Everett Cooper III
SS FCL Nationals| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | AWSH | 262 | .225/.349/.280 | 0 | 13 | 57 | — | .207/.295/.259 |
| 2025 | 22 | A/ROKWSH | 78 | .169/.276/.292 | 1 | 4 | 19 | — | .146/.237/.265 |
| 2026 | 23 | A/ROKWSH | 61 | .154/.267/.192 | 0 | 1 | -5 | — | .111/.200/.130 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBWSH | 200 | .219/.287/.324 | 3 | 4 | 73 | 0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 25 | MLBWSH | 29 | .221/.290/.334 | 1 | 1 | 77 | 0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ44% MLB | 26 | MLBWSH | 69 | .224/.292/.343 | 1 | 1 | 80 | 0.1 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | FCL Nationals | — | 16 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 154 | 312 | 154 | 466 | 286 | 38 | 12 | 246 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | FCL Nationals | — | 87 | 75 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 373 | 460 | 400 | 860 | 27 | 431 | 11 | 10 | 397 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 262 | 218 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 39 | 39 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 225 | 349 | 280 | 628 | 55 | 272 | 15 | 15 | 299 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 62 | 50 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 140 | 267 | 280 | 547 | 140 | 146 | 16 | 13 | 247 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK | FCL Nationals | — | 16 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 267 | 312 | 333 | 646 | 67 | 333 | 19 | 6 | 294 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 27 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 87 | 222 | 87 | 309 | 111 | 19 | 15 | 170 | -28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 23 | ROK | FCL Nationals | — | 34 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 207 | 303 | 276 | 579 | 69 | 261 | 21 | 6 | 266 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Nationals | — | 16 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 71 | 188 | 71 | 259 | 232 | 56 | 6 | 157 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Nationals | — | 87 | 79 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 316 | 379 | 342 | 721 | 25 | 372 | 16 | 6 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 262 | 232 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 51 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 207 | 295 | 259 | 554 | 52 | 261 | 19 | 10 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 62 | 53 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 132 | 233 | 264 | 497 | 132 | 121 | 23 | 10 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK MLE | FCL Nationals | — | 16 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 250 | 267 | 517 | 67 | 263 | 25 | 6 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A MLE | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 27 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 185 | 83 | 269 | 101 | 26 | 11 | 127 | -28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2026 | 23 | ROK MLE | FCL Nationals | — | 34 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 133 | 212 | 167 | 379 | 33 | 198 | 29 | 3 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Nationals | — | 16 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 71 | 188 | 71 | 259 | 200 | 56 | 6 | 157 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK RAW | FCL Nationals | — | 16 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 154 | 312 | 154 | 466 | 286 | 38 | 12 | 246 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Nationals | — | 87 | 79 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 316 | 379 | 342 | 721 | 25 | 385 | 16 | 6 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK RAW | FCL Nationals | — | 87 | 75 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 373 | 460 | 400 | 860 | 27 | 431 | 11 | 10 | 397 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 262 | 232 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 51 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 207 | 295 | 259 | 554 | 52 | 264 | 19 | 10 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A RAW | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 262 | 218 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 39 | 39 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 225 | 349 | 280 | 628 | 55 | 272 | 15 | 15 | 299 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 78 | 69 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 130 | 211 | 232 | 442 | 101 | 154 | 23 | 8 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 78 | 65 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 169 | 276 | 292 | 569 | 123 | 189 | 17 | 12 | 256 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 61 | 54 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 111 | 200 | 130 | 330 | 19 | 158 | 28 | 7 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 61 | 52 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 154 | 267 | 192 | 459 | 38 | 195 | 20 | 10 | 224 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Nationals | — | 16 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 71 | 188 | 71 | 259 | 232 | 56 | 6 | 157 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Nationals | — | 87 | 79 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 316 | 379 | 342 | 721 | 25 | 372 | 16 | 6 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 262 | 231 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 51 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 208 | 295 | 260 | 555 | 52 | 261 | 19 | 10 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 78 | 71 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 127 | 211 | 225 | 436 | 99 | 150 | 23 | 8 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 61 | 55 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 109 | 200 | 127 | 327 | 18 | 155 | 28 | 7 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Fredericksburg Nationals | — | 262 | 231 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 51 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 208 | 295 | 260 | 555 | 52 | 261 | 19 | 10 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 78 | 71 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 127 | 211 | 225 | 436 | 99 | 150 | 23 | 8 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 61 | 55 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 109 | 200 | 127 | 327 | 18 | 155 | 28 | 7 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | WSH | 0% | 200 | 181 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 50 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 219 | 287 | 324 | 610 | 105 | 282 | 25 | 8 | 276 | 73 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | WSH | 30% | 95 | 87 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 222 | 290 | 336 | 626 | 114 | 283 | 24 | 7 | 282 | 77 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | WSH | 44% | 157 | 142 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 224 | 293 | 345 | 638 | 121 | 283 | 25 | 8 | 287 | 80 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB MLE | WSH | 49% | 201 | 181 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 49 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 224 | 293 | 346 | 639 | 122 | 283 | 24 | 8 | 287 | 81 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | WSH | 30% | 29 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 221 | 290 | 334 | 624 | 112 | 282 | 24 | 7 | 281 | 77 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | WSH | 44% | 69 | 63 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 224 | 292 | 343 | 635 | 119 | 283 | 25 | 7 | 286 | 80 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB CTX | WSH | 49% | 98 | 89 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 224 | 293 | 344 | 637 | 120 | 283 | 24 | 8 | 287 | 81 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 196 | 179 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 48 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 223 | 291 | 335 | 626 | 112 | 283 | 24 | 8 | 286 | 64 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 594 | 133 | 27 | 0 | 13 | 50 | 159 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 224 | 292 | 335 | 627 | 111 | 284 | 24 | 8 | 286 | 64 | -15 | +3 | +0 | +7 | +14 | 0.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1013 | 909 | 193 | 35 | 5 | 11 | 81 | 234 | 16 | 33 | 9 | 212 | 288 | 298 | 586 | 86 | 272 | 23 | 8 | 263 | 64 | -13 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +11 | 0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 583 | 123 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 52 | 150 | 10 | 21 | 6 | 211 | 287 | 295 | 582 | 84 | 270 | 23 | 8 | 263 | 64 | -16 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +14 | 0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ROKFCL Nationals · 34 PAwOBA .268 → .188 (−80)K% 20.6% → 29.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.59% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 29.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 3.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.88% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 4.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 14.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 6.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .268 → .188; ISO .069 → .046; BABIP .261 → .198. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AFredericksburg Nationals · 27 PAwOBA .167 → .127 (−40)K% 18.5% → 25.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.52% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 10.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.990 | 10.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .167 → .127; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .111 → .101. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AFredericksburg Nationals · 62 PAwOBA .249 → .196 (−53)K% 16.1% → 22.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.13% | ÷0.968 | ×1.360 | — | — | 22.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.90% | ÷0.987 | ×0.690 | — | — | 9.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.61% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 7.50% | ÷1.046 | ×0.920 | ×0.986 | — | 6.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.050 | ×0.830 | ×0.986 | — | 3.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.50% | ÷1.106 | ×0.910 | ×0.986 | — | 2.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.50% | ÷1.040 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.92% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 109, 2B 110, 3B 121, K 94, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .249 → .196; ISO .140 → .114; BABIP .146 → .121. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKFCL Nationals · 16 PAwOBA .286 → .199 (−87)K% 18.8% → 27.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.75% | ÷0.995 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷1.012 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 3.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.946 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 21.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.138 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 5.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.929 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.328 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 166, 1B 89, 2B 128, 3B 86, K 99, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .286 → .199; ISO .067 → .038; BABIP .333 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AFredericksburg Nationals · 262 PAwOBA .293 → .253 (−40)K% 14.9% → 19.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.89% | ÷1.038 | ×1.360 | — | — | 19.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.89% | ÷1.044 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 9.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.15% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.23% | ÷1.024 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 20.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.59% | ÷0.907 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 5.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.56% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.015 | 0.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.078 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 105, 2B 81, 3B 130, K 108, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .293 → .253; ISO .055 → .053; BABIP .272 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKFCL Nationals · 87 PAwOBA .388 → .313 (−75)K% 11.5% → 16.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.49% | ÷1.011 | ×1.440 | — | — | 16.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.34% | ÷1.013 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 6.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.45% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 2.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 40.00% | ÷0.983 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 34.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.08% | ÷0.971 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 2.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.034 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 97, 2B 94, 3B 107, K 102, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .388 → .313; ISO .027 → .021; BABIP .431 → .372. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKFCL Nationals · 16 PAwOBA .241 → .157 (−84)K% 37.5% → 53.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.50% | ÷1.005 | ×1.440 | — | — | 53.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷0.960 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 8.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.25% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 4.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷1.019 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.008 | 23.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.953 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.911 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 104, 2B 91, 3B 100, K 101, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .241 → .157; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .286 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).