Jose Nova
P
Wisconsin Timber Rattlers
Age 24
RHP
6'5" / 185 lbs
A+
2026 ROS PROJECTION14 act + 14 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122112vR 103
ERA4.52
FIP4.52
K%22.6%
BB%11.0%
K-BB%11.6%
ROS IP14
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 28 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 0 | 24 | 120 | 27 | 21 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 15.8% | 21.2% | -5.4% | 0.9% | 4.81 | 4.94 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 0 | 24 | 120 | 27 | 21 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.5% | 17.5% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 4.81 | 4.00 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 0 | 31 | 146 | 37 | 21 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.9% | 17.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 5.23 | 4.10 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 0 | 31 | 146 | 37 | 21 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.3% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 0.7% | 5.23 | 3.16 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 16 | 0 | 14 | 94 | 25 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 0.9 | 20.5% | 30.6% | -10.1% | 6.6% | 21.35 | 8.89 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | MIL | 13 | 0 | 14 | 58 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 2.8% | 4.52 | 4.52 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 2.8% | 4.52 | 4.52 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 28 | 152 | 38 | 31 | 7 | — | — | 25.1% | 20.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 13.09 | 6.75 | -0.7 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 2.8% | 4.52 | 4.14 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | MIL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 4.43 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | MIL | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 4.43 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 4.43 | 4.01 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 184 | 92 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 4.43 | 4.01 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 61 | 0 | 70 | 360 | 67 | 80 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 22.1% | -3.5% | 2.4% | 8.40 | 5.63 | -0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 175 | 0 | 200 | 1033 | 193 | 229 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 22.1% | -3.5% | 2.4% | 8.40 | 5.63 | -0.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jose Nova (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.52 | 22.6% | 11.0% | 2.8% | — | 4.39 | 23.1% | 12.8% | 20 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Velez R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 91 |
| Vince Vannelle R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.77 | 19.9% | 8.6% | 2.3% | .282 | 5.34 | 15.3% | 4.5% | 76 | +1.57 | 3.77 | 105 | 88 |
| Austin Smith R 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.00 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .274 | 5.05 | 16.3% | 0.7% | 52 | +1.05 | 4.00 | 134 | 87 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 87 |
| Cole Gordon R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 22.0% | 12.7% | 2.4% | .243 | 5.20 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 83 | +1.04 | 4.16 | 112 | 86 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.63 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .282 | 3.31 | 22.5% | 16.6% | 72 | -0.32 | 2.25 | 121 | 86 |
| Kyle Schepel R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.49 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .233 | 3.63 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 120 | -0.86 | 3.51 | 156 | 86 |
| Stephen Jones R 2026 · 3.45 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.45 | 23.8% | 11.0% | 1.8% | .304 | 4.55 | 21.9% | 9.2% | 142 | +1.10 | 3.45 | 289 | 86 |
| Cre Finfrock R 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.45 | 23.0% | 11.7% | 3.3% | .278 | 6.27 | 16.7% | -8.5% | 36 | +1.82 | 4.27 | 103 | 86 |
| Harrison Cohen R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .282 | 4.01 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.09 | 146 | 85 |
| Kyle Martin R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.62 | 21.2% | 9.6% | 2.0% | .345 | 3.45 | 22.4% | 12.5% | 172 | -0.17 | 3.02 | 214 | 85 |
| Cameron Gann R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.16 | 21.4% | 12.4% | 2.4% | .296 | 5.44 | 21.1% | 6.8% | 23 | +1.28 | 3.52 | 146 | 85 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2028 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 85 |
| Zach Franklin R 2027 · 3.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.53 | 26.4% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .301 | 4.31 | 28.4% | 19.1% | 97 | +0.78 | 3.48 | 138 | 85 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2028 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 84 |
| Alex Palsha R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.84 | 20.6% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.90 | 15.3% | 4.4% | 77 | +0.06 | 3.40 | 134 | 84 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2028 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 84 |
| Jackson McClelland R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.94 | 23.2% | 11.6% | 2.4% | .253 | 5.53 | 17.0% | 2.6% | 83 | +1.59 | 3.02 | 174 | 84 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 84 |
| Max Alba R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.24 | 20.6% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .290 | 5.06 | 17.4% | 10.5% | 207 | +0.82 | 4.24 | 262 | 83 |