Noelin Cuevas prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Noelin Cuevas P FCL Orioles

Age 24 LHP 6'0" / 165 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 25 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 105114vR 122

ERA4.66

FIP4.66

K%22.3%

BB%11.3%

K-BB%11.0%

ROS IP26

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	20	ROK MLE	DSL BAL Orange	10	6	30	126	40	12	0	60%	3.0	21.6%	11.9%	9.7%	0.0%	2.08	2.79	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	DSL BAL Orange	10	6	30	126	40	12	0	60%	3.0	31.7%	9.5%	22.2%	0.0%	2.08	1.65	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	12	7	43	190	38	22	0	58%	3.6	13.6%	14.5%	-0.9%	0.0%	2.72	3.78	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	12	7	43	190	38	22	0	58%	3.6	13.6%	14.5%	-0.9%	0.0%	2.72	3.78	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	12	7	43	190	38	22	0	58%	3.6	20.0%	11.6%	8.4%	0.0%	2.72	2.87	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	24	MLB	BAL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.3%	11.3%	11.0%	3.0%	4.66	4.66	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	BAL	4	4	26	109	25	11	3	100%	6.5	22.8%	10.5%	12.3%	3.0%	4.56	4.51	+0.1
2027	25	MLB CTX	BAL	2	2	11	46	11	5	1	100%	5.5	22.8%	10.5%	12.3%	3.0%	4.56	4.51	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	11	47	11	5	1	100%	5.5	22.8%	10.5%	12.3%	3.0%	4.56	4.13	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	199	90	18	100%	5.9	22.8%	10.5%	12.3%	3.0%	4.56	4.13	+1.8
Career	—	MLE		22	13	73	316	53	42	0	59%	3.3	16.8%	13.4%	3.3%	0.0%	2.45	3.39	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		60	35	200	862	145	116	0	59%	3.3	16.8%	13.4%	3.3%	0.0%	2.45	3.39	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Noelin Cuevas (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.66	22.3%	11.3%	3.0%	—	4.51	22.8%	12.3%	26	-0.15	—	—	—
Brad Mills L 2010 · 4.22 FIP	25	SW	4.22	18.4%	12.2%	2.0%	.273	5.37	19.8%	7.7%	18	+1.15	4.22	243	81
Jimmy Robbins L 2022 · 3.85 FIP	24	SP-	3.85	23.3%	11.3%	2.3%	.286	4.82	18.0%	2.8%	99	+0.97	3.85	176	81
Brady Basso L 2021 · 3.93 FIP	23	SP-	3.93	21.8%	8.7%	2.8%	.333	4.17	22.0%	15.8%	179	+0.24	2.24	312	81
Logan Darnell L 2014 · 4.78 FIP	25	SP-	4.78	19.6%	7.1%	4.4%	.338	4.10	13.4%	6.1%	262	-0.68	3.16	454	79
Nate Peterson L 2023 · 4.46 FIP	23	SP-	4.46	18.4%	11.4%	2.7%	.284	5.04	17.2%	5.3%	241	+0.58	4.27	315	78
Thomas Ireland L 2023 · 4.64 FIP	21	SP-	4.64	16.7%	8.7%	3.4%	.286	3.79	17.1%	7.8%	206	-0.85	2.95	250	77
Garrett Schoenle L 2022 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	21.4%	10.8%	3.5%	.263	4.25	20.9%	9.7%	219	-0.35	2.32	362	77
Jason Blanchard L 2022 · 4.02 FIP	25	SP-	4.02	24.8%	14.2%	2.2%	.382	3.81	21.6%	10.9%	156	-0.21	2.44	171	77
Mac Lardner L 2022 · 5.08 FIP	24	SW	5.08	17.4%	9.4%	4.1%	.318	3.66	17.5%	8.1%	62	-1.42	3.66	186	76
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	75
J.A. Happ L 2008 · 3.90 FIP	25	SP-	3.90	18.8%	9.4%	2.2%	.260	4.38	18.4%	8.3%	410	+0.48	3.37	1,890	74
Cory Luebke L 2010 · 4.21 FIP	25	SP-	4.21	23.7%	7.9%	3.9%	.286	2.84	25.9%	18.7%	171	-1.37	2.80	216	74
Angel Perdomo L 2018 · 3.57 FIP	24	SW	3.57	22.6%	11.8%	1.6%	.315	4.01	32.7%	17.7%	100	+0.44	2.82	540	73
Jose Alvarez L 2013 · 5.02 FIP	24	SW	5.02	18.0%	8.7%	4.2%	.294	2.98	20.4%	14.8%	124	-2.04	2.78	414	73
JP Sears L 2019 · 3.85 FIP	23	SW	3.85	16.8%	8.9%	1.9%	.268	3.34	24.7%	17.8%	222	-0.51	2.18	962	72
Jared Beck L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	23	SP-	4.15	21.1%	15.9%	1.5%	.338	6.15	20.1%	-8.4%	82	+2.00	4.15	158	72
Adam Tulloch L 2023 · 4.51 FIP	23	SP-	4.51	20.3%	14.1%	2.4%	.313	4.62	18.1%	1.5%	150	+0.11	4.24	246	71
Jake Miller L 2023 · 5.50 FIP	22	SP-	5.50	17.2%	14.1%	3.8%	.345	3.04	22.5%	16.3%	99	-2.46	3.00	143	71
Nick Maronde L 2015 · 3.85 FIP	25	SW	3.85	18.3%	8.9%	2.1%	.359	3.62	16.3%	8.9%	48	-0.23	3.62	133	71
Dan Meyer L 2007 · 4.76 FIP	26	SP-	4.76	13.9%	11.4%	2.5%	.316	4.35	20.6%	11.8%	86	-0.41	3.73	112	71

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	22.5%	10.9%	1.15	4.61
Manny Acosta ('12)	1.2	41	20.5%	10.9%	1.09	3.99
José Cisnero ('24)	1.4	46	24.0%	11.3%	1.01	4.16
Wesley Wright ('15)	1.5	51	22.0%	10.1%	1.11	4.16
Yorkis Perez ('02)	1.4	40	20.8%	11.8%	0.93	4.44
Chris Ray ('11)	1.4	47	19.1%	10.2%	1.12	4.10
Ian Krol ('21)	1.0	42	21.2%	8.8%	1.25	4.49