Nomar DiazC San Jose Giants
Age 22 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs A HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 71 proj PA
wRC+†56
AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .268 / .294
PA71
HR1
K%32
BB%7
ISO97
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -3.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +2.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.30.50.70.70.60.50.30.0+$26M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.7$2M+$1M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.6$2M+$1M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.5$1M+$0.7M
2034Arb-1$0.4M+0.3$0.7M+$0.5M
2035Arb-2$0.4M———
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $5M +$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202319 ROKACL Giants Black — 5753 8011 3231 00 151211245456 94241 405 176 -7 — — — — — —
202319 ROKACL Giants Black — 5751 11011 5161 00 216298314612 98294 289 282 74 — — — — — —
202420 ROKACL Giants — 3226 5201 2123 11 192323385707 192286 386 274 68 — — — — — —
202420 ROKACL Giants — 3224 6201 483 11 250419458878 208312 2512 386 154 — — — — — —
202521 ASan Jose Giants — 5246 4101 6200 00 87192174366 87120 3812 177 -6 — — — — — —
202521 ASan Jose Giants — 5242 6102 10140 00 143308310617 167154 2719 291 81 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season
202622 MLBSF — 7165 13211 5231 10 200268308575 108289 327 258 56 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBSF 34% 166150 31513 13512 21 207279313592 107290 318 268 63 -7 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.1
202824 MLBSF 46% 281253 53925 22854 31 209283320603 111291 308 274 68 -10 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.3
202925 MLBSF 52% 353319 681227 271064 41 213283329612 116292 308 278 71 -12 +0 +0 +6 +10 0.5
203026 MLBSF 54% 400361 771338 311195 41 213285332617 119291 308 280 73 -12 +0 +0 +7 +11 0.7
203127 MLBSF 54% 423382 821439 331265 52 215286338623 123291 308 280 73 -13 +0 +0 +8 +12 0.7
203228 MLBSF 54% 434391 831439 351305 52 212285332618 120291 308 279 72 -14 +0 -1 +8 +12 0.6
203329 MLBSF 53% 433390 831439 351305 41 213286333619 121290 308 277 70 -15 +0 -1 +8 +12 0.5
203430 MLBSF 57% 429386 811438 351305 41 210284324608 114288 308 274 68 -15 +0 -2 +8 +12 0.3
203531 MLBSF 59% 405364 751328 331245 31 206281319600 113286 318 270 65 -16 +0 -3 +7 +11 0.0
202723 MLBSF 34% 5752 10201 4181 10 192263288552 96285 327 254 53 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
202824 MLBSF 46% 130117 24412 10392 10 205279308587 103286 308 261 58 -6 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.0
202925 MLBSF 52% 182164 34613 14542 21 207278311589 104286 308 264 61 -8 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.0
203026 MLBSF 54% 217195 40714 17643 21 205279313592 108286 298 266 62 -9 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.1
203127 MLBSF 54% 229206 44725 18683 31 214286340626 126286 308 266 62 -10 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.1
203228 MLBSF 54% 235211 44725 19703 21 209283332615 123286 308 265 61 -10 +0 -0 +4 +7 0.0
203329 MLBSF 53% 230207 42714 18693 21 203276304581 101285 308 264 60 -10 +0 -1 +4 +7 -0.1
203430 MLBSF 57% 244219 46825 20743 21 210285333618 123283 308 261 58 -12 +0 -1 +4 +7 -0.2
203531 MLBSF 59% 241217 43714 19743 21 198272295567 97281 318 257 55 -12 +0 -2 +4 +7 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 17651588 327551133 13953023 177 206279317596 111285 308 263 59 -81 +1 -4 +32 +50 -0.3
/ 162G— — 650585 12020412 511958 63 205278315592 109283 308 263 59 -30 +0 -1 +12 +18 -0.1
Career— — 35363186 6631132470 280107945 3612 208281325606 116289 318 273 67 -132 +2 -7 +63 +100 2.8
/ 162G— — 650586 12221413 511988 72 208280324604 116288 308 273 67 -24 +1 -1 +12 +18 0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202319 ROKACL Giants Black — 5751 11011 5161 00 216298314612 98294 289 282 74 -2 +0 — — +2 -0.0
202420 ROKACL Giants — 3224 6201 483 11 250419458878 208312 2512 386 154 +2 -0 — — +1 0.3
202521 ASan Jose Giants — 5242 6102 10140 00 143308310617 167154 2719 291 81 -1 +0 — — +1 0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#4Chad Moellerlast yr '09
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA
101,524292226288351+19+143.84.3
/162664131+8.5+6.21.6pk7: 5
#5Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons
61,8363619212281328+33+242.02.0
/162664137+11.9+8.70.7pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Nomar Diaz (OGILVIE) 22 — — — — 198/268/294 96289 11 32% 7% 56 -0.2 ————————— —————————
✕Aaron McKeithan
2022 · A 		22 40 38→40 49→40 40 194/261/274 80272 67 29% 6% 47 -1.9 217/294/301 84283 84 25% 7% 69 -0.4 216/298/285692797123%7%66-0.3
✕Shane Zeile
2015 · A 		22 41 41→50 46→40 39 205/254/304 99281 95 30% 5% 51 -1.7 199/249/295 96273 74 28% 5% 46 -2.0 187/237/2991122498227%5%41-0.7
✕Blake Hunt
2021 · A 		22 41 39→50 49→40 43 198/254/288 90263 66 26% 6% 47 -1.9 192/251/307 115278 124 34% 6% 52 -1.6 207/268/34113426314226%6%65-0.3
✕Francisco Acuna
2022 · A 		22 39→49 38→45 48→50 44 184/272/269 85267 510 31% 8% 52 -1.6 206/276/298 92284 611 28% 6% 60 -1.0 223/293/3229929491626%7%70-0.2
✕Steven Baron
2013 · A 		22 39 41→45 50 37 193/232/296 103263 810 30% 4% 40 -2.4 194/233/281 87280 59 31% 5% 36 -2.7 240/300/311713265626%7%68-0.2
✕Jose Sibrian
2021 · A 		22 43 38→50 49→30 39 204/261/283 79291 56 30% 6% 49 -1.8 200/255/276 76267 53 26% 5% 45 -2.1 193/253/280872458024%5%42-0.8
✕Zach Green
2016 · A 		22 43→41 41→55 49→40 39 210/252/306 96286 86 29% 5% 50 -1.7 204/259/337 133322 143 39% 5% 63 -0.8 192/267/37217930023142%8%73-0.1
✕Pablo Aliendo
2023 · A 		22 42 41→55 44→45 38 204/267/297 93298 95 33% 6% 56 -1.3 199/264/346 147306 185 39% 6% 68 -0.5 178/245/34016228022343%6%56-0.7
✕Glenn Santiago
2023 · A 		22 42 41→40 46→45 39 204/256/303 99288 98 31% 6% 52 -1.6 199/262/282 83293 79 32% 7% 50 -1.8 183/253/253702696832%7%37-1.1
✕Joe DeCarlo
2016 · A 		22 36→37 43→55 44→30 42 178/266/287 109280 113 38% 8% 54 -1.4 196/276/343 147277 183 34% 8% 72 -0.2 194/273/35516126220133%8%70-0.2
✕Tyler Kolodny
2010 · A 		22 40→36 43→45 49→50 41 200/271/316 116273 118 30% 6% 63 -0.9 212/286/347 135281 1410 29% 6% 78 +0.2 214/295/369155271171026%6%84+0.2
✕Luca Tresh
2022 · A 		22 44→40 41→55 49→40 38 208/261/310 102314 87 35% 6% 56 -1.3 207/267/354 147270 194 30% 7% 70 -0.3 202/253/35715426819232%5%62-0.5
✕Edgardo Baez
2007 · A 		22 43→45 42→50 47→50 39 210/259/313 104298 95 32% 6% 56 -1.3 223/274/347 124310 139 31% 6% 71 -0.3 223/275/35613230315930%6%70-0.2
✕Jason Lopez
2021 · A 		23 40 44→55 46→45 37 202/247/323 121282 127 32% 5% 53 -1.5 194/256/297 103298 1010 36% 7% 50 -1.7 163/228/25491247101036%8%25-0.9
✕Jonathan Ornelas
2022 · A 		22 41→51 42→45 48→50 38 205/253/308 104278 109 30% 5% 52 -1.6 235/290/335 100323 1112 29% 6% 75 -0.0 235/295/3248832691229%7%70-0.3
✕Kevin Padlo
2019 · A 		23 35→40 45→55 45→50 43 180/260/303 123268 127 36% 9% 55 -1.4 206/284/377 171294 209 35% 9% 85 +0.7 195/265/371176262221234%8%73-0.1
✕Braulio Vasquez
2021 · A 		22 41 39→45 44→65 38 195/257/276 81309 77 37% 6% 46 -2.0 209/283/301 92307 630 31% 7% 63 -0.8 206/284/2969029954230%7%59-0.5
✕Kevin Smith
2018 · A 		22 39→43 44→55 53→50 34 197/234/315 118286 118 35% 4% 45 -2.1 204/248/358 154288 1913 35% 5% 63 -0.8 197/249/369171265211734%5%65-0.6
✕Claudio Finol
2022 · A 		22 40 39→40 46→45 40 193/251/277 85270 56 30% 6% 43 -2.2 194/250/277 83275 79 30% 6% 43 -2.2 181/246/2587726091232%7%35-0.7
✕Brendon Davis
2019 · A 		22 42→44 39→50 43→50 38 198/256/282 85307 65 36% 6% 46 -2.0 200/260/307 107300 106 35% 6% 55 -1.4 198/270/37317625122930%7%74-0.0