Cam Cannarella — OGILVIE

Cam CannarellaOF Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 22 L/R 6'0" / 185 lbs AA HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION232 act + 154 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†116

AVG/OBP/SLG.260 / .332 / .397

PA154

HR4

SB5

K%21

BB%8

BABIP312

ISO137

MLB%6%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT53

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE66

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.0	$14M	+$13M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.2	$14M	+$13M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.3	$14M	+$13M
2031	Arb-1	$5M	+2.3	$13M	+$10M
2032	Arb-2	$7M	+2.2	$11M	+$7M
2033	Arb-3	$9M	+1.9	$9M	+$4M
Totals		$24M		$74M	+$61M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	95	90	21	5	1	0	5	26	0	1	3	233	274	311	585	78	328	27	5	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	95	88	25	6	1	0	7	18	0	1	3	284	337	375	712	91	357	19	7	321	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	AA	MIA	—	232	202	68	6	1	11	22	39	3	10	4	337	410	540	949	203	363	17	9	405	168	+18	+0	+0	-1	+7	2.4
YTD	22	AA	MIA	—	232	193	70	7	1	12	31	30	3	10	4	363	458	596	1.054	233	372	13	13	451	203	+27	+0	+0	-1	+7	3.3
ROS	22	AA	MIA	6%	154	138	36	5	1	4	13	33	2	5	2	260	332	397	729	137	319	21	8	336	116	+3	+0	+1	-1	+4	0.7
ROS	22	MLB	MIA	6%	9	8	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	250	333	250	583		313	22	11	324	106	+0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	22	AA	MIA	—	241	210	70	6	1	11	23	41	3	10	4	333	407	529	935	195	362	17	10	402	166	+18	+0	+0	-1	+7	2.4
TOT	22	AA	MIA	—	386	340	104	11	2	15	35	72	5	15	6	305	378	481	860	176	343	19	9	378	147	+21	+1	+1	-2	+11	3.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	MIA	37%	329	294	79	12	2	10	29	70	3	8	3	269	340	425	766	156	317	21	9	337	116	+6	+0	+2	-2	+9	1.6
2028	24	MLB	MIA	47%	404	362	96	15	2	12	35	86	4	10	4	265	337	417	754	152	316	21	9	338	117	+8	+0	+2	-2	+11	2.0
2029	25	MLB	MIA	52%	437	391	104	16	2	14	38	92	5	11	4	266	339	425	763	159	315	21	9	339	118	+9	+1	+2	-3	+12	2.2
2030	26	MLB	MIA	54%	456	408	108	17	2	14	40	97	5	11	4	265	338	419	757	154	314	21	9	339	118	+9	+1	+2	-3	+13	2.3
2031	27	MLB	MIA	54%	459	410	108	17	2	14	41	98	5	11	4	263	338	417	755	154	314	21	9	339	118	+9	+1	+2	-3	+13	2.3
2032	28	MLB	MIA	54%	457	408	108	17	2	14	41	98	5	11	4	265	339	419	758	154	314	21	9	338	117	+9	+1	+2	-3	+13	2.2
2033	29	MLB	MIA	53%	448	399	106	17	2	14	41	97	5	10	4	266	342	424	765	158	313	22	9	336	115	+8	+0	+1	-3	+13	1.9
2034	30	MLB	MIA	52%	439	392	102	16	2	13	40	96	4	10	4	260	335	411	746	151	312	22	9	333	113	+7	+0	+0	-3	+12	1.7
2035	31	MLB	MIA	52%	425	379	97	15	2	12	39	94	4	9	4	256	332	401	733	145	309	22	9	329	110	+5	+0	-1	-3	+12	1.4
2036	32	MLB	MIA	52%	407	363	92	14	2	11	37	92	4	8	3	253	329	394	723	140	306	23	9	324	106	+3	+0	-1	-2	+12	1.1
2037	33	MLB	MIA	52%	377	336	83	12	1	10	34	87	4	7	3	247	324	378	702	131	302	23	9	317	101	+0	+0	-2	-2	+11	0.7
2027	23	MLB	MIA	37%	121	108	28	4	1	3	11	26	1	3	1	259	333	398	731	139	311	21	9	324	106	+1	+0	+1	-1	+3	0.4
2028	24	MLB	MIA	47%	191	170	45	7	1	6	17	40	2	5	2	265	339	424	762	159	310	21	9	326	107	+2	+0	+1	-1	+5	0.7
2029	25	MLB	MIA	52%	228	204	53	8	1	7	20	48	2	6	2	260	332	412	744	152	309	21	9	326	108	+2	+0	+1	-1	+6	0.9
2030	26	MLB	MIA	54%	248	221	58	9	1	8	22	53	3	6	2	262	337	421	758	158	309	21	9	326	108	+2	+0	+1	-1	+7	1.0
2031	27	MLB	MIA	54%	250	223	58	9	1	8	22	53	3	6	2	260	335	417	752	157	309	21	9	326	108	+2	+0	+1	-2	+7	1.0
2032	28	MLB	MIA	54%	248	221	57	9	1	7	22	53	3	6	2	258	333	403	736	145	308	21	9	326	107	+2	+0	+1	-1	+7	0.9
2033	29	MLB	MIA	53%	238	212	55	9	1	7	22	51	2	6	2	259	335	410	745	151	307	21	9	324	106	+2	+0	+0	-1	+7	0.8
2034	30	MLB	MIA	52%	230	205	53	8	1	7	21	50	2	5	2	259	333	410	743	151	306	22	9	321	104	+1	+0	+0	-1	+7	0.7
2035	31	MLB	MIA	52%	221	197	50	8	1	6	20	49	2	5	2	254	329	396	725	142	304	22	9	317	101	+0	+0	-0	-1	+6	0.5
2036	32	MLB	MIA	52%	211	188	47	7	1	6	19	48	2	4	2	250	325	394	719	144	301	23	9	312	97	-1	+0	-1	-1	+6	0.3
2037	33	MLB	MIA	52%	195	173	42	6	1	5	18	45	2	4	1	243	321	376	697	133	297	23	9	305	92	-2	+0	-1	-1	+6	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2390	2130	548	84	11	70	215	518	24	56	20	257	332	406	738	148	308	22	9	321	104	+11	+3	+4	-14	+68	7.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	149	23	3	19	58	141	7	15	5	257	332	406	738	149	308	22	9	321	104	+3	+1	+1	-4	+18	2.0
Career	—			—	4887	4370	1140	178	23	142	433	1066	50	112	46	261	334	410	744	149	313	22	9	332	113	+69	+4	+9	-29	+138	19.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	152	24	3	19	58	142	7	15	6	262	336	411	747	150	314	22	9	332	113	+9	+1	+1	-4	+18	2.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A+	Beloit Sky Carp	—	95	88	25	6	1	0	7	18	0	1	3	284	337	375	712	91	357	19	7	321	104	+0	-1	—	—	+3	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Franklin Gutierrezlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,333 PA	11	3,333	97	78	257	311	408	-10	+73	16.9	16.7
	/162	664	19	16	257	311	408	-2.1	+14.5	3.4	pk7: 16
#2Darin Erstadlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,564 PA	10	4,564	72	120	282	334	395	-33	+28	16.3	16.3
	/162	664	10	17	282	334	395	-4.8	+4.1	2.4	pk7: 16
#3David Belllast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,784 PA	7	3,784	88	9	257	325	396	-2	+34	15.1	15.1
#3David Belllast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,784 PA	/162	664	15	2	257	325	396	-0.4	+6.0	2.7	pk7: 15
#4Ryan Churchlast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,128 PA	7	2,128	56	21	264	336	431	-20	+10	9.0	9.0
	/162	664	17	7	264	336	431	-6.1	+3.1	2.8	pk7: 9
#5Chris Styneslast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,707 PA	5	1,707	37	13	274	335	416	-4	+17	8.4	8.4
	/162	664	14	5	274	335	416	-1.5	+6.8	3.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,392	72	56	263	333	416	-14	+41	8.9	7.9
	/162	664	20	15	263	333	416	-4.0	+11.3	2.5	pk7: 7
#6Ryan Robertslast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,639 PA	5	1,639	45	35	248	323	395	+5	+20	7.5	7.5
	/162	664	18	14	248	323	395	+2.0	+8.0	3.0	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cam Cannarella (OGILVIE)	22	53	34	60	60	305/378/481	176	343	15	15	19%	9%	147	+3.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Nicky Lopez 2017 · A	22	47→57	42→40	57→55	51	229/304/337	108	264	10	17	17%	8%	82	+0.5	248/300/333	85	280	5	13	13%	6%	77	+0.1	266/326/350	84	306	4	14	13%	8%	90	+0.8
●Sal Frelick 2022 · A	22	52→59	40→45	56→55	48	247/307/344	98	310	7	17	22%	8%	84	+0.6	263/324/374	111	306	8	19	16%	8%	98	+1.6	266/334/365	99	304	8	20	14%	8%	99	+1.4
★Chris Coghlan 2008 · A	23	48→58	46→50	55	50	237/300/377	140	271	12	15	18%	8%	90	+1.0	274/341/402	128	319	9	18	16%	8%	113	+2.6	289/358/416	127	337	9	19	16%	9%	119	+2.8
●LaMonte Wade Jr. 2016 · A	22	46→56	45→55	55→45	54	229/308/356	127	264	13	10	19%	9%	88	+0.9	237/317/348	111	278	11	8	18%	9%	90	+1.0	247/347/440	192	279	24	4	20%	12%	124	+2.4
✕Alan Roden 2023 · A	23	47→56	41→45	51→50	51	223/308/322	99	268	8	12	19%	8%	80	+0.4	254/328/377	123	297	11	14	17%	8%	102	+1.9	257/332/384	128	298	12	14	17%	8%	102	+1.4
●Trevor Larnach 2019 · A	22	48→55	44→55	51→45	46	233/294/357	124	294	11	7	24%	7%	82	+0.5	238/302/356	118	351	11	4	33%	7%	85	+0.7	259/340/419	160	307	18	5	21%	10%	114	+1.9
●Jon Jay 2008 · AA	23	52→62	41→45	51→50	44	250/301/354	104	305	8	13	20%	6%	84	+0.6	263/313/377	114	303	10	13	16%	6%	95	+1.4	292/352/407	114	339	8	15	15%	7%	115	+2.4
●Nate Roberts 2011 · A	22	50	45	48→55	46	242/313/371	129	324	12	8	28%	8%	94	+1.3	263/361/367	104	329	6	14	20%	8%	114	+2.7	281/390/383	102	347	5	19	18%	9%	125	+1.8
●Tony Kemp 2014 · A	22	47→57	39→45	49→55	52	222/302/307	85	279	7	11	22%	9%	72	-0.2	267/333/361	94	317	5	23	16%	8%	99	+1.7	274/341/362	88	324	4	25	16%	8%	99	+1.5
●Shane Peterson 2010 · AA	22	52→60	42→50	55→50	41	249/298/357	108	311	9	12	23%	5%	84	+0.6	235/300/347	112	311	10	12	26%	7%	82	+0.5	254/328/373	119	355	10	13	29%	9%	98	+1.4
✕Chandler Simpson 2023 · A	22	49→59	38→30	56→70	49	228/296/314	87	301	4	17	24%	8%	72	-0.2	265/309/316	51	306	1	59	13%	6%	76	+0.0	299/334/350	51	335	0	65	10%	5%	92	+0.9
✕Dwight Smith Jr. 2015 · A	22	50→53	41→50	53→50	49	240/298/343	104	292	7	12	20%	8%	79	+0.3	235/285/337	102	290	8	9	21%	6%	72	-0.2	245/307/382	136	293	13	9	20%	7%	91	+0.9
●Tyler Black 2023 · A	23	46→54	41→50	50→60	55	216/317/322	106	289	7	14	26%	12%	84	+0.6	241/332/395	154	315	14	30	26%	10%	108	+2.3	242/335/399	157	317	14	35	26%	10%	107	+1.7
✕Tonys Gutierrez 2006 · A	22	56→60	41→40	54→45	45	266/320/369	103	332	8	6	22%	6%	95	+1.4	256/329/345	89	329	5	6	22%	9%	93	+1.3	257/338/340	83	328	5	6	21%	10%	95	+1.0
●Domonic Brown 2010 · AA	22	51→54	46→55	53→55	47	251/308/386	136	311	13	17	23%	7%	95	+1.4	251/312/396	145	310	14	16	23%	8%	100	+1.7	252/316/413	162	285	18	11	18%	8%	101	+1.4
✕Michael Gigliotti 2018 · A	22	53	40	51→55	50	252/319/352	100	313	7	17	21%	8%	91	+1.1	234/297/320	86	306	5	20	23%	7%	74	-0.1	194/304/312	118	265	11	24	28%	11%	75	+0.0
●Adam Eaton 2011 · A	22	55→65	44→45	51→55	45	263/341/384	121	337	10	15	24%	7%	110	+2.4	276/353/388	112	334	8	23	18%	8%	115	+2.7	285/357/412	127	339	9	15	17%	8%	119	+3.3
✕Tristan Peters 2023 · AA	23	45→53	44→45	53→50	48	218/288/344	126	281	9	14	25%	8%	76	+0.1	229/295/348	119	286	9	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	238/306/369	131	290	10	10	21%	8%	87	+0.6
✕Dan Robinson 2019 · A	22	52	38→40	51→50	51	243/305/334	91	287	4	10	16%	8%	80	+0.4	215/282/292	77	281	4	7	23%	8%	59	-1.1	197/270/264	67	260	2	5	23%	9%	44	-1.3
●Mark Zagunis 2015 · A	22	48→54	41→50	55→50	47	228/298/339	111	301	6	15	25%	8%	79	+0.3	244/333/383	139	311	12	9	24%	10%	106	+2.2	243/340/390	148	308	14	8	24%	11%	107	+1.7