Santiago Quintero prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Santiago Quintero P ACL Angels

Age 21 LHP 6'3" / 180 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 16 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109117vR 125

ERA4.83

FIP4.83

K%22.9%

BB%12.9%

K-BB%10.0%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	12	7	44	190	48	27	2	58%	3.7	17.2%	17.8%	-0.6%	1.8%	3.89	4.91	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	12	7	44	190	48	27	2	58%	3.7	25.3%	14.2%	11.1%	1.1%	3.89	3.35	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	13	0	27	130	34	22	2	0%	2.1	17.8%	21.2%	-3.4%	2.4%	4.94	5.58	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	13	0	27	130	34	22	2	0%	2.1	17.8%	21.2%	-3.4%	2.4%	4.94	5.58	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	ACL Angels	13	0	27	130	34	22	2	0%	2.1	26.2%	16.9%	9.2%	1.5%	4.94	3.98	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	2	0	1	9	2	2	0	0%	0.7	22.2%	22.2%	0.0%	0.0%	6.75	4.04	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Angels	2	0	1	9	2	2	0	0%	0.7	22.2%	22.2%	0.0%	0.0%	6.75	4.04	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Angels	2	0	1	9	2	2	0	0%	0.7	22.2%	22.2%	0.0%	0.0%	6.75	4.60	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	21	MLB	LAA	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.9%	12.9%	10.0%	3.0%	4.83	4.83	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	LAA	19	0	20	84	20	10	2	0%	1.1	23.9%	11.4%	12.5%	2.9%	4.62	4.52	+0.0
2027	22	MLB CTX	LAA	10	0	10	42	10	5	1	0%	1.0	23.9%	11.4%	12.5%	2.9%	4.62	4.52	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	10	42	10	5	1	0%	1.1	23.9%	11.4%	12.5%	2.9%	4.62	4.14	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	203	102	20	0%	1.1	23.9%	11.4%	12.5%	2.9%	4.62	4.14	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		27	7	73	329	58	63	7	26%	2.7	17.6%	19.2%	-1.7%	2.0%	4.33	5.15	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		74	19	200	906	159	174	18	26%	2.7	17.6%	19.2%	-1.7%	2.0%	4.33	5.15	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Santiago Quintero (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.83	22.9%	12.9%	3.0%	—	4.52	23.9%	12.5%	20	-0.31	—	—	—
Matt Osterberg L 2021 · 3.88 FIP	22	SW	3.88	20.2%	12.3%	1.7%	.255	4.04	15.6%	9.3%	274	+0.16	3.70	294	82
Taylor Hearn L 2016 · 3.99 FIP	21	SW	3.99	26.1%	10.6%	3.2%	.347	4.01	22.3%	11.7%	236	+0.02	3.72	572	81
Lucas Knowles L 2021 · 3.90 FIP	23	SW	3.90	20.5%	12.9%	1.6%	.366	4.22	18.5%	9.4%	177	+0.32	3.37	308	80
Sean Mellen L 2021 · 4.59 FIP	23	SU	4.59	21.5%	12.1%	3.2%	.364	4.01	21.3%	10.9%	55	-0.58	4.01	101	79
Josh Simpson L 2021 · 4.57 FIP	23	SW	4.57	23.5%	11.5%	3.6%	.290	3.26	33.2%	19.8%	102	-1.31	2.95	256	78
Dante Biasi L 2021 · 4.91 FIP	23	SW	4.91	21.5%	12.6%	3.7%	.251	5.70	19.3%	2.3%	153	+0.79	4.91	224	78
Felix Doubront L 2010 · 4.00 FIP	22	SW	4.00	20.4%	8.8%	2.7%	.312	4.02	21.6%	11.6%	323	+0.02	3.44	719	78
Chase Watkins L 2022 · 3.75 FIP	22	SU	3.75	20.6%	11.8%	1.7%	.346	4.34	17.7%	9.0%	156	+0.59	3.30	232	76
Ronny Agustin L 2016 · 3.70 FIP	21	SU	3.70	22.1%	9.4%	2.3%	.329	3.91	20.2%	3.5%	81	+0.21	3.11	158	74
Destin Dotson L 2021 · 3.90 FIP	21	SU	3.90	22.3%	12.2%	2.1%	.288	5.84	23.0%	3.1%	48	+1.94	2.90	113	74
Joe Adametz L 2023 · 5.89 FIP	23	SW	5.89	19.0%	15.0%	4.5%	.158	4.32	14.8%	5.5%	224	-1.57	3.66	248	73
Manuel Medina L 2023 · 5.09 FIP	21	SU	5.09	22.3%	11.2%	4.5%	.319	2.79	24.2%	15.4%	78	-2.30	1.26	157	73
Josh Hendrickson L 2019 · 3.80 FIP	21	SW	3.80	21.8%	6.7%	3.1%	.250	4.67	19.3%	10.9%	110	+0.87	3.80	368	73
Jake Higginbotham L 2018 · 5.15 FIP	22	SU	5.15	17.2%	10.6%	3.9%	.256	4.77	18.8%	6.4%	59	-0.38	3.28	335	73
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	73
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	72
Jonathan Hennigan L 2017 · 4.08 FIP	22	SU	4.08	22.0%	13.6%	2.0%	.341	3.57	17.5%	5.8%	119	-0.51	3.46	265	72
Caden Monke L 2022 · 5.48 FIP	22	SU	5.48	18.9%	12.8%	4.3%	.323	5.38	19.0%	-0.3%	51	-0.10	4.35	164	71
Shane McCain L 2015 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	19.8%	9.7%	3.0%	.324	4.75	16.6%	10.0%	125	+0.41	4.34	201	71
Anfernny Reyes L 2023 · 4.98 FIP	19	SU	4.98	21.6%	13.6%	3.6%	.282	4.34	21.0%	1.8%	99	-0.64	2.89	175	71