Victor IzturisC Hill City Howlers
Age 21 L/R 5'9" / 165 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION97 act + 64 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†52
AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .263 / .273
PA64
HR1
K%29
BB%8
BABIP259
ISO85
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -15.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-15BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +4.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.80-0.8WAR
0.00.51.00.10.40.70.80.91.00.90.70.50.2+$43M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.9$2M+$2M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.0$5M+$5M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.9$2M+$2M
2034Arb-1$1M+0.7$2M+$1M
2035Arb-2$1M+0.5$1M+$0.5M
2036Arb-3$1.0M+0.2$0.4M+$0.0M
Totals $6M $13M +$10M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL CLE Red 150127 24500 12228 01 189299228528 39222 158 249 49
202217 ROKDSL CLE Red 150119 30700 20168 01 252395311705 59283 1113 331 111
202318 ROKACL Guardians 149131 26200 14392 00 198286214499 15277 269 237 40
202318 ROKACL Guardians 149121 32201 24272 00 264395306700 41326 1816 330 110
202419 ROKACL Guardians 10286 10101 15471 20 116255163418 47237 4615 196 8
202419 ROKACL Guardians 10277 13101 24321 20 169373221593 52273 3124 302 89
202520 ROKACL Guardians 4337 7200 5111 10 189302243546 54269 2612 250 50
202520 ROKACL Guardians 4333 8201 881 10 242395394789 152292 1919 360 134
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD21 ACLE 9789 11102 6342 10 124196202398 79170 356 175 -8 -12 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.7
YTD21 ACLE 9785 13102 10242 10 153258235493 82186 2510 237 39 -7 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.2
ROS21 ACLE 0% 6458 11201 5191 10 187263273536 85265 298 253 52 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
ROS21 MLBCLE 0% 01 0000 000 00 265 244 45 +0 +0
FULL21 ACLE 9790 11102 6342 10 122196200396 78167 356 175 -8 -12 +0 +0 +2 +3 -0.7
TOT21 ACLE 161147 22303 11533 20 149223230453 81207 337 206 16 -15 +0 +0 +3 +5 -0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBCLE 34% 172155 32513 13482 10 206276310586 103270 288 266 62 -7 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.1
202823 MLBCLE 48% 292264 55916 23803 20 208279318597 110273 278 275 69 -10 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.4
202924 MLBCLE 53% 378341 731229 301024 20 214285340626 126275 278 281 73 -11 +0 +0 +7 +11 0.7
203025 MLBCLE 55% 427385 8414211 341155 21 218290351641 132276 278 285 76 -12 +0 +0 +8 +12 0.8
203126 MLBCLE 56% 458413 9015212 361236 21 218290351641 133275 278 286 77 -12 +0 +0 +8 +13 0.9
203227 MLBCLE 55% 471424 9115212 381276 21 215288344633 130275 278 286 77 -12 +0 +0 +8 +13 1.0
203328 MLBCLE 55% 476428 9215212 391296 21 215290343633 129275 278 285 76 -13 +0 -1 +8 +13 0.9
203429 MLBCLE 53% 471423 9115212 391286 21 215291345636 130274 278 283 75 -13 +0 -1 +8 +13 0.7
203530 MLBCLE 53% 464418 8814211 381275 21 211284333617 122272 278 280 73 -14 +0 -2 +8 +13 0.5
203631 MLBCLE 52% 439395 8213210 361225 21 208282327609 119270 288 276 70 -15 +0 -3 +8 +12 0.2
203732 MLBCLE 52% 410368 761229 341165 20 207283323606 117267 288 271 65 -16 +0 -4 +7 +12 -0.0
202722 MLBCLE 34% 5953 11201 5161 00 208288302590 94271 278 258 55 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
202823 MLBCLE 48% 141127 27413 11392 10 213286331616 118273 288 267 62 -6 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.1
202924 MLBCLE 53% 199179 39615 16542 10 218289346636 128275 278 273 67 -7 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.2
203025 MLBCLE 55% 234210 45716 19633 10 214289343632 129276 278 276 69 -8 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.3
203126 MLBCLE 56% 255230 49816 20683 10 213285335619 122276 278 277 70 -9 +0 +0 +5 +7 0.4
203227 MLBCLE 55% 259233 50817 21703 10 215288348636 133276 278 277 70 -9 +0 +0 +5 +7 0.4
203328 MLBCLE 55% 260234 50817 21703 10 214287346633 132275 278 276 70 -9 +0 -0 +5 +7 0.3
203429 MLBCLE 53% 251225 48816 21683 10 213289338627 124274 278 275 68 -9 +0 -1 +4 +7 0.2
203530 MLBCLE 53% 244219 46716 20673 10 210285333618 123273 278 272 66 -9 +0 -1 +4 +7 0.1
203631 MLBCLE 52% 229205 43715 19643 10 210286327613 117270 288 268 63 -10 +0 -1 +4 +6 -0.0
203732 MLBCLE 52% 213192 39615 17602 10 203275323598 120267 288 263 59 -10 +0 -2 +4 +6 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 23442108 447711057 19063928 100 212286336622 124274 278 272 67 -88 +2 -6 +42 +66 1.7
/ 162G 650585 12520316 531778 30 214288340629 126276 278 272 67 -24 +1 -2 +12 +18 0.5
Career 49664453 93215120109 411135566 258 209286326611 116273 278 276 69 -172 +2 -10 +89 +141 5.0
/ 162G 650583 12220314 541779 31 209286326612 117273 278 276 69 -22 +0 -1 +12 +18 0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL CLE Red 150119 30700 20168 01 252395311705 59283 1113 331 111 +2 -0 +4 0.6
202318 ROKACL Guardians 149121 32201 24272 00 264395306700 41326 1816 330 110 +2 +0 +4 0.6
202419 ROKACL Guardians 10277 13101 24321 20 169373221593 52273 3124 302 89 -1 +0 +3 0.2
202520 ROKACL Guardians 4333 8201 881 10 242395394789 152292 1919 360 134 +2 +0 +1 0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA
101,566472217311367+28+197.87.9
/162664201+11.9+7.93.3pk7: 8
#2Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#4Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons
72,4095712213283338+43+283.63.4
/162664163+11.9+7.71.0pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Victor Izturis (OGILVIE) 21 149/223/230 81207 32 33% 7% 16 -0.8
Darrien Miller
2022 · A
21 44→41 45 50→45 48 215/312/330 114296 138 30% 9% 85 +0.7 189/296/305 116260 126 30% 9% 72 -0.2 174/315/272982519330%11%72-0.1
Chris Herrmann
2010 · A
22 46→48 43→50 44→50 47 225/289/336 111274 114 22% 7% 75 -0.0 217/287/318 101278 95 24% 8% 69 -0.4 217/305/38416627720828%11%92+0.5
Daniel Vellojin
2022 · A
22 45 43→45 45 56 218/316/337 119281 107 24% 12% 87 +0.8 187/273/293 106269 115 32% 10% 58 -1.2 150/237/225752158432%9%24-1.2
Brian Holberton
2014 · A
22 42 45 47→30 51 208/291/330 122251 136 22% 9% 76 +0.0 212/273/316 104251 93 18% 7% 63 -0.9 208/267/3121032419117%7%57-0.6
Meibrys Viloria
2018 · A
21 51→47 42→45 43→40 40 244/285/352 107315 84 25% 4% 76 +0.1 222/272/320 98306 94 29% 6% 63 -0.8 205/291/302973079333%10%64-0.4
Miguel Palma
2022 · A
20 43 44→45 47→40 49 207/309/323 116287 119 29% 10% 82 +0.5 218/279/333 115290 134 28% 7% 70 -0.3 214/272/31810428512228%6%61-0.5
Miguel Amaya
2021 · A
22 42 47→50 48→40 46 215/286/350 135266 154 25% 7% 78 +0.2 219/309/349 130303 136 30% 9% 88 +0.9 228/299/36814027116122%7%86+0.3
Jhoneiker Betancourt
2022 · A
22 48 40→55 47→40 48 231/310/327 96292 77 22% 8% 82 +0.5 204/279/334 130274 154 30% 7% 71 -0.3 186/269/36117523526033%7%79+0.1
Sam McMillan
2019 · A
20 47 41→40 47→45 49 227/314/329 102280 86 21% 8% 85 +0.7 215/317/292 77291 47 25% 10% 77 +0.1 211/334/282712734721%12%79+0.1
Ricardo Olivar
2023 · A
21 47→53 42→45 47→50 42 221/292/340 118325 89 32% 7% 77 +0.1 226/304/344 118318 119 30% 9% 84 +0.6 217/298/334116297131029%9%76+0.0
Johnny Monell
2009 · A
23 47→44 43→50 48→45 47 229/298/348 120287 1010 23% 8% 82 +0.5 227/284/359 132289 136 25% 7% 79 +0.3 211/282/35514427715628%8%76+0.0
Joshua Noviskey
2006 · A
23 45 44→45 44→30 48 221/289/341 119282 114 25% 8% 76 +0.1 212/281/325 113277 125 27% 8% 69 -0.4 184/261/2779323214126%8%46-0.8
Luis Alvarez
2011 · A
21 47 42→45 48→45 45 228/296/337 109289 96 24% 7% 78 +0.2 219/274/328 109275 105 24% 5% 66 -0.6 209/262/31710825012121%4%55-0.3
Hunter Goodman
2022 · A
22 46→44 42→60 50→40 43 219/290/331 112302 97 29% 7% 75 -0.0 208/261/404 196274 264 34% 5% 82 +0.5 224/280/43821426730429%6%96+1.1
Tony Cruz
2008 · A
21 48→38 44→45 49→40 44 236/277/356 119273 117 18% 5% 74 -0.1 227/266/350 123276 114 21% 5% 68 -0.5 241/284/3561162989022%5%74-0.0
Julio E. Rodriguez
2018 · A
21 45 46→50 49→30 45 225/277/357 133266 133 21% 6% 75 -0.0 211/246/327 116270 122 26% 4% 53 -1.5 187/260/31712925620234%8%56-0.5
Leo Jiménez
2023 · A
22 47→49 41→45 49→45 50 221/327/317 97287 89 24% 9% 88 +0.9 227/313/341 114287 117 24% 7% 88 +0.9 227/317/34211428611523%7%86+0.4
Abrahan Gutierrez
2022 · A
22 50→45 41→40 48→40 49 238/309/340 101302 73 22% 8% 84 +0.6 219/281/313 94296 84 27% 7% 66 -0.6 202/254/268662545322%5%39-0.7
Juan Castillo
2011 · A
21 47 45 46→40 46 231/284/353 122261 126 17% 6% 77 +0.1 227/272/324 97272 84 19% 5% 63 -0.8 229/268/315872847121%5%58-0.5
Kungkuan Giljegiljaw
2016 · A
22 48→49 43→45 48→30 43 232/289/352 120311 96 27% 6% 79 +0.3 231/281/339 108310 103 27% 5% 72 -0.2 230/281/34111129712126%5%69-0.2