Luke HansonSS Hub City Spartanburgers
Age 22 R/R 6'2" / 200 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION324 act + 216 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†73
AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .280 / .372
PA216
HR6
SB6
K%25
BB%6
BABIP279
ISO146
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -20.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-21BATRUN: +1.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +5.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+6POSREP: +15.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+15REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
0.01.02.00.00.91.21.41.51.51.41.20.90.6+$73M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 44 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT44
scouting grade only
POWER50
scouting grade only
EYE48
scouting grade only
SPEED57
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.5$9M+$8M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.5$8M+$8M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.4$7M+$7M
2033Arb-1$2M+1.2$6M+$4M
2034Arb-2$3M+0.9$2M+$0.5M
2035Arb-3$3M+0.6$1M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $8M $33M +$28M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202521 A2 teams 7768 11100 6342 62 162250176426 15314 448 196 8
202521 A2 teams 7764 13100 10242 62 203329219548 16317 3113 267 63
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD22 A+TEX 324299 6313010 18803 104 211263355617 144251 256 265 61 -14 +0 +0 +3 +9 -0.1
YTD22 A+TEX 324289 7116012 28603 104 246319426744 180269 199 328 109 +3 +0 +0 +3 +9 1.7
ROS22 A+TEX 0% 216199 45916 13542 62 226280372652 146268 256 281 73 -7 +0 +0 +2 +6 0.2
ROS22 MLBTEX 0% 11 0000 000 00 270 00 275 69 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
FULL22 A+TEX 325300 6313010 18803 104 210262353615 143250 256 265 61 -14 +0 +0 +3 +9 -0.1
TOT22 A+TEX 540498 10822116 311345 166 217270361631 145262 256 271 66 -21 +1 +0 +6 +15 0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBTEX 43% 568522 11723216 361395 124 224281368648 144272 246 288 78 -14 +1 +0 +6 +16 0.9
202824 MLBTEX 58% 583533 12224217 391416 135 229289377666 148274 247 293 83 -11 +1 +0 +6 +17 1.2
202925 MLBTEX 65% 589538 12324217 401416 135 229289375665 147275 247 296 85 -10 +1 +0 +6 +17 1.4
203026 MLBTEX 68% 588536 12424218 411416 135 231293384678 153275 247 298 86 -9 +1 +0 +6 +17 1.5
203127 MLBTEX 68% 583531 12224217 411406 135 230292379671 149275 247 298 86 -9 +1 +0 +6 +17 1.5
203228 MLBTEX 68% 575523 11923217 411396 134 228291377668 149275 247 297 85 -9 +1 -1 +6 +16 1.4
203329 MLBTEX 66% 567516 11823217 411385 124 229292380672 151274 247 295 84 -10 +1 -1 +6 +16 1.2
203430 MLBTEX 66% 557507 11422216 401375 124 225288371659 146273 257 293 82 -11 +1 -2 +6 +16 0.9
203531 MLBTEX 65% 547498 10921115 391365 114 219282355638 137271 257 289 79 -13 +1 -3 +6 +15 0.6
203632 MLBTEX 65% 537489 10520114 381365 104 215278346624 131268 257 283 75 -15 +0 -4 +6 +15 0.3
203733 MLBTEX 70% 463423 9017112 331204 83 213276343619 130264 267 277 70 -16 +0 -4 +5 +13 -0.1
202723 MLBTEX 43% 246226 511017 16602 52 226283372654 146273 247 283 74 -7 +0 +0 +3 +7 0.3
202824 MLBTEX 58% 338310 7114110 22823 83 229287377664 148276 247 288 79 -8 +0 +0 +4 +10 0.6
202925 MLBTEX 65% 382349 8016111 26924 93 229290375666 146277 247 291 81 -8 +1 +0 +4 +11 0.7
203026 MLBTEX 68% 400365 8316112 28964 93 227290375665 148277 247 292 82 -8 +1 +0 +4 +11 0.8
203127 MLBTEX 68% 396361 8316112 28954 93 230293380672 150277 247 292 82 -8 +1 +0 +4 +11 0.8
203228 MLBTEX 68% 391356 8216112 28954 93 230294382676 152277 247 292 81 -8 +1 -0 +4 +11 0.7
203329 MLBTEX 66% 377343 7815111 27924 83 227291373665 146276 247 290 80 -8 +0 -1 +4 +11 0.6
203430 MLBTEX 66% 365333 7615111 26903 83 228290378668 150275 257 287 78 -9 +0 -1 +4 +10 0.4
203531 MLBTEX 65% 356325 7214110 25893 72 222283363646 142273 257 284 75 -10 +1 -2 +4 +10 0.3
203632 MLBTEX 65% 348317 691319 25883 72 218281350631 132270 257 278 71 -11 +1 -2 +4 +10 0.1
203733 MLBTEX 70% 325296 631218 23843 62 213276341618 128266 267 272 66 -12 +0 -3 +3 +9 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 39253582 80815711113 27496337 8529 226287370658 145275 257 287 78 -99 +5 -10 +42 +111 5.1
/ 162G 650593 13426219 451596 145 226287373660 147275 247 287 78 -16 +1 -2 +7 +18 0.8
Career 64505883 131925520182 448159663 14251 224286367653 143275 257 290 80 -143 +8 -15 +69 +183 10.4
/ 162G 650593 13326218 451616 145 224285366651 142276 257 290 80 -14 +1 -1 +7 +18 1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202521 A+Hub City Spartanburgers 2522 8100 281 11 364440409849 45571 328 390 157 +2 -0 +1 0.2
202521 AHickory Crawdads 5242 5000 8161 51 119275119394 185 3115 208 18 -5 +1 +1 -0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13
career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA
113,94714453241275417+70+5319.118.9
/162664249+11.9+8.83.2pk7: 19
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21
career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA
104,23810957246292387+42+6818.017.6
/162664179+6.6+10.62.8pk7: 17
#3John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
#4Rougned Odorlast yr '23
career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA
104,42417870230288422+16+3215.215.0
/1626642711+2.4+4.92.3pk7: 15
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons
73,92411284226284370+42+217.16.5
/1626641914+7.1+3.61.2pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Luke Hanson (OGILVIE) 22 39→44 45→50 52→57 48 217/270/361 145262 1616 25% 6% 66 +0.1
Juan Mora
2022 · A
22 47 44→45 55 46 225/302/347 122301 1114 27% 8% 83 +0.6 226/284/337 111307 109 28% 5% 73 -0.1 224/280/33311029810827%5%68-0.2
José Caballero
2019 · A
22 47→45 44→45 47→70 45 231/292/348 118278 109 21% 6% 79 +0.3 221/292/340 119284 1226 25% 7% 78 +0.2 225/318/339114299106326%9%86+0.5
Chris Nelson
2008 · A
22 46→52 47→50 53→50 42 228/277/370 142282 1313 24% 6% 79 +0.3 226/279/355 129283 1212 24% 6% 76 +0.0 244/287/36912530612624%5%78+0.1
Blaze Alexander
2021 · A
22 44→48 43→45 51→50 41 215/278/328 113300 1011 30% 6% 68 -0.5 198/268/323 125313 1412 39% 7% 63 -0.8 237/319/364126339121531%8%92+0.8
Phillip Ervin
2014 · A
22 47→50 48→50 54→55 46 235/299/377 141293 1614 25% 8% 90 +1.0 211/279/333 122267 1120 24% 7% 70 -0.3 232/296/372140294142125%7%84+0.5
Rylan Bannon
2018 · A
22 46→42 50 51→50 44 235/298/388 153288 198 25% 7% 93 +1.3 210/279/350 140281 155 29% 8% 75 -0.0 197/295/350153257191230%11%80+0.3
Seth Mejias-Brean
2013 · A
22 46→52 47→45 53→45 45 232/286/369 137279 148 22% 6% 82 +0.5 234/296/338 104297 85 22% 8% 78 +0.2 233/300/332993007523%8%74-0.1
Agustín Ramírez
2023 · A
21 43→45 45→55 51→55 44 215/274/342 127287 1211 29% 7% 70 -0.3 231/293/393 162278 1913 24% 7% 92 +1.2 232/295/411179268221622%7%94+1.3
Miguel Amaya
2021 · A
22 42 47→50 48→40 46 215/286/350 135266 154 25% 7% 78 +0.2 219/309/349 130303 136 30% 9% 88 +0.9 228/299/36814027116122%7%86+0.3
Andy Burns
2013 · A
22 41→51 47→50 54→55 41 205/273/349 144294 1313 34% 7% 72 -0.2 233/279/364 131293 1116 24% 6% 77 +0.1 244/287/365121297101521%5%78+0.2
Jeferson Morales
2022 · A
23 41→45 48→50 48→50 48 211/295/361 150263 159 26% 8% 85 +0.7 204/282/341 137270 149 29% 7% 74 -0.1 221/296/35713627513823%7%81+0.2
Ceddanne Rafaela
2023 · AA
22 46→48 51→55 58→55 37 235/272/402 167295 1819 27% 4% 85 +0.7 240/277/395 155301 1723 26% 4% 85 +0.7 247/287/396150298152022%4%88+0.7
Ryan Bliss
2022 · A
22 42→48 48→45 50→65 38 215/264/352 136293 1616 32% 6% 69 -0.4 208/270/334 126279 1332 29% 7% 66 -0.6 221/289/346125298104327%7%75-0.0
Joshua Rodriguez
2008 · A
23 43→53 50 52→50 47 224/283/376 152269 1714 24% 8% 82 +0.5 227/292/343 116297 1010 25% 8% 77 +0.1 244/304/36011631111624%7%84+0.5
Janelfry Zorrilla
2013 · A
22 45 48→45 49→50 45 226/287/370 144271 1511 22% 6% 83 +0.6 223/269/316 93309 96 29% 5% 61 -1.0 224/264/302783099329%4%52-0.9
Drew Gilbert
2023 · A
22 48 47→50 53→45 48 239/298/376 137272 1516 19% 7% 89 +1.0 226/295/379 153275 189 24% 8% 89 +1.0 216/291/37616025519823%8%84+0.5
Leo Jiménez
2023 · A
22 47→49 41→45 49→45 50 221/327/317 97287 89 24% 9% 88 +0.9 227/313/341 114287 117 24% 7% 88 +0.9 227/317/34211428611523%7%86+0.4
Alex Isola
2021 · A
23 46→45 45→50 49→40 44 227/279/348 122288 128 26% 6% 74 -0.1 217/284/369 152276 204 28% 8% 82 +0.5 213/284/36114826720227%8%77+0.1
Tyler Rahmatulla
2012 · A
22 46 45→55 47→45 46 225/283/361 136278 106 22% 7% 79 +0.3 205/265/321 116263 95 25% 7% 61 -1.0 187/250/30211523710425%6%47-0.8
Eddys Leonard
2023 · A
22 44→47 48→55 44→50 42 222/291/369 146290 165 28% 6% 85 +0.7 222/279/379 157280 198 27% 5% 82 +0.5 216/269/391176255231226%5%79+0.2