Jose Meneses — OGILVIE

Jose Meneses P Wilson Warbirds

Age 21 LHP 6'1" / 150 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 13 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136144vR 152

ERA6.28

FIP6.28

K%20.0%

BB%22.6%

K-BB%-2.6%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 13 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 2	14	0	22	101	19	21	1	0%	1.6	12.8%	26.0%	-13.2%	0.7%	3.68	5.71	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 2	14	0	22	101	19	21	1	0%	1.6	18.8%	20.8%	-2.0%	1.0%	3.68	4.83	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	11	5	35	160	34	26	0	45%	3.2	14.5%	20.3%	-5.9%	0.0%	3.63	4.45	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers 1	11	5	35	160	34	26	0	45%	3.2	14.5%	20.3%	-5.9%	0.0%	3.63	4.45	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers 1	11	5	35	160	34	26	0	45%	3.2	21.2%	16.2%	5.0%	0.0%	3.63	3.39	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	7	1	19	106	13	24	2	14%	2.7	8.3%	28.3%	-20.0%	2.8%	10.89	7.51	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Brewers	7	1	19	106	13	24	2	14%	2.7	8.3%	28.3%	-20.0%	2.8%	10.89	7.51	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Brewers	7	1	19	106	13	24	2	14%	2.7	12.3%	22.6%	-10.4%	1.9%	10.89	6.89	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	0	24	123	32	29	2	0%	1.4	19.2%	26.1%	-7.0%	2.6%	8.51	6.23	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	0	24	123	32	29	2	0%	1.4	19.2%	26.1%	-7.0%	2.6%	8.51	6.23	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	0	24	123	32	29	2	0%	1.4	26.0%	23.6%	2.4%	1.6%	8.51	5.11	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	37	1	57	229	72	27	1	3%	1.5	23.6%	13.7%	9.8%	0.6%	2.21	3.16	—
YTD	21	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	37	1	57	229	72	27	1	3%	1.5	23.6%	13.7%	9.8%	0.6%	2.21	3.16	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	21	A RAW	MIL	23	0	38	152	50	14	1	0%	1.7	32.9%	9.2%	23.7%	0.7%	1.88	1.85	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	MIL	14	1	19	77	22	13	0	7%	1.3	28.6%	16.9%	11.7%	0.0%	2.89	2.83	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIL	56	0	59	247	53	46	7	0%	1.0	21.3%	18.5%	2.8%	2.9%	5.81	5.62	-0.7
2028	23	MLB MLE	MIL	58	0	61	257	57	41	7	0%	1.0	22.2%	15.8%	6.4%	2.9%	5.40	5.19	-0.4
2027	22	MLB CTX	MIL	28	0	29	122	26	23	4	0%	1.0	21.3%	18.5%	2.8%	2.9%	5.81	5.62	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	MIL	42	0	44	186	41	29	5	0%	1.0	22.2%	15.8%	6.4%	2.9%	5.40	5.19	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		70	0	73	309	68	52	9	0%	1.0	21.9%	16.9%	5.0%	2.9%	5.56	4.98	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	186	142	25	0%	1.1	21.9%	16.9%	5.0%	2.9%	5.56	4.98	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		87	7	157	719	122	152	8	8%	1.8	17.0%	21.2%	-4.2%	1.1%	4.76	4.97	-1.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		111	9	200	916	156	194	10	8%	1.8	17.0%	21.2%	-4.2%	1.1%	4.76	4.97	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jose Meneses (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.28	20.0%	22.6%	3.0%	—	5.40	21.8%	4.6%	119	-0.88	—	—	—
Brayan Restituyo L 2023 · 5.53 FIP	21	SU	5.53	17.4%	17.3%	3.1%	.312	4.76	17.6%	5.6%	151	-0.77	3.66	239	86
Gregori Louis L 2023 · 6.48 FIP	20	SU	6.48	17.3%	20.4%	4.1%	.241	4.37	19.6%	2.9%	111	-2.11	3.58	149	83
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	83
Dillon Larsen L 2022 · 5.90 FIP	24	SU	5.90	21.7%	21.6%	3.5%	.277	4.65	18.0%	-4.1%	91	-1.25	4.04	120	83
Adrian Almeida L 2016 · 5.65 FIP	21	SU	5.65	18.6%	15.3%	4.0%	.295	4.97	18.4%	-4.1%	119	-0.68	4.27	188	82
Blake Townsend L 2022 · 5.83 FIP	21	SU	5.83	18.3%	17.5%	3.8%	.170	3.73	18.1%	8.4%	167	-2.10	3.34	305	82
Jayvien Sandridge L 2019 · 6.78 FIP	20	SU	6.78	19.0%	23.9%	4.1%	.324	3.61	27.9%	5.2%	41	-3.17	3.34	223	81
Starlin Savinon L 2023 · 7.01 FIP	18	SU	7.01	14.9%	27.3%	3.1%	.327	3.87	17.2%	2.4%	109	-3.14	3.67	128	80
Francis Beriguete L 2021 · 6.05 FIP	21	SU	6.05	20.8%	27.7%	2.2%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.40	101	80
Julian Bosnic L 2023 · 5.72 FIP	23	SU	5.72	22.5%	21.0%	3.4%	.206	4.74	19.1%	-0.1%	90	-0.98	4.31	136	79
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	79
Gil Luna L 2023 · 5.37 FIP	24	SU	5.37	22.5%	24.5%	1.9%	.303	4.95	19.7%	-6.0%	73	-0.42	4.57	113	79
Max Herrmann L 2017 · 5.09 FIP	24	SU	5.09	15.0%	17.9%	1.8%	.333	4.37	12.2%	0.8%	152	-0.72	3.93	168	79
Bryan King L 2021 · 5.20 FIP	24	SU	5.20	17.4%	17.8%	2.4%	.317	2.86	24.0%	14.5%	77	-2.34	2.45	239	77
Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.42 FIP	23	SU	6.42	23.4%	21.7%	4.6%	.330	4.15	23.9%	5.2%	99	-2.27	3.91	148	77
Cristhian Tortosa L 2021 · 6.76 FIP	22	SU	6.76	19.8%	23.0%	4.4%	.357	4.82	20.3%	1.4%	60	-1.94	3.55	228	77
Gerardo Concepción L 2015 · 5.40 FIP	23	SU	5.40	14.0%	18.5%	2.1%	.352	4.53	16.9%	6.5%	60	-0.87	4.53	104	76
Alex Robinson L 2016 · 5.59 FIP	21	SU	5.59	22.4%	26.9%	1.8%	.243	4.03	23.8%	8.8%	90	-1.56	3.69	135	76
Denny Roman L 2021 · 5.55 FIP	22	SU	5.55	15.7%	16.7%	3.0%	.393	4.32	17.7%	4.6%	49	-1.23	3.24	109	76
Joshua Javier L 2021 · 5.77 FIP	22	SU	5.77	24.2%	27.5%	2.2%	.347	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	163	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	44	21.6%	17.7%	1.12	5.67
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91