Fulton Lockhart

P Rancho Cucamonga Quakes

Age 23 RHP 6'3" / 198 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	20	ASEA	9	13	2.77	4.18	23.2%	16.1%	—	K 17.2% · BB 19.0% · FIP 5.50
2025	21	MIX2 levels	23	27	9.00	5.06	29.2%	25.3%	—	K 22.6% · BB 30.0% · FIP 6.16
2026	22	MIX2 levels	45	54	2.67	2.27	38.4%	17.2%	—	K 29.0% · BB 21.2% · FIP 3.72
2027PROJ	23	MLBLAA	19	20	5.35	5.35	25.8%	20.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBLAA	20	21	5.05	4.92	26.1%	16.8%	-0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBLAA	31	33	4.78	4.64	26.3%	14.7%	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsCJ Weins (age 23) · Zane Russell (age 24) · Konnor Ash (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.35

FIP5.35

K%25.8%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%5.8%

Proj IP20

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†6060

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	20	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	9	0	13	56	13	9	1	0%	1.4	17.2%	19.0%	-1.8%	2.6%	2.77	5.50	—
2024	20	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	9	0	13	56	13	9	1	0%	1.4	17.2%	19.0%	-1.8%	2.6%	2.77	5.50	—
2024	20	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	9	0	13	56	13	9	1	0%	1.4	23.2%	16.1%	7.1%	1.8%	2.77	4.18	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	27	154	45	39	2	0%	1.2	22.6%	30.0%	-7.4%	2.1%	9.00	6.16	—
2025	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	23	0	27	154	45	39	2	0%	1.2	22.6%	30.0%	-7.4%	2.1%	9.00	6.16	—
2025	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	23	0	27	154	45	39	2	0%	1.2	29.2%	25.3%	3.9%	1.3%	9.00	5.06	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	54	232	89	40	1	0%	1.2	29.0%	21.2%	7.8%	0.7%	2.67	3.72	—
2026	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	45	0	54	232	89	40	1	0%	1.2	29.0%	21.2%	7.8%	0.7%	2.67	3.72	—
2026	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	45	0	54	232	89	40	1	0%	1.2	38.4%	17.2%	21.1%	0.4%	2.67	2.27	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	LAA	19	0	20	84	22	17	2	0%	1.1	25.8%	20.0%	5.8%	2.8%	5.35	5.35	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	LAA	47	0	50	210	55	35	6	0%	1.1	26.1%	16.8%	9.3%	2.8%	5.05	4.92	-0.2
2029	25	MLB MLE	LAA	48	0	50	213	56	31	6	0%	1.1	26.3%	14.7%	11.6%	2.8%	4.78	4.64	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	LAA	20	0	21	89	23	15	2	0%	1.1	26.1%	16.8%	9.3%	2.8%	5.05	4.92	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	LAA	31	0	33	139	37	21	4	0%	1.1	26.3%	14.7%	11.6%	2.8%	4.78	4.64	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		52	0	55	231	61	36	6	0%	1.1	26.2%	15.5%	10.7%	2.8%	4.89	4.37	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	223	132	22	0%	1.1	26.2%	15.5%	10.7%	2.8%	4.89	4.37	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		77	0	94	442	112	106	6	0%	1.2	25.2%	24.0%	1.3%	1.4%	4.50	4.80	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		164	0	200	940	237	225	14	0%	1.2	25.2%	24.0%	1.3%	1.4%	4.50	4.80	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Fulton Lockhart (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.35	25.8%	20.0%	2.8%	—	4.78	26.2%	10.5%	100	-0.57	—	—	—
CJ Weins R 2024 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	24.7%	15.9%	2.8%	.276	5.77	16.2%	-4.4%	76	+1.22	4.55	117	89
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	88
Konnor Ash R 2022 · 4.57 FIP	23	SU	4.57	22.2%	17.0%	2.2%	.340	3.56	22.4%	8.7%	87	-1.01	2.11	127	86
Andrew McInvale R 2021 · 4.92 FIP	24	SU	4.92	26.4%	16.3%	3.6%	.278	5.66	20.3%	5.0%	58	+0.74	4.92	103	86
Luis Ramirez R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	23	SU	4.68	23.1%	15.9%	2.8%	.278	3.71	24.0%	11.4%	53	-0.97	3.71	104	86
Isaac Gallegos R 2024 · 4.40 FIP	21	SU	4.40	22.9%	17.8%	1.8%	.267	3.09	19.9%	10.5%	106	-1.31	2.89	125	86
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	85
Vin Timpanelli R 2022 · 5.35 FIP	23	SU	5.35	27.4%	19.9%	3.7%	.350	4.72	17.9%	4.0%	69	-0.63	4.01	162	85
Andrew Baker R 2023 · 5.99 FIP	23	SU	5.99	24.7%	25.1%	3.3%	.315	3.70	25.5%	12.3%	164	-2.29	3.44	259	85
Saul Teran R 2024 · 5.21 FIP	22	SU	5.21	22.4%	18.8%	2.9%	.279	4.40	20.1%	10.7%	84	-0.81	2.28	166	84
Craig Schlitter R 2016 · 4.53 FIP	24	SU	4.53	22.7%	15.4%	2.5%	.298	4.67	14.7%	4.2%	171	+0.14	4.25	222	84
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	84
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.56	176	84
Thomas St. Clair R 2017 · 4.49 FIP	23	SU	4.49	23.1%	19.9%	1.5%	.217	5.02	17.7%	-3.3%	94	+0.53	4.33	116	83
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	83
Maikel Cleto R 2014 · 4.24 FIP	25	SU	4.24	23.2%	15.2%	2.1%	.256	3.45	25.4%	14.5%	106	-0.79	2.59	185	83
Jacob Wallace R 2022 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	24.6%	21.6%	3.4%	.237	4.25	23.1%	10.4%	153	-1.34	3.50	279	83
Carlos Contreras R 2014 · 4.77 FIP	23	SU	4.77	20.2%	18.1%	2.0%	.304	4.35	18.4%	5.0%	107	-0.42	4.29	127	83
Bryce McGowan R 2023 · 4.41 FIP	23	SU	4.41	23.4%	16.0%	2.3%	.327	4.33	19.2%	6.2%	99	-0.08	3.71	178	83
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.6	40	26.2%	16.5%	1.07	4.99
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Derrick Turnbow ('08)	1.3	64	23.4%	14.8%	0.87	4.30
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Dave Jolly ('53-'57, -0 WAR*)	1.5	58	20.2%*	14.3%*	0.91*	4.33*