RJ Austin

OF Frederick Keys

Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 199 lbs A+ HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #1007MiLBFA 2035

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	ABAL	68	.263/.364/.316	0	9	58	—	.237/.318/.288
2026	22	A+BAL	274	.256/.358/.415	7	31	69	—	.208/.284/.331
2027PROJ0% MLB	23	MLBBAL	1	.217/.285/.346	0	0	75	-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	24	MLBBAL	92	.221/.289/.356	2	2	79	-0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB	25	MLBBAL	164	.223/.292/.363	4	4	81	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$3M2033Arb-2$0.4M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Speed99

K%84

Whiff%82

Z-Con%81

wRC+54

ISO53

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 93%

CompsTroy Stokes Jr. (age 23) · Michael Guldberg (age 23) · John Rhodes (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .285 / .346

PA1

HR0

K%25

BB%7

BABIP271

ISO130

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-1	$3M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	68	57	15	3	0	0	7	10	2	9	1	263	364	316	679	53	319	15	10	310	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Frederick Keys	—	274	234	60	8	4	7	28	48	9	31	5	256	358	415	772	158	291	18	10	345	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	68	59	14	3	0	0	5	14	2	9	1	237	318	288	606	51	281	21	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	274	245	51	6	3	6	17	63	9	31	5	208	284	331	615	122	245	23	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	68	59	14	3	0	0	5	14	2	9	1	237	318	288	606	51	311	21	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	68	57	15	3	0	0	7	10	2	9	1	263	364	316	679	53	319	15	10	310	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	274	245	51	6	3	6	17	63	9	31	5	208	284	331	615	122	251	23	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ RAW	Frederick Keys	—	274	234	60	8	4	7	28	48	9	31	5	256	358	415	772	158	291	18	10	345	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	68	61	14	3	0	0	5	14	2	9	1	230	318	279	597	49	281	21	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	274	246	51	6	3	6	17	63	9	31	5	207	284	329	613	122	245	23	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	68	61	14	3	0	0	5	14	2	9	1	230	318	279	597	49	281	21	7	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Frederick Keys	—	274	246	51	6	3	6	17	63	9	31	5	207	284	329	613	122	245	23	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	384	348	73	13	2	8	27	96	6	11	2	214	281	338	620	125	267	25	7	279	75	-11	+1	-1	-2	+8	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	23	MLB CTX	BAL	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	217	285	346	631	129	271	0	0	283	75	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	BAL	30%	305	276	60	11	2	7	21	75	5	8	2	217	285	348	633	131	269	25	7	284	79	-8	+1	-1	-2	+7	-0.3
2029	25	MLB MLE	BAL	44%	370	335	73	13	2	9	26	91	6	9	2	220	288	355	643	135	271	25	7	288	81	-8	+1	-1	-2	+8	-0.2
2030	26	MLB MLE	BAL	51%	412	373	84	15	3	11	30	101	6	10	2	221	290	359	649	138	271	25	7	291	83	-8	+1	-1	-2	+9	-0.2
2031	27	MLB MLE	BAL	52%	430	389	86	15	3	11	32	105	6	10	2	221	290	359	649	137	272	24	7	291	83	-9	+1	-1	-3	+9	-0.2
2032	28	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	439	398	87	16	2	11	32	108	6	10	2	221	290	356	646	136	272	25	7	290	82	-9	+1	-2	-3	+10	-0.3
2033	29	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	436	395	86	15	2	11	32	108	6	9	2	218	287	350	637	132	270	25	7	286	80	-11	+1	-2	-3	+9	-0.5
2028	24	MLB CTX	BAL	30%	92	85	18	3	1	2	6	23	1	2	1	221	289	356	645	135	273	25	7	289	79	-2	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	BAL	44%	164	148	33	6	1	4	12	40	3	4	1	223	292	363	655	140	275	24	7	293	81	-4	+0	-0	-1	+4	-0.1
2030	26	MLB CTX	BAL	51%	209	189	43	8	1	6	15	51	3	5	1	225	293	368	661	143	276	24	7	295	83	-4	+1	-1	-1	+5	-0.1
2031	27	MLB CTX	BAL	52%	225	203	45	8	1	6	17	55	3	5	1	225	294	367	661	142	276	24	8	296	83	-5	+1	-1	-1	+5	-0.1
2032	28	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	234	212	47	9	1	6	17	57	3	5	1	225	293	365	659	141	276	24	7	295	82	-5	+1	-1	-1	+5	-0.2
2033	29	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	248	225	49	9	1	6	18	62	3	5	1	222	290	359	649	137	275	25	7	291	80	-6	+1	-1	-1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1172	1062	235	43	6	30	85	288	16	26	6	221	289	358	647	137	274	25	7	293	79	-26	+3	-4	-7	+25	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	131	24	3	17	47	160	9	14	3	222	290	360	650	138	275	25	7	293	79	-14	+2	-2	-4	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2997	2709	592	103	19	72	213	731	50	103	20	219	288	350	638	132	271	24	7	285	79	-61	+7	-9	-16	+58	-2.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	588	128	22	4	16	46	159	11	22	4	218	287	350	637	133	269	24	7	285	79	-15	+2	-2	-4	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Jake Powell'30-'45 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,767 PA	4.2	2,767	22	65	248*	294*	373*	-14	-2	0.2	2.0
/162	664	5	16	-3.3	-0.5	0.0	pk7: 4
#3John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.8	1,175	29	28	221	286	357	-7	-6	0.2	0.3
/162	664	17	16	-4.0	-3.4	0.1	pk7: 0
#5Ray Coleman'47-'52 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,902 PA	2.9	1,902	20	19	249*	297*	399*	-12	-1	-0.1	-0.1
/162	664	7	7	-4.4	-0.4	-0.0	pk7: -0
#6Rip Russell'39-'47 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,522 PA	2.3	1,522	29	4	236*	279*	389*	-16	-12	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	13	2	-6.9	-5.1	-1.2	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
RJ Austin (OGILVIE)	23	20→30	40→50	60	55	212/279/335	124	267	6	7	25%	7%	75	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2019 · AA	23	41→40	47→50	54→55	44	208/283/351	143	281	14	17	30%	8%	80	-0.2	198/279/320	122	275	12	17	30%	8%	71	-0.8	173/262/276	103	236	10	19	29%	9%	53	-1.1
✕Michael Guldberg 2022 · A	23	45	44→45	55	44	222/290/341	119	280	12	16	24%	7%	80	-0.2	214/272/298	84	283	6	12	25%	6%	62	-1.4	205/259/264	60	274	3	10	25%	6%	47	-0.7
✕John Rhodes 2024 · AA	23	40→37	44→45	55→50	45	202/275/324	122	276	12	11	30%	8%	70	-0.8	184/250/275	91	260	9	8	31%	7%	49	-2.4	163/229/233	69	230	7	7	31%	7%	29	-2.7
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	42→50	51→55	47	212/283/319	108	277	9	10	26%	8%	72	-0.7	203/287/319	116	263	12	14	26%	10%	74	-0.6	195/275/339	144	243	18	22	27%	9%	72	-0.5
✕Jase Bowen 2024 · AA	23	37→42	47→50	55	36	194/247/321	127	273	15	17	34%	5%	59	-1.7	209/260/339	130	297	14	20	33%	5%	68	-1.0	209/260/343	134	298	14	23	33%	6%	66	-0.7
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	45	47→55	58→50	45	221/289/359	138	303	14	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	213/278/339	126	273	14	11	26%	8%	74	-0.5	223/286/391	168	267	21	13	25%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Kenedy Corona 2023 · A	23	42	47→50	53→55	40	214/271/352	138	294	15	21	32%	6%	75	-0.5	206/270/322	116	285	12	24	30%	7%	68	-1.0	202/273/295	93	277	8	27	28%	7%	60	-1.1
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	37→47	44→50	52→60	40	191/253/303	112	263	12	21	31%	6%	57	-1.8	231/299/365	134	305	12	39	26%	8%	88	+0.4	232/299/362	129	300	10	41	25%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Jason Taylor 2010 · A	22	45→40	45→50	52→55	50	222/296/347	125	272	12	21	23%	9%	83	+0.1	209/261/319	110	272	10	13	26%	6%	63	-1.4	145/173/232	87	187	9	6	28%	3%	9	-1.1
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	38→45	48→50	57→55	45	200/273/344	144	263	16	19	30%	8%	74	-0.5	218/289/354	136	286	15	17	28%	8%	82	+0.0	219/291/353	133	286	15	17	27%	8%	81	-0.1
✕Max George 2019 · A	23	36→39	44→45	53→55	44	182/265/298	116	243	11	20	29%	7%	62	-1.4	190/276/301	111	283	11	20	34%	8%	66	-1.1	149/258/287	138	249	17	20	43%	10%	55	-0.8
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	40→38	44→40	55→50	47	201/283/322	121	254	11	15	25%	8%	74	-0.6	215/303/306	91	265	8	14	20%	9%	77	-0.3	215/311/283	68	261	5	15	18%	9%	73	-0.3
✕Max Wagner 2024 · AA	22	41→38	46→50	55→50	42	204/275/332	128	291	13	18	33%	8%	72	-0.7	195/261/317	122	302	13	12	37%	7%	63	-1.3	190/255/330	140	291	17	7	39%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Gabriel Rincones Jr. 2024 · A	23	41→42	47→50	54→55	42	207/279/346	139	294	14	18	33%	8%	77	-0.3	212/287/351	139	290	15	20	30%	8%	81	-0.1	206/286/345	139	274	16	20	29%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Lolo Sanchez 2022 · A	23	44→45	45	53→55	48	220/295/343	124	262	13	23	21%	8%	82	+0.0	208/283/298	90	252	9	13	20%	8%	68	-1.0	193/271/258	65	233	6	9	19%	8%	51	-0.9
✕Brian O'Grady 2016 · A	24	39→38	43→60	54→50	47	194/271/309	115	261	10	14	28%	9%	65	-1.2	193/272/317	124	269	12	13	31%	9%	68	-1.0	212/274/402	190	276	23	15	31%	7%	87	+0.3
✕Ryan Cordell 2016 · AA	24	46→42	48→50	55→50	41	234/280/377	144	297	16	15	27%	5%	84	+0.1	217/263/360	143	281	16	14	28%	5%	74	-0.6	205/250/346	141	263	15	14	28%	5%	63	-0.7
✕P.J. Hilson 2024 · A	23	37	46→50	56→50	35	195/241/325	130	266	14	13	32%	4%	57	-1.8	196/242/318	122	267	15	15	32%	4%	56	-1.9	183/233/293	110	250	15	19	33%	5%	45	-1.3
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA	23	39	43→45	51→55	40	194/269/303	109	291	11	13	35%	7%	63	-1.3	205/275/304	99	311	8	12	34%	8%	65	-1.2	176/264/251	75	285	3	11	36%	10%	48	-0.5
✕Alerick Soularie 2023 · A	24	40	44→45	53→60	44	195/276/310	114	290	11	16	34%	9%	68	-1.0	200/282/313	113	289	12	26	32%	9%	71	-0.8	182/274/287	105	255	13	39	32%	9%	61	-0.5

RJ Austin

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps