Jared Jones — OGILVIE

Jared Jones1B Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 22 R/R 6'5" / 246 lbs A+ HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION381 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†101

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP318

ISO177

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$15M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 64

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER64

scouting grade only

EYE57

scouting grade only

SPEED47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A+	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	58	50	8	1	0	4	6	26	2	0	0	160	276	420	696	260	200	45	10	310	96	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	58	52	5	1	0	2	4	35	2	0	0	96	190	231	420	135	179	60	7	190	15	-6	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2025	21	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	58	52	5	1	0	2	4	35	2	0	0	96	190	231	420	135	200	60	7	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	58	50	8	1	0	4	6	26	2	0	0	160	276	420	696	260	200	45	10	310	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	58	52	5	1	0	2	4	35	2	0	0	96	190	231	420	135	179	60	7	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	21	A+ MLE	Greensboro Grasshoppers	—	58	52	5	1	0	2	4	35	2	0	0	96	190	231	420	135	179	60	7	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	PIT	—	381	342	86	9	0	17	36	148	2	0	0	251	326	427	753	175	388	39	9	326	107	+3	+0	+0	-7	+8	0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A RAW	PIT	—	23	19	7	2	0	0	4	5	0	0	0	368	478	474	952	105	500	22	17	430	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A+ RAW	PIT	—	358	305	95	9	0	23	50	105	2	0	0	311	412	567	979	256	404	29	14	427	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A+ MLE	PIT	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		321	33	11	318	101	+0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
TOT	22	A+ MLE	PIT	—	390	350	87	9	0	17	37	151	2	0	0	249	324	420	744	171	383	39	9	326	107	+3	+0	+0	-7	+8	0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	PIT	35%	319	285	68	9	1	14	29	105	2	4	1	239	313	425	738	186	319	33	9	325	106	+2	+0	+0	-6	+7	0.4
2028	24	MLB MLE	PIT	46%	398	356	86	12	1	18	36	127	3	5	1	242	316	433	749	191	317	32	9	329	109	+4	+1	+0	-7	+9	0.6
2029	25	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	432	387	93	13	1	19	39	135	3	7	2	240	315	426	741	186	316	31	9	331	110	+5	+1	+0	-8	+9	0.8
2030	26	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	452	404	97	14	1	20	41	140	4	7	2	240	316	428	744	188	315	31	9	333	111	+6	+1	+0	-8	+10	0.9
2031	27	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	457	408	99	14	1	21	42	142	4	8	2	243	319	436	756	194	315	31	9	333	111	+6	+1	+0	-8	+10	0.9
2032	28	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	455	405	97	14	1	20	43	142	4	7	2	240	319	427	746	188	314	31	9	331	110	+6	+1	-1	-8	+10	0.7
2033	29	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	447	398	95	13	1	20	42	140	4	7	2	239	318	427	745	188	312	31	9	329	109	+5	+1	-1	-8	+10	0.6
2034	30	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	438	391	93	13	1	19	41	139	3	7	2	238	315	422	737	184	310	32	9	326	107	+4	+1	-2	-8	+9	0.4
2035	31	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	424	378	88	12	1	18	40	136	3	6	2	233	311	413	724	180	307	32	9	321	104	+2	+0	-3	-8	+9	0.1
2036	32	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	406	362	83	11	1	17	38	131	3	6	2	229	308	406	714	177	303	32	9	315	100	-0	+0	-4	-7	+9	-0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	PIT	35%	110	98	22	3	0	4	10	36	1	1	0	224	303	378	680	153	315	33	9	312	106	+1	+0	+0	-2	+2	0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	PIT	46%	184	164	38	5	0	8	17	59	1	3	1	232	308	409	716	177	314	32	9	315	109	+2	+0	+0	-3	+4	0.3
2029	25	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	223	199	48	7	1	9	20	70	2	3	1	241	317	422	739	181	312	31	9	318	110	+3	+0	+0	-4	+5	0.4
2030	26	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	245	219	52	7	1	10	22	76	2	4	1	237	313	416	728	178	312	31	9	319	111	+3	+0	+0	-4	+5	0.5
2031	27	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	248	221	53	8	1	10	23	77	2	4	1	240	317	421	738	181	311	31	9	319	111	+3	+0	+0	-4	+5	0.5
2032	28	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	247	220	52	7	1	10	23	77	2	4	1	236	314	414	728	177	310	31	9	318	110	+3	+0	-0	-4	+5	0.4
2033	29	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	237	211	50	7	1	10	22	74	2	4	1	237	315	422	737	185	309	31	9	316	109	+3	+0	-1	-4	+5	0.3
2034	30	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	230	204	47	7	0	9	22	73	2	4	1	230	311	397	708	167	307	32	10	313	107	+2	+0	-1	-4	+5	0.2
2035	31	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	221	196	45	6	0	9	21	71	2	3	1	230	311	398	708	168	304	32	10	308	104	+1	+0	-1	-4	+5	0.1
2036	32	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	210	186	42	6	0	8	20	68	2	3	1	226	308	387	695	161	300	32	10	303	100	-0	+0	-2	-4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2155	1918	449	63	5	87	200	681	18	33	9	234	312	408	721	174	312	32	9	314	107	+20	+3	-5	-38	+47	2.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	136	19	2	26	60	205	5	10	3	235	312	409	721	174	313	32	9	314	107	+6	+1	-2	-12	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	4295	3834	905	126	10	188	396	1375	35	64	18	236	313	421	734	185	313	32	9	326	107	+40	+6	-10	-76	+92	5.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	137	19	2	28	60	208	5	10	3	236	313	421	734	184	314	32	9	326	107	+6	+1	-2	-12	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Mitch Hanigerlast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,089 PA	4.7	3,089	130	19	250	324	448	-31	-36	7.8	8.4
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-7.8	1.7	pk7: 9
#3Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	5.2	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
/162	664	31	2	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#4Franmil Reyeslast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,078 PA	3.1	2,078	108	6	249	310	464	-22	-18	5.5	5.5
/162	664	35	2	-7.1	-5.7	1.8	pk7: 6
#5Jesús Aguilarlast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,594 PA	3.9	2,594	114	1	255	324	452	-46	-35	4.2	4.2
/162	664	29	0	-11.9	-9.0	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.2	2,156	95	33	240	313	427	-39	-8	4.4	4.1
/162	664	29	10	-11.9	-2.3	1.4	pk7: 4
#6Gaby Sanchezlast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,240 PA	3.4	2,240	59	12	254	332	411	-40	-26	2.2	2.2
/162	664	17	4	-11.9	-7.8	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jared Jones (OGILVIE)	22	20→25	59→64	42→47	57	231/306/405	175	321	6	1	34%	9%	101	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Chris Carter 2009 · A	22	38→48	58→65	47→45	44	214/284/418	204	274	27	3	32%	8%	96	+1.0	231/304/423	192	297	24	6	30%	9%	104	+1.6	226/317/463	237	289	33	4	33%	11%	114	+2.3
●Jerry Sands 2010 · A	22	41→46	55→60	50→45	45	221/288/405	184	277	24	4	29%	8%	94	+0.9	230/295/415	185	284	23	7	27%	8%	99	+1.2	223/290/403	180	273	23	6	27%	8%	94	+0.9
✕Jhonkensy Noel 2023 · AAA	22	37→40	55	47→45	37	207/259/388	181	272	24	5	33%	5%	80	-0.2	203/260/368	165	260	22	3	31%	6%	75	-0.5	195/249/365	169	248	24	1	32%	5%	68	-0.6
✕Chris Iriart 2017 · A	22	37	54→55	46→30	37	202/264/373	171	280	23	3	36%	6%	78	-0.3	187/246/311	124	326	15	4	45%	6%	57	-1.8	130/191/219	88	259	12	0	52%	5%	13	-2.2
✕Ryan Strieby 2009 · A	23	42→44	54→55	43→40	46	223/287/401	179	268	22	3	26%	8%	93	+0.8	226/297/386	160	302	19	4	30%	8%	93	+0.8	217/292/359	142	305	17	3	33%	8%	82	-0.0
●Kevin Cron 2016 · A	23	40→45	54→60	45→30	36	216/253/386	170	266	23	2	29%	4%	76	-0.4	207/253/362	155	268	20	3	30%	5%	71	-0.8	229/293/433	204	280	28	1	29%	7%	101	+1.2
✕Adam Duvall 2013 · A	24	41→45	56→70	47→45	43	223/280/414	192	260	25	5	26%	6%	93	+0.8	217/266/398	181	254	24	4	25%	5%	84	+0.2	225/286/491	266	245	40	3	28%	7%	112	+1.6
✕Bobby Bradley 2018 · AA	22	38→40	52→60	44→40	39	204/264/367	163	286	21	4	36%	7%	76	-0.4	206/264/394	188	284	24	3	35%	7%	82	+0.0	193/258/399	206	256	29	0	36%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Johan Mieses 2017 · A	22	36→33	52→55	44→50	35	198/245/367	169	270	20	8	35%	5%	69	-0.9	184/234/333	149	254	20	4	35%	5%	57	-1.8	191/265/355	164	235	23	7	30%	7%	72	-0.4
●Hunter Renfroe 2015 · AA	23	43→47	51→65	47→45	39	221/274/381	161	296	19	8	32%	6%	83	+0.1	231/270/403	172	296	21	6	29%	5%	86	+0.3	243/306/456	213	274	28	1	23%	8%	110	+1.9
✕Alexander Canario 2023 · AAA	23	36→34	56→60	53→50	39	201/262/388	187	274	25	17	36%	7%	80	-0.1	212/275/381	169	303	21	11	35%	7%	83	+0.1	207/271/362	155	296	20	8	36%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Orelvis Martinez 2023 · AA	21	32→34	56→60	44→40	40	189/256/374	185	239	26	6	34%	6%	76	-0.4	194/262/367	173	247	22	4	31%	7%	76	-0.4	180/252/347	167	225	22	2	31%	7%	66	-0.8
✕Jaff Decker 2012 · AA	22	41→49	52→55	47→55	48	214/297/379	165	280	19	10	30%	10%	91	+0.7	211/290/341	130	279	13	9	27%	9%	80	-0.2	221/295/327	106	285	9	13	24%	9%	76	-0.3
✕David Fry 2019 · A	23	45→44	49→55	47→45	45	229/292/380	151	279	17	4	24%	7%	89	+0.5	209/268/342	133	271	14	4	27%	7%	72	-0.7	240/318/401	161	288	18	5	22%	8%	100	+0.8
●C.J. Cron 2012 · A	22	42→52	55→65	48→40	37	227/276/405	178	291	24	4	31%	5%	90	+0.6	246/279/420	174	277	22	4	20%	3%	94	+0.9	255/332/481	227	289	30	1	23%	8%	124	+2.8
✕Sergio Pedroza 2006 · A	22	41→47	54→60	51→45	38	217/277/394	178	297	23	6	35%	6%	88	+0.4	226/310/407	181	301	21	5	30%	9%	103	+1.5	223/310/396	173	295	20	5	30%	9%	98	+0.9
✕Brian Pellegrini 2009 · A	24	36→34	55→60	56→45	39	198/270/387	189	267	24	11	35%	6%	84	+0.1	214/285/415	201	277	28	7	33%	8%	96	+1.0	206/281/415	209	254	32	5	33%	8%	94	+0.6
✕Coby Mayo 2023 · AA	21	42→45	50→60	51→45	41	217/278/369	152	291	18	8	31%	7%	82	-0.0	222/298/396	174	297	20	5	30%	9%	95	+1.0	216/298/397	181	285	21	4	30%	9%	93	+0.7
✕Allan Cerda 2023 · AA	23	33→23	52→50	42→45	44	178/279/345	167	274	20	6	40%	10%	78	-0.3	175/269/320	145	289	17	8	42%	10%	68	-1.0	136/244/274	138	217	18	8	43%	11%	46	-0.8
●Nolan Reimold 2007 · A	23	41→51	51→55	45→50	46	212/290/370	158	282	19	11	31%	9%	86	+0.3	242/309/413	171	291	20	9	23%	8%	103	+1.6	260/330/444	185	296	22	9	20%	8%	115	+1.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps