Abel De Leon — OGILVIE

Abel De LeonC DSL Cubs Red

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 180 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 50 proj PA

wRC+†45

AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .252 / .250

PA4

HR0

K%37

BB%7

ISO71

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	73	61	12	3	0	1	10	27	2	2	2	197	329	295	624	98	333	37	14	296	87	-1	-0	—	—	+2	0.0
2023	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	73	59	15	2	1	0	11	24	2	0	0	254	389	322	711	68	417	33	15	331	110	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	19	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	68	57	13	2	0	1	9	26	2	5	0	228	353	316	669	88	400	38	13	315	100	-0	+1	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	73	65	8	2	0	1	6	39	2	2	2	123	219	200	419	77	267	53	8	180	8	-8	-0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	73	63	11	1	1	0	7	35	2	0	0	175	278	222	500	48	337	48	10	215	32	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	68	61	8	1	0	1	5	39	2	5	0	131	221	197	417	66	316	57	7	181	9	-7	+1	—	—	+1	-0.5
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	73	65	8	2	0	1	6	39	2	2	2	123	219	200	419	77	280	53	8	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	73	61	12	3	0	1	10	27	2	2	2	197	329	295	624	98	333	37	14	296	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	73	63	11	1	1	0	7	35	2	0	0	175	278	222	500	48	379	48	10	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	73	59	15	2	1	0	11	24	2	0	0	254	389	322	711	68	417	33	15	331	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	68	61	8	1	0	1	5	39	2	5	0	131	221	197	417	66	333	57	7	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	68	57	13	2	0	1	9	26	2	5	0	228	353	316	669	88	400	38	13	315	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	73	65	8	2	0	1	6	39	2	2	2	123	219	200	419	77	267	53	8	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	73	64	11	1	1	0	7	35	2	0	0	172	278	219	497	47	337	48	10	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	68	61	8	1	0	1	5	39	2	5	0	131	221	197	417	66	316	57	7	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	73	64	11	1	1	0	7	35	2	0	0	172	278	219	497	47	337	48	10	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	68	61	8	1	0	1	5	39	2	5	0	131	221	197	417	66	316	57	7	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						290	25	0	234	45	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	CHC	34%	114	103	19	3	1	1	9	40	1	2	0	184	257	262	519	78	291	35	8	247	53	-6	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
2028	23	MLB MLE	CHC	48%	248	224	44	7	2	4	19	84	3	4	1	196	268	299	567	103	292	34	8	256	59	-12	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.2
2029	24	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	347	313	62	10	2	6	27	116	4	5	1	198	270	300	571	102	293	33	8	261	63	-15	+1	+0	+6	+8	-0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	408	368	73	12	2	7	32	135	5	6	1	198	272	299	571	101	293	33	8	265	65	-17	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.0
2031	26	MLB MLE	CHC	56%	445	401	81	13	3	8	35	147	6	6	1	202	276	309	585	107	293	33	8	266	66	-18	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.0
2032	27	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	464	418	84	14	3	8	37	154	6	7	2	201	275	306	582	105	293	33	8	266	66	-19	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.0
2033	28	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	471	424	85	14	3	8	38	157	6	6	2	200	276	304	580	104	292	33	8	265	65	-19	+0	-1	+8	+10	-0.1
2034	29	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	469	422	84	14	3	8	38	157	6	6	1	199	275	303	578	104	291	33	8	263	64	-20	+1	-1	+8	+10	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	CHC	34%	39	35	6	1	0	0	3	14	1	1	0	171	256	200	456	29	294	36	8	239	53	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	23	MLB CTX	CHC	48%	120	108	22	4	1	2	9	41	2	2	0	204	277	315	592	111	295	34	8	247	59	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	183	165	33	6	1	3	14	61	2	3	1	200	271	303	574	103	296	33	8	253	63	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	223	201	42	7	2	4	17	74	3	3	1	209	281	323	604	114	296	33	8	256	65	-9	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.0
2031	26	MLB CTX	CHC	56%	248	224	46	8	2	4	19	82	3	4	1	205	276	312	589	107	295	33	8	257	66	-10	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.0
2032	27	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	255	230	47	8	2	4	20	84	3	4	1	204	277	309	585	104	295	33	8	257	66	-10	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.0
2033	28	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	257	231	47	8	2	4	21	86	3	3	1	203	278	307	586	104	295	33	8	256	65	-11	+0	-0	+5	+6	-0.1
2034	29	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	250	225	45	7	2	4	20	84	3	3	1	200	274	302	576	102	294	34	8	254	64	-11	+0	-1	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1575	1419	288	49	12	25	123	526	20	23	6	203	276	307	583	104	301	33	8	255	61	-67	+2	-1	+28	+34	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	118	20	5	10	51	217	8	9	2	201	274	304	578	102	298	33	8	255	61	-28	+1	-0	+12	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	3184	2866	559	91	20	52	253	1104	43	49	11	195	270	295	566	100	294	35	8	258	61	-127	+5	-2	+53	+64	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	115	19	4	11	52	225	9	10	2	197	272	299	572	103	295	35	8	258	61	-28	+1	-0	+12	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.4	1,626	27	22	200	272	303	+29	+20	0.6	0.7
/162	664	11	9	+11.9	+8.2	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Abel De Leon (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	180/252/250	70	290	0	1	37%	7%	45	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pablo Aliendo 2022 · A	21	39	39→50	44→45	37	186/262/264	78	301	7	6	38%	6%	52	-2.2	204/269/325	121	300	13	5	35%	6%	68	-1.0	197/266/334	137	285	16	5	35%	7%	66	-0.6
✕Steven Baron 2012 · A	21	34	39→45	45→50	36	172/216/255	83	252	7	7	34%	5%	31	-3.7	189/226/284	95	266	6	9	30%	4%	41	-3.0	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Frank Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	40	40→45	48→30	38	195/255/282	87	294	7	4	35%	6%	53	-2.1	178/234/262	84	256	7	3	32%	6%	40	-3.0	183/244/267	84	244	9	1	28%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Arturo De Freitas 2023 · A	22	35	39→45	45→40	34	174/222/255	81	277	7	4	39%	5%	34	-3.5	184/241/265	81	306	8	5	40%	6%	44	-2.8	141/191/216	75	260	9	0	47%	5%	11	-1.0
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	47	-2.6	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	53	-2.1	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	49	-0.9
✕Nelson Medina 2021 · A	20	37	39→45	48→50	39	176/249/261	85	299	6	10	40%	8%	47	-2.6	197/277/297	100	311	7	14	35%	9%	65	-1.2	144/220/221	77	270	5	19	45%	8%	24	-1.3
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→29	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	49	-2.4	210/275/314	104	329	8	15	36%	7%	68	-1.0	190/253/306	116	287	12	16	36%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Freuddy Batista 2021 · A	21	40	41→50	48→40	35	192/245/289	98	307	8	5	39%	6%	50	-2.3	206/273/352	146	297	16	6	34%	7%	76	-0.4	199/268/348	150	286	16	5	34%	6%	71	-0.4
✕Geovanny Planchart 2023 · A	21	41	36→40	50→40	46	189/270/254	65	297	3	5	34%	10%	53	-2.1	192/278/273	81	283	5	4	31%	10%	60	-1.6	178/270/257	78	255	6	2	30%	10%	51	-0.9
✕Carson Tucker 2023 · A	21	39	38→40	52→55	34	165/237/245	80	349	6	11	50%	8%	38	-3.2	185/249/268	83	386	7	9	49%	7%	47	-2.5	198/251/262	64	338	3	18	40%	6%	44	-1.0
✕Miguel Jerez 2018 · A	20	36	37→60	47→40	38	175/233/245	70	281	4	5	37%	7%	36	-3.4	176/241/304	128	277	16	4	40%	7%	53	-2.1	137/212/274	137	203	19	1	42%	7%	35	-1.3
✕Dale Burdick 2017 · A	21	38	39→45	49→50	38	178/248/265	88	296	5	7	39%	7%	47	-2.6	177/252/273	96	312	7	8	42%	8%	50	-2.3	144/231/235	92	254	8	8	43%	9%	31	-1.3
✕Adam Zebrowski 2022 · A	21	44→35	39→50	49→40	38	206/267/292	86	316	5	7	34%	6%	59	-1.7	190/262/310	120	286	13	4	36%	8%	62	-1.4	188/241/319	130	273	18	2	37%	5%	53	-1.3
✕Payton Henry 2018 · A	21	39→31	42→45	46→30	38	189/254/293	104	302	8	3	38%	7%	55	-1.9	184/249/284	100	318	10	2	43%	6%	51	-2.2	242/289/361	119	320	16	1	29%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Omar Meregildo 2018 · A	20	36→33	37→45	47→30	38	174/239/249	74	275	4	6	36%	6%	39	-3.1	196/254/306	110	314	10	3	38%	7%	58	-1.7	173/241/298	125	280	15	1	41%	7%	50	-1.2
✕Juan Zabala 2021 · A	22	40	39→40	48→50	37	189/252/274	85	300	6	6	37%	6%	50	-2.3	212/274/306	94	301	9	13	30%	7%	65	-1.2	206/268/289	83	286	8	16	29%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Yeuris Ramirez 2019 · A	20	33	39→40	47→50	40	163/252/248	85	260	6	8	37%	7%	45	-2.7	192/272/290	98	317	8	13	39%	7%	62	-1.4	158/238/238	80	331	8	23	50%	6%	35	-1.2
✕Justin Twine 2017 · A	21	37→32	37→40	45→50	29	181/219/250	69	290	4	7	38%	3%	31	-3.7	199/238/279	80	295	5	9	33%	3%	45	-2.7	214/250/302	88	318	6	14	33%	3%	53	-1.2
✕Lizandro Espinoza 2023 · A	20	38→24	37→45	51→60	37	182/239/259	77	286	4	10	36%	6%	40	-3.0	159/226/247	88	256	8	13	39%	7%	34	-3.5	160/233/271	111	241	12	30	37%	7%	41	-1.7
✕Max George 2017 · A	21	39→38	40→45	47→55	43	187/274/280	93	280	7	10	33%	8%	61	-1.5	185/265/295	110	249	10	19	28%	7%	61	-1.5	164/253/286	122	221	13	23	31%	8%	52	-1.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps