Andy Encarnacion

CF DSL Arizona Red

Age 22 R/R 6'1" / 160 lbs ROK HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	19	ROKDSL Arizona R…	151	.250/.360/.375	2	13	26	—	.143/.240/.203
2025	20	ROKDSL Arizona R…	88	.225/.353/.338	0	9	25	—	.147/.247/.227
2027PROJ0% MLB	22	MLBARI	198	.204/.275/.287	1	6	60	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	23	MLBARI	37	.216/.286/.316	0	1	65	-0.0
2029PROJ46% MLB	24	MLBARI	110	.220/.290/.328	1	4	70	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

Speed87

Whiff%76

Z-Con%69

K%67

BB%66

ISO59

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 99%

CompsKristopher Negrón (age 22) · Kenedy Corona (age 22) · Luke Williams (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 55 proj PA

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .273 / .284

PA55

HR0

K%28

BB%8

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL D-backs Black	—	187	159	36	10	2	1	23	42	2	3	4	226	332	333	665	107	294	22	12	302	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	179	160	33	6	1	1	14	31	3	6	3	206	282	275	557	69	248	17	8	257	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	151	128	32	6	2	2	20	33	2	13	6	250	360	375	735	125	319	22	13	334	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	88	71	16	6	1	0	14	16	0	9	1	225	353	338	691	113	286	18	16	309	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs Black	—	187	164	22	5	1	1	18	52	2	3	4	134	228	195	423	61	182	28	10	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	179	164	21	3	1	0	10	38	3	6	3	128	192	159	351	30	164	21	6	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	151	133	19	3	1	1	15	41	2	13	6	143	240	203	443	60	195	27	10	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	88	75	11	4	1	0	10	21	0	9	1	147	247	227	474	80	181	24	11	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs Black	—	187	164	22	5	1	1	18	52	2	3	4	134	228	195	423	61	184	28	10	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs Black	—	187	159	36	10	2	1	23	42	2	3	4	226	332	333	665	107	294	22	12	302	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	179	164	21	3	1	0	10	38	3	6	3	128	192	159	351	30	165	21	6	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	—	179	160	33	6	1	1	14	31	3	6	3	206	282	275	557	69	248	17	8	257	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	151	133	19	3	1	1	15	41	2	13	6	143	240	203	443	60	196	27	10	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	—	151	128	32	6	2	2	20	33	2	13	6	250	360	375	735	125	319	22	13	334	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	88	75	11	4	1	0	10	21	0	9	1	147	247	227	474	80	200	24	11	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	—	88	71	16	6	1	0	14	16	0	9	1	225	353	338	691	113	286	18	16	309	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs Black	—	187	165	22	5	1	1	18	52	2	3	4	133	228	194	422	61	182	28	10	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	179	164	21	3	1	0	10	38	3	6	3	128	192	159	351	30	164	21	6	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	151	133	19	3	1	1	15	41	2	13	6	143	240	203	443	60	195	27	10	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	88	78	11	4	1	0	10	21	0	9	1	141	247	218	465	77	181	24	11	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	151	133	19	3	1	1	15	41	2	13	6	143	240	203	443	60	195	27	10	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	88	78	11	4	1	0	10	21	0	9	1	141	247	218	465	77	181	24	11	205	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	198	178	36	7	2	1	16	55	2	6	1	204	275	287	562	83	282	28	8	257	60	-9	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	ARI	34%	108	97	20	4	1	1	9	29	1	4	1	209	280	302	581	93	283	27	8	265	65	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	ARI	46%	238	215	46	9	2	3	19	64	2	8	1	213	284	314	598	101	285	27	8	271	70	-9	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
2030	25	MLB MLE	ARI	52%	324	291	64	12	3	5	27	86	3	11	2	216	287	324	611	109	285	27	8	276	73	-10	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.1
2031	26	MLB MLE	ARI	54%	381	344	74	14	3	6	31	101	3	13	2	218	289	332	621	114	286	27	8	280	76	-11	+2	+0	+1	+8	0.1
2032	27	MLB MLE	ARI	54%	410	370	80	15	3	7	34	108	3	14	2	218	290	334	623	115	286	26	8	281	76	-11	+2	+0	+1	+9	0.1
2033	28	MLB MLE	ARI	54%	426	385	83	16	3	7	35	113	3	14	2	217	288	329	617	113	285	27	8	279	75	-13	+2	-1	+2	+9	-0.1
2034	29	MLB MLE	ARI	53%	428	387	83	16	3	7	35	115	3	14	2	214	285	323	608	109	284	27	8	275	72	-14	+2	-1	+2	+9	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	ARI	34%	37	34	6	1	0	0	3	10	0	1	0	216	286	316	603	100	294	27	8	273	65	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	24	MLB CTX	ARI	46%	110	99	21	4	1	1	9	30	1	4	1	220	290	328	619	109	296	27	8	279	70	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2030	25	MLB CTX	ARI	52%	167	150	34	7	2	2	14	44	1	6	1	223	293	338	631	115	296	26	8	284	73	-5	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.0
2031	26	MLB CTX	ARI	54%	207	186	42	9	2	3	17	55	2	7	1	225	295	345	641	121	297	27	8	288	76	-6	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.0
2032	27	MLB CTX	ARI	54%	222	200	45	9	2	4	18	58	2	8	1	225	296	346	642	121	296	26	8	289	76	-6	+1	+0	+1	+5	0.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	ARI	54%	231	208	47	10	2	4	19	61	2	8	1	223	294	342	636	119	296	26	8	286	75	-7	+1	-0	+1	+5	-0.0
2034	29	MLB CTX	ARI	53%	227	204	45	9	2	3	19	61	2	7	1	221	291	336	627	115	294	27	8	283	72	-7	+1	-1	+1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1201	1081	240	49	11	17	99	319	10	41	6	222	293	335	628	113	297	27	8	285	62	-37	+6	-1	+4	+26	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	130	27	6	9	54	173	5	22	3	222	293	335	629	113	298	27	8	285	62	-20	+3	-1	+2	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	2975	2676	532	103	22	38	247	783	25	111	26	199	273	296	569	98	264	26	8	259	62	-75	+11	-2	+8	+51	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	117	23	5	8	54	171	5	24	6	200	273	297	571	97	266	26	8	259	62	-21	+3	-1	+2	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Ruben Rivera'95-'03 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,818 PA	2.7	1,818	64	50	206*	292*	376*	-1	+20	4.0	4.0
/162	664	23	18	-0.3	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 4
#3Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#4Luis Matos'00-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,773 PA	2.7	1,773	30	72	245*	304*	365*	+1	+10	3.2	3.2
/162	664	11	27	+0.3	+3.9	1.2	pk7: 3
#5Chuck Carr'90-'97 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,914 PA	2.9	1,914	13	144	242*	306*	331*	+6	+20	2.6	2.6
/162	664	5	50	+2.1	+7.1	0.9	pk7: 3
#6Milt Cuyler'90-'98 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,567 PA	2.4	1,567	10	77	233*	299*	338*	+1	+4	0.6	0.9
/162	664	4	33	+0.6	+1.9	0.3	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.9	1,257	19	42	216	284	326	+4	+10	0.5	0.6
/162	664	10	22	+2.4	+5.3	0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andy Encarnacion (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	202/273/284	82	282	0	2	28%	8%	60	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kristopher Negrón 2008 · A	22	43→49	37→45	55	43	204/269/274	70	275	4	18	26%	6%	56	-1.9	226/287/322	96	290	7	20	23%	6%	74	-0.6	231/294/333	102	293	8	23	23%	6%	76	-0.4
✕Kenedy Corona 2022 · A	22	43→42	39→50	52→55	39	208/262/296	88	288	6	20	29%	5%	58	-1.7	210/270/340	130	291	14	23	31%	7%	72	-0.7	201/268/328	126	276	14	27	31%	7%	65	-0.9
✕Luke Williams 2019 · A	22	41→44	38→45	50→65	42	199/251/269	70	259	6	15	25%	5%	47	-2.5	210/270/306	96	280	7	19	26%	7%	63	-1.3	229/291/325	96	311	8	37	27%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Christian Cairo 2023 · A	22	40→49	39→40	53→60	50	187/295/270	83	292	6	16	34%	11%	67	-1.1	210/302/291	81	303	5	23	29%	10%	73	-0.6	219/314/286	67	298	3	31	25%	10%	75	-0.4
✕Cade Gotta 2015 · A	23	40→50	39→45	54→55	46	193/267/282	90	272	5	16	29%	8%	57	-1.8	217/266/317	100	285	7	21	25%	6%	64	-1.3	240/299/336	96	305	5	36	21%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Lolo Sanchez 2021 · A	22	45	39→45	54→55	45	215/279/308	93	262	6	21	20%	6%	68	-1.0	214/290/322	108	258	12	18	21%	8%	76	-0.4	204/284/298	95	242	11	17	20%	9%	66	-0.7
✕Nelson Medina 2023 · A	22	41	40→45	53→50	47	195/282/289	95	292	6	13	32%	10%	65	-1.2	176/236/261	85	335	6	13	46%	7%	40	-3.0	140/198/215	76	278	6	16	49%	6%	14	-1.7
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2017 · A	21	44→40	39→50	55	45	212/283/303	91	280	6	19	25%	7%	68	-1.0	207/280/342	135	279	13	18	29%	8%	76	-0.4	195/275/337	142	264	15	19	30%	8%	71	-0.6
✕Charcer Burks 2017 · A	22	41→48	40	52→50	44	200/267/293	93	278	6	17	29%	7%	59	-1.6	209/281/303	94	291	7	14	28%	8%	68	-1.0	205/279/290	85	284	6	14	28%	8%	62	-1.2
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2008 · A	22	43	38→40	52→55	50	203/279/280	77	258	5	18	22%	8%	61	-1.5	191/249/259	68	294	4	11	34%	5%	45	-2.7	132/178/179	47	218	4	5	40%	2%	-1	-1.1
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A	22	44	42→45	55	47	215/295/325	110	284	9	14	26%	8%	78	-0.3	222/280/325	103	297	9	9	27%	6%	72	-0.7	218/275/319	102	286	9	8	26%	5%	67	-0.5
✕Tanner Schobel 2023 · A	22	45→44	38→45	52→50	47	212/285/292	80	289	6	13	27%	8%	66	-1.1	206/276/316	110	270	11	10	26%	8%	68	-1.0	198/271/309	111	256	12	10	26%	8%	63	-1.1
✕Francisco Acuna 2022 · A	22	38→47	39→45	48→50	45	184/277/270	87	267	6	10	31%	8%	60	-1.6	204/274/301	97	277	7	11	27%	6%	65	-1.2	213/284/310	97	279	9	16	25%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Lane Adams 2012 · A	22	42→45	39→50	54→60	39	203/256/294	91	297	6	12	33%	6%	55	-2.0	218/268/326	108	293	10	19	28%	6%	67	-1.1	224/277/350	126	304	14	36	30%	6%	73	-0.5
✕Peyton Graham 2024 · A	23	42→52	39→45	53→60	42	200/268/288	87	292	7	17	32%	7%	59	-1.6	211/289/307	96	293	7	23	28%	8%	72	-0.7	224/305/325	101	305	8	36	27%	8%	79	-0.1
✕David Kandilas 2013 · A	22	45→44	41→45	55	44	216/270/323	107	277	7	15	24%	6%	67	-1.1	210/271/303	93	279	7	17	26%	7%	63	-1.3	203/267/290	87	269	7	20	26%	7%	57	-1.2
✕Alex Mooney 2024 · A	22	41→39	39→40	53→55	44	196/263/283	87	261	6	12	26%	6%	56	-1.9	190/263/289	99	265	8	27	30%	7%	58	-1.7	182/255/278	96	255	8	30	30%	7%	51	-1.8
✕Levi Michael 2014 · A	23	42→52	37→45	55	49	199/278/277	78	266	4	13	25%	9%	60	-1.6	225/292/310	85	297	5	16	24%	7%	72	-0.7	226/291/335	109	312	10	11	29%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Michael Siani 2021 · A	22	43→45	38→45	54→60	41	208/264/286	78	288	6	21	29%	6%	56	-1.9	201/273/302	101	275	9	28	28%	8%	63	-1.3	211/284/306	95	276	9	33	25%	9%	67	-0.8
✕Dru Baker 2022 · A	22	45→55	38→40	56→60	41	213/265/295	82	297	4	14	29%	6%	59	-1.7	241/298/346	105	336	10	30	29%	7%	83	+0.1	250/304/340	90	346	8	39	28%	6%	80	-0.1

Andy Encarnacion

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps