Omar Victorino

P FCL Mets

Age 22 RHP 6'2" / 170 lbs ROK peak 0.4 · 2030

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	ROKNYM	10	8	28	5.46	4.31	28.7%	24.3%	—	K 19.5% · BB 30.3% · FIP 5.88
2025	20	MIX2 levels	19	11	66	3.97	4.14	18.1%	13.9%	—	K 12.6% · BB 16.9% · FIP 5.32
2026	21	MIX2 levels	21	2	32	7.96	4.33	20.7%	18.9%	—	K 14.4% · BB 23.0% · FIP 5.26
2027PROJ	22	MLBNYM	24	0	25	6.06	6.06	16.7%	19.4%	-0.4
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBNYM	29	0	30	5.64	5.48	18.8%	16.3%	-0.3
2029PROJ70% MLB	24	MLBNYM	42	0	44	5.28	5.11	20.0%	14.2%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsRadhames Liz (age 23) · Drew Conover (age 23) · Reynardo Cruz (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 148140vR 132

ERA6.06

FIP6.06

K%16.7%

BB%19.4%

K-BB%-2.7%

Proj IP25

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Mets 1	13	11	37	174	37	32	2	85%	2.8	14.5%	23.0%	-8.5%	1.7%	5.11	5.72	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Mets 1	13	11	37	174	37	32	2	85%	2.8	21.3%	18.4%	2.9%	1.1%	5.11	4.40	—
2023	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	7	21	122	25	28	2	70%	2.1	15.9%	23.4%	-7.5%	2.5%	10.89	6.10	—
2023	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	7	21	122	25	28	2	70%	2.1	20.5%	23.0%	-2.5%	1.6%	10.89	6.00	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	10	8	28	136	39	33	1	80%	2.8	19.5%	30.3%	-10.8%	1.1%	5.46	5.88	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Mets	10	8	28	136	39	33	1	80%	2.8	19.5%	30.3%	-10.8%	1.1%	5.46	5.88	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Mets	10	8	28	136	39	33	1	80%	2.8	28.7%	24.3%	4.4%	0.7%	5.46	4.31	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	11	66	288	52	40	4	58%	3.5	12.6%	16.9%	-4.2%	2.1%	3.97	5.32	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	11	66	288	52	40	4	58%	3.5	12.6%	16.9%	-4.2%	2.1%	3.97	5.32	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	11	66	288	52	40	4	58%	3.5	18.1%	13.9%	4.2%	1.4%	3.97	4.14	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	2	32	169	35	32	1	10%	1.5	14.4%	23.0%	-8.6%	0.8%	7.96	5.26	—
2026	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	2	32	169	35	32	1	10%	1.5	14.4%	23.0%	-8.6%	0.8%	7.96	5.26	—
2026	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	2	32	169	35	32	1	10%	1.5	20.7%	18.9%	1.8%	0.6%	7.96	4.33	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	NYM	24	0	25	106	18	21	3	0%	1.0	16.7%	19.4%	-2.7%	2.8%	6.06	6.06	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	NYM	58	0	61	259	49	42	7	0%	1.1	18.8%	16.3%	2.4%	2.8%	5.64	5.48	-0.6
2029	24	MLB MLE	NYM	60	0	63	265	53	38	7	0%	1.0	20.0%	14.2%	5.8%	2.8%	5.28	5.11	-0.4
2030	25	MLB MLE	NYM	61	0	64	269	56	35	7	0%	1.0	20.7%	12.9%	7.8%	2.8%	5.02	4.87	-0.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	NYM	61	0	64	269	56	34	7	0%	1.0	21.0%	12.8%	8.2%	2.8%	4.90	4.83	-0.2
2032	27	MLB MLE	NYM	60	0	63	264	55	34	7	0%	1.0	21.0%	12.8%	8.2%	2.8%	4.88	4.87	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	NYM	29	0	30	127	24	21	4	0%	1.0	18.8%	16.3%	2.4%	2.8%	5.64	5.48	-0.3
2029	24	MLB CTX	NYM	42	0	44	186	37	26	5	0%	1.0	20.0%	14.2%	5.8%	2.8%	5.28	5.11	-0.3
2030	25	MLB CTX	NYM	50	0	52	220	45	28	6	0%	1.0	20.7%	12.9%	7.8%	2.8%	5.02	4.87	-0.2
2031	26	MLB CTX	NYM	53	0	56	236	50	30	7	0%	1.1	21.0%	12.8%	8.2%	2.8%	4.90	4.83	-0.2
2032	27	MLB CTX	NYM	54	0	57	241	51	31	7	0%	1.1	21.0%	12.8%	8.2%	2.8%	4.88	4.87	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		226	0	238	1003	205	136	28	0%	1.1	20.5%	13.5%	6.9%	2.8%	5.09	4.60	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	173	114	24	0%	1.1	20.5%	13.5%	6.9%	2.8%	5.09	4.60	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		73	39	183	889	132	197	15	53%	2.5	14.8%	22.2%	-7.4%	1.7%	5.90	5.58	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		80	43	200	972	144	216	16	53%	2.5	14.8%	22.2%	-7.4%	1.7%	5.90	5.58	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Omar Victorino (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.06	16.7%	19.4%	2.8%	—	5.15	19.8%	5.4%	188	-0.91	—	—	—
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	86
Drew Conover R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	23	SW	6.25	15.6%	29.8%	1.3%	.272	5.19	12.6%	-3.4%	106	-1.06	4.49	145	84
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	84
Alex Makarewich R 2024 · 6.15 FIP	22	SP-	6.15	19.7%	26.7%	2.4%	.425	5.15	26.4%	-3.3%	83	-1.00	4.26	110	82
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	81
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	80
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	80
Seth McClung R 2003 · 5.63 FIP	22	SW	5.63	15.0%	14.4%	3.6%	.241	5.29	15.3%	2.8%	212	-0.34	2.52	430	80
Mason McGwire R 2024 · 6.46 FIP	20	SP-	6.46	11.7%	21.2%	3.0%	.298	4.11	21.4%	10.7%	79	-2.35	4.11	155	80
Keegan Zinn R 2024 · 6.40 FIP	19	SP-	6.40	19.1%	19.5%	4.4%	.318	5.80	19.0%	-1.9%	112	-0.60	4.88	145	79
Hansel Rosario R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SW	5.54	19.2%	22.2%	2.3%	.306	7.16	16.3%	-21.0%	19	+1.62	5.25	107	78
Aneuris Rodriguez R 2024 · 5.22 FIP	20	SW	5.22	16.0%	18.8%	2.0%	.310	6.65	14.6%	-15.5%	14	+1.43	3.15	118	78
Orlando Gonzalez R 2024 · 6.34 FIP	21	SP-	6.34	13.8%	18.8%	3.7%	.155	4.18	18.9%	4.9%	71	-2.16	3.83	114	78
Justin Ferrell R 2016 · 5.30 FIP	22	SW	5.30	14.9%	14.0%	3.1%	.261	4.34	20.4%	9.1%	173	-0.96	3.83	300	77
Aneudis Mejia R 2023 · 7.12 FIP	19	SW	7.12	18.7%	29.9%	3.3%	.404	5.03	16.9%	1.3%	102	-2.09	4.36	122	77
Johan Moreno R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	21	SW	6.25	13.2%	16.7%	3.9%	.325	4.36	20.7%	8.0%	115	-1.89	3.09	216	77
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	77
Kevin Valdez R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	21	SP-	4.87	16.6%	17.9%	1.7%	.188	4.97	16.0%	3.2%	189	+0.10	3.46	263	77
Alberto Tirado R 2017 · 5.69 FIP	22	SW	5.69	14.7%	18.5%	2.7%	.294	3.82	16.5%	-0.2%	33	-1.87	3.78	247	77
Ted Stuka R 2021 · 5.72 FIP	24	SW	5.72	12.4%	23.4%	1.3%	.262	6.22	15.9%	-13.1%	41	+0.50	5.36	105	76

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	56	20.0%	14.2%	1.07	5.21
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*