Franklin Lopez — OGILVIE

Franklin LopezC ACL Rockies

Age 21 R/R 5'6" / 170 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 42 proj PA

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .279 / .323

PA4

HR0

K%26

BB%6

ISO105

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$25M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$5M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	114	86	25	6	0	0	19	23	5	2	0	291	445	360	806	70	385	20	17	367	134	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2023	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	143	124	47	13	0	6	9	19	8	1	0	379	454	629	1.083	250	410	13	6	466	202	+17	+0	—	—	+3	2.1
2024	19	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	41	38	7	1	0	0	3	8	0	0	0	184	244	211	454	26	233	20	7	215	32	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	114	93	20	5	0	0	12	31	5	2	0	215	336	269	605	54	289	27	11	270	69	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	143	127	36	10	0	4	6	27	8	1	0	283	355	457	811	173	313	19	4	338	115	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	41	39	6	1	0	0	2	12	0	0	0	154	195	179	375	26	187	29	5	146	-15	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	114	93	20	5	0	0	12	31	5	2	0	215	336	269	605	54	312	27	11	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	—	114	86	25	6	0	0	19	23	5	2	0	291	445	360	806	70	385	20	17	367	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	143	127	36	10	0	4	6	27	8	1	0	283	355	457	811	173	330	19	4	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	143	124	47	13	0	6	9	19	8	1	0	379	454	629	1.083	250	410	13	6	466	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	41	39	6	1	0	0	2	12	0	0	0	154	195	179	375	26	222	29	5	146	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	—	41	38	7	1	0	0	3	8	0	0	0	184	244	211	454	26	233	20	7	215	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	114	96	20	5	0	0	12	31	5	2	0	208	336	260	597	52	289	27	11	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	143	128	36	10	0	4	6	27	8	1	0	281	355	453	808	172	313	19	4	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	41	39	6	1	0	0	2	12	0	0	0	154	195	179	375	26	187	29	5	146	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	143	128	36	10	0	4	6	27	8	1	0	281	355	453	808	172	313	19	4	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	41	39	6	1	0	0	2	12	0	0	0	154	195	179	375	26	187	29	5	146	-15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	COL	0%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		289	25	0	274	71	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	COL	34%	113	103	24	5	1	2	7	29	2	1	0	233	295	359	654	126	290	26	6	283	77	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
2028	23	MLB MLE	COL	48%	247	225	51	10	1	5	16	62	4	2	1	227	290	347	636	120	291	25	6	289	82	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2029	24	MLB MLE	COL	53%	347	316	73	15	2	7	23	86	5	3	1	231	294	358	651	127	292	25	7	293	84	-6	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.8
2030	25	MLB MLE	COL	55%	407	371	86	17	2	9	27	100	6	4	1	232	295	361	656	129	292	25	7	295	86	-7	+0	+0	+7	+9	1.0
2031	26	MLB MLE	COL	56%	444	404	94	19	2	10	30	109	7	4	2	233	297	364	661	131	292	25	7	296	87	-7	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.1
2032	27	MLB MLE	COL	55%	463	421	97	19	2	10	32	114	7	5	2	230	296	356	652	126	292	25	7	296	87	-7	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.1
2033	28	MLB MLE	COL	55%	470	427	98	20	2	10	33	117	7	4	2	230	296	356	651	126	291	25	7	295	86	-8	+0	-1	+8	+10	1.0
2034	29	MLB MLE	COL	53%	468	425	97	19	2	10	33	117	7	4	1	228	295	353	648	125	290	25	7	293	85	-9	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.9
2035	30	MLB MLE	COL	53%	462	419	96	19	2	10	33	117	7	4	1	229	296	356	652	126	289	25	7	291	83	-9	+0	-2	+8	+10	0.7
2036	31	MLB MLE	COL	56%	437	396	89	17	2	9	31	112	7	3	1	225	293	346	639	121	287	26	7	286	80	-10	+0	-3	+8	+9	0.4
2037	32	MLB MLE	COL	59%	409	371	82	16	2	8	29	106	6	2	1	221	288	340	628	119	283	26	7	281	76	-12	+0	-4	+7	+9	0.1
2038	33	MLB MLE	COL	61%	369	335	72	14	1	7	26	98	5	2	1	215	281	325	607	110	279	27	7	274	71	-13	+0	-4	+7	+8	-0.2
2027	22	MLB CTX	COL	34%	39	36	9	2	0	1	2	10	1	0	0	250	308	389	697	139	306	26	5	287	77	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	COL	48%	120	109	27	5	1	3	8	30	2	1	0	248	311	394	705	147	307	25	7	294	82	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2029	24	MLB CTX	COL	53%	183	166	40	8	1	4	12	45	3	2	1	241	304	373	677	133	308	25	7	299	84	-3	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.4
2030	25	MLB CTX	COL	55%	223	203	50	10	1	6	15	55	3	2	1	246	308	394	702	148	309	25	7	301	86	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2031	26	MLB CTX	COL	56%	247	224	55	11	2	6	17	61	4	2	1	246	310	393	703	147	308	25	7	302	87	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2032	27	MLB CTX	COL	55%	255	231	57	12	2	6	18	63	4	3	1	247	312	394	706	147	308	25	7	302	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2033	28	MLB CTX	COL	55%	257	233	57	12	2	6	18	64	4	2	1	245	310	391	700	146	308	25	7	301	86	-4	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.6
2034	29	MLB CTX	COL	53%	250	226	54	11	1	6	18	63	4	2	1	239	306	376	683	137	307	25	7	299	85	-5	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.5
2035	30	MLB CTX	COL	53%	243	220	53	11	1	6	17	61	4	2	1	241	307	382	689	141	305	25	7	296	83	-5	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.4
2036	31	MLB CTX	COL	56%	247	224	53	11	1	6	17	63	4	2	1	237	302	375	677	138	303	26	7	291	80	-6	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.2
2037	32	MLB CTX	COL	59%	242	219	50	10	1	5	17	63	4	1	0	228	296	352	647	123	299	26	7	285	76	-7	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.1
2038	33	MLB CTX	COL	61%	225	204	47	9	1	5	16	60	3	1	0	230	296	358	654	127	294	27	7	278	71	-8	+0	-3	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2531	2295	552	112	14	60	175	638	40	20	8	241	306	380	686	139	306	25	7	295	82	-53	+1	-8	+45	+55	4.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	142	29	4	15	45	164	10	5	2	241	306	380	686	139	308	25	7	295	82	-14	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4938	4476	1022	206	21	101	340	1238	83	41	14	228	295	351	646	123	291	25	7	290	82	-96	+2	-15	+83	+101	7.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	134	27	3	13	45	163	11	5	2	228	295	350	644	122	291	25	7	290	82	-14	+0	-2	+12	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.9	2,571	54	22	229	291	354	+46	+28	6.3	5.6
/162	664	14	6	+11.9	+7.2	1.6	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Franklin Lopez (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	219/279/323	104	289	1	0	26%	6%	71	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→46	45→55	51→55	44	214/275/343	129	286	12	11	29%	7%	74	-0.5	230/293/385	155	277	18	13	23%	8%	91	+0.6	230/293/400	170	266	20	16	22%	7%	92	+0.7
✕Juan Uriarte 2019 · A	21	46	41→45	49→30	41	223/277/320	96	282	8	4	23%	5%	69	-0.9	188/230/267	79	283	6	4	34%	4%	39	-3.1	147/184/208	60	226	4	0	36%	2%	5	-1.5
✕José Caballero 2019 · A	22	48→46	43→45	47→70	45	232/293/349	117	280	10	9	21%	6%	82	-0.0	219/293/329	110	283	9	26	25%	8%	78	-0.3	225/318/339	113	300	10	63	26%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→45	51→45	39	201/262/293	92	296	7	7	33%	6%	57	-1.8	195/269/306	111	299	13	8	37%	7%	65	-1.2	180/257/292	111	259	15	7	35%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Tyler Stephenson 2019 · A	22	43→53	42→55	46→30	44	211/280/316	105	287	10	3	29%	8%	70	-0.8	237/311/351	114	302	11	3	24%	8%	89	+0.5	237/322/408	171	303	20	0	27%	10%	103	+1.1
✕René Pinto 2018 · A	21	46	42→55	47→40	41	226/266/332	106	279	9	4	23%	4%	68	-1.0	225/273/318	93	298	6	4	25%	6%	67	-1.1	218/265/334	116	298	12	3	30%	5%	66	-0.6
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	42	42→40	46→45	48	206/291/311	105	278	9	6	28%	9%	73	-0.6	220/302/308	88	316	7	6	30%	9%	76	-0.4	234/327/306	73	330	7	6	28%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Bo Naylor 2021 · A	21	40→43	44→55	50	41	201/255/324	123	276	11	7	30%	7%	61	-1.5	198/278/343	145	273	16	13	32%	9%	76	-0.4	213/305/387	174	267	21	12	27%	11%	94	+0.7
✕Blake Ochoa 2007 · A	21	45	40→45	46→40	44	215/280/308	92	280	6	5	24%	6%	68	-1.0	216/268/311	95	281	7	4	24%	6%	63	-1.3	233/296/372	139	280	15	2	22%	7%	88	+0.1
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A	22	46→49	40→45	48→45	49	216/322/312	96	283	8	9	24%	9%	86	+0.3	226/314/335	109	285	10	7	23%	7%	88	+0.4	228/319/335	107	286	10	5	22%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Ricardo Olivar 2023 · A	21	47→52	43→45	47→50	42	221/290/342	122	323	9	9	33%	7%	80	-0.2	227/307/348	121	313	11	9	29%	9%	88	+0.4	221/304/339	117	295	12	10	27%	9%	82	-0.0
✕Geoandry Montilla 2017 · A	21	44	41→45	45→50	46	214/281/315	101	286	8	9	27%	8%	70	-0.8	197/264/296	99	314	8	8	37%	7%	59	-1.6	131/203/233	101	238	8	7	45%	7%	21	-1.2
✕Edgardo Rodriguez 2021 · A	20	48	41→45	48→30	43	233/283/334	102	283	8	5	21%	5%	75	-0.5	202/244/277	75	298	6	5	33%	5%	47	-2.6	180/204/231	51	260	9	0	34%	2%	21	-0.8
✕Luis Alvarez 2011 · A	21	47	42→45	48→45	45	228/296/337	109	289	9	6	24%	7%	80	-0.1	219/274/328	109	275	11	5	24%	5%	70	-0.8	212/264/322	110	252	12	1	21%	4%	62	-0.3
✕Jakson Reetz 2017 · A	21	44→33	39→55	47→45	44	205/289/298	94	298	5	6	31%	8%	70	-0.8	198/275/298	100	292	9	5	33%	7%	65	-1.2	193/274/380	187	243	23	4	31%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Gavin Cecchini 2015 · A	21	43→53	41→45	48→45	46	210/265/313	103	262	7	7	22%	7%	63	-1.4	246/295/341	95	290	7	5	17%	6%	80	-0.1	252/300/339	87	294	6	4	16%	6%	77	-0.3
✕Tyler Marlette 2014 · A	21	48→43	42→50	47→45	39	234/272/339	104	311	9	9	27%	5%	71	-0.8	233/274/369	136	301	15	7	27%	5%	80	-0.2	226/268/371	145	287	17	6	27%	5%	74	-0.4
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2021 · A	21	44→43	39→45	46→40	43	214/262/293	80	273	7	6	24%	6%	57	-1.8	225/298/328	103	300	8	4	26%	8%	80	-0.2	218/296/319	101	289	9	2	26%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Yu Chang 2017 · A	21	40→44	45→50	49→45	38	203/253/331	128	284	12	8	32%	6%	63	-1.3	200/259/336	136	279	14	8	32%	6%	67	-1.1	212/267/370	158	271	20	6	29%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Xavier Fernández 2016 · A	21	46	40→45	44→40	44	221/275/313	91	268	6	3	20%	5%	67	-1.1	224/265/322	98	268	9	3	19%	5%	65	-1.2	236/287/356	119	281	13	2	20%	6%	79	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps