Jackson Holliday

2B Baltimore Orioles
Age 23 L/R 5'11" / 200 lbs MLB HR +9% Svc 1.453 · Ctrl thru 2031
Overview
MLB40-MANPre-ArbFA 2032
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202420MLBBAL208.189/.256/.3115458-0.2
202521MLBBAL649.242/.315/.3751717930.5
202622MLBBAL354.229/.304/.3407876-0.0
2027PROJ23MLBBAL474.246/.317/.3801222940.8
2028PROJ92% MLB24MLBBAL585.251/.322/.3971727991.4
2029PROJ92% MLB25MLBBAL573.253/.324/.40818261031.6
Last 3 seasons WAR 0.3  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 3.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2031Service1.453First FA2032
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$4M2030Arb-2$6M2031Arb-3$9M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Chase%90
Speed87
Whiff%82
Barrel%44
Bat Spd43
xwOBA42
Form.236/.279/.344 ▼▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .242/.311/.371
CompsJordan Lawlar (age 22) · Ryan Kalish (age 23) · Andrés Giménez (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 7294vR 102
AVG/OBP/SLG.246 / .317 / .380
PA474
HR12
SB22
K%24
BB%9
BABIP306
ISO133
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +4.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+4RUNFLD: -3.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-3FLDPOS: +1.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +10.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+10REPTotal WAR: +1.00+1.0WAR
0.01.12.11.01.41.61.61.427282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$36M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 59 / POW 56
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT59
Whiff%
827.7%
xAVG
250.231
POWER56
Barrel%
447.5
Avg EV
4088.4
Bat Spd
4370.6
EYE61
Chase%
9019.5%
SPEED60
Sprint
8728.9
DEFENSE50
scouting grade only
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%25%▼27% over 79 PA (60d) · proj 24%
BB%5%▼▼0% over 79 PA (60d) · proj 9%
ISO.108▼.063 over 79 AB (60d) · proj .130
HR/BB3.0%▼1.7% over 58 BBE (60d) · proj 3.6%
BABIP.301·.298 over 57 BIP (60d) · proj .301
SLASH.236/.279/.344▼▼proj .242/.311/.371
Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 857 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
225
632
—
wRC+
53
97
▶▶R
wOBA
247
312
▶▶R
ISO
107
138
▶▶R
BABIP
222
305
▶▶R
K%
26.2%
23.7%
▶R
BB%
6.7%
8.7%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2024
Service   1.453 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2031
First FA Year   2032
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.0$8M+$7M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.4$10M+$10M
2029Arb-1$4M+1.6$11M+$8M
2030Arb-2$6M+1.6$10M+$6M
2031Arb-3$9M+1.4$8M+$2M
Totals $20M $48M +$33M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202218 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 5742 10400 15100 11 238439333772 95312 1826 369 97 — — — — — —
202218 ROKFCL Orioles — 3322 9101 1020 30 4095945911.185 182400 630 505 172 — — — — — —
202319 AAANorfolk Tides — 9175 20402 16170 11 267396400796 133321 1918 364 97 — — — — — —
202319 AABowie Baysox — 164142 48933 21340 31 338423507930 169425 2113 410 129 — — — — — —
202319 A+Aberdeen IronBirds — 259207 651155 50542 177 314452488940 174405 2119 420 119 — — — — — —
202319 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 6753 21612 14130 30 3965226601.183 264500 1921 509 158 — — — — — —
202420 MLBBaltimore Orioles — 208190 36425 15692 40 189256311567 121265 337 256 58 -10 +1 +1 +2 +5 -0.2
202420 AAANorfolk Tides — 346266 7225010 75772 81 271434477912 207341 2222 405 126 — — — — — —
202521 MLBBaltimore Orioles — 649586 14221317 561406 1711 242315375690 133291 229 311 93 -6 -1 -5 +2 +14 0.5
202622 MLBBaltimore Orioles — 354315 721217 34840 83 229304340643 111285 2410 289 76 -10 +0 +0 +2 +8 -0.0
202622 AAANorfolk Tides — 6760 11211 6201 10 183269300569 117256 309 261 30 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 12111091 25037629 1052938 2914 229301354655 125285 249 295 86 -20 +0 -4 +6 +26 0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202218 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 5747 10400 10130 11 213351298649 85300 2318 311 97 — — — — — —
202218 ROK MLEFCL Orioles — 3326 9101 630 30 346469500969 154336 918 422 172 — — — — — —
202319 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 9179 19401 12210 11 241341329670 89313 2313 311 97 — — — — — —
202319 AA MLEBowie Baysox — 164149 47832 14420 31 315374450824 134416 269 359 129 — — — — — —
202319 A+ MLEAberdeen IronBirds — 259225 611055 32722 177 271367427793 156372 2812 344 119 — — — — — —
202319 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 6758 19512 9180 30 328418552970 224438 2713 402 158 — — — — — —
202420 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 208190 36425 15692 40 189256311567 121265 337 254 58 -10 +1 +1 +2 +5 -0.2
202420 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 346287 732408 54862 81 254376422798 167329 2516 354 126 — — — — — —
202521 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 649587 13920316 551406 1711 237309363672 126291 228 305 93 -6 -1 -5 +2 +14 0.5
202622 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 354317 711217 32840 83 224295334630 110285 249 281 76 -10 +0 +0 +2 +8 -0.0
202622 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 6762 11211 4241 10 177239290529 113244 366 212 30 — — — — — —
202218 A MLE2 teams — 9073 20501 16160 41 274404384788 110333 1818 352 124 — — — — — —
202218 A RAW2 teams — 9064 19501 25120 41 297494422916 125346 1328 419 124 — — — — — —
202319 A+ MLE4 teams — 581511 14425910 671522 249 282367425792 143383 2612 350 123 — — — — — —
202319 A+ RAW4 teams — 581477 15430912 1011182 249 323443499942 176408 2017 419 123 — — — — — —
202420 AAA MLE2 teams — 554477 10928213 691564 121 229331377708 149308 2812 316 100 — — — — — —
202420 AAA RAW2 teams — 554456 10829215 901464 121 237367408775 171311 2616 349 100 — — — — — —
202521 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 649587 13920316 551406 1711 237309363672 126285 228 305 93 -6 -1 -5 +2 +14 0.5
202521 MLB RAWBaltimore Orioles — 649586 14221317 561406 1711 242315375690 133291 229 311 93 -6 -1 -5 +2 +14 0.5
202622 MLB MLE2 teams — 421379 801327 361081 93 211281311593 100272 269 270 69 -16 +1 +0 +2 +9 -0.4
202622 MLB RAW2 teams — 421375 831428 401041 93 221298333631 112281 2510 285 69 -16 +1 +0 +2 +9 -0.4
202218 A MLE2 teams — 9074 20501 16160 41 270404378783 108313 1818 352 124 — — — — — —
202319 A+ MLE4 teams — 581507 14425910 671522 249 284367428795 144383 2612 350 123 — — — — — —
202420 AAA MLE2 teams — 554476 10928213 691564 121 229331378709 149305 2812 316 100 — — — — — —
202521 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 649583 13920316 551406 1711 238309365674 127291 228 305 93 — — — — — —
202622 MLB MLE2 teams — 421381 801327 361081 93 210281310591 100279 269 270 69 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202420 AAA MLE2 teams — 554476 10928213 691564 121 229331378709 149305 2812 316 100 — — — — — —
202521 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 649583 13920316 551406 1711 238309365674 127291 228 305 93 — — — — — —
202622 MLB MLE2 teams — 421381 801327 361081 93 210281310591 100279 269 270 69 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLEBAL 100% 531476 11618313 471283 255 242313372685 130301 249 307 94 -4 +3 -3 +2 +12 1.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202723 MLB CTXBAL 100% 474427 10517212 421142 224 246317380697 134306 249 312 94 -3 +3 -3 +2 +10 0.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLEBAL 92% 636571 14122318 571513 296 247318388706 141303 249 315 99 -1 +3 -4 +2 +14 1.5
202925 MLB MLEBAL 92% 623559 13921319 561483 296 249320398718 149303 249 320 103 +2 +3 -4 +2 +13 1.7
203026 MLB MLEBAL 92% 611548 13621318 551453 286 249320398718 149303 249 320 103 +2 +3 -4 +2 +13 1.7
203127 MLB MLEBAL 92% 599537 13320318 541433 275 248319395714 147302 249 318 102 +1 +3 -4 +2 +13 1.6
203228 MLB MLEBAL 92% 587527 13020317 531412 235 246317390707 144301 249 316 100 -0 +3 -5 +2 +13 1.3
203329 MLB MLEBAL 92% 575516 12619316 521402 204 243314383698 140300 249 312 97 -2 +2 -5 +2 +12 1.0
203430 MLB MLEBAL 92% 563506 12118215 501392 164 240311375686 135297 259 307 94 -4 +2 -6 +2 +12 0.6
203531 MLB MLEBAL 92% 552496 11617214 491382 113 235305364669 129294 259 300 89 -7 +1 -6 +2 +12 0.2
203632 MLB MLEBAL 92% 483437 10014212 421231 52 229298350649 121289 259 292 84 -9 +0 -7 +2 +10 -0.4
202824 MLB CTXBAL 92% 585525 13120317 521393 275 251322397719 146307 249 320 99 -0 +3 -4 +2 +13 1.4
202925 MLB CTXBAL 92% 573514 13020318 511363 265 253324408732 155308 249 325 103 +2 +3 -4 +2 +12 1.6
203026 MLB CTXBAL 92% 562503 12920318 511333 265 253324407732 154307 249 325 103 +2 +3 -4 +2 +12 1.6
203127 MLB CTXBAL 92% 551494 12519317 501312 245 252323404728 153307 249 324 102 +1 +3 -4 +2 +12 1.4
203228 MLB CTXBAL 92% 540484 12118316 491302 224 250321399721 150306 249 321 100 -0 +3 -4 +2 +12 1.2
203329 MLB CTXBAL 92% 529475 11818216 471292 184 247318393711 146304 249 317 97 -2 +2 -5 +2 +11 0.9
203430 MLB CTXBAL 92% 518465 11417215 461282 153 244314384698 140302 259 312 94 -4 +2 -5 +2 +11 0.6
203531 MLB CTXBAL 92% 508456 11016214 451272 103 239309373682 134298 259 305 89 -6 +1 -6 +2 +11 0.1
203632 MLB CTXBAL 92% 444401 9213111 391131 52 233302359661 126293 259 297 84 -9 +0 -6 +2 +10 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 60215408 132019828171 535145928 20250 244315386701 142302 249 312 97 -37 +20 -45 +23 +130 9.4
/ 162G— A+C — 650584 14221318 581583 225 243315382697 139302 249 312 97 -4 +2 -5 +2 +14 1.0
Career— MLE — 79987151 173627942205 753195436 27670 243318380698 137304 249 312 97 -42 +24 -52 +26 +150 10.9
/ 162G— MLE — 650581 14123317 611593 226 243318380698 138304 249 312 97 -4 +2 -5 +2 +14 1.0