Dylan DreilingOF Frisco RoughRiders
Age 23 L/L 5'10" / 197 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032
2026 ROS PROJECTION338 act + 225 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†79
AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .282 / .349
PA225
HR5
SB5
K%26
BB%8
BABIP286
ISO126
MLB%2%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -7.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +1.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+2RUNFLD: -0.4 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: -3.4 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +16.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+16REPTotal WAR: +0.70+0.7WAR
0.00.51.00.00.20.50.70.70.60.4+$17M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control
Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT46
scouting grade only
POWER50
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED53
scouting grade only
DEFENSE47
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2027
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2032
First FA Year   2033
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.2$0.7M+$0.0M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.5$2M+$1M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.7$2M+$2M
2030Arb-1$1M+0.7$2M+$1M
2031Arb-2$2M+0.6$2M+$0.5M
2032Arb-3$2M+0.4$1M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $6M $9M +$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202421 A+Hickory Crawdads — 10693 14301 12270 53 151248215463 65197 2511 218 25 — — — — — —
202421 A+Hickory Crawdads — 10686 17401 19200 53 198343279622 81242 1918 296 84 — — — — — —
202522 A+2 teams — 538495 882238 381441 175 178238283521 105231 277 231 35 — — — — — —
202522 A+2 teams — 538468 10822613 651151 175 231326387713 156276 2112 319 102 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD23 AATEX — 338307 7612211 25930 81 248304407711 160312 287 309 95 -2 +1 +0 -2 +10 0.7
YTD23 AATEX — 338293 8214212 39720 81 280364464829 184327 2112 362 135 +13 +1 +0 -2 +10 2.3
ROS23 AATEX 2% 225206 46915 17590 51 223282349631 126287 268 288 79 -5 +1 -0 -1 +6 -0.0
ROS23 MLBTEX 2% 55 1000 010 00 200200200400 289 200 289 79 -0 +0 -0 -0 +0 -0.0
FULL23 AATEX — 343312 7712211 25940 81 247303404707 157311 277 309 94 -2 +1 -0 -2 +10 0.7
TOT23 AATEX — 563513 12221316 421520 132 238295384679 146302 277 301 88 -7 +2 -0 -3 +16 0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBTEX 31% 564515 11923315 431451 113 231292375666 144289 268 294 83 -11 +1 -1 -3 +16 0.2
202825 MLBTEX 45% 579527 12223316 451472 123 231294378672 146289 258 300 88 -8 +1 -1 -3 +16 0.5
202926 MLBTEX 51% 584531 12524317 461472 123 235299388687 153290 258 303 90 -7 +1 -1 -4 +17 0.7
203027 MLBTEX 53% 583529 12524317 471472 123 236301389690 153290 258 304 91 -6 +1 -1 -3 +17 0.7
203128 MLBTEX 53% 578524 12223316 471472 123 233298380678 147289 258 303 90 -7 +1 -2 -3 +16 0.6
203229 MLBTEX 53% 571517 12023316 471462 113 232299381680 149288 268 301 88 -8 +1 -2 -3 +16 0.4
203330 MLBTEX 52% 562509 11722315 461452 102 230296373670 143287 268 298 86 -9 +1 -3 -3 +16 0.2
203431 MLBTEX 56% 553501 11321215 451442 102 226292365657 140284 268 294 83 -11 +1 -4 -3 +16 -0.1
202724 MLBTEX 31% 175160 37715 13450 31 231289381670 150291 267 294 84 -3 +0 -0 -1 +5 0.1
202825 MLBTEX 45% 258235 541017 20651 51 230293370663 140291 258 300 88 -4 +1 -0 -2 +7 0.2
202926 MLBTEX 51% 297271 641229 23751 61 236298395693 159291 258 302 89 -4 +1 -1 -2 +8 0.3
203027 MLBTEX 53% 306277 661229 25771 61 238304394697 155291 258 303 90 -4 +1 -1 -2 +9 0.4
203128 MLBTEX 53% 308279 661229 25781 61 237302391692 154291 258 302 89 -4 +1 -1 -2 +9 0.3
203229 MLBTEX 53% 300272 621218 24771 61 228293368661 140290 268 300 88 -4 +1 -1 -2 +8 0.2
203330 MLBTEX 52% 293266 611218 24761 51 229296372668 143289 268 297 86 -5 +1 -2 -2 +8 0.1
203431 MLBTEX 56% 311282 631218 25811 51 223289358647 135286 268 293 82 -6 +1 -2 -2 +9 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 22532047 474891163 1795757 428 232296378674 147289 268 299 87 -33 +5 -8 -14 +64 1.5
/ 162G— — 650591 13726318 521662 122 232296377673 146290 268 299 87 -10 +2 -2 -4 +18 0.4
Career— — 54434947 111121727141 433139816 11731 225289365654 140282 268 291 81 -119 +11 -16 -33 +154 -0.2
/ 162G— — 650591 13326317 521672 144 225290365656 140282 268 291 81 -14 +1 -2 -4 +18 -0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202421 A+Hickory Crawdads — 10686 17401 19200 53 198343279622 81242 1918 296 84 -2 -0 — — +3 0.1
202522 A+Hub City Spartanburgers — 483420 9521412 581011 155 226322381702 155267 2112 315 99 -0 +1 — — +14 1.5
202522 INTLSurprise Saguaros — 5548 13121 7140 20 271364438801 167364 2513 357 131 +2 +0 — — +2 0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA
82,7118155233305399-12-134.14.5
/1626642013-2.9-3.21.0pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA
83,2209698241309409-34-283.84.4
/1626642020-7.1-5.80.8pk7: 5
#3Eric Karroslast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 2,197 PA
52,1977313255317418-19-173.93.9
/162664224-5.7-5.21.2pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA
62,3474631241304367-5+73.83.8
/162664139-1.3+1.91.1pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons
42,2556244232294379-14-52.02.0
/1626641813-4.0-1.40.6pk7: 2
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA
52,2563590259290356-9+31.31.3
/1626641026-2.8+0.90.4pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Dylan Dreiling (OGILVIE) 23 30→46 40→50 55→53 50 238/295/384 146302 1613 27% 7% 88 +0.7 ————————— —————————
✕Chris Meyers
2022 · A 		23 40→44 42→55 51→45 45 198/266/301 103259 911 26% 7% 56 -1.3 220/277/364 144296 176 30% 6% 78 +0.2 223/282/38015729120330%6%81+0.3
✕Brian O'Grady
2015 · A 		23 39→37 43→60 54→50 47 196/261/312 115255 98 26% 8% 56 -1.3 187/269/294 107266 914 31% 9% 56 -1.3 207/269/398192270241532%7%82+0.3
✕Tristan Peters
2023 · AA 		23 45→53 44→45 53→50 48 218/288/344 126281 914 25% 8% 76 +0.1 229/295/348 119286 912 22% 8% 80 +0.4 238/306/369131290101021%8%87+0.6
●Blake Tekotte
2010 · A 		23 43→48 43→55 50→55 47 213/273/320 107259 1015 22% 7% 63 -0.8 223/283/386 163289 1921 29% 7% 85 +0.7 215/274/386171284212331%7%78+0.1
✕Chris Pieters
2018 · A 		23 45 41→45 51→55 44 215/279/319 105286 713 26% 7% 66 -0.6 207/259/301 94296 611 30% 6% 53 -1.5 165/200/2195425201533%4%4-0.8
✕Taylor Trammell
2021 · AA 		23 41→46 39→55 50→55 45 195/270/277 82286 717 32% 8% 52 -1.6 218/295/384 166296 2015 31% 9% 91 +1.1 211/296/388177282221732%10%91+0.7
●Brock Stassi
2013 · A 		23 45→55 43→50 51→45 46 221/276/334 113275 109 23% 7% 69 -0.4 237/285/335 98281 87 18% 6% 72 -0.2 237/306/37213527315119%9%90+0.8
✕Christopher Familia
2023 · A 		23 39 45→55 47→45 45 200/277/324 124256 138 27% 7% 68 -0.5 216/273/378 162292 204 32% 6% 80 +0.4 212/264/39618427826033%5%76+0.0
●Tim Wheeler
2011 · A 		23 43→53 45→50 50 43 215/274/335 120274 1314 26% 6% 68 -0.5 237/291/367 130317 1313 28% 6% 83 +0.6 238/291/359121322121329%6%78+0.2
✕Adrian Del Castillo
2023 · A 		23 36→43 44→50 52→40 42 187/249/306 120252 127 30% 7% 51 -1.7 207/278/346 139286 153 31% 8% 73 -0.1 222/289/40218028122128%8%91+0.6
✕Tyler Callihan
2023 · A 		23 42→41 43→45 53→55 42 211/261/321 110274 1014 26% 6% 59 -1.1 215/272/329 114309 1121 32% 7% 66 -0.6 220/287/349129316152533%8%74-0.0
✕Carlos Guzman
2008 · A 		22 39→48 43→50 53→50 44 194/277/307 113282 119 33% 9% 63 -0.8 224/271/333 109314 118 31% 6% 66 -0.6 231/283/3279730310326%6%67-0.3
✕Jordan Patterson
2015 · A 		23 42→49 41→50 48→50 40 206/271/300 94280 1013 29% 6% 59 -1.1 218/277/357 139304 1311 32% 5% 76 +0.0 212/271/36114929814932%5%71-0.2
●Ka'ai Tom
2018 · A 		24 45→50 44→55 52→50 47 224/285/348 125278 1115 23% 7% 76 +0.1 240/302/420 180305 2010 27% 7% 102 +1.9 227/300/41518829021728%8%97+1.1
★Zach Borenstein
2013 · A 		23 42→52 44→60 52→50 41 209/267/336 126276 1014 28% 6% 66 -0.6 248/297/446 198316 248 29% 6% 108 +2.3 251/301/45220131825628%6%108+1.8
●Josh VanMeter
2018 · AA 		23 43→47 41→55 49→50 44 212/260/309 97264 911 23% 6% 55 -1.4 224/283/374 150276 1613 24% 7% 82 +0.5 229/304/413184278201224%9%99+1.3
✕Nicky Delmonico
2015 · A 		23 39→47 48→55 46→45 42 204/268/342 138279 168 32% 7% 68 -0.5 229/285/383 154301 156 28% 7% 85 +0.7 232/301/39316028418424%8%91+0.9
✕DJ Stewart
2017 · A 		23 44→47 42→60 51→50 48 212/288/320 108289 916 28% 9% 70 -0.3 226/297/378 152277 1814 24% 8% 90 +1.0 225/298/394169265211223%8%92+1.0
✕Caleb Roberts
2023 · AA 		23 41→42 43→45 50 43 199/278/313 114297 1112 34% 8% 65 -0.7 202/279/326 124295 1111 33% 8% 69 -0.4 187/272/303117258121130%8%58-0.7
✕Kyler Fedko
2023 · A 		23 43→42 43→50 51→55 47 212/285/327 114283 1010 27% 8% 71 -0.3 202/288/323 121269 1214 28% 10% 72 -0.2 197/277/356159247212329%9%74-0.0