Nazier Mulé

P South Bend Cubs

Age 22 RHP 6'1" / 210 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.6 · 2030

Overview

A+PROSPECTFG #666MiLBFA 2035

ETA2028FG ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	19	MIX2 levels	17	16	52	4.33	4.37	18.4%	17.9%	—	K 12.1% · BB 19.9% · FIP 5.42
2025	20	MIX2 levels	18	18	67	5.78	3.89	22.5%	18.0%	—	K 16.8% · BB 21.1% · FIP 4.81
2026	21	A+CHC	19	15	63	5.43	4.13	27.6%	15.4%	—	K 21.3% · BB 17.7% · FIP 5.22
2027PROJ	22	MLBCHC	16	16	90	5.73	5.73	21.8%	19.9%	-0.8
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBCHC	11	11	63	5.30	5.16	23.3%	17.1%	-0.2
2029PROJ70% MLB	24	MLBCHC	19	19	109	5.00	4.84	24.3%	15.3%	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$3M2033Ext$4M2034Ext$4M

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff60Command30FB velo60

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -1 / P90 7, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 86%

CompsHunter Parks (age 22) · Jacob Watters (age 22) · J.P. Massey (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142134vR 126

ERA5.73

FIP5.73

K%21.8%

BB%19.9%

K-BB%1.8%

Proj IP90

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 90 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5060

CMD2030

K†5060

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Arb-1	$3M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$3M	+$0.9M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	16	52	234	43	42	2	94%	3.1	12.1%	19.9%	-7.8%	1.5%	4.33	5.42	—
2024	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	16	52	234	43	42	2	94%	3.1	12.1%	19.9%	-7.8%	1.5%	4.33	5.42	—
2024	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	16	52	234	43	42	2	94%	3.1	18.4%	17.9%	0.4%	0.9%	4.33	4.37	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	18	67	306	69	55	2	100%	3.7	16.8%	21.1%	-4.3%	0.8%	5.78	4.81	—
2025	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	18	18	67	306	69	55	2	100%	3.7	16.8%	21.1%	-4.3%	0.8%	5.78	4.81	—
2025	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	18	18	67	306	69	55	2	100%	3.7	22.5%	18.0%	4.6%	0.7%	5.78	3.89	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	19	15	63	286	79	44	7	79%	3.3	21.3%	17.7%	3.6%	3.1%	5.43	5.22	—
2026	21	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	19	15	63	286	79	44	7	79%	3.3	21.3%	17.7%	3.6%	3.1%	5.43	5.22	—
2026	21	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	19	15	63	286	79	44	7	79%	3.3	27.6%	15.4%	12.2%	2.4%	5.43	4.13	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	CHC	16	16	90	380	83	76	11	100%	5.6	21.8%	19.9%	1.8%	2.8%	5.73	5.73	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	CHC	23	23	127	538	125	92	15	100%	5.5	23.3%	17.1%	6.2%	2.8%	5.36	5.22	-0.5
2029	24	MLB MLE	CHC	28	28	157	661	161	101	19	100%	5.6	24.3%	15.3%	9.0%	2.8%	5.06	4.90	0.0
2030	25	MLB MLE	CHC	30	30	175	739	183	105	21	100%	5.8	24.8%	14.2%	10.7%	2.8%	4.84	4.71	+0.4
2031	26	MLB MLE	CHC	29	29	175	739	185	103	21	100%	6.0	25.1%	14.0%	11.1%	2.8%	4.73	4.67	+0.5
2032	27	MLB MLE	CHC	29	29	172	728	183	102	21	100%	5.9	25.1%	14.0%	11.1%	2.9%	4.71	4.70	+0.4
2033	28	MLB MLE	CHC	28	28	167	706	176	100	21	100%	6.0	25.0%	14.2%	10.8%	2.9%	4.76	4.79	+0.2
2034	29	MLB MLE	CHC	27	27	160	674	167	97	21	100%	5.9	24.7%	14.4%	10.3%	3.1%	4.86	4.92	-0.0
2035	30	MLB MLE	CHC	25	25	150	634	155	93	21	100%	6.0	24.4%	14.7%	9.7%	3.3%	5.00	5.10	-0.3
2036	31	MLB MLE	CHC	23	23	140	591	142	89	21	100%	6.1	24.0%	15.1%	8.9%	3.5%	5.18	5.30	-0.6
2028	23	MLB CTX	CHC	11	11	63	266	62	45	7	100%	5.7	23.3%	17.1%	6.2%	2.7%	5.30	5.16	-0.2
2029	24	MLB CTX	CHC	19	19	109	460	112	70	12	100%	5.7	24.3%	15.3%	9.0%	2.7%	5.00	4.84	0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	CHC	24	24	142	600	149	85	16	100%	5.9	24.8%	14.2%	10.7%	2.7%	4.78	4.65	+0.3
2031	26	MLB CTX	CHC	26	26	153	646	162	90	17	100%	5.9	25.1%	14.0%	11.1%	2.7%	4.67	4.61	+0.4
2032	27	MLB CTX	CHC	26	26	156	659	165	92	18	100%	6.0	25.1%	14.0%	11.1%	2.7%	4.65	4.64	+0.4
2033	28	MLB CTX	CHC	26	26	154	650	162	92	18	100%	5.9	25.0%	14.2%	10.8%	2.8%	4.70	4.73	+0.2
2034	29	MLB CTX	CHC	25	25	149	629	156	91	19	100%	6.0	24.7%	14.4%	10.3%	3.0%	4.80	4.86	-0.0
2035	30	MLB CTX	CHC	24	24	141	595	145	88	19	100%	5.9	24.4%	14.7%	9.7%	3.2%	4.93	5.03	-0.3
2036	31	MLB CTX	CHC	22	22	133	562	135	85	19	100%	6.0	24.0%	15.1%	8.9%	3.4%	5.11	5.23	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		203	203	1199	5064	1247	738	146	100%	5.9	24.6%	14.6%	10.0%	2.9%	4.84	4.45	+6.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	208	123	24	100%	5.9	24.6%	14.6%	10.0%	2.9%	4.84	4.45	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		54	49	182	826	140	162	15	91%	3.4	17.0%	19.6%	-2.6%	1.8%	5.24	5.13	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		59	54	200	908	154	178	16	91%	3.4	17.0%	19.6%	-2.6%	1.8%	5.24	5.13	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Nazier Mulé (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.73	21.8%	19.9%	2.8%	—	4.92	24.2%	8.9%	459	-0.81	—	—	—
Hunter Parks R 2023 · 5.15 FIP	22	SP	5.15	18.9%	19.3%	2.2%	.265	4.95	20.8%	4.6%	139	-0.20	4.42	301	86
Jacob Watters R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	22	SP	4.87	18.3%	17.1%	2.1%	.319	4.38	17.0%	5.1%	81	-0.49	3.85	165	86
J.P. Massey R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	23	SP	4.95	18.2%	16.0%	2.5%	.259	5.12	15.9%	0.6%	115	+0.17	4.72	195	84
Aaron Hernandez R 2019 · 4.83 FIP	22	SP-	4.83	18.6%	15.7%	2.4%	.340	4.81	20.2%	6.4%	111	-0.02	4.65	194	83
R.J. Freure R 2019 · 5.13 FIP	22	SP-	5.13	21.7%	18.5%	2.8%	.286	6.05	21.4%	4.2%	107	+0.92	5.13	196	81
Max Bain R 2021 · 5.21 FIP	23	SP	5.21	20.5%	15.2%	3.5%	.291	6.70	16.7%	-3.9%	81	+1.49	5.21	174	81
Kohl Franklin R 2022 · 5.24 FIP	22	SP	5.24	17.8%	14.6%	3.3%	.320	5.66	19.9%	7.9%	105	+0.42	4.38	205	81
Peyton Pallette R 2023 · 5.56 FIP	22	SP	5.56	18.0%	15.1%	3.8%	.254	3.91	23.8%	12.0%	201	-1.65	3.54	273	81
Khristian Curtis R 2024 · 5.48 FIP	22	SP	5.48	18.8%	14.4%	3.9%	.275	4.62	20.6%	8.4%	216	-0.86	4.60	291	79
Michael YaSenka R 2021 · 5.98 FIP	23	SP	5.98	18.1%	15.0%	4.6%	.288	5.95	18.8%	6.1%	58	-0.03	5.95	154	78
Noble Meyer R 2024 · 5.82 FIP	19	SP	5.82	20.0%	20.0%	3.4%	.198	4.31	18.7%	3.9%	65	-1.51	4.31	139	78
Jack Leiter R 2022 · 5.05 FIP	22	SP	5.05	20.8%	14.5%	3.4%	.309	4.39	24.2%	13.0%	346	-0.66	3.90	519	77
Kyle Bradish R 2019 · 4.56 FIP	22	SP-	4.56	20.8%	13.7%	2.7%	.309	3.84	24.1%	14.7%	238	-0.72	2.20	750	77
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	77
J.P. France R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	24	SP-	5.32	17.9%	13.9%	3.6%	.285	4.24	26.3%	15.2%	225	-1.08	4.04	577	76
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	76
Garrett Cave R 2018 · 4.99 FIP	22	SP	4.99	16.4%	14.9%	2.5%	.301	4.97	17.8%	-8.8%	40	-0.02	4.97	156	76
Luis Quiñones R 2021 · 4.82 FIP	24	SP	4.82	26.6%	21.5%	2.2%	.290	4.79	22.7%	9.3%	231	-0.03	3.69	326	75
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	75
Nolan Perry R 2024 · 4.88 FIP	20	SP	4.88	20.4%	22.2%	1.2%	.303	3.62	27.9%	16.8%	83	-1.26	3.62	167	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,853 starter careers (497 from 1990-2025 + 1,356 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	7.6	151	24.4%	15.0%	1.15	4.97
Roy Parmelee ('29-'39, 4 WAR*)	5.6	124	24.0%*	12.7%*	1.20*	4.75*
Tommy Byrne ('43-'57, 6 WAR*)	6.8	124	23.8%*	13.6%*	0.98*	4.39*
Ferdie Schupp ('13-'22, 4 WAR*)	5.3	132	27.9%*	13.2%*	1.25*	4.83*
Kazuhisa Ishii ('02-'05, 1 WAR*)	2.8	141	19.8%*	13.6%*	1.14*	4.72*
Jason Bere ('03)	5.6	123	18.4%	12.6%	1.17	5.14
Kaz Ishii ('05)	2.8	141	17.4%	14.2%	1.12	4.44