Luke HansonSS
Hub City Spartanburgers
Age 22
R/R
6'2" / 200 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION324 act + 216 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†73
AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .280 / .372
PA216
HR6
SB6
K%25
BB%6
BABIP279
ISO146
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 44 / POW 50
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21 | A | 2 teams | — | 77 | 68 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 162 | 250 | 176 | 426 | 15 | 314 | 44 | 8 | 196 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A | 2 teams | — | 77 | 64 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 24 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 203 | 329 | 219 | 548 | 16 | 317 | 31 | 13 | 267 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| YTD | 22 | A+ | TEX | — | 324 | 299 | 63 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 18 | 80 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 211 | 263 | 355 | 617 | 144 | 251 | 25 | 6 | 265 | 61 | -14 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +9 | -0.1 |
| YTD | 22 | A+ | TEX | — | 324 | 289 | 71 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 28 | 60 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 246 | 319 | 426 | 744 | 180 | 269 | 19 | 9 | 328 | 109 | +3 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +9 | 1.7 |
| ROS | 22 | A+ | TEX | 0% | 216 | 199 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 54 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 226 | 280 | 372 | 652 | 146 | 268 | 25 | 6 | 281 | 73 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +6 | 0.2 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | TEX | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 275 | 69 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 | |||||
| FULL | 22 | A+ | TEX | — | 325 | 300 | 63 | 13 | 0 | 10 | 18 | 80 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 210 | 262 | 353 | 615 | 143 | 250 | 25 | 6 | 265 | 61 | -14 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +9 | -0.1 |
| TOT | 22 | A+ | TEX | — | 540 | 498 | 108 | 22 | 1 | 16 | 31 | 134 | 5 | 16 | 6 | 217 | 270 | 361 | 631 | 145 | 262 | 25 | 6 | 271 | 66 | -21 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +15 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | TEX | 43% | 337 | 309 | 69 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 82 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 223 | 281 | 362 | 644 | 139 | 272 | 24 | 7 | 288 | 79 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | TEX | 58% | 411 | 377 | 86 | 17 | 1 | 12 | 27 | 99 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 228 | 287 | 374 | 661 | 146 | 274 | 24 | 7 | 294 | 83 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +12 | 0.9 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | TEX | 65% | 441 | 404 | 92 | 18 | 1 | 13 | 30 | 106 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 228 | 288 | 374 | 661 | 146 | 275 | 24 | 7 | 297 | 85 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +12 | 1.1 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 68% | 459 | 420 | 97 | 19 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 110 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 231 | 292 | 386 | 677 | 155 | 275 | 24 | 7 | 298 | 86 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +13 | 1.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 68% | 461 | 421 | 96 | 19 | 1 | 14 | 32 | 111 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 228 | 290 | 378 | 668 | 150 | 275 | 24 | 7 | 298 | 86 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +13 | 1.2 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | TEX | 68% | 459 | 419 | 96 | 19 | 1 | 14 | 33 | 111 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 229 | 292 | 379 | 671 | 150 | 275 | 24 | 7 | 297 | 86 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +13 | 1.0 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 66% | 449 | 410 | 92 | 18 | 1 | 13 | 32 | 109 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 224 | 287 | 368 | 655 | 144 | 274 | 24 | 7 | 296 | 84 | -8 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +13 | 0.9 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 66% | 439 | 400 | 91 | 18 | 1 | 13 | 32 | 108 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 228 | 291 | 375 | 666 | 147 | 273 | 25 | 7 | 293 | 82 | -9 | +1 | -2 | +5 | +12 | 0.7 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | TEX | 43% | 146 | 135 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 222 | 276 | 356 | 631 | 133 | 273 | 25 | 6 | 283 | 75 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | TEX | 58% | 238 | 218 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 57 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 229 | 288 | 381 | 669 | 151 | 276 | 24 | 7 | 289 | 79 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | TEX | 65% | 286 | 261 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 69 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 234 | 296 | 391 | 687 | 157 | 277 | 24 | 7 | 291 | 81 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +8 | 0.6 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 68% | 312 | 284 | 65 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 75 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 229 | 291 | 377 | 668 | 148 | 277 | 24 | 7 | 293 | 82 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +9 | 0.7 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | TEX | 68% | 313 | 285 | 65 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 75 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 228 | 290 | 375 | 666 | 147 | 277 | 24 | 7 | 293 | 82 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +9 | 0.7 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | TEX | 68% | 312 | 284 | 65 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 75 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 229 | 291 | 377 | 668 | 148 | 277 | 24 | 7 | 292 | 82 | -6 | +1 | -0 | +3 | +9 | 0.6 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB | TEX | 66% | 298 | 272 | 62 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 73 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 228 | 291 | 379 | 669 | 151 | 276 | 24 | 7 | 290 | 80 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +8 | 0.5 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 66% | 288 | 262 | 60 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 71 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 229 | 294 | 374 | 668 | 145 | 275 | 25 | 7 | 288 | 78 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +8 | 0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | — | 2194 | 2002 | 458 | 91 | 7 | 64 | 153 | 531 | 21 | 47 | 15 | 229 | 290 | 377 | 668 | 148 | 278 | 24 | 7 | 290 | 80 | -49 | +3 | -3 | +24 | +62 | 3.9 | ||
| / 162G | — | — | 650 | 593 | 136 | 27 | 2 | 19 | 45 | 157 | 6 | 14 | 4 | 229 | 290 | 378 | 668 | 148 | 279 | 24 | 7 | 290 | 80 | -14 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +18 | 1.2 | ||
| Career | — | — | 3749 | 3427 | 775 | 152 | 10 | 108 | 259 | 924 | 36 | 88 | 31 | 226 | 287 | 371 | 658 | 145 | 276 | 25 | 7 | 293 | 82 | -76 | +5 | -4 | +40 | +106 | 7.3 | ||
| / 162G | — | — | 650 | 594 | 135 | 26 | 2 | 19 | 45 | 160 | 6 | 15 | 5 | 227 | 288 | 374 | 662 | 146 | 278 | 25 | 7 | 293 | 82 | -13 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +18 | 1.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 25 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 364 | 440 | 409 | 849 | 45 | 571 | 32 | 8 | 390 | 157 | +2 | -0 | — | — | +1 | 0.2 |
| 2025 | 21 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 52 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 119 | 275 | 119 | 394 | 185 | 31 | 15 | 208 | 18 | -5 | +1 | — | — | +1 | -0.3 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).
| PLAYER · career totals + /162 games | YRS | PA | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | POS | FLD | WAR | JAWS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA | 8 | 3,350 | 85 | 21 | 246 | 300 | 398 | +33 | +38 | 14.2 | 14.8 |
| /162 | 664 | 17 | 4 | +6.6 | +7.6 | 2.8 | pk7: 15 | ||||
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA | 7 | 2,835 | 90 | 25 | 245 | 302 | 422 | +30 | +14 | 13.0 | 13.0 |
| /162 | 664 | 21 | 6 | +7.1 | +3.2 | 3.0 | pk7: 13 | ||||
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA | 7 | 2,832 | 62 | 34 | 238 | 305 | 374 | +28 | +33 | 11.6 | 11.6 |
| /162 | 664 | 15 | 8 | +6.7 | +7.7 | 2.7 | pk7: 12 | ||||
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA | 8 | 3,267 | 98 | 64 | 221 | 297 | 378 | +16 | +36 | 11.0 | 11.4 |
| /162 | 664 | 20 | 13 | +3.2 | +7.3 | 2.2 | pk7: 12 | ||||
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA | 7 | 2,830 | 45 | 2 | 244 | 301 | 351 | +21 | +31 | 7.2 | 7.2 |
| /162 | 664 | 11 | 0 | +4.9 | +7.2 | 1.7 | pk7: 7 | ||||
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA | 6 | 2,438 | 31 | 30 | 244 | 299 | 357 | +9 | +26 | 5.4 | 5.4 |
| /162 | 664 | 8 | 8 | +2.4 | +7.2 | 1.5 | pk7: 5 | ||||
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons | 5 | 2,195 | 64 | 49 | 229 | 287 | 377 | +24 | +15 | 5.1 | 4.9 |
| /162 | 664 | 20 | 15 | +7.1 | +4.5 | 1.5 | pk7: 5 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Luke Hanson (OGILVIE) | 22 | 39→44 | 45→50 | 52→57 | 48 | 217/270/361 | 145 | 262 | 16 | 16 | 25% | 6% | 66 | +0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Juan Mora 2022 · A |
22 | 47 | 44→45 | 55 | 46 | 225/302/347 | 122 | 301 | 11 | 14 | 27% | 8% | 83 | +0.6 | 226/284/337 | 111 | 307 | 10 | 9 | 28% | 5% | 73 | -0.1 | 224/280/333 | 110 | 298 | 10 | 8 | 27% | 5% | 68 | -0.2 |
|
✕José Caballero 2019 · A |
22 | 47→45 | 44→45 | 47→70 | 45 | 231/292/348 | 118 | 278 | 10 | 9 | 21% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | 221/292/340 | 119 | 284 | 12 | 26 | 25% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | 225/318/339 | 114 | 299 | 10 | 63 | 26% | 9% | 86 | +0.5 |
|
✕Chris Nelson 2008 · A |
22 | 46→52 | 47→50 | 53→50 | 42 | 228/277/370 | 142 | 282 | 13 | 13 | 24% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | 226/279/355 | 129 | 283 | 12 | 12 | 24% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 | 244/287/369 | 125 | 306 | 12 | 6 | 24% | 5% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A |
22 | 44→48 | 43→45 | 51→50 | 41 | 215/278/328 | 113 | 300 | 10 | 11 | 30% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | 198/268/323 | 125 | 313 | 14 | 12 | 39% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | 237/319/364 | 126 | 339 | 12 | 15 | 31% | 8% | 92 | +0.8 |
|
✕Phillip Ervin 2014 · A |
22 | 47→50 | 48→50 | 54→55 | 46 | 235/299/377 | 141 | 293 | 16 | 14 | 25% | 8% | 90 | +1.0 | 211/279/333 | 122 | 267 | 11 | 20 | 24% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | 232/296/372 | 140 | 294 | 14 | 21 | 25% | 7% | 84 | +0.5 |
|
✕Rylan Bannon 2018 · A |
22 | 46→42 | 50 | 51→50 | 44 | 235/298/388 | 153 | 288 | 19 | 8 | 25% | 7% | 93 | +1.3 | 210/279/350 | 140 | 281 | 15 | 5 | 29% | 8% | 75 | -0.0 | 197/295/350 | 153 | 257 | 19 | 12 | 30% | 11% | 80 | +0.3 |
|
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A |
21 | 43→45 | 45→55 | 51→55 | 44 | 215/274/342 | 127 | 287 | 12 | 11 | 29% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | 231/293/393 | 162 | 278 | 19 | 13 | 24% | 7% | 92 | +1.2 | 232/295/411 | 179 | 268 | 22 | 16 | 22% | 7% | 94 | +1.3 |
|
✕Seth Mejias-Brean 2013 · A |
22 | 46→52 | 47→45 | 53→45 | 45 | 232/286/369 | 137 | 279 | 14 | 8 | 22% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | 234/296/338 | 104 | 297 | 8 | 5 | 22% | 8% | 78 | +0.2 | 233/300/332 | 99 | 300 | 7 | 5 | 23% | 8% | 74 | -0.1 |
|
✕Miguel Amaya 2021 · A |
22 | 42 | 47→50 | 48→40 | 46 | 215/286/350 | 135 | 266 | 15 | 4 | 25% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | 219/309/349 | 130 | 303 | 13 | 6 | 30% | 9% | 88 | +0.9 | 228/299/368 | 140 | 271 | 16 | 1 | 22% | 7% | 86 | +0.3 |
|
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2023 · AA |
22 | 46→48 | 51→55 | 58→55 | 37 | 235/272/402 | 167 | 295 | 18 | 19 | 27% | 4% | 85 | +0.7 | 240/277/395 | 155 | 301 | 17 | 23 | 26% | 4% | 85 | +0.7 | 247/287/396 | 150 | 298 | 15 | 20 | 22% | 4% | 88 | +0.7 |
|
✕Andy Burns 2013 · A |
22 | 41→51 | 47→50 | 54→55 | 41 | 205/273/349 | 144 | 294 | 13 | 13 | 34% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | 233/279/364 | 131 | 293 | 11 | 16 | 24% | 6% | 77 | +0.1 | 244/287/365 | 121 | 297 | 10 | 15 | 21% | 5% | 78 | +0.2 |
|
✕Jeferson Morales 2022 · A |
23 | 41→45 | 48→50 | 48→50 | 48 | 211/295/361 | 150 | 263 | 15 | 9 | 26% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | 204/282/341 | 137 | 270 | 14 | 9 | 29% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | 221/296/357 | 136 | 275 | 13 | 8 | 23% | 7% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Ryan Bliss 2022 · A |
22 | 42→48 | 48→45 | 50→65 | 38 | 215/264/352 | 136 | 293 | 16 | 16 | 32% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | 208/270/334 | 126 | 279 | 13 | 32 | 29% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | 221/289/346 | 125 | 298 | 10 | 43 | 27% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
●Joshua Rodriguez 2008 · A |
23 | 43→53 | 50 | 52→50 | 47 | 224/283/376 | 152 | 269 | 17 | 14 | 24% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | 227/292/343 | 116 | 297 | 10 | 10 | 25% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | 244/304/360 | 116 | 311 | 11 | 6 | 24% | 7% | 84 | +0.5 |
|
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2013 · A |
22 | 45 | 48→45 | 49→50 | 45 | 226/287/370 | 144 | 271 | 15 | 11 | 22% | 6% | 83 | +0.6 | 223/269/316 | 93 | 309 | 9 | 6 | 29% | 5% | 61 | -1.0 | 224/264/302 | 78 | 309 | 9 | 3 | 29% | 4% | 52 | -0.9 |
|
✕Leo Jiménez 2023 · A |
22 | 47→49 | 41→45 | 49→45 | 50 | 221/327/317 | 97 | 287 | 8 | 9 | 24% | 9% | 88 | +0.9 | 227/313/341 | 114 | 287 | 11 | 7 | 24% | 7% | 88 | +0.9 | 227/317/342 | 114 | 286 | 11 | 5 | 23% | 7% | 86 | +0.4 |
|
✕Drew Gilbert 2023 · A |
22 | 48 | 47→50 | 53→45 | 48 | 239/298/376 | 137 | 272 | 15 | 16 | 19% | 7% | 89 | +1.0 | 226/295/379 | 153 | 275 | 18 | 9 | 24% | 8% | 89 | +1.0 | 216/291/376 | 160 | 255 | 19 | 8 | 23% | 8% | 84 | +0.5 |
|
✕Alex Isola 2021 · A |
23 | 46→45 | 45→50 | 49→40 | 44 | 227/279/348 | 122 | 288 | 12 | 8 | 26% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | 217/284/369 | 152 | 276 | 20 | 4 | 28% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | 213/284/361 | 148 | 267 | 20 | 2 | 27% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Tyler Rahmatulla 2012 · A |
22 | 46 | 45→55 | 47→45 | 46 | 225/283/361 | 136 | 278 | 10 | 6 | 22% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | 205/265/321 | 116 | 263 | 9 | 5 | 25% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | 187/250/302 | 115 | 237 | 10 | 4 | 25% | 6% | 47 | -0.8 |
|
✕Eddys Leonard 2023 · A |
22 | 44→47 | 48→55 | 44→50 | 42 | 222/291/369 | 146 | 290 | 16 | 5 | 28% | 6% | 85 | +0.7 | 222/279/379 | 157 | 280 | 19 | 8 | 27% | 5% | 82 | +0.5 | 216/269/391 | 176 | 255 | 23 | 12 | 26% | 5% | 79 | +0.2 |