Jay Dill
P
Stockton Ports
Age 23
RHP
6'6" / 240 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION31 act + 20 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.35
FIP4.35
K%23.2%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%13.8%
ROS IP20
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 51 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A | Stockton Ports | 6 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 36.4% | 15.2% | 21.2% | 0.0% | 3.52 | 1.95 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Stockton Ports | 6 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 36.4% | 15.2% | 21.2% | 0.0% | 3.52 | 1.93 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Midland RockHounds | 28 | 0 | 31 | 138 | 40 | 17 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 13.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% | 2.30 | 4.17 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | OAK | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.35 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.2% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.35 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 51 | 222 | 59 | 25 | 4 | — | — | 26.8% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 2.0% | 3.09 | 4.24 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | OAK | 19 | 0 | 20 | 86 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 3.0% | 4.28 | 4.23 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | OAK | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 3.0% | 4.28 | 4.23 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 37 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 3.0% | 4.28 | 3.85 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 207 | 69 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 3.0% | 4.28 | 3.85 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 34 | 0 | 39 | 171 | 41 | 24 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 1.6% | 2.54 | 3.74 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 174 | 0 | 200 | 877 | 209 | 122 | 14 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 1.6% | 2.54 | 3.74 | +3.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jay Dill (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.35 | 23.2% | 9.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.23 | 23.8% | 14.8% | 20 | -0.12 | — | — | — |
| Austin Smith R 2026 · 4.00 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.00 | 22.7% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .274 | 5.05 | 16.3% | 0.7% | 52 | +1.05 | 4.00 | 134 | 90 |
| Peyton Williams R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.53 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 1.8% | .311 | 5.00 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 100 | +1.47 | 3.53 | 123 | 90 |
| Heath Holder R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .287 | 3.13 | 22.3% | 13.1% | 247 | -1.03 | 2.74 | 367 | 89 |
| Reilly Hovis R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.03 | 21.1% | 7.7% | 3.2% | .250 | 4.41 | 19.8% | 6.4% | 50 | +0.38 | 4.03 | 130 | 89 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2027 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 89 |
| Vince Vannelle R 2027 · 3.77 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.77 | 19.9% | 8.6% | 2.3% | .282 | 5.34 | 15.3% | 4.5% | 76 | +1.57 | 3.77 | 105 | 88 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.95 | 22.7% | 10.8% | 2.5% | .236 | 4.09 | 19.8% | 9.0% | 134 | +0.14 | 3.24 | 172 | 88 |
| Tyler Bray R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.08 | 22.3% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .356 | 3.17 | 17.9% | 7.6% | 114 | -0.91 | 2.81 | 152 | 88 |
| Michael Gomez R 2025 · 3.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.38 | 22.6% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .283 | 3.78 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.33 | 286 | 87 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2027 · 3.63 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.63 | 21.2% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .282 | 3.31 | 22.5% | 16.6% | 72 | -0.32 | 2.25 | 121 | 86 |
| Carlos Navas R 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.59 | 22.0% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .283 | 3.63 | 22.0% | 16.1% | 229 | +0.04 | 2.94 | 385 | 86 |
| Luke Bell R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.89 | 20.4% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .295 | 5.85 | 13.1% | 1.3% | 66 | +1.96 | 3.89 | 110 | 86 |
| Devon Roedahl R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 19.7% | 6.7% | 3.0% | .305 | 4.92 | 16.5% | 9.2% | 100 | +0.98 | 3.94 | 122 | 86 |
| Cre Finfrock R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.45 | 23.0% | 11.7% | 3.3% | .278 | 6.27 | 16.7% | -8.5% | 36 | +1.82 | 4.27 | 103 | 86 |
| Jake Bray R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.37 | 21.1% | 7.7% | 2.0% | .245 | 4.44 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 158 | +1.07 | 2.76 | 198 | 86 |
| Kyle Schepel R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.49 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .233 | 3.63 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 120 | -0.86 | 3.51 | 156 | 85 |
| Stephen Jones R 2027 · 3.45 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.45 | 23.8% | 11.0% | 1.8% | .304 | 4.55 | 21.9% | 9.2% | 142 | +1.10 | 3.45 | 289 | 85 |
| Fineas Del Bonta-Smith R 2027 · 3.31 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.31 | 23.4% | 8.2% | 2.1% | .262 | 6.15 | 20.6% | 11.1% | 128 | +2.84 | 3.31 | 207 | 85 |
| Nic Enright R 2025 · 3.63 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.63 | 24.6% | 12.2% | 1.9% | .263 | 3.12 | 29.6% | 23.5% | 124 | -0.51 | 0.50 | 249 | 85 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2028 · 3.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.75 | 25.5% | 8.4% | 3.2% | .340 | 4.62 | 22.5% | 13.6% | 185 | +0.87 | 3.75 | 223 | 85 |