Anthony Silva

SS Lake County Captains

Age 24 R/R 6'3" / 200 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	ALynchburg Hil…	56	.213/.327/.255	0	3	31	—	.163/.255/.204
2026	23	A+CLE	46	.125/.239/.150	0	0	-16	—	.095/.174/.119
2027PROJMLE	24	MLBCLE	200	.197/.266/.282	2	3	56	-0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBCLE	28	.201/.270/.290	0	0	59	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

BB%63

Chase%51

Whiff%42

Z-Con%28

Speed24

K%6

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsDylan Neuse (age 24) · Andrés Alvarez (age 24) · Grae Kessinger (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 53 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .264 / .280

PA53

HR1

K%32

BB%8

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	22	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	56	47	10	2	0	0	7	14	1	3	1	213	327	255	583	43	294	25	12	275	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	Lake County Captains	—	46	40	5	1	0	0	6	17	0	0	1	125	239	150	389	25	217	37	13	198	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	22	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	56	49	8	2	0	0	5	19	1	3	1	163	255	204	459	41	255	34	9	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	46	42	4	1	0	0	4	22	0	0	1	95	174	119	293	24	195	48	9	145	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	56	49	8	2	0	0	5	19	1	3	1	163	255	204	459	41	258	34	9	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	56	47	10	2	0	0	7	14	1	3	1	213	327	255	583	43	294	25	12	275	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	46	42	4	1	0	0	4	22	0	0	1	95	174	119	293	24	200	48	9	145	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	Lake County Captains	—	46	40	5	1	0	0	6	17	0	0	1	125	239	150	389	25	217	37	13	198	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	56	50	8	2	0	0	5	19	1	3	1	160	255	200	455	40	255	34	9	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	46	42	4	1	0	0	4	22	0	0	1	95	174	119	293	24	195	48	9	145	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	22	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	56	50	8	2	0	0	5	19	1	3	1	160	255	200	455	40	255	34	9	214	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	46	42	4	1	0	0	4	22	0	0	1	95	174	119	293	24	195	48	9	145	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CLE	0%	200	181	36	7	1	2	15	65	2	3	1	197	266	282	548	85	289	32	8	251	56	-10	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	CLE	30%	92	84	16	3	0	1	7	29	1	2	0	201	270	291	561	91	290	32	8	256	59	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	CLE	30%	28	26	5	1	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	201	270	290	560	90	290	32	7	256	59	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	28	26	5	1	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	192	250	231	481	38	294	32	7	256	38	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	604	116	23	0	0	46	209	0	0	0	192	249	230	479	38	294	32	7	256	38	-31	+0	+0	+7	+14	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	247	224	38	8	0	2	20	87	2	6	2	170	244	232	476	62	265	35	8	225	38	-7	+1	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	100	21	0	5	53	229	5	16	5	170	244	231	475	61	265	35	8	225	38	-32	+3	+0	+7	+14	-0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Lake County Captains · 46 PAwOBA .194 → .145 (−49)K% 37.0% → 46.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	36.96%	÷1.000	×1.270	—	—	46.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.04%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×0.998	9.24%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.790	—	×0.998	0.00%
Singles /BIP	17.39%	÷1.000	×0.920	—	×0.998	15.97%
Doubles /BIP	4.35%	÷1.000	×0.810	—	×0.998	3.51%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.850	—	×0.998	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.998	0.00%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .194 → .145; ISO .025 → .018; BABIP .217 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ALynchburg Hillcats · 56 PAwOBA .274 → .214 (−60)K% 25.0% → 34.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.00%	÷0.989	×1.360	—	—	34.37%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.50%	÷0.975	×0.690	—	—	8.85%
HBP% /PA	1.79%	—	×0.780	—	—	1.39%
Singles /BIP	24.24%	÷1.071	×0.920	—	—	20.82%
Doubles /BIP	6.06%	÷0.921	×0.830	—	—	5.46%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.020	×0.910	—	—	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.184	×0.800	—	—	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 114, 2B 84, 3B 104, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .274 → .214; ISO .043 → .036; BABIP .294 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Anthony Silva (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	196/264/280	84	289	1	1	32%	8%	56	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Andrés Alvarez 2021 · A	24	41→32	37→45	48→50	42	194/258/268	74	273	4	7	29%	6%	51	-2.3	203/269/323	120	290	13	15	33%	8%	68	-1.0	184/253/304	120	257	14	15	33%	8%	56	-1.0
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	38→30	42→45	48→50	41	192/253/286	94	259	11	15	30%	6%	53	-2.1	198/271/310	112	262	13	14	28%	8%	66	-1.1	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Connor Kaiser 2021 · A	24	38	42→45	46→50	46	189/265/291	102	263	10	6	30%	8%	59	-1.7	193/262/310	117	276	12	11	32%	8%	62	-1.4	179/257/294	115	257	12	17	33%	9%	54	-0.8
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	41→45	46→50	44	179/263/272	92	266	8	8	34%	8%	55	-2.0	185/271/281	96	287	9	9	35%	9%	59	-1.6	166/261/256	90	258	9	10	36%	9%	48	-1.2
✕Jacob Wetzel 2024 · A	24	38→34	41→45	50	44	185/262/277	92	271	8	12	33%	8%	55	-2.0	199/275/320	121	288	9	14	31%	9%	69	-0.9	196/279/346	150	275	11	17	30%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	35	41→45	45	45	174/251/274	101	254	8	6	33%	9%	50	-2.3	187/255/288	101	273	9	8	33%	8%	54	-2.0	140/232/254	115	204	16	3	39%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	177/235/240	63	250	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	215/285/296	81	280	8	14	24%	8%	67	-1.1	210/285/284	74	270	8	16	24%	8%	62	-0.6
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→30	42→45	51→60	40	198/262/303	106	282	9	12	32%	6%	60	-1.6	182/252/273	91	277	7	13	35%	6%	50	-2.3	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Joe Donovan 2023 · A	24	34	43→45	51→40	36	174/246/284	110	279	11	7	40%	6%	51	-2.3	198/254/306	108	309	9	5	37%	5%	58	-1.7	198/252/314	115	294	9	0	34%	4%	55	-0.7
✕Connor Pavolony 2024 · AA	24	37	41→45	49→40	42	177/265/268	91	291	8	6	39%	9%	55	-2.0	179/248/255	76	292	6	6	37%	7%	45	-2.7	138/214/196	58	229	4	2	38%	8%	16	-2.0
✕Cooper Johnson 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	46→40	45	175/265/261	87	289	6	5	38%	10%	53	-2.1	177/260/278	101	295	10	5	39%	9%	55	-2.0	155/243/278	123	235	15	3	38%	9%	46	-0.8
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/254/257	79	269	6	11	34%	9%	47	-2.5	194/282/305	111	306	12	8	37%	10%	69	-0.9	148/263/256	108	232	14	5	39%	12%	50	-0.8
✕Rowdey Jordan 2023 · AA	24	43→42	39→45	48→55	45	204/270/293	89	286	6	12	29%	8%	60	-1.6	204/273/315	111	282	11	20	30%	7%	68	-1.0	196/266/309	112	271	12	23	31%	7%	61	-1.0
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→30	45	50	37	195/253/316	121	280	13	12	34%	6%	60	-1.6	211/268/301	90	312	8	17	33%	6%	61	-1.5	216/273/285	69	324	7	24	33%	6%	57	-1.2
✕E.J. Exposito 2024 · A	23	37→33	41→50	50→55	43	177/262/268	90	293	9	14	39%	9%	53	-2.1	189/246/321	132	265	16	17	34%	6%	59	-1.7	184/237/328	144	240	19	19	32%	6%	55	-1.5
✕Camden Duzenack 2019 · A	24	39→36	39→50	46→50	41	191/253/277	87	252	5	11	26%	5%	51	-2.3	186/241/309	123	254	15	9	32%	5%	54	-2.0	211/258/338	126	272	14	10	27%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Taylor Snyder 2019 · A	24	38→33	43→50	46→50	34	191/235/306	115	287	11	11	36%	4%	51	-2.3	195/243/333	138	293	16	12	38%	5%	60	-1.6	165/221/310	144	234	19	14	38%	6%	44	-1.4
✕Kamren James 2024 · A	24	36→30	44→50	45	34	183/242/295	112	285	12	8	39%	5%	51	-2.2	183/241/281	98	279	11	8	37%	5%	47	-2.5	164/223/254	90	241	11	7	35%	5%	32	-1.1
✕Gunnar Heidt 2017 · A	24	39→41	41→45	48→50	39	193/250/295	101	280	8	15	32%	6%	53	-2.1	197/251/297	100	295	9	12	34%	6%	54	-2.0	194/248/291	96	283	9	9	33%	6%	49	-1.7