John Spikerman — OGILVIE

John SpikermanOF Brooklyn Cyclones

Age 23 S/R 6'0" / 190 lbs A+ H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION226 act + 22 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.150 / .227 / .200

PA22

HR0

K%32

BB%9

BABIP252

ISO50

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE62

scouting grade only

SPEED78

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	75	62	14	4	1	0	9	20	4	7	1	226	360	323	683	97	333	27	12	322	104	+0	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	22	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	106	83	18	3	1	0	18	30	2	15	0	217	369	277	646	60	327	28	17	303	92	-1	+3	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	22	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	115	101	24	3	1	3	11	37	3	12	0	238	330	376	707	139	344	32	10	322	104	+1	+2	—	—	+2	0.6
2025	22	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	36	26	5	1	0	0	9	10	1	3	0	192	417	231	647	38	312	28	25	331	110	+0	+1	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	75	64	11	3	1	0	7	29	4	7	1	172	293	250	543	78	304	39	9	248	54	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	22	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	106	91	16	2	1	0	10	40	2	15	0	176	272	220	492	44	292	38	9	233	44	-7	+3	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	22	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	115	103	18	2	1	2	9	49	3	12	0	175	261	272	533	97	307	43	8	240	49	-7	+2	—	—	+2	-0.2
2025	22	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	36	29	4	1	0	0	6	14	1	3	0	138	306	172	478	34	249	39	17	227	40	-3	+1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	75	64	11	3	1	0	7	29	4	7	1	172	293	250	543	78	314	39	9	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	—	75	62	14	4	1	0	9	20	4	7	1	226	360	323	683	97	333	27	12	322	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	257	223	38	5	2	2	25	104	6	30	0	170	272	238	509	67	303	40	10	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	3 teams	—	257	210	47	7	2	3	38	77	6	30	0	224	358	319	677	95	333	30	15	315	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	75	64	11	3	1	0	7	29	4	7	1	172	293	250	543	78	304	39	9	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	257	224	38	5	2	2	25	104	6	30	0	170	272	237	508	67	293	40	10	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	21	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	75	64	11	3	1	0	7	29	4	7	1	172	293	250	543	78	304	39	9	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	257	224	38	5	2	2	25	104	6	30	0	170	272	237	508	67	293	40	10	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	NYM	—	226	189	40	6	2	3	28	75	3	31	5	212	323	312	635	101	325	33	12	280	76	-7	+4	+0	-1	+5	0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ RAW	NYM	—	226	173	42	7	2	3	43	56	3	31	5	243	400	358	758	116	333	25	19	344	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	A+ MLE	NYM	0%	22	20	3	1	0	0	2	7	0	2	0	150	227	200	427	50	259	32	9	257	60	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	A+ MLE	NYM	—	248	209	43	7	2	3	30	82	3	33	5	206	314	301	615	96	315	33	12	278	74	-8	+5	+0	-1	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	NYM	30%	291	254	49	9	2	4	31	85	4	16	2	193	291	291	582	98	263	29	11	267	67	-12	+2	+0	-2	+6	-0.5
2028	25	MLB MLE	NYM	44%	358	312	61	11	2	6	38	102	5	20	3	196	293	301	594	106	266	28	11	274	72	-12	+3	+0	-2	+8	-0.4
2029	26	MLB MLE	NYM	51%	403	352	69	12	2	7	43	114	5	22	3	196	292	301	594	105	267	28	11	278	74	-12	+3	+0	-2	+9	-0.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	NYM	52%	423	369	73	13	2	8	45	119	6	23	3	198	295	309	604	111	268	28	11	279	75	-13	+3	+0	-3	+9	-0.3
2031	28	MLB MLE	NYM	53%	433	377	74	13	2	8	47	122	6	23	3	196	295	305	600	109	267	28	11	278	74	-13	+3	-1	-3	+9	-0.4
2027	24	MLB CTX	NYM	30%	88	78	14	2	1	1	9	26	1	5	1	179	273	269	542	90	256	30	10	253	67	-4	+1	+0	-1	+2	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	NYM	44%	158	138	27	5	1	3	17	45	2	9	1	196	293	312	605	116	259	28	11	260	72	-5	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	NYM	51%	205	178	35	6	1	4	22	58	3	11	2	197	296	309	605	112	260	28	11	264	74	-6	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	NYM	52%	222	193	38	7	1	4	24	62	3	12	2	197	295	306	601	109	261	28	11	265	75	-7	+2	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	NYM	53%	231	201	39	7	1	4	25	65	3	12	2	194	293	299	591	104	260	28	11	264	74	-7	+2	-0	-1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	904	788	153	27	5	16	97	256	12	49	8	194	292	302	594	108	263	28	11	263	69	-29	+7	-0	-5	+20	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	567	110	19	4	12	70	184	9	35	6	194	293	305	598	111	262	28	11	263	69	-21	+5	-0	-4	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	2262	1971	378	67	13	35	238	682	36	143	15	192	290	292	583	100	271	30	11	270	69	-63	+16	-1	-12	+42	-1.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	566	109	19	4	10	68	196	10	41	4	193	290	293	583	101	273	30	10	270	69	-21	+5	-0	-4	+14	-0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
/162	664	1	37	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3
#4Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	2.9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.6
/162	664	4	56	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.4	905	16	50	198	292	308	-5	+0	-0.2	-0.1
/162	664	12	36	-4.0	+0.0	-0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
John Spikerman (OGILVIE)	23	20→25	34→39	73→78	62	179/280/262	83	259	3	18	30%	11%	60	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Max Ferguson 2023 · A	23	37→34	39→40	63→60	52	176/280/265	89	267	6	32	33%	12%	60	-1.6	181/266/271	90	273	8	28	33%	10%	55	-2.0	178/257/269	91	255	10	28	32%	9%	48	-1.6
✕Roberto Caro 2016 · A	22	44→41	38→40	61→60	48	208/284/299	91	280	3	20	25%	8%	67	-1.1	208/276/283	75	319	2	18	32%	8%	60	-1.6	215/287/293	78	329	2	26	32%	8%	65	-0.6
✕Tyler Tolbert 2022 · A	24	39→49	39→45	67→65	43	181/268/271	90	295	6	37	37%	9%	56	-1.9	205/264/301	96	296	6	38	31%	6%	60	-1.6	227/289/306	79	310	6	60	27%	6%	68	-0.5
✕David Hamilton 2022 · AA	24	43→42	42→50	65→70	46	209/270/321	112	273	8	36	26%	8%	67	-1.1	209/277/330	121	275	12	50	27%	8%	72	-0.7	226/287/352	126	279	13	56	23%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Pedro Toribio 2012 · A	22	48	40	65→60	45	228/274/334	105	272	6	27	18%	6%	70	-0.8	246/275/326	80	306	3	23	20%	4%	68	-1.0	271/291/330	59	338	0	29	19%	2%	70	-0.3
✕Steward Berroa 2023 · AA	24	39→49	43→45	68→65	44	192/265/310	118	278	10	46	33%	9%	63	-1.4	217/291/323	106	319	9	46	32%	9%	75	-0.5	221/299/315	94	323	7	52	31%	9%	75	-0.3
✕Jorge Mateo 2018 · AA	23	42→48	43→50	63→65	37	204/248/326	122	291	9	34	32%	5%	59	-1.6	200/239/316	116	294	8	24	33%	4%	53	-2.1	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Chris Garia 2016 · AAA	23	48→54	41→40	64→60	39	234/273/341	107	306	8	28	26%	4%	72	-0.7	217/262/330	113	285	9	20	26%	5%	65	-1.2	179/219/291	113	227	10	22	26%	4%	37	-1.0
✕Raul Linares 2013 · A	22	40	36→45	59→55	42	187/248/257	70	259	2	22	27%	6%	44	-2.8	210/259/304	94	279	6	10	25%	6%	58	-1.7	217/260/323	106	275	7	7	23%	5%	60	-0.5
✕Wes Rogers 2016 · A	22	47→51	39→40	65	43	224/282/312	88	295	6	35	25%	6%	69	-0.9	222/277/311	89	296	6	34	25%	6%	67	-1.1	216/271/303	86	289	6	36	26%	6%	60	-1.3
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	64→65	42	204/266/281	77	293	2	27	29%	7%	56	-1.9	220/283/294	74	332	4	27	32%	7%	65	-1.2	230/297/289	60	352	4	45	33%	8%	65	-0.5
✕Anthony Jackson 2008 · A	24	43→53	41→40	61→55	42	209/264/315	106	286	6	19	28%	6%	63	-1.4	228/283/306	78	291	4	25	21%	6%	68	-1.0	250/318/323	72	306	4	28	18%	7%	83	+0.0
✕Johan Rojas 2023 · AA	22	43→53	41→45	63→65	42	213/260/314	102	267	8	35	24%	5%	61	-1.5	243/285/345	102	306	7	37	22%	5%	78	-0.3	254/296/351	97	318	7	41	21%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Hayden Cantrelle 2022 · AA	23	34	41→40	54→60	55	164/295/260	96	258	8	24	35%	14%	66	-1.1	190/306/293	103	293	8	20	33%	12%	76	-0.4	190/308/293	103	292	8	21	33%	12%	74	-0.3
✕Carlos Willoughby 2012 · A	23	46→44	36→40	57→60	48	213/282/285	72	270	2	21	21%	7%	63	-1.4	209/277/282	73	278	3	14	24%	8%	61	-1.5	199/276/253	54	270	0	13	24%	9%	51	-0.9
✕Cooper Bowman 2023 · A	23	38→43	43→45	59→60	43	188/270/295	107	285	11	31	36%	8%	62	-1.4	205/277/320	115	284	11	35	30%	8%	70	-0.9	202/274/318	116	272	11	40	28%	8%	66	-0.7
✕Ryan Rogowski 2008 · A	24	47→46	39→40	61→55	50	221/291/321	100	275	4	25	20%	8%	74	-0.5	219/287/304	85	271	5	25	20%	8%	70	-0.9	216/288/286	69	261	5	32	18%	8%	63	-1.0
✕Terrance Gore 2014 · A	23	44→42	33→30	62→70	45	204/283/240	36	290	1	34	28%	8%	54	-2.0	217/275/255	38	304	1	48	27%	6%	53	-2.1	193/256/240	47	276	1	52	28%	6%	40	-1.0
✕Rico Noel 2012 · A	23	43→53	37→30	62→65	44	202/269/275	73	263	4	31	24%	6%	56	-1.9	228/290/280	52	328	2	44	29%	7%	65	-1.2	227/290/274	47	317	1	49	26%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Darin Mastroianni 2009 · A	23	42→52	38→40	60	41	201/253/277	76	278	5	22	29%	6%	50	-2.3	248/313/323	75	316	3	35	21%	8%	82	+0.0	257/324/332	75	320	2	38	19%	8%	85	+0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps