Kohl Simas prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Kohl Simas P Winston-Salem Dash

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 190 lbs A+ peak 0.5 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 57 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.69

FIP4.69

K%22.1%

BB%11.1%

K-BB%11.0%

ROS IP58

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	0	21	78	25	5	1	0%	1.6	25.8%	7.2%	18.6%	2.1%	1.71	3.00	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	0	21	78	25	5	1	0%	1.6	32.1%	6.4%	25.6%	1.3%	1.71	2.05	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	15	68	285	82	29	10	68%	3.1	22.1%	11.6%	10.5%	3.1%	4.24	4.38	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	15	68	285	82	29	10	68%	3.1	28.8%	10.2%	18.6%	3.5%	4.24	3.88	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	21	17	83	384	102	42	12	81%	3.9	20.5%	12.6%	7.9%	3.8%	6.42	5.07	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	21	17	83	384	102	42	12	81%	3.9	20.5%	12.6%	7.9%	3.8%	6.42	5.07	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	Winston-Salem Dash	21	17	83	384	102	42	12	81%	3.9	26.6%	10.9%	15.6%	3.1%	6.42	4.04	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	CWS	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.1%	11.1%	11.0%	3.0%	4.69	4.69	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CWS	10	10	57	241	54	27	7	100%	5.7	22.2%	11.0%	11.2%	3.1%	4.68	4.69	+0.1
2028	28	MLB MLE	CWS	9	9	55	233	52	26	7	100%	6.1	22.2%	11.0%	11.2%	3.2%	4.71	4.75	+0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	CWS	4	4	21	89	20	10	3	100%	5.2	22.2%	11.0%	11.2%	3.1%	4.68	4.69	+0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	CWS	6	6	33	139	31	15	4	100%	5.5	22.2%	11.0%	11.2%	3.2%	4.71	4.75	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	9	53	226	50	25	7	100%	5.9	22.2%	11.0%	11.2%	3.1%	4.70	4.35	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	187	93	26	100%	6.0	22.2%	11.0%	11.2%	3.1%	4.70	4.35	+1.3
Career	—	MLE		56	32	172	747	162	87	25	57%	3.1	21.7%	11.6%	10.0%	3.4%	4.98	4.59	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		65	37	200	870	188	101	29	57%	3.1	21.7%	11.6%	10.0%	3.4%	4.98	4.59	+0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kohl Simas (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.69	22.1%	11.1%	3.0%	—	4.72	22.2%	11.2%	112	+0.03	—	—	—
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.11	17.6%	6.7%	206	+1.46	3.65	248	83
Sean Harney R 2023 · 3.55 FIP	25	SP-	3.55	18.2%	9.8%	1.4%	.285	4.74	16.5%	5.1%	59	+1.19	3.55	123	82
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	81
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.15	22.0%	9.5%	123	+0.85	4.30	181	80
Cooper Chandler R 2023 · 4.33 FIP	24	SP-	4.33	17.8%	9.3%	2.9%	.300	3.78	23.5%	17.1%	18	-0.55	3.78	107	78
Carlos Torres R 2009 · 5.24 FIP	26	SP-	5.24	16.9%	11.5%	3.9%	.284	3.59	18.2%	7.3%	67	-1.65	2.89	604	78
Ian Bedell R 2023 · 3.73 FIP	23	SP-	3.73	21.0%	10.1%	2.1%	.285	5.56	18.8%	9.0%	178	+1.83	3.73	274	78
Cade Winquest R 2023 · 4.37 FIP	23	SP-	4.37	17.9%	12.0%	2.3%	.299	3.71	21.6%	11.0%	188	-0.66	3.16	266	78
Sean Mooney R 2022 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	24.7%	13.5%	3.6%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	102	77
David Griffin R 2022 · 4.71 FIP	26	SP-	4.71	16.6%	9.8%	3.2%	.285	5.83	14.2%	5.0%	81	+1.12	4.43	239	77
Aaron Northcraft R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	26	SW	4.19	16.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.309	3.32	24.1%	13.4%	34	-0.87	3.32	252	76
Tanner Burns R 2023 · 5.27 FIP	24	SW	5.27	19.4%	12.5%	4.0%	.257	4.95	18.3%	5.2%	131	-0.32	4.34	382	76
Bryce Conley R 2021 · 4.31 FIP	26	SW	4.31	17.9%	12.2%	2.2%	.285	4.22	16.4%	5.3%	48	-0.09	4.22	560	76
David Phelps R 2013 · 3.57 FIP	26	SP-	3.57	21.0%	9.0%	2.0%	.314	3.56	21.5%	13.3%	312	-0.01	2.50	672	75
Michael Darrell-Hicks R 2023 · 3.71 FIP	25	SP-	3.71	20.3%	8.7%	2.2%	.309	3.40	21.6%	13.7%	145	-0.31	1.85	254	75
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	75
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	74
TJ Shook R 2023 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	21.0%	9.6%	3.6%	.273	4.02	21.6%	12.8%	192	-0.49	3.35	452	74
Joey Mancini R 2023 · 4.22 FIP	23	SP-	4.22	18.1%	10.0%	2.5%	.354	4.39	16.6%	6.3%	297	+0.17	3.64	392	74
Paxton Schultz R 2023 · 4.87 FIP	25	SP-	4.87	19.5%	11.9%	3.5%	.319	4.02	23.3%	14.9%	227	-0.85	3.83	543	74

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	57	22.2%	11.1%	1.20	4.69
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Bill Risley ('98)	1.1	55	21.9%	10.9%	1.26	3.98
Jorge Julio ('09)	2.3	58	21.7%	11.3%	1.25	4.43
J.J. Hoover ('18)	1.4	57	23.8%	11.4%	1.42	4.17
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. ('16)	1.2	58	24.6%	11.1%	0.93	4.35