MLB CTX	CWS	54%	225	202	45	11	1	5	18	60	3	3	1	219	294	348	642	129	285	27	8	289	81	-5	+0	+1	+2	+5	0.4
2037	32	MLB CTX	CWS	54%	216	194	42	10	1	4	17	59	3	3	2	214	288	336	623	122	281	27	8	282	76	-6	-0	+1	+2	+5	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1983	1773	401	98	9	44	161	518	32	34	9	226	302	366	668	140	293	26	8	298	86	-31	+3	+19	+21	+43	5.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	131	32	3	14	53	170	10	11	3	225	301	363	664	138	292	26	8	298	86	-10	+1	+6	+7	+14	1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	3721	3329	745	183	18	80	302	970	62	65	15	224	300	362	662	138	289	26	8	296	86	-57	+6	+36	+39	+80	10.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	130	32	3	14	53	169	11	11	3	223	301	361	662	137	289	26	8	296	86	-10	+1	+6	+7	+14	1.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#4Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#5Darwin Barneylast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,729 PA	4.1	2,729	29	29	246	294	339	+10	+46	6.5	6.5
/162	664	7	7	+2.5	+11.2	1.6	pk7: 7
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.0	1,989	43	33	225	298	362	+21	+32	4.8	4.5
/162	664	14	11	+7.1	+10.5	1.6	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Roch Cholowsky (OGILVIE)	22	30→49	42→59	50	45	220/297/352	132	289	1	1	26%	8%	86	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Agustín Ramírez 2024 · AA	22	44→48	48→55	48→55	47	226/286/366	140	275	16	10	24%	8%	84	+0.1	237/299/402	165	282	19	17	22%	7%	97	+1.1	236/301/405	169	279	19	20	22%	7%	97	+1.1
✕Nick Yorke 2024 · AA	22	48→57	46→50	50→55	43	236/293/366	130	314	14	13	29%	7%	86	+0.3	248/304/358	110	328	11	17	26%	7%	88	+0.4	250/308/351	102	325	10	18	25%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A	22	46→50	42→50	51→50	42	219/286/327	109	306	9	11	30%	7%	74	-0.5	211/283/339	128	327	14	12	37%	7%	77	-0.3	246/324/371	124	344	12	15	29%	8%	98	+0.8
✕Christian Villanueva 2013 · A	22	46→47	44→55	47→50	40	226/282/339	114	291	11	13	26%	5%	76	-0.4	218/266/358	140	275	15	6	26%	5%	74	-0.5	228/286/406	177	263	24	3	23%	6%	93	+0.6
✕Cayden Wallace 2024 · AA	22	45→49	44→50	53→50	45	220/280/345	125	285	10	13	26%	7%	76	-0.4	226/279/351	125	289	12	13	25%	6%	77	-0.3	232/281/372	140	285	16	15	24%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Andy Burns 2013 · A	22	43→53	47→50	54→55	42	211/280/356	145	295	13	13	32%	7%	80	-0.2	239/287/369	130	297	11	16	22%	6%	84	+0.1	250/295/369	119	301	10	15	20%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Ryan Bliss 2022 · A	22	43→51	47→50	51→60	39	215/265/348	133	294	15	16	31%	6%	72	-0.7	215/279/342	127	288	12	32	28%	7%	76	-0.4	232/299/362	129	300	10	41	25%	7%	85	+0.2
●Graham Pauley 2023 · A	22	45→52	45→55	48→50	52	224/302/352	128	270	12	12	21%	9%	86	+0.3	233/300/393	160	281	18	11	23%	8%	95	+1.0	226/297/390	163	268	19	11	23%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Jake Rogers 2018 · A	23	41→40	44→60	47→45	42	205/269/329	123	282	11	10	30%	7%	69	-0.9	200/273/347	147	275	17	7	32%	8%	75	-0.5	210/288/419	208	272	29	1	33%	8%	97	+0.6
●Matt McLain 2022 · A	22	46→56	44→55	53→55	48	221/299/337	116	298	11	20	28%	9%	82	+0.0	239/322/420	181	326	19	22	30%	9%	109	+2.0	234/319/405	170	315	19	23	30%	10%	104	+1.4
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	47→45	43→45	47→70	45	231/292/348	117	278	10	9	21%	6%	81	-0.1	219/292/328	109	283	9	26	25%	8%	78	-0.3	226/318/339	113	301	10	63	26%	9%	91	+0.4
✕Miguel Amaya 2021 · A	22	43	46→50	48→40	47	217/290/349	133	270	14	4	25%	8%	82	-0.0	222/315/352	130	303	13	6	29%	9%	92	+0.7	216/325/362	146	296	16	3	30%	10%	98	+0.3
✕Chris Nelson 2008 · A	22	46→56	47→50	53→50	42	231/279/375	144	285	13	13	24%	6%	83	+0.1	231/285/360	129	287	12	12	23%	6%	82	-0.0	260/302/395	135	314	13	7	21%	5%	95	+0.7
✕Nick Senzel 2017 · A	22	48→58	45→50	51→50	47	232/297/367	135	304	10	16	26%	8%	88	+0.4	256/311/403	147	336	12	14	26%	7%	101	+1.4	263/317/416	154	341	14	16	26%	7%	104	+1.0
✕Steve Tolleson 2006 · A	22	42→52	44→45	50	51	208/290/327	119	246	12	8	20%	9%	77	-0.3	236/308/337	101	301	8	12	22%	9%	85	+0.2	256/314/373	117	303	10	12	18%	7%	92	+0.6
✕Eddys Leonard 2023 · A	22	45→47	48→50	45→50	42	226/295/372	146	296	15	5	28%	6%	89	+0.5	222/280/363	141	284	16	8	27%	6%	81	-0.1	215/271/359	144	269	17	9	26%	5%	74	-0.4
✕Alan Espinoza 2013 · AAA	22	45	43→50	52→45	42	218/274/333	115	306	10	11	31%	7%	71	-0.8	234/288/354	120	289	12	8	23%	6%	81	-0.1	250/290/391	141	287	16	3	19%	4%	88	+0.2
●Hunter Goodman 2022 · A	22	46→50	42→65	50→40	43	219/290/331	112	301	9	7	29%	7%	78	-0.3	214/267/405	191	281	24	4	33%	6%	86	+0.3	232/286/458	227	274	32	3	28%	6%	107	+1.6
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	48→52	41→45	48→45	51	225/337/325	100	294	8	9	24%	9%	95	+1.0	235/325/347	112	296	10	7	23%	7%	95	+0.9	237/330/347	110	299	10	5	22%	7%	95	+0.5
✕Jeferson Morales 2022 · A	23	41→47	47→45	48→50	48	209/292/350	141	261	14	9	25%	8%	83	+0.1	206/282/335	129	268	13	9	27%	7%	76	-0.4	222/297/349	127	274	11	8	22%	7%	81	-0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps