Eli Serrano III

OF Binghamton Rumble Ponies

Age 24 L/L 6'5" / 201 lbs AA H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

AAPROSPECTFG #382MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP40ETA2030FG ETA2028MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	A+NYM	383	.222/.335/.358	7	9	45	—	.177/.253/.285
2026	23	AANYM	287	.190/.302/.351	6	8	53	—	.171/.256/.306
2026	23	ANYM	29	.130/.310/.174	0	0	11	—	.120/.241/.160
2027PROJ2% MLB	24	MLBNYM	6	.188/.266/.303	0	0	66	-0.0
2028PROJ23% MLB	25	MLBNYM	77	.193/.271/.318	1	1	71	-0.1
2029PROJ35% MLB	26	MLBNYM	135	.196/.274/.327	3	2	74	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Ext$3M2032Ext$5M2033Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

BB%68

Speed68

Whiff%60

ISO58

K%40

Chase%40

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 95%

CompsJeisson Rosario (age 24) · Cornelius Randolph (age 24) · Oliver Dunn (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .266 / .303

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%17

BABIP259

ISO123

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 47 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT47

scouting grade only

POWER47

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	72	63	15	3	2	2	7	16	2	1	0	238	333	444	778	206	289	22	10	345	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	383	324	72	21	1	7	50	77	5	9	3	222	335	358	693	136	266	20	13	315	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	287	242	46	15	3	6	35	75	4	8	2	190	302	351	654	161	241	26	12	292	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	29	23	3	1	0	0	5	8	1	0	0	130	310	174	484	43	200	28	17	252	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	72	65	12	2	1	2	5	22	2	1	0	185	264	338	602	154	262	31	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	383	344	61	17	1	6	30	100	5	9	3	177	253	285	538	108	218	26	8	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	287	252	43	13	3	5	25	92	4	8	2	171	256	306	562	135	225	32	9	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	29	25	3	1	0	0	3	11	1	0	0	120	241	160	401	40	176	38	10	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	72	65	12	2	1	2	5	22	2	1	0	185	264	338	602	154	244	31	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	St. Lucie Mets	—	72	63	15	3	2	2	7	16	2	1	0	238	333	444	778	206	289	22	10	345	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	383	344	61	17	1	6	30	100	5	9	3	177	253	285	538	108	227	26	8	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	383	324	72	21	1	7	50	77	5	9	3	222	335	358	693	136	266	20	13	315	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	316	276	45	14	3	5	29	102	5	8	2	163	255	290	545	127	230	32	9	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	316	265	49	16	3	6	40	83	5	8	2	185	303	336	639	151	238	26	13	289	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	72	65	12	2	1	2	5	22	2	1	0	185	264	338	602	154	262	31	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	383	345	61	17	1	6	30	100	5	9	3	177	253	284	537	107	218	26	8	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	316	279	45	14	3	5	29	102	5	8	2	161	255	287	542	125	221	32	9	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	St. Lucie Mets	—	72	65	12	2	1	2	5	22	2	1	0	185	264	338	602	154	262	31	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	383	345	61	17	1	6	30	100	5	9	3	177	253	284	537	107	218	26	8	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	316	279	45	14	3	5	29	102	5	8	2	161	255	287	542	125	221	32	9	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	NYM	2%	366	328	64	17	2	6	31	110	4	6	2	194	272	313	585	119	268	30	8	265	66	-15	+0	-0	-2	+8	-0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	NYM	2%	6	5	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	188	266	303	570	116	259	33	17	259	66	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	NYM	23%	337	301	59	15	2	6	29	99	4	6	2	199	277	328	605	129	270	29	9	273	71	-12	+0	+0	-2	+7	-0.6
2029	26	MLB MLE	NYM	35%	384	344	70	18	2	8	33	112	4	6	2	202	280	337	617	135	271	29	9	278	74	-12	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.5
2030	27	MLB MLE	NYM	40%	404	361	73	18	2	9	35	117	5	6	2	203	281	338	619	134	271	29	9	279	75	-12	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.5
2028	25	MLB CTX	NYM	23%	77	69	12	3	0	1	7	23	1	1	0	193	271	318	589	125	260	30	9	267	71	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	NYM	35%	135	120	24	6	1	3	12	39	2	2	1	196	274	327	601	131	261	29	9	272	74	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	NYM	40%	164	147	29	7	1	3	14	47	2	3	1	197	275	328	603	131	262	29	9	273	75	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	376	336	65	16	2	7	33	109	5	6	2	193	275	315	591	122	261	29	9	271	64	-12	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	112	28	3	12	57	188	9	10	3	193	275	313	588	120	260	29	9	271	64	-20	+1	+0	-4	+14	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	2196	1959	373	98	13	41	186	642	29	41	12	190	270	316	587	126	257	29	8	263	64	-48	+2	-0	-9	+31	-2.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	110	29	4	12	55	190	9	12	4	190	270	316	586	126	256	29	8	263	64	-22	+1	-0	-4	+14	-1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1
#5Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.6	382	8	6	203	278	337	-2	+0	-0.3	-0.2
/162	664	14	11	-4.0	+0.0	-0.6	pk7: 0
#6Rip Russell'39-'47 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,522 PA	2.3	1,522	29	4	236*	279*	389*	-16	-12	-2.7	-2.7
/162	664	13	2	-6.9	-5.1	-1.2	pk7: -3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Eli Serrano III (OGILVIE)	24	35→47	40→47	50→52	50	192/270/310	118	268	5	5	30%	8%	66	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeisson Rosario 2024 · AA	24	44→52	43→45	46→50	51	211/303/323	111	302	10	12	31%	11%	80	-0.1	215/292/313	98	320	9	12	32%	10%	74	-0.6	207/280/275	68	311	5	12	32%	9%	56	-0.9
✕Cornelius Randolph 2021 · AA	24	46→51	41→45	46→45	44	222/282/321	100	305	9	9	29%	7%	72	-0.7	209/271/320	111	340	11	12	38%	8%	67	-1.1	197/264/303	106	305	12	15	37%	8%	58	-0.5
✕Oliver Dunn 2022 · AA	24	39→46	44→45	53→55	46	188/273/305	116	293	11	14	37%	10%	65	-1.2	220/303/367	147	343	14	14	36%	10%	91	+0.6	203/286/331	129	310	11	20	35%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Mike Papi 2017 · AA	24	39→48	44→45	44→45	48	194/277/313	119	273	11	5	31%	10%	69	-0.9	219/296/332	113	293	11	5	27%	9%	80	-0.2	221/299/323	102	290	10	4	25%	9%	78	-0.1
✕Grant Witherspoon 2021 · A	24	39→46	40→50	52→50	40	194/244/287	93	272	8	13	31%	6%	49	-2.4	217/271/362	145	296	17	13	31%	7%	77	-0.3	212/271/360	149	286	18	14	32%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Chris Meyers 2023 · A	24	42→46	44→50	51→40	43	211/270/330	119	277	11	9	28%	7%	69	-0.9	228/285/369	141	298	16	5	28%	6%	84	+0.2	226/286/369	143	292	17	3	28%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Travis Swaggerty 2022 · AAA	24	44→46	43→45	52→55	45	216/284/325	108	293	11	16	29%	8%	73	-0.6	215/280/331	116	309	9	19	31%	8%	73	-0.6	210/279/318	108	312	7	20	32%	8%	66	-0.5
✕Sebastián Elizalde 2016 · AAA	24	44→54	43→45	46→45	43	217/273/333	116	286	10	10	27%	7%	71	-0.8	234/272/326	92	281	8	7	19%	4%	68	-1.0	247/280/325	77	286	6	5	15%	3%	69	-0.6
✕Conner Capel 2021 · AAA	24	44→48	43→45	47→55	41	217/267/327	110	288	11	11	28%	6%	67	-1.1	226/290/353	127	283	13	15	24%	8%	82	+0.0	226/297/349	123	283	12	19	23%	8%	80	-0.1
✕Jaycob Brugman 2016 · AA	24	45→51	43→50	47→45	45	223/278/341	118	284	10	8	25%	7%	74	-0.5	238/292/349	111	311	10	8	25%	7%	81	-0.1	241/296/351	110	317	10	7	26%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA	25	40	41→45	48→55	46	195/273/300	105	283	8	8	32%	9%	63	-1.3	215/297/319	104	298	10	14	29%	8%	78	-0.3	219/303/314	95	294	10	19	27%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Connor Scott 2024 · AA	24	41→46	41→45	50	41	202/248/309	107	269	7	13	28%	6%	55	-1.9	195/241/298	103	272	8	9	30%	5%	51	-2.3	177/220/285	107	251	11	7	33%	5%	37	-1.6
✕Derrick Loveless 2017 · AA	24	41→51	42→45	48→50	44	196/270/307	111	302	9	10	36%	9%	64	-1.3	221/298/317	96	330	6	9	31%	10%	77	-0.3	239/329/316	78	350	1	6	28%	11%	86	+0.2
✕Daniel Cabrera 2023 · AA	24	42→43	43→45	51→45	42	208/256/319	111	268	10	7	26%	6%	61	-1.5	218/282/312	94	278	7	8	23%	8%	70	-0.9	222/308/284	62	281	2	8	19%	10%	72	-0.3
✕CJ Alexander 2021 · AA	25	41→46	39→55	49→50	44	198/267/286	87	290	7	9	32%	8%	58	-1.7	194/235/345	151	266	19	15	34%	5%	60	-1.6	212/254/384	173	261	23	9	29%	5%	73	-0.4
✕Caleb Roberts 2024 · AA	24	45→46	45→50	52→50	46	213/298/343	131	314	11	12	33%	9%	83	+0.1	205/286/332	127	282	12	11	30%	8%	76	-0.4	190/278/312	121	255	12	11	29%	8%	67	-0.6
✕Orlando Martinez 2022 · AA	24	43→48	46→50	45→50	38	217/261/349	131	294	14	7	31%	5%	70	-0.9	225/273/344	119	291	11	8	25%	6%	73	-0.6	223/280/330	107	273	9	7	21%	7%	71	-0.5
✕Chantz Mack 2015 · AA	24	45→46	43→45	47→45	45	223/273/332	109	272	10	8	22%	6%	70	-0.8	213/281/321	108	291	10	5	28%	8%	72	-0.7	205/282/308	103	284	10	3	29%	9%	66	-0.8
✕Charlie Szykowny 2024 · A	24	43→50	41→50	42→45	44	207/281/306	99	283	8	6	28%	7%	68	-1.0	222/277/348	126	288	11	5	26%	5%	76	-0.4	219/271/352	132	276	13	6	25%	4%	74	-0.5
✕LJ Talley 2021 · A	24	38→48	43→45	50	42	195/250/305	110	253	12	6	28%	6%	56	-1.9	220/279/331	111	280	11	9	24%	7%	72	-0.7	217/281/325	107	273	11	10	24%	7%	70	-0.5

Eli Serrano III

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps