Dylan Dreiling — OGILVIE

Dylan DreilingCF Frisco RoughRiders

Age 23 L/L 5'10" / 197 lbs AA HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION533 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†91

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP304

ISO130

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

DEFENSE47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2030	Arb-1	$4M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-2	$5M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-3	$7M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$10M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	106	86	17	4	0	1	19	20	0	5	3	198	343	279	622	81	242	19	18	296	86	-2	-0	—	—	+2	0.0
2025	22	A+	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	483	420	95	21	4	12	58	101	1	15	5	226	322	381	702	155	267	21	12	315	99	-0	+1	—	—	+10	1.1
2025	22	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	55	48	13	1	2	1	7	14	0	2	0	271	364	438	801	167	364	25	13	357	128	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	106	93	14	3	0	1	12	27	0	5	3	151	248	215	463	65	205	25	11	222	36	-8	-0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2025	22	A+ MLE	Hub City Spartanburgers	—	483	442	78	18	3	8	36	132	1	15	5	176	240	285	525	109	226	27	7	234	45	-32	+1	—	—	+10	-2.1
2024	21	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	106	93	14	3	0	1	12	27	0	5	3	151	248	215	463	65	197	25	11	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	Hickory Crawdads	—	106	86	17	4	0	1	19	20	0	5	3	198	343	279	622	81	242	19	18	296	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	538	493	87	20	3	9	40	147	1	17	5	176	240	284	524	108	229	27	7	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	538	468	108	22	6	13	65	115	1	17	5	231	326	387	713	156	276	21	12	319	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	106	93	14	3	0	1	12	27	0	5	3	151	248	215	463	65	205	25	11	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	538	492	87	20	3	9	40	147	1	17	5	177	240	285	524	108	226	27	7	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	106	93	14	3	0	1	12	27	0	5	3	151	248	215	463	65	205	25	11	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	538	492	87	20	3	9	40	147	1	17	5	177	240	285	524	108	226	27	7	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	TEX	—	533	490	129	22	2	17	36	134	0	14	4	263	314	420	734	157	325	25	7	319	102	+1	+1	+0	+2	+12	1.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA RAW	TEX	—	533	471	146	26	2	22	55	110	0	14	4	310	382	514	896	204	359	21	10	390	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	AA MLE	TEX	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		301	22	11	303	91	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	23	AA MLE	TEX	—	542	498	130	22	2	17	37	136	0	14	4	261	312	416	728	155	322	25	7	319	102	+1	+1	-0	+2	+12	1.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	TEX	31%	576	529	129	23	2	17	41	142	1	12	4	244	299	391	691	147	301	25	7	307	94	-4	+1	-2	+2	+12	0.9
2028	25	MLB MLE	TEX	45%	596	545	134	24	2	18	44	145	2	12	4	246	305	396	701	150	300	24	7	311	96	-3	+1	-2	+2	+13	1.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	TEX	51%	601	549	136	25	3	18	45	146	2	12	4	248	307	403	710	155	300	24	7	312	98	-2	+1	-2	+2	+13	1.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	600	547	134	24	2	18	46	145	2	12	4	245	306	395	701	150	300	24	8	313	98	-2	+1	-2	+2	+13	1.3
2031	28	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	595	542	132	24	2	18	46	145	2	12	4	244	305	395	700	151	299	24	8	312	97	-2	+1	-3	+2	+13	1.1
2032	29	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	588	535	130	24	2	17	46	145	2	11	3	243	305	391	696	148	298	25	8	310	96	-3	+1	-3	+2	+13	1.0
2033	30	MLB MLE	TEX	52%	579	527	127	23	2	17	45	144	2	10	3	241	303	389	692	148	297	25	8	307	94	-4	+1	-4	+2	+13	0.7
2034	31	MLB MLE	TEX	52%	569	518	123	22	2	16	44	143	2	10	3	237	300	380	680	143	295	25	8	303	91	-6	+1	-5	+2	+12	0.5
2035	32	MLB MLE	TEX	52%	470	430	100	18	1	13	36	120	1	7	2	233	293	370	663	137	291	26	8	297	87	-7	+1	-5	+2	+10	0.0
2027	24	MLB CTX	TEX	31%	179	164	41	7	1	6	13	44	0	4	1	250	305	415	720	165	304	25	7	311	94	-1	+0	-1	+1	+4	0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	TEX	45%	266	244	61	11	1	9	19	65	1	5	2	250	307	414	721	164	303	24	7	314	96	-1	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.5
2029	26	MLB CTX	TEX	51%	306	279	70	13	1	10	23	74	1	6	2	251	310	412	722	161	303	24	8	316	98	-1	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.6
2030	27	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	315	287	71	13	1	10	24	76	1	7	2	247	308	404	712	157	302	24	8	316	98	-1	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.7
2031	28	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	317	289	71	13	1	10	24	77	1	6	2	246	306	401	707	156	302	24	8	315	97	-1	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.6
2032	29	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	309	281	69	12	1	10	24	76	1	6	2	246	307	402	709	157	301	25	8	313	96	-2	+0	-2	+1	+7	0.5
2033	30	MLB CTX	TEX	52%	302	275	67	12	1	9	23	75	1	5	2	244	304	393	697	149	300	25	8	310	94	-2	+0	-2	+1	+7	0.4
2034	31	MLB CTX	TEX	52%	295	269	65	12	1	9	23	74	1	5	2	242	304	394	698	152	297	25	8	306	91	-3	+0	-2	+1	+6	0.2
2035	32	MLB CTX	TEX	52%	243	221	52	9	1	7	19	62	1	4	1	235	299	380	679	145	294	26	8	300	87	-4	+0	-3	+1	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2532	2309	567	102	9	80	192	623	8	48	16	246	306	401	707	156	301	25	8	312	89	-16	+3	-14	+9	+55	3.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	146	26	2	21	49	160	2	12	4	246	306	403	709	157	300	25	8	312	89	-4	+1	-3	+2	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5827	5316	1247	230	21	162	446	1451	17	120	39	235	296	377	673	143	291	25	8	300	89	-33	+7	-27	+19	+112	7.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	139	26	2	18	50	162	2	13	4	234	296	376	672	142	291	25	8	300	89	-4	+1	-3	+2	+14	1.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Jeff Francoeurlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,633 PA	8.5	5,633	160	54	262	304	417	-60	-26	6.8	9.0
/162	664	19	6	-7.1	-3.1	0.8	pk7: 11
#3Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#4Eddie Rosariolast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,347 PA	6.5	4,347	169	65	262	298	450	-47	-39	7.0	8.7
/162	664	26	10	-7.1	-6.0	1.1	pk7: 10
#5Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	3.8	2,538	75	48	244	300	393	-15	-5	4.1	4.0
/162	664	20	13	-4.0	-1.3	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dylan Dreiling (OGILVIE)	23	30→46	40→50	55→53	50	241/295/383	142	301	9	8	25%	7%	91	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	40→47	48→55	52→55	43	209/268/351	142	267	16	12	28%	7%	74	-0.6	223/290/379	156	286	16	20	27%	8%	88	+0.4	222/295/383	161	284	16	22	27%	9%	88	+0.4
●Zach Borenstein 2013 · A	23	43→53	45→60	53→50	42	214/272/350	135	275	12	14	26%	6%	74	-0.5	247/297/428	181	314	21	8	27%	6%	102	+1.5	251/301/432	182	317	21	6	27%	6%	103	+1.2
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	40	46→55	47→45	45	203/281/331	128	258	14	8	26%	8%	74	-0.5	219/278/387	168	291	21	4	31%	6%	86	+0.3	217/271/408	191	280	27	0	32%	5%	84	+0.1
✕DJ Stewart 2017 · A	23	45→48	42→55	51→50	48	215/293/325	110	294	9	16	28%	9%	77	-0.3	225/297/366	141	277	15	14	24%	8%	88	+0.5	208/314/396	188	250	26	2	28%	11%	99	+0.6
✕Chris Meyers 2022 · A	23	40→45	41→50	51→40	45	197/267/298	101	259	8	11	26%	7%	61	-1.5	220/278/357	137	292	15	6	29%	6%	79	-0.2	222/283/366	144	287	17	3	28%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Missael Rivera 2019 · AAA	23	46	43→50	50→45	43	225/272/336	111	280	10	12	24%	6%	71	-0.8	240/302/390	150	309	16	9	26%	7%	95	+1.0	240/303/395	155	305	16	5	26%	7%	97	+0.6
✕Adrian Del Castillo 2023 · A	23	35→45	43→55	52→40	41	182/244/292	111	252	10	7	31%	7%	51	-2.2	214/284/360	146	291	16	3	30%	8%	82	-0.0	228/294/410	182	286	22	1	28%	8%	95	+0.6
✕Jaff Decker 2013 · AA	23	39→49	49→55	49→55	50	201/288/349	147	259	16	11	28%	10%	81	-0.1	218/293/334	116	286	10	11	25%	9%	78	-0.3	221/295/327	106	285	9	13	24%	9%	76	-0.3
✕Nicky Delmonico 2015 · A	23	40→47	47→50	46→45	43	206/271/340	134	280	15	8	31%	7%	72	-0.7	225/282/366	141	294	13	6	27%	7%	82	-0.0	230/299/381	151	284	16	4	24%	8%	89	+0.4
●Josh Lowe 2021 · AA	23	41→51	46→55	53→60	43	208/272/338	131	294	14	20	33%	8%	72	-0.7	241/302/401	160	339	17	26	32%	8%	97	+1.1	252/311/424	172	347	18	31	31%	8%	103	+1.3
✕Kody Clemens 2019 · A	23	46→44	44→60	50→45	45	227/284/346	119	293	11	8	26%	7%	78	-0.3	201/260/331	130	273	12	8	30%	7%	65	-1.2	227/284/435	209	256	27	8	24%	6%	97	+0.8
✕Brian O'Grady 2015 · A	23	39→38	43→55	54→50	47	196/261/312	115	255	9	8	26%	8%	61	-1.5	190/272/302	112	268	10	14	30%	10%	64	-1.3	208/271/384	177	275	20	15	31%	7%	81	-0.0
●Tim Wheeler 2011 · A	23	43→53	44→50	50	43	215/276/329	115	276	12	14	26%	6%	72	-0.7	238/291/364	126	311	13	13	26%	6%	85	+0.2	241/293/361	120	316	12	13	26%	6%	82	-0.0
●Will Benson 2021 · A	23	34→44	50→55	52→55	42	180/258/327	147	274	18	14	40%	9%	65	-1.2	207/304/370	163	306	17	18	35%	11%	92	+0.7	219/322/395	175	313	17	26	32%	12%	101	+1.0
✕Matt Cogen 2019 · A	23	47	47→55	54→40	46	234/295/376	142	288	14	5	24%	7%	89	+0.5	206/266/291	85	289	6	5	29%	7%	59	-1.7	164/227/201	37	243	0	2	30%	7%	22	-1.4
✕Josh VanMeter 2018 · AA	23	44→48	41→55	49→50	45	215/265/310	95	266	8	11	22%	6%	62	-1.4	225/285/367	142	278	14	13	23%	7%	83	+0.1	229/304/400	171	279	18	12	24%	9%	96	+0.8
✕Blake Tekotte 2010 · A	23	43→47	43→50	50→55	47	213/273/320	107	259	10	15	22%	7%	68	-1.0	221/282/366	145	287	16	21	27%	7%	82	+0.0	214/275/365	151	282	17	23	29%	7%	76	-0.4
✕Spencer Packard 2022 · A	24	45→52	44→45	51→40	46	221/287/336	115	264	12	7	21%	6%	77	-0.3	237/308/366	129	282	14	5	20%	8%	92	+0.7	242/318/366	125	285	13	3	19%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Alex Glenn 2014 · A	23	41→42	48→55	55→50	42	209/276/353	144	286	15	11	31%	7%	77	-0.3	217/263/366	149	281	15	11	28%	5%	75	-0.5	215/257/366	151	272	15	10	27%	5%	69	-0.6
✕Roger Bernadina 2006 · A	22	40→50	44→45	54→60	50	202/283/312	110	254	12	20	25%	9%	71	-0.8	236/296/330	94	314	8	26	25%	7%	78	-0.3	261/318/385	124	324	11	31	22%	7%	95	+0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps