Ervin Torres prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Ervin Torres P DSL Rockies

Age 21 LHP 6'0" / 185 lbs ROK peak 0.4 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 27 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 99107vR 115

ERA4.30

FIP4.30

K%22.6%

BB%8.5%

K-BB%14.1%

ROS IP27

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	12	5	39	158	28	4	1	42%	3.2	12.1%	3.2%	8.9%	0.7%	2.79	2.87	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	12	5	39	158	28	4	1	42%	3.2	17.7%	2.5%	15.2%	0.6%	2.79	2.30	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	11	10	46	199	49	12	5	91%	4.2	16.7%	7.5%	9.2%	3.6%	4.93	4.64	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	11	10	46	199	49	12	5	91%	4.2	16.7%	7.5%	9.2%	3.6%	4.93	4.64	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	11	10	46	199	49	12	5	91%	4.2	24.6%	6.0%	18.6%	2.5%	4.93	3.17	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	6	0	8	30	6	1	1	0%	1.3	20.0%	3.3%	16.7%	3.3%	3.38	3.66	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	6	0	8	30	6	1	1	0%	1.3	20.0%	3.3%	16.7%	3.3%	3.38	3.66	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	6	0	8	30	6	1	1	0%	1.3	20.0%	3.3%	16.7%	3.3%	3.38	3.60	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	21	MLB	COL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.6%	8.5%	14.1%	3.0%	4.30	4.30	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	COL	27	0	29	121	28	10	4	0%	1.1	23.6%	8.2%	15.4%	2.9%	4.20	4.14	+0.1
2027	22	MLB CTX	COL	13	0	14	59	14	5	2	0%	1.1	23.6%	8.2%	15.4%	2.9%	4.20	4.14	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	14	59	14	5	2	0%	1.1	23.6%	8.2%	15.4%	2.9%	4.20	3.76	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	199	71	28	0%	1.1	23.6%	8.2%	15.4%	2.9%	4.20	3.76	+1.9
Career	—	MLE		29	15	92	387	58	21	9	52%	3.2	15.1%	5.4%	9.7%	2.4%	3.90	3.84	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		63	32	200	838	126	45	20	52%	3.2	15.1%	5.4%	9.7%	2.4%	3.90	3.84	+1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ervin Torres (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.30	22.6%	8.5%	3.0%	—	4.14	23.6%	15.4%	29	-0.16	—	—	—
Taylor Hearn L 2016 · 3.99 FIP	21	SW	3.99	26.1%	10.6%	3.2%	.347	4.01	22.3%	11.7%	236	+0.02	3.72	572	82
Josh Hendrickson L 2019 · 3.80 FIP	21	SW	3.80	21.8%	6.7%	3.1%	.250	4.67	19.3%	10.9%	110	+0.87	3.80	368	80
Carlos Peña L 2019 · 3.17 FIP	20	SW	3.17	23.8%	10.5%	1.4%	.301	3.91	19.1%	10.2%	145	+0.74	3.17	620	79
Thomas Ireland L 2023 · 4.64 FIP	21	SP-	4.64	16.7%	8.7%	3.4%	.286	3.79	17.1%	7.8%	206	-0.85	2.95	250	79
Jacob Lopez L 2018 · 3.66 FIP	20	SW	3.66	24.3%	7.9%	2.9%	.302	3.53	30.4%	21.6%	55	-0.13	3.45	546	79
Sonny Vargas L 2021 · 4.54 FIP	20	SP-	4.54	21.0%	10.1%	3.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	165	78
Matt Osterberg L 2021 · 3.88 FIP	22	SW	3.88	20.2%	12.3%	1.7%	.255	4.04	15.6%	9.3%	274	+0.16	3.70	294	78
Felix Doubront L 2010 · 4.00 FIP	22	SW	4.00	20.4%	8.8%	2.7%	.312	4.02	21.6%	11.6%	323	+0.02	3.44	719	77
Alex Cornwell L 2022 · 3.76 FIP	23	SW	3.76	18.9%	7.3%	2.4%	.382	3.79	16.4%	8.4%	311	+0.03	3.16	381	77
Jackson Stoeckinger L 2017 · 3.19 FIP	21	SP-	3.19	18.7%	7.7%	1.2%	.365	4.82	13.1%	7.3%	157	+1.63	3.19	184	76
James Reeves L 2016 · 3.32 FIP	23	SW	3.32	21.9%	8.7%	1.8%	.237	3.30	23.0%	13.1%	146	-0.02	2.02	280	76
Sam Long L 2016 · 3.26 FIP	21	SW	3.26	20.7%	9.8%	1.2%	.371	3.85	21.3%	13.1%	97	+0.59	3.08	446	75
Keyshawn Askew L 2022 · 3.32 FIP	22	SW	3.32	25.6%	12.2%	1.5%	.274	3.81	20.7%	5.5%	196	+0.49	3.32	262	75
Ryan Williamson L 2018 · 4.10 FIP	23	SP-	4.10	18.4%	5.9%	3.3%	.286	5.57	18.4%	5.8%	102	+1.47	4.10	123	75
Jack Patterson L 2018 · 4.72 FIP	22	SP-	4.72	14.7%	8.0%	3.4%	.299	3.10	19.4%	7.9%	80	-1.62	3.10	127	75
Luis Angel Rodriguez L 2021 · 3.50 FIP	21	SW	3.50	27.3%	9.0%	2.9%	.245	4.56	23.7%	8.3%	212	+1.06	2.73	388	75
Adrian Gusman L 2015 · 3.41 FIP	23	SW	3.41	16.5%	6.6%	1.6%	.280	3.68	15.0%	7.2%	63	+0.27	2.94	141	75
Jack Owen L 2021 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	17.6%	5.0%	4.2%	.359	4.22	16.0%	8.7%	201	-0.36	3.44	221	75
Garrett Schoenle L 2022 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	21.4%	10.8%	3.5%	.263	4.25	20.9%	9.7%	219	-0.35	2.32	362	74
Mac Lardner L 2021 · 4.75 FIP	23	SP-	4.75	18.9%	8.5%	4.0%	.332	4.34	17.5%	8.1%	119	-0.41	3.66	186	74

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	28	23.1%	8.3%	1.15	4.25
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49
Charlie Furbush ('15)	1.3	52	24.5%	8.1%	1.04	3.97
David Carpenter ('19)	1.1	43	23.5%	8.4%	0.92	3.69
Shawn Tolleson ('16)	1.1	54	23.1%	8.3%	1.28	3.92
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65