Vin Timpanelli — OGILVIE

Vin Timpanelli P Chattanooga Lookouts

Age 27 RHP 6'2" / 210 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 1 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.05

FIP5.05

K%19.1%

BB%11.8%

K-BB%7.3%

ROS IP1

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 1 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	45	192	76	30	3	0%	1.2	29.8%	18.2%	11.6%	2.0%	2.98	4.01	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	45	192	76	30	3	0%	1.2	39.6%	15.6%	24.0%	1.6%	2.98	2.59	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	48	226	79	40	7	0%	1.5	27.4%	19.9%	7.5%	3.7%	5.10	5.35	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	48	226	79	40	7	0%	1.5	35.0%	17.7%	17.3%	3.1%	5.10	4.21	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	55	245	60	31	3	0%	1.3	19.4%	14.1%	5.3%	1.6%	3.90	4.10	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	43	0	55	245	60	31	3	0%	1.3	19.4%	14.1%	5.3%	1.6%	3.90	4.10	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	43	0	55	245	60	31	3	0%	1.3	24.5%	12.7%	11.8%	1.2%	3.90	3.32	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	18	91	20	10	5	0%	1.3	11.7%	12.8%	-1.0%	6.4%	6.87	7.23	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	18	91	20	10	5	0%	1.3	11.7%	12.8%	-1.0%	6.4%	6.87	7.23	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	0	18	91	20	10	5	0%	1.3	22.0%	11.0%	11.0%	5.5%	6.87	6.10	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	CIN	1	0	1	4	1	0	0	0%	1.0	19.1%	11.8%	7.3%	3.1%	5.05	5.05	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CIN	19	0	20	84	16	10	3	0%	1.1	19.4%	11.7%	7.7%	3.2%	5.03	5.06	-0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	CIN	8	0	8	34	7	4	1	0%	1.0	19.4%	11.7%	7.7%	3.2%	5.03	5.06	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	8	32	6	4	1	0%	1.1	19.4%	11.7%	7.7%	3.2%	5.03	4.68	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	160	106	27	0%	1.1	19.4%	11.7%	7.7%	3.2%	5.03	4.68	-0.3
Career	—	MLE		126	0	167	754	177	126	22	0%	1.3	23.5%	16.7%	6.8%	2.9%	4.32	4.83	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		151	0	200	905	213	151	26	0%	1.3	23.5%	16.7%	6.8%	2.9%	4.32	4.83	-1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Vin Timpanelli (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.05	19.1%	11.8%	3.1%	—	5.06	19.4%	7.7%	20	+0.01	—	—	—
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	87
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	86
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	86
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	86
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	85
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	84
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	84
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	83
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	83
Michael Blazek R 2016 · 4.92 FIP	27	SU	4.92	17.9%	11.9%	3.3%	.336	4.43	17.5%	8.0%	124	-0.49	2.99	221	83
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	83
Rob Scahill R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	28	SU	3.91	16.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.288	3.34	17.9%	10.1%	171	-0.57	3.06	201	82
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	82
Adrian Garza R 2015 · 5.47 FIP	27	SU	5.47	14.9%	10.5%	4.2%	.360	4.17	13.1%	6.5%	84	-1.30	3.94	229	81
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	81
Guido Knudson R 2016 · 4.69 FIP	26	SU	4.69	17.5%	10.8%	3.1%	.235	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	106	81
Grayson Thurman R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	24	SU	4.63	19.5%	14.1%	2.5%	.319	4.85	19.9%	10.5%	87	+0.22	4.58	132	81
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	81
Tucker Healy R 2017 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	15.6%	11.5%	2.0%	.321	5.20	19.2%	8.7%	24	+0.87	2.82	174	81
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	80