Matt Klein — OGILVIE

Matt KleinC Fresno Grizzlies

Age 22 L/R 6'2" / 210 lbs A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION189 act + 126 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.193 / .296 / .284

PA126

HR2

K%30

BB%11

BABIP271

ISO92

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$7M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Arb-1	$1M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$20M	+$18M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	28	24	3	1	0	0	2	12	2	0	0	125	250	167	417	42	250	43	7	228	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	28	22	5	2	0	0	4	8	2	0	0	227	393	318	711	91	357	29	14	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	COL	—	189	155	24	3	0	4	29	62	3	0	1	155	299	252	551	97	220	33	15	256	54	-10	-0	+0	+3	+5	-0.2
YTD	22	A	COL	—	189	143	26	4	0	4	41	46	3	0	1	182	374	294	668	112	232	24	22	320	103	+1	-0	+0	+3	+5	0.9
ROS	22	A	COL	0%	126	109	21	4	0	2	14	38	2	0	0	193	296	284	580	92	270	30	11	276	69	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
ROS	22	MLB	COL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		290	—	—	283	75	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	22	A	COL	—	189	156	24	3	0	4	29	62	3	0	1	154	299	250	549	96	217	33	15	256	54	-10	-0	+0	+3	+5	-0.2
TOT	22	A	COL	—	315	264	45	7	0	6	43	100	5	0	1	170	298	265	563	95	242	32	14	264	60	-14	-0	+0	+6	+9	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	COL	34%	275	240	48	8	1	6	30	80	3	0	0	200	297	317	613	117	275	29	11	284	75	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2028	24	MLB	COL	46%	364	318	67	12	2	8	39	104	4	0	0	211	305	336	641	126	277	29	11	289	80	-8	+0	+0	+7	+10	0.9
2029	25	MLB	COL	52%	409	358	76	13	2	10	43	116	5	0	0	212	305	344	649	131	278	28	11	293	82	-8	+0	+0	+7	+12	1.1
2030	26	MLB	COL	54%	437	383	81	14	2	11	46	123	5	0	0	211	304	345	649	133	279	28	11	295	84	-8	+0	+0	+8	+12	1.2
2031	27	MLB	COL	54%	446	389	82	14	2	11	48	126	6	0	0	211	307	342	649	131	278	28	11	295	84	-8	+0	+0	+8	+13	1.3
2032	28	MLB	COL	54%	448	391	82	14	2	11	48	127	6	0	0	210	306	340	646	130	278	28	11	294	83	-9	+0	-1	+8	+13	1.2
2033	29	MLB	COL	53%	442	386	80	14	2	10	48	126	5	0	0	207	303	332	635	124	277	29	11	292	81	-9	+0	-1	+8	+13	1.0
2034	30	MLB	COL	52%	434	379	79	14	2	10	47	125	5	0	0	208	304	335	639	127	275	29	11	289	79	-10	+0	-2	+8	+12	0.8
2027	23	MLB	COL	34%	94	83	17	3	0	2	10	27	1	0	0	205	298	313	611	108	296	29	11	293	82	-2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
2028	24	MLB	COL	46%	168	146	33	6	1	4	18	48	2	0	0	226	319	363	682	137	299	29	11	299	87	-2	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2029	25	MLB	COL	52%	211	184	43	8	1	6	22	60	3	0	0	234	325	386	711	152	300	28	10	303	90	-2	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.8
2030	26	MLB	COL	54%	237	207	48	9	1	7	25	67	3	0	0	232	323	386	710	155	300	28	11	305	92	-2	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.9
2031	27	MLB	COL	54%	242	211	49	9	1	7	26	68	3	0	0	232	325	384	709	152	300	28	11	305	92	-2	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.9
2032	28	MLB	COL	54%	243	212	49	9	1	7	26	69	3	0	0	231	324	382	706	151	299	28	11	304	91	-3	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.9
2033	29	MLB	COL	53%	235	205	45	8	1	6	25	67	3	0	0	220	313	356	669	137	298	29	11	302	89	-3	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.7
2034	30	MLB	COL	52%	227	197	44	8	1	6	25	65	3	0	0	223	320	365	685	142	296	29	11	299	87	-3	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1657	1446	328	60	7	45	177	471	21	0	0	227	320	371	692	145	302	28	11	302	89	-20	+0	-2	+30	+47	5.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	567	130	24	3	18	69	185	8	0	0	229	321	377	699	148	305	28	11	302	89	-8	+0	-1	+12	+18	2.2
Career	—			—	3409	2977	619	108	15	79	365	977	43	0	0	208	303	334	637	126	279	29	11	290	80	-75	+0	-4	+61	+97	8.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	568	119	21	3	15	70	186	8	0	0	210	305	336	642	127	281	29	11	290	80	-14	+0	-1	+12	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	28	22	5	2	0	0	4	8	2	0	0	227	393	318	711	91	357	29	14	341	119	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Austin Barneslast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,639 PA	8	1,639	35	22	225	325	344	+29	+59	12.4	12.5
	/162	664	14	9	225	325	344	+11.9	+23.8	5.0	pk7: 13
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Kelly Shoppachlast yr '13 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,839 PA	8	1,839	70	1	225	314	417	+33	+14	11.3	11.5
	/162	664	25	0	225	314	417	+11.9	+5.0	4.1	pk7: 12
#4Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	10	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
	/162	664	20	1	217	311	367	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#6Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,759	41	2	210	301	338	+31	+20	4.4	4.2
	/162	664	16	1	210	301	338	+11.9	+7.6	1.6	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Matt Klein (OGILVIE)	22	—	—	—	—	170/298/265	95	242	6	0	32%	14%	60	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Johnny Monell 2008 · A	22	43→44	44→50	44→45	48	213/288/328	115	279	11	8	27%	9%	73	-0.1	232/294/362	130	291	12	8	23%	7%	84	+0.6	211/282/355	144	277	15	6	28%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Drew Robinson 2014 · A	22	41→40	44→55	49→50	45	201/281/320	119	294	11	8	33%	9%	68	-0.5	192/266/342	150	282	16	11	36%	9%	67	-0.5	213/286/393	179	309	20	12	36%	9%	85	+0.5
✕Matt Wallach 2008 · A	22	45	42→50	45→40	45	218/282/324	106	277	9	5	24%	6%	69	-0.4	209/262/336	127	271	13	3	27%	6%	63	-0.8	215/288/338	123	247	15	3	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Chris Herrmann 2010 · A	22	46→48	43→50	44→50	47	225/289/336	111	274	11	4	22%	7%	75	-0.0	217/287/318	101	278	9	5	24%	8%	69	-0.4	217/305/384	166	277	20	8	28%	11%	92	+0.5
✕Miguel Amaya 2021 · A	22	42	47→50	48→40	46	215/286/350	135	266	15	4	25%	7%	78	+0.2	219/309/349	130	303	13	6	30%	9%	88	+0.9	228/299/368	140	271	16	1	22%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Zach Fisher 2014 · A	22	43	43→50	43→30	45	214/269/331	117	256	10	3	21%	6%	65	-0.7	231/281/356	125	295	12	4	25%	6%	76	+0.1	248/294/394	147	309	16	0	25%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Daniel Vellojin 2022 · A	22	45	43→45	45	56	218/316/337	119	281	10	7	24%	12%	87	+0.8	187/273/293	106	269	11	5	32%	10%	58	-1.2	150/237/225	75	215	8	4	32%	9%	24	-1.2
✕Isan Díaz 2018 · A	22	39→42	46→55	45	43	196/268/326	129	288	14	8	35%	8%	64	-0.8	209/275/354	145	294	16	8	32%	8%	74	-0.1	208/287/373	164	275	21	5	31%	9%	79	+0.2
✕Matthew Sweeney 2010 · A	22	46→40	48→50	46→45	44	232/288/382	150	289	15	5	25%	7%	86	+0.8	187/249/295	108	277	10	4	34%	7%	48	-1.9	157/221/254	97	235	9	1	35%	7%	23	-1.5
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	41→40	46→45	48	206/290/308	102	278	8	6	27%	9%	69	-0.4	221/302/309	88	318	7	6	30%	9%	74	-0.1	242/332/316	74	335	8	6	27%	10%	86	+0.3
✕Pratt Maynard 2012 · A	22	43	39→45	48→45	42	206/272/292	86	305	7	5	33%	7%	56	-1.3	216/277/305	89	275	7	5	22%	8%	62	-0.9	218/282/314	95	271	7	4	21%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Carlos Soto 2022 · A	23	40	46→50	45→30	47	200/276/328	128	267	13	3	29%	9%	68	-0.5	198/272/313	115	288	10	5	32%	9%	63	-0.9	146/236/243	98	222	7	0	35%	10%	29	-1.0
✕Canaan Smith-Njigba 2021 · A	22	48→49	45	50→55	46	233/298/359	126	318	12	10	29%	8%	84	+0.6	226/296/346	120	335	10	17	32%	9%	80	+0.4	222/291/344	122	331	10	21	33%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Brian Holberton 2014 · A	22	42	45	47→30	51	208/291/330	122	251	13	6	22%	9%	76	+0.0	212/273/316	104	251	9	3	18%	7%	63	-0.9	208/267/312	103	241	9	1	17%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Omar Martinez 2023 · A	22	41→38	43→45	42→40	46	200/285/309	109	287	11	5	32%	9%	67	-0.5	192/271/311	119	296	14	5	37%	9%	62	-0.9	177/257/291	114	276	14	3	39%	9%	48	-1.3
✕Colson Montgomery 2023 · AA	21	46	43→55	44→45	45	223/296/330	107	306	10	3	29%	8%	76	+0.1	206/293/345	139	287	15	5	32%	9%	80	+0.4	191/270/374	184	250	25	4	34%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Joshua Noviskey 2006 · A	23	45	44→45	44→30	48	221/289/341	119	282	11	4	25%	8%	76	+0.1	212/281/325	113	277	12	5	27%	8%	69	-0.4	184/261/277	93	232	14	1	26%	8%	46	-0.8
✕Zack Collins 2017 · A	22	46→43	45→50	47→40	47	209/300/333	124	344	13	6	39%	11%	79	+0.3	184/281/321	137	296	15	3	39%	12%	69	-0.4	188/297/338	150	281	16	2	36%	13%	78	+0.2
✕Randy Florentino 2021 · A	21	43	40→50	42→45	47	204/282/302	97	297	7	6	32%	10%	63	-0.8	179/241/260	81	267	8	5	34%	7%	35	-2.8	183/233/258	75	242	8	4	27%	6%	29	-0.9
✕Eddys Leonard 2023 · A	22	44→47	48→55	44→50	42	222/291/369	146	290	16	5	28%	6%	85	+0.7	222/279/379	157	280	19	8	27%	5%	82	+0.5	216/269/391	176	255	23	12	26%	5%	79	+0.2