Henry Bolte
OF Athletics| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | AA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 586 | .264/.364/.460 | 16 | 48 | 81 | — | .209/.294/.358 |
| 2025 | 21 | AAA/AAOAK | 488 | .284/.388/.427 | 9 | 44 | 92 | — | .245/.328/.347 |
| 2026 | 22 | AAAOAK | 177 | .348/.418/.658 | 12 | 17 | 149 | — | .313/.367/.552 |
| 2026 | 22 | MLBOAK | 473 | .277/.360/.405 | 11 | 21 | 115 | 1.6 | |
| 2027PROJ | 23 | MLBOAK | 532 | .252/.331/.385 | 14 | 40 | 101 | 1.6 | |
| 2028PROJ98% MLB | 24 | MLBOAK | 602 | .256/.336/.401 | 17 | 45 | 106 | 2.2 | |
| 2029PROJ98% MLB | 25 | MLBOAK | 602 | .258/.338/.411 | 19 | 45 | 110 | 2.4 |
Tools · Recent Form · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | ACL Athletics | — | 39 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 212 | 333 | 212 | 545 | 500 | 49 | 13 | 271 | -19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 19 | A | Stockton Ports | — | 491 | 420 | 108 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 62 | 164 | 5 | 32 | 9 | 257 | 359 | 421 | 781 | 164 | 382 | 33 | 13 | 349 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 227 | 202 | 51 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 88 | 4 | 18 | 6 | 252 | 330 | 396 | 726 | 144 | 427 | 39 | 9 | 326 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 318 | 266 | 74 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 41 | 101 | 10 | 28 | 6 | 278 | 394 | 519 | 913 | 241 | 406 | 32 | 13 | 400 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 41 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 222 | 317 | 389 | 706 | 167 | 350 | 37 | 12 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 141 | 120 | 36 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 46 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 300 | 404 | 433 | 838 | 133 | 472 | 33 | 11 | 379 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 347 | 295 | 82 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 41 | 95 | 8 | 31 | 2 | 278 | 381 | 424 | 805 | 146 | 383 | 27 | 12 | 360 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | MLB | Athletics | — | 473 | 415 | 115 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 133 | 15 | 21 | 8 | 277 | 360 | 405 | 764 | 128 | 381 | 28 | 8 | 344 | 115 | +9 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +10 | 1.6 |
| 2026 | 22 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 177 | 158 | 55 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 39 | 2 | 17 | 2 | 348 | 418 | 658 | 1.076 | 310 | 402 | 22 | 10 | 463 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 473 | 415 | 115 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 133 | 15 | 21 | 8 | 277 | 360 | 405 | 764 | 128 | 381 | 28 | 8 | 344 | 119 | +11 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +10 | 1.8 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | — | 39 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 86 | 179 | 86 | 265 | 410 | 69 | 8 | 140 | -19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 491 | 438 | 90 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 44 | 224 | 5 | 32 | 9 | 205 | 285 | 322 | 607 | 116 | 375 | 46 | 9 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 227 | 208 | 40 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 111 | 4 | 18 | 6 | 192 | 260 | 298 | 558 | 106 | 387 | 49 | 7 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 318 | 277 | 61 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 132 | 10 | 28 | 6 | 220 | 319 | 401 | 719 | 181 | 372 | 42 | 9 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 141 | 124 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 54 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 258 | 348 | 355 | 702 | 97 | 454 | 38 | 9 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 347 | 308 | 74 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 117 | 8 | 31 | 2 | 240 | 320 | 344 | 664 | 104 | 362 | 34 | 8 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | MLB MLE | Athletics | — | 473 | 416 | 112 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 133 | 15 | 21 | 8 | 269 | 353 | 392 | 745 | 123 | 381 | 28 | 8 | 339 | 115 | +9 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +10 | 1.6 |
| 2026 | 22 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 177 | 163 | 51 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 47 | 2 | 17 | 2 | 313 | 367 | 552 | 919 | 239 | 394 | 27 | 7 | 389 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | — | 39 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 86 | 179 | 86 | 265 | 375 | 69 | 8 | 140 | -19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK RAW | ACL Athletics | — | 39 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 212 | 333 | 212 | 545 | 500 | 49 | 13 | 271 | -19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 491 | 438 | 90 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 44 | 224 | 5 | 32 | 9 | 205 | 285 | 322 | 607 | 116 | 385 | 46 | 9 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A RAW | Stockton Ports | — | 491 | 420 | 108 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 62 | 164 | 5 | 32 | 9 | 257 | 359 | 421 | 781 | 164 | 382 | 33 | 13 | 349 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 586 | 523 | 108 | 26 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 261 | 14 | 48 | 13 | 207 | 291 | 354 | 644 | 147 | 380 | 45 | 8 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 586 | 504 | 133 | 33 | 9 | 16 | 66 | 204 | 14 | 48 | 13 | 264 | 364 | 460 | 824 | 196 | 411 | 35 | 11 | 366 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 488 | 432 | 108 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 171 | 13 | 44 | 2 | 250 | 332 | 363 | 695 | 113 | 393 | 35 | 8 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 488 | 415 | 118 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 57 | 141 | 13 | 44 | 2 | 284 | 388 | 427 | 814 | 142 | 407 | 29 | 12 | 366 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 650 | 579 | 164 | 21 | 5 | 20 | 51 | 180 | 17 | 38 | 10 | 283 | 359 | 440 | 799 | 157 | 378 | 28 | 8 | 352 | 125 | +19 | +4 | +0 | -4 | +14 | 3.3 |
| 2026 | 22 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 650 | 573 | 170 | 23 | 5 | 23 | 56 | 172 | 17 | 38 | 10 | 297 | 376 | 475 | 850 | 178 | 387 | 26 | 9 | 376 | 125 | +19 | +4 | +0 | -4 | +14 | 3.3 |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Athletics | — | 39 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 86 | 179 | 86 | 265 | 410 | 69 | 8 | 140 | -19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 491 | 439 | 90 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 44 | 224 | 5 | 32 | 9 | 205 | 285 | 321 | 607 | 116 | 375 | 46 | 9 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 586 | 519 | 108 | 26 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 261 | 14 | 48 | 13 | 208 | 291 | 356 | 647 | 148 | 378 | 45 | 8 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 488 | 432 | 108 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 171 | 13 | 44 | 2 | 250 | 332 | 363 | 695 | 113 | 389 | 35 | 8 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 650 | 577 | 164 | 21 | 5 | 20 | 51 | 180 | 17 | 38 | 10 | 284 | 359 | 442 | 801 | 158 | 385 | 28 | 8 | 352 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 20 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 586 | 519 | 108 | 26 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 261 | 14 | 48 | 13 | 208 | 291 | 356 | 647 | 148 | 378 | 45 | 8 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 488 | 432 | 108 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 171 | 13 | 44 | 2 | 250 | 332 | 363 | 695 | 113 | 389 | 35 | 8 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 650 | 577 | 164 | 21 | 5 | 20 | 51 | 180 | 17 | 38 | 10 | 284 | 359 | 442 | 801 | 158 | 385 | 28 | 8 | 352 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB MLE | OAK | 100% | 639 | 567 | 140 | 16 | 4 | 17 | 53 | 170 | 14 | 48 | 6 | 247 | 327 | 378 | 704 | 131 | 320 | 27 | 8 | 317 | 101 | +1 | +7 | +1 | -4 | +14 | 1.9 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB CTX | OAK | 100% | 532 | 471 | 119 | 15 | 4 | 14 | 44 | 141 | 12 | 40 | 5 | 252 | 331 | 385 | 716 | 133 | 328 | 27 | 8 | 322 | 101 | +0 | +6 | +1 | -3 | +12 | 1.6 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 24 | MLB MLE | OAK | 98% | 614 | 543 | 136 | 15 | 4 | 18 | 52 | 162 | 14 | 46 | 6 | 251 | 331 | 394 | 725 | 143 | 321 | 26 | 8 | 325 | 106 | +5 | +7 | +1 | -4 | +13 | 2.3 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB MLE | OAK | 98% | 614 | 543 | 138 | 15 | 4 | 20 | 52 | 161 | 14 | 46 | 6 | 253 | 334 | 405 | 739 | 151 | 321 | 26 | 8 | 330 | 110 | +7 | +7 | +1 | -4 | +13 | 2.5 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB MLE | OAK | 98% | 614 | 543 | 138 | 15 | 4 | 21 | 52 | 161 | 14 | 45 | 6 | 254 | 335 | 410 | 745 | 156 | 321 | 26 | 8 | 333 | 111 | +8 | +7 | +1 | -4 | +13 | 2.6 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB MLE | OAK | 98% | 606 | 536 | 136 | 15 | 4 | 20 | 52 | 160 | 13 | 44 | 6 | 253 | 334 | 407 | 742 | 154 | 321 | 26 | 9 | 331 | 110 | +7 | +6 | +1 | -4 | +13 | 2.5 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB MLE | OAK | 98% | 592 | 524 | 131 | 14 | 4 | 19 | 50 | 158 | 13 | 40 | 5 | 251 | 332 | 402 | 735 | 151 | 320 | 27 | 8 | 328 | 108 | +6 | +6 | +0 | -4 | +13 | 2.2 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB MLE | OAK | 98% | 571 | 506 | 125 | 14 | 3 | 18 | 48 | 154 | 12 | 34 | 4 | 247 | 328 | 394 | 722 | 147 | 316 | 27 | 8 | 324 | 105 | +3 | +5 | -0 | -3 | +12 | 1.8 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB MLE | OAK | 98% | 555 | 491 | 120 | 13 | 3 | 17 | 47 | 151 | 12 | 28 | 4 | 244 | 324 | 386 | 710 | 142 | 314 | 27 | 8 | 319 | 102 | +1 | +4 | -1 | -3 | +12 | 1.3 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB MLE | OAK | 98% | 536 | 475 | 115 | 12 | 3 | 16 | 45 | 148 | 11 | 21 | 3 | 240 | 319 | 376 | 695 | 136 | 311 | 28 | 8 | 313 | 98 | -1 | +3 | -2 | -3 | +12 | 0.8 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB MLE | OAK | 98% | 512 | 455 | 106 | 11 | 2 | 14 | 42 | 144 | 10 | 14 | 2 | 235 | 313 | 363 | 677 | 129 | 307 | 28 | 8 | 305 | 93 | -4 | +2 | -3 | -3 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB MLE | OAK | 98% | 476 | 426 | 97 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 38 | 137 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 228 | 306 | 349 | 655 | 120 | 302 | 29 | 8 | 296 | 87 | -8 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +10 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB CTX | OAK | 98% | 602 | 533 | 136 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 51 | 159 | 13 | 45 | 6 | 256 | 336 | 401 | 737 | 145 | 329 | 26 | 8 | 330 | 106 | +4 | +7 | +1 | -4 | +13 | 2.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB CTX | OAK | 98% | 602 | 533 | 138 | 17 | 4 | 19 | 51 | 158 | 13 | 45 | 6 | 258 | 338 | 411 | 749 | 153 | 329 | 26 | 8 | 334 | 110 | +7 | +7 | +1 | -4 | +13 | 2.4 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB CTX | OAK | 98% | 602 | 533 | 138 | 17 | 4 | 20 | 51 | 158 | 13 | 45 | 6 | 259 | 339 | 417 | 756 | 157 | 329 | 26 | 8 | 337 | 111 | +8 | +7 | +1 | -4 | +13 | 2.6 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB CTX | OAK | 98% | 594 | 525 | 135 | 16 | 4 | 19 | 51 | 157 | 13 | 43 | 6 | 258 | 338 | 414 | 752 | 156 | 329 | 26 | 9 | 335 | 110 | +7 | +6 | +1 | -4 | +13 | 2.4 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB CTX | OAK | 98% | 580 | 513 | 131 | 16 | 4 | 18 | 49 | 155 | 13 | 39 | 5 | 256 | 336 | 409 | 745 | 153 | 328 | 27 | 8 | 333 | 108 | +6 | +6 | +0 | -3 | +13 | 2.1 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB CTX | OAK | 98% | 560 | 496 | 124 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 47 | 151 | 12 | 33 | 4 | 252 | 332 | 400 | 732 | 148 | 324 | 27 | 8 | 328 | 105 | +3 | +5 | -0 | -3 | +12 | 1.7 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB CTX | OAK | 98% | 544 | 482 | 120 | 14 | 3 | 16 | 46 | 148 | 11 | 28 | 4 | 249 | 328 | 392 | 720 | 143 | 322 | 27 | 8 | 323 | 102 | +1 | +4 | -1 | -3 | +12 | 1.3 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB CTX | OAK | 98% | 525 | 465 | 114 | 13 | 3 | 15 | 44 | 145 | 11 | 20 | 3 | 244 | 323 | 381 | 705 | 137 | 318 | 28 | 8 | 317 | 98 | -1 | +3 | -2 | -3 | +11 | 0.8 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB CTX | OAK | 98% | 502 | 446 | 108 | 12 | 3 | 14 | 41 | 141 | 10 | 14 | 2 | 239 | 317 | 369 | 686 | 130 | 314 | 28 | 8 | 309 | 93 | -4 | +2 | -3 | -3 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2037 | 33 | MLB CTX | OAK | 98% | 466 | 417 | 96 | 10 | 2 | 12 | 37 | 134 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 232 | 310 | 354 | 663 | 121 | 309 | 29 | 8 | 300 | 87 | -7 | +1 | -3 | -3 | +10 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 6050 | 5358 | 1355 | 163 | 36 | 178 | 507 | 1639 | 133 | 340 | 52 | 253 | 333 | 396 | 729 | 144 | 330 | 27 | 8 | 327 | 100 | +35 | +47 | -4 | -37 | +131 | 17.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 576 | 146 | 18 | 4 | 19 | 54 | 176 | 14 | 37 | 6 | 253 | 332 | 398 | 729 | 144 | 331 | 27 | 8 | 327 | 100 | +4 | +5 | -0 | -4 | +14 | 1.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 8476 | 7520 | 1831 | 222 | 57 | 240 | 708 | 2540 | 184 | 528 | 84 | 243 | 324 | 384 | 708 | 140 | 333 | 30 | 8 | 316 | 100 | +35 | +55 | -4 | -41 | +145 | 19.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 577 | 140 | 17 | 4 | 18 | 54 | 195 | 14 | 40 | 6 | 243 | 322 | 380 | 702 | 137 | 332 | 30 | 8 | 316 | 100 | +3 | +5 | -0 | -4 | +14 | 1.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 177 PAwOBA .450 → .389 (−61)K% 22.0% → 26.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.03% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 6.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.13% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 28.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 5.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 2.70% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 7.41% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .450 → .389; ISO .310 → .242; BABIP .402 → .394. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAMidland RockHounds · 347 PAwOBA .355 → .299 (−55)K% 27.4% → 33.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.38% | ÷0.988 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.82% | ÷1.078 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 7.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.31% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.042 | 2.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.50% | ÷1.012 | ×0.920 | ×1.047 | ×1.042 | 28.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.00% | ÷1.131 | ×0.840 | ×1.047 | ×1.042 | 5.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.047 | ×1.042 | 1.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.50% | ÷1.043 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 2.80% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 102, 2B 126, 3B 130, K 98, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .355 → .299; ISO .146 → .116; BABIP .383 → .362. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 141 PAwOBA .370 → .320 (−50)K% 32.6% → 38.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.62% | ÷1.027 | ×1.200 | — | — | 38.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.35% | ÷0.970 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 8.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.55% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 3.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.14% | ÷1.052 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 34.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.11% | ÷0.988 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 7.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 2.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.183 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 1.68% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 110, 2B 98, 3B 100, K 105, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .370 → .320; ISO .133 → .107; BABIP .472 → .454. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 318 PAwOBA .390 → .315 (−75)K% 31.8% → 41.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.76% | ÷0.974 | ×1.270 | — | — | 41.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.58% | ÷0.974 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 9.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.14% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 2.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.03% | ÷1.036 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 22.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.52% | ÷0.992 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 10.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.64% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 2.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.867 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 6.32% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 107, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .390 → .315; ISO .241 → .195; BABIP .406 → .372. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAMidland RockHounds · 227 PAwOBA .318 → .244 (−74)K% 38.8% → 48.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.77% | ÷0.967 | ×1.220 | — | — | 48.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 6.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.76% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.050 | 1.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.07% | ÷1.060 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 26.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.40% | ÷1.170 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 9.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.75% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 1.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.51% | ÷0.940 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 3.13% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 112, 2B 134, 3B 130, K 93, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .318 → .244; ISO .144 → .104; BABIP .427 → .387. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AStockton Ports · 491 PAwOBA .343 → .271 (−71)K% 33.4% → 45.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.40% | ÷0.996 | ×1.360 | — | — | 45.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.63% | ÷1.004 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 8.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.02% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.12% | ÷0.979 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 28.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.64% | ÷1.026 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 5.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.95% | ÷0.945 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.030 | 2.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.47% | ÷0.945 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 4.77% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 89, K 99, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .343 → .271; ISO .164 → .126; BABIP .382 → .375. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Athletics · 39 PAwOBA .265 → .140 (−125)K% 48.7% → 70.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 48.72% | ÷0.997 | ×1.440 | — | — | 70.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.82% | ÷1.017 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 7.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.56% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 50.00% | ÷1.007 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.008 | 41.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.981 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.011 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.950 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 101, 2B 96, 3B 102, K 99, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .265 → .140; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .500 → .410. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .