Cam Cannarella
OF Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21 | A+MIA | 95 | .284/.337/.375 | 0 | 1 | 64 | — | .244/.284/.322 |
| 2026 | 22 | AAA/AA/A+MIA | 438 | .324/.427/.512 | 15 | 21 | 130 | — | .297/.377/.449 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 23 | MLBMIA | 21 | .225/.309/.350 | 0 | 1 | 94 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ42% MLB | 24 | MLBMIA | 151 | .228/.312/.357 | 4 | 4 | 97 | 0.3 | |
| 2029PROJ58% MLB | 25 | MLBMIA | 226 | .229/.313/.361 | 5 | 6 | 98 | 0.4 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 95 | 88 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 284 | 337 | 375 | 712 | 91 | 357 | 19 | 7 | 321 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 206 | 174 | 49 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 49 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 282 | 393 | 420 | 813 | 138 | 377 | 24 | 14 | 369 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 150 | 122 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 344 | 459 | 607 | 1.066 | 262 | 347 | 13 | 15 | 458 | 163 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 82 | 71 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 394 | 456 | 577 | 1.033 | 183 | 410 | 12 | 10 | 438 | 153 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 95 | 90 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 244 | 284 | 322 | 606 | 78 | 326 | 25 | 5 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 206 | 182 | 46 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 59 | 3 | 11 | 3 | 253 | 340 | 357 | 697 | 104 | 361 | 29 | 10 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 150 | 129 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 326 | 412 | 550 | 963 | 225 | 339 | 16 | 11 | 409 | 163 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | A+ MLE | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 82 | 73 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 356 | 405 | 493 | 898 | 137 | 373 | 16 | 7 | 395 | 153 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 95 | 90 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 244 | 284 | 322 | 606 | 78 | 333 | 25 | 5 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ RAW | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 95 | 88 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 284 | 337 | 375 | 712 | 91 | 357 | 19 | 7 | 321 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 438 | 384 | 114 | 20 | 1 | 12 | 43 | 96 | 6 | 21 | 7 | 297 | 376 | 448 | 824 | 151 | 363 | 22 | 10 | 361 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 438 | 367 | 119 | 22 | 1 | 15 | 60 | 79 | 6 | 21 | 7 | 324 | 427 | 512 | 940 | 188 | 374 | 18 | 14 | 412 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 95 | 90 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 244 | 284 | 322 | 606 | 78 | 326 | 25 | 5 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 438 | 386 | 114 | 20 | 1 | 12 | 43 | 96 | 6 | 21 | 7 | 295 | 376 | 446 | 822 | 150 | 356 | 22 | 10 | 361 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 95 | 90 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 244 | 284 | 322 | 606 | 78 | 326 | 25 | 5 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 438 | 386 | 114 | 20 | 1 | 12 | 43 | 96 | 6 | 21 | 7 | 295 | 376 | 446 | 822 | 150 | 356 | 22 | 10 | 361 | 130 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB MLE | MIA | 10% | 482 | 427 | 100 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 131 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 233 | 316 | 366 | 682 | 133 | 306 | 27 | 10 | 307 | 94 | -3 | +1 | +1 | -3 | +10 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB CTX | MIA | 10% | 21 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 225 | 309 | 350 | 659 | 125 | 296 | 29 | 10 | 298 | 94 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 24 | MLB MLE | MIA | 42% | 357 | 316 | 75 | 15 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 96 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 235 | 319 | 373 | 692 | 138 | 306 | 27 | 10 | 311 | 97 | -1 | +1 | +1 | -2 | +8 | 0.6 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB MLE | MIA | 58% | 392 | 346 | 82 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 104 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 237 | 320 | 378 | 698 | 141 | 305 | 27 | 10 | 313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | +1 | -2 | +8 | 0.7 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB MLE | MIA | 65% | 412 | 364 | 86 | 17 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 108 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 237 | 320 | 379 | 699 | 142 | 304 | 26 | 10 | 314 | 98 | -1 | +1 | +1 | -2 | +9 | 0.8 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB MLE | MIA | 66% | 418 | 370 | 87 | 17 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 110 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 236 | 319 | 378 | 697 | 141 | 303 | 26 | 10 | 313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | +1 | -3 | +9 | 0.8 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIA | 67% | 416 | 368 | 87 | 17 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 109 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 235 | 317 | 374 | 691 | 140 | 301 | 26 | 10 | 311 | 96 | -2 | +1 | +1 | -2 | +9 | 0.6 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIA | 66% | 406 | 361 | 83 | 16 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 108 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 232 | 314 | 368 | 682 | 136 | 300 | 27 | 9 | 307 | 94 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB MLE | MIA | 65% | 394 | 350 | 80 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 106 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 229 | 311 | 360 | 670 | 131 | 298 | 27 | 9 | 302 | 91 | -4 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB CTX | MIA | 42% | 151 | 133 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 40 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 228 | 312 | 357 | 669 | 129 | 296 | 26 | 10 | 302 | 97 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB CTX | MIA | 58% | 226 | 199 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 60 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 229 | 313 | 361 | 674 | 132 | 295 | 27 | 10 | 304 | 98 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -1 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB CTX | MIA | 65% | 266 | 235 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 70 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 229 | 313 | 362 | 675 | 133 | 294 | 26 | 10 | 304 | 98 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -2 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB CTX | MIA | 66% | 277 | 245 | 56 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 73 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 228 | 312 | 361 | 673 | 133 | 293 | 26 | 10 | 303 | 98 | -1 | +0 | +1 | -2 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIA | 67% | 279 | 247 | 56 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 73 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 227 | 310 | 358 | 668 | 131 | 291 | 26 | 10 | 301 | 96 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIA | 66% | 268 | 238 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 71 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 225 | 307 | 352 | 659 | 127 | 290 | 26 | 9 | 298 | 94 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB CTX | MIA | 65% | 257 | 228 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 69 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 222 | 304 | 344 | 648 | 122 | 288 | 27 | 9 | 293 | 91 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +6 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1724 | 1525 | 346 | 63 | 6 | 42 | 166 | 456 | 20 | 38 | 13 | 227 | 311 | 359 | 670 | 132 | 294 | 26 | 10 | 301 | 99 | -8 | +2 | +3 | -10 | +37 | 2.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 575 | 131 | 24 | 2 | 16 | 63 | 172 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 228 | 313 | 360 | 673 | 132 | 295 | 26 | 10 | 301 | 99 | -3 | +1 | +1 | -4 | +14 | 0.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3538 | 3134 | 760 | 148 | 10 | 88 | 335 | 918 | 41 | 91 | 33 | 243 | 324 | 380 | 704 | 138 | 313 | 26 | 9 | 315 | 99 | -15 | +5 | +5 | -18 | +65 | 4.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 576 | 139 | 27 | 2 | 16 | 62 | 169 | 8 | 17 | 6 | 241 | 324 | 378 | 703 | 137 | 311 | 26 | 10 | 315 | 99 | -3 | +1 | +1 | -4 | +14 | 0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 206 PAwOBA .360 → .312 (−48)K% 23.8% → 28.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.79% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 10.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.46% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.022 | ×1.050 | 24.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.022 | ×1.050 | 10.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.022 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 1.76% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .360 → .312; ISO .138 → .113; BABIP .377 → .361. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 150 PAwOBA .452 → .409 (−43)K% 13.3% → 16.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.33% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 10.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 1.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 27.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 4.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 7.25% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .452 → .409; ISO .262 → .233; BABIP .347 → .339. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 82 PAwOBA .442 → .395 (−48)K% 12.2% → 15.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.20% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 15.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 6.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 36.07% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.011 | ×0.998 | 33.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.011 | ×0.998 | 2.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.011 | ×0.998 | 1.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.93% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .442 → .395; ISO .183 → .155; BABIP .410 → .373. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 95 PAwOBA .313 → .263 (−50)K% 18.9% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.95% | ÷0.972 | ×1.270 | — | — | 24.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.37% | ÷0.978 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 5.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.71% | ÷1.028 | ×0.920 | ×1.023 | ×1.012 | 23.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.57% | ÷0.961 | ×0.810 | ×1.023 | ×1.012 | 7.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×1.023 | ×1.012 | 1.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.006 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 106, 2B 92, 3B 100, K 94, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .313 → .263; ISO .091 → .075; BABIP .357 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).