Victor Izturis
C Hill City Howlers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ROKCLE | 102 | .169/.373/.221 | 1 | 2 | 19 | — | .116/.255/.163 |
| 2025 | 20 | ROKCLE | 43 | .242/.395/.394 | 1 | 1 | 56 | — | .189/.302/.324 |
| 2026 | 21 | A+/ACLE | 152 | .177/.296/.269 | 2 | 2 | 25 | — | .147/.237/.228 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 22 | MLBCLE | 262 | .207/.280/.306 | 4 | 2 | 67 | 0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 23 | MLBCLE | 47 | .212/.285/.319 | 1 | 0 | 72 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ46% MLB | 24 | MLBCLE | 97 | .215/.289/.330 | 2 | 1 | 76 | 0.1 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL CLE Red | — | 150 | 119 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 252 | 395 | 311 | 705 | 59 | 283 | 11 | 13 | 331 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Guardians | — | 149 | 121 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 264 | 395 | 306 | 700 | 41 | 326 | 18 | 16 | 330 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | ACL Guardians | — | 102 | 77 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 169 | 373 | 221 | 593 | 52 | 273 | 31 | 24 | 302 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | ACL Guardians | — | 43 | 33 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 242 | 395 | 394 | 789 | 152 | 292 | 19 | 19 | 360 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Lake County Captains | — | 23 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 261 | 200 | 461 | 50 | 250 | 35 | 13 | 226 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A | Hill City Howlers | — | 129 | 110 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 182 | 302 | 282 | 584 | 100 | 225 | 22 | 12 | 277 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL CLE Red | — | 150 | 125 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 176 | 299 | 216 | 515 | 40 | 189 | 13 | 9 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Guardians | — | 149 | 130 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 306 | 254 | 560 | 38 | 278 | 26 | 10 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Guardians | — | 102 | 86 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 47 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 116 | 255 | 163 | 418 | 47 | 223 | 46 | 15 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Guardians | — | 43 | 37 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 302 | 324 | 627 | 135 | 229 | 26 | 12 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Lake County Captains | — | 23 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 217 | 190 | 408 | 48 | 227 | 43 | 9 | 170 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | Hill City Howlers | — | 129 | 115 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 38 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 148 | 240 | 235 | 475 | 87 | 198 | 29 | 8 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL CLE Red | — | 150 | 125 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 176 | 299 | 216 | 515 | 40 | 202 | 13 | 9 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL CLE Red | — | 150 | 119 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 252 | 395 | 311 | 705 | 59 | 283 | 11 | 13 | 331 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Guardians | — | 149 | 130 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 306 | 254 | 560 | 38 | 293 | 26 | 10 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK RAW | ACL Guardians | — | 149 | 121 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 264 | 395 | 306 | 700 | 41 | 326 | 18 | 16 | 330 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Guardians | — | 102 | 86 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 47 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 116 | 255 | 163 | 418 | 47 | 237 | 46 | 15 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK RAW | ACL Guardians | — | 102 | 77 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 32 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 169 | 373 | 221 | 593 | 52 | 273 | 31 | 24 | 302 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Guardians | — | 43 | 37 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 302 | 324 | 627 | 135 | 240 | 26 | 12 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK RAW | ACL Guardians | — | 43 | 33 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 242 | 395 | 394 | 789 | 152 | 292 | 19 | 19 | 360 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 152 | 135 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 148 | 243 | 230 | 473 | 81 | 212 | 32 | 9 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 152 | 130 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 36 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 177 | 296 | 269 | 565 | 92 | 228 | 24 | 12 | 269 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL CLE Red | — | 150 | 127 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 173 | 299 | 213 | 512 | 39 | 189 | 13 | 9 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Guardians | — | 149 | 131 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 306 | 252 | 558 | 38 | 278 | 26 | 10 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Guardians | — | 102 | 85 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 47 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 118 | 255 | 165 | 420 | 47 | 223 | 46 | 15 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Guardians | — | 43 | 37 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 302 | 324 | 627 | 135 | 229 | 26 | 12 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 152 | 134 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 149 | 243 | 231 | 475 | 82 | 202 | 32 | 9 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Guardians | — | 102 | 85 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 47 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 118 | 255 | 165 | 420 | 47 | 223 | 46 | 15 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Guardians | — | 43 | 37 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 302 | 324 | 627 | 135 | 229 | 26 | 12 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 152 | 134 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 149 | 243 | 231 | 475 | 82 | 202 | 32 | 9 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | CLE | 0% | 262 | 236 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 75 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 207 | 280 | 306 | 587 | 99 | 283 | 29 | 8 | 267 | 67 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | CLE | 34% | 136 | 122 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 38 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 212 | 285 | 320 | 605 | 109 | 285 | 28 | 8 | 275 | 72 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | CLE | 46% | 211 | 190 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 59 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 215 | 289 | 332 | 621 | 116 | 286 | 28 | 8 | 281 | 76 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | CLE | 52% | 275 | 247 | 55 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 76 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 218 | 292 | 340 | 632 | 122 | 286 | 28 | 8 | 285 | 79 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | CLE | 54% | 323 | 289 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 88 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 220 | 294 | 346 | 640 | 126 | 287 | 27 | 8 | 288 | 81 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +7 | 0.6 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | CLE | 54% | 346 | 310 | 69 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 94 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 220 | 294 | 347 | 640 | 127 | 286 | 27 | 8 | 288 | 81 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +7 | 0.6 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB MLE | CLE | 54% | 353 | 317 | 70 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 97 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 218 | 292 | 342 | 634 | 124 | 285 | 27 | 8 | 286 | 80 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +8 | 0.5 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB MLE | CLE | 53% | 350 | 314 | 68 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 97 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 216 | 289 | 335 | 624 | 120 | 284 | 28 | 8 | 282 | 77 | -10 | +0 | -1 | +6 | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB MLE | CLE | 52% | 344 | 309 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 96 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 213 | 285 | 328 | 613 | 115 | 282 | 28 | 8 | 277 | 74 | -11 | -1 | -2 | +6 | +7 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | CLE | 34% | 47 | 42 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 285 | 319 | 604 | 107 | 285 | 28 | 9 | 274 | 72 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | CLE | 46% | 97 | 88 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 215 | 289 | 330 | 619 | 115 | 286 | 28 | 8 | 280 | 76 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | CLE | 52% | 142 | 127 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 218 | 292 | 339 | 630 | 121 | 287 | 27 | 8 | 285 | 79 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | CLE | 54% | 175 | 157 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 48 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 220 | 294 | 345 | 638 | 125 | 287 | 27 | 8 | 288 | 81 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | CLE | 54% | 188 | 168 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 51 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 220 | 294 | 345 | 639 | 125 | 286 | 27 | 9 | 288 | 81 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB CTX | CLE | 54% | 192 | 172 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 53 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 218 | 292 | 341 | 633 | 122 | 285 | 28 | 8 | 285 | 80 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +3 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB CTX | CLE | 53% | 186 | 167 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 51 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 216 | 289 | 334 | 623 | 119 | 284 | 27 | 8 | 282 | 77 | -5 | -0 | -1 | +3 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB CTX | CLE | 52% | 180 | 161 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 50 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 213 | 285 | 327 | 612 | 114 | 282 | 28 | 8 | 277 | 74 | -6 | -0 | -1 | +3 | +4 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1207 | 1082 | 236 | 43 | 6 | 26 | 100 | 332 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 218 | 293 | 341 | 634 | 123 | 288 | 28 | 8 | 283 | 70 | -31 | +1 | -2 | +22 | +26 | 1.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 583 | 127 | 23 | 3 | 14 | 54 | 179 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 218 | 293 | 340 | 633 | 122 | 288 | 28 | 8 | 283 | 70 | -17 | +0 | -1 | +12 | +14 | 0.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3023 | 2692 | 561 | 102 | 14 | 55 | 262 | 835 | 44 | 20 | 8 | 208 | 289 | 318 | 607 | 110 | 278 | 28 | 9 | 272 | 70 | -65 | +0 | -4 | +43 | +53 | 2.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 579 | 121 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 56 | 180 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 209 | 289 | 320 | 608 | 111 | 279 | 28 | 9 | 272 | 70 | -17 | +0 | -1 | +12 | +14 | 0.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AHill City Howlers · 129 PAwOBA .271 → .211 (−60)K% 21.7% → 29.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.71% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 8.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.10% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 2.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.971 | ×1.015 | 14.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.971 | ×1.015 | 4.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.971 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.98% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .271 → .211; ISO .100 → .077; BABIP .225 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Lake County Captains · 23 PAwOBA .221 → .170 (−51)K% 34.8% → 44.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.78% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 44.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.04% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 9.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 15.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.027 | 6.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .221 → .170; ISO .050 → .037; BABIP .250 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKACL Guardians · 43 PAwOBA .352 → .251 (−101)K% 18.6% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.60% | ÷1.041 | ×1.440 | — | — | 25.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.60% | ÷1.018 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 11.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.33% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.985 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 16.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.00% | ÷0.982 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 5.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.075 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.388 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 2.24% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 178, 1B 97, 2B 96, 3B 115, K 108, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .352 → .251; ISO .152 → .100; BABIP .292 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL Guardians · 102 PAwOBA .296 → .197 (−99)K% 31.4% → 45.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.37% | ÷0.988 | ×1.440 | — | — | 45.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 23.53% | ÷0.998 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 14.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.98% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.44% | ÷0.982 | ×0.820 | ×0.990 | ×1.008 | 20.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.22% | ÷1.054 | ×0.720 | ×0.990 | ×1.008 | 1.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.935 | ×0.720 | ×0.990 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.22% | ÷0.984 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 1.77% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 96, 2B 111, 3B 87, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .296 → .197; ISO .052 → .035; BABIP .273 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Guardians · 149 PAwOBA .327 → .248 (−79)K% 18.1% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.12% | ÷1.005 | ×1.440 | — | — | 25.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.11% | ÷1.030 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 9.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.34% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.85% | ÷1.024 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 26.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.13% | ÷0.967 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 1.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.925 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.06% | ÷1.349 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 0.63% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 170, 1B 105, 2B 93, 3B 85, K 101, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .327 → .248; ISO .041 → .028; BABIP .326 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL CLE Red · 150 PAwOBA .330 → .236 (−95)K% 10.7% → 12.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.67% | ÷1.017 | ×1.220 | — | — | 12.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.33% | ÷1.002 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 9.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.33% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 3.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.33% | ÷1.017 | ×0.680 | ×0.996 | ×1.022 | 15.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.80% | ÷0.987 | ×0.600 | ×0.996 | ×1.022 | 4.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.600 | ×0.996 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.187 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 103, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 103, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .330 → .236; ISO .059 → .039; BABIP .283 → .189. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).