Christian Foutch

P Salem RidgeYaks

Age 23 RHP 6'3" / 240 lbs A peak 0.4 · 2030

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	22	ABOS	22	18	70	6.04	4.34	27.4%	21.8%	—	K 20.3% · BB 25.8% · FIP 5.53
2027PROJ	23	MLBBOS	9	9	49	5.75	5.75	21.1%	20.0%	-0.5
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLBBOS	5	5	28	5.41	5.28	21.9%	16.8%	-0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	25	MLBBOS	7	7	43	5.12	4.98	22.4%	14.7%	-0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 89%

CompsAaron Hernandez (age 22) · Zach Linginfelter (age 24) · J.P. Massey (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 142134vR 126

ERA5.75

FIP5.75

K%21.1%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%1.1%

Proj IP49

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 49 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	22	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	22	18	70	325	89	71	4	82%	3.2	20.3%	25.8%	-5.5%	1.6%	6.04	5.53	—
2026	22	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	22	18	70	325	89	71	4	82%	3.2	20.3%	25.8%	-5.5%	1.6%	6.04	5.53	—
2026	22	A RAW	Salem RidgeYaks	22	18	70	325	89	71	4	82%	3.2	27.4%	21.8%	5.5%	1.2%	6.04	4.34	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	BOS	9	9	49	207	44	41	6	100%	5.4	21.1%	20.0%	1.1%	2.8%	5.75	5.75	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	BOS	12	12	65	273	60	46	8	100%	5.4	21.9%	16.8%	5.1%	2.8%	5.41	5.28	-0.3
2029	25	MLB MLE	BOS	11	11	65	276	62	41	8	100%	5.9	22.4%	14.7%	7.7%	2.8%	5.12	4.98	-0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	BOS	11	11	65	276	63	40	8	100%	5.9	22.7%	14.4%	8.3%	2.8%	4.99	4.92	-0.0
2031	27	MLB MLE	BOS	11	11	64	272	62	39	8	100%	5.9	22.7%	14.3%	8.3%	2.8%	4.96	4.94	-0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	BOS	5	5	28	118	26	20	3	100%	5.6	21.9%	16.8%	5.1%	2.8%	5.41	5.28	-0.1
2029	25	MLB CTX	BOS	7	7	43	182	41	27	5	100%	6.1	22.4%	14.7%	7.7%	2.8%	5.12	4.98	-0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	BOS	9	9	52	220	50	32	6	100%	5.8	22.7%	14.4%	8.3%	2.8%	4.99	4.92	-0.0
2031	27	MLB CTX	BOS	9	9	55	232	53	33	7	100%	6.1	22.7%	14.3%	8.3%	2.8%	4.96	4.94	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		30	30	178	750	169	111	21	100%	5.9	22.5%	14.8%	7.7%	2.8%	5.08	4.62	+0.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		34	34	200	844	190	125	24	100%	5.9	22.5%	14.8%	7.7%	2.8%	5.08	4.62	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		22	18	70	325	66	84	5	82%	3.2	20.3%	25.8%	-5.5%	1.6%	6.04	5.53	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		63	51	200	929	188	239	15	82%	3.2	20.3%	25.8%	-5.5%	1.6%	6.04	5.53	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Christian Foutch (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.75	21.1%	20.0%	2.8%	—	5.06	22.3%	7.0%	195	-0.69	—	—	—
Aaron Hernandez R 2019 · 4.83 FIP	22	SP-	4.83	18.6%	15.7%	2.4%	.340	4.81	20.2%	6.4%	111	-0.02	4.65	194	83
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	82
J.P. Massey R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	23	SP	4.95	18.2%	16.0%	2.5%	.259	5.12	15.9%	0.6%	115	+0.17	4.72	195	81
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	81
Jackson Fristoe R 2024 · 4.81 FIP	23	SP	4.81	18.8%	19.6%	1.5%	.266	6.79	13.5%	-4.0%	74	+1.98	4.81	139	80
Fernando Baez R 2015 · 6.56 FIP	23	SP-	6.56	18.6%	18.8%	4.8%	.322	4.51	26.9%	7.8%	94	-2.05	3.45	129	80
Dane Acker R 2022 · 5.60 FIP	23	SP	5.60	19.3%	15.2%	4.0%	.284	4.39	20.2%	8.6%	215	-1.21	4.29	257	79
Holt Jones R 2022 · 6.63 FIP	23	SP	6.63	17.9%	19.5%	4.7%	.296	4.64	18.4%	0.8%	147	-1.99	4.21	254	79
Wills Montgomerie R 2018 · 5.10 FIP	23	SP-	5.10	19.3%	19.1%	2.2%	.275	4.51	20.1%	6.0%	105	-0.59	4.51	153	78
Eriq Swan R 2024 · 4.85 FIP	22	SP-	4.85	19.7%	17.3%	2.2%	.371	5.28	19.7%	0.9%	109	+0.43	4.85	132	78
R.J. Freure R 2019 · 5.13 FIP	22	SP-	5.13	21.7%	18.5%	2.8%	.286	6.05	21.4%	4.2%	107	+0.92	5.13	196	78
Connor Sadzeck R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	23	SP-	4.90	17.8%	16.5%	2.2%	.288	4.40	20.1%	10.1%	272	-0.50	3.20	549	77
Alex Vallecillo R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	21	SP-	4.75	18.6%	16.3%	2.1%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	4.51	152	77
Ike Buxton R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	23	SP-	4.67	16.8%	15.2%	1.9%	.241	4.64	14.8%	-0.6%	123	-0.03	4.45	196	76
Khristian Curtis R 2024 · 5.48 FIP	22	SP	5.48	18.8%	14.4%	3.9%	.275	4.62	20.6%	8.4%	216	-0.86	4.60	291	76
Carlos Marmol R 2006 · 5.89 FIP	23	SP-	5.89	16.6%	16.0%	3.9%	.252	3.03	31.5%	18.0%	231	-2.86	1.59	608	75
Rubén Menes R 2024 · 5.62 FIP	22	SP-	5.62	15.8%	15.2%	3.5%	.235	4.77	15.6%	2.4%	81	-0.85	3.39	112	75
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.34	18.3%	5.8%	123	-0.51	3.84	164	75
Joel Hanrahan R 2007 · 5.58 FIP	25	SP	5.58	17.4%	15.4%	3.6%	.318	3.06	27.8%	18.1%	218	-2.52	2.08	397	74
Richard Guasch R 2021 · 5.50 FIP	23	SP-	5.50	20.5%	15.3%	4.0%	.293	4.01	22.5%	6.7%	90	-1.49	2.94	316	74

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.5	62	22.2%	15.9%	1.08	5.22
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Dave Jolly ('53-'57, -0 WAR*)	1.5	58	20.2%*	14.3%*	0.91*	4.33*