John Spikerman — OGILVIE

John SpikermanOF Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 23 S/R 6'0" / 190 lbs A+ HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION122 act + 122 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .281 / .271

PA122

HR1

SB7

K%30

BB%10

BABIP268

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 26 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT26

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED78

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	75	64	11	4	1	0	7	29	4	7	1	172	293	266	559	94	314	39	9	247	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	75	62	14	4	1	0	9	20	4	7	1	226	360	323	683	97	333	27	12	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	3 teams	—	257	223	39	5	2	2	25	101	6	30	0	175	276	242	518	67	303	39	10	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A	3 teams	—	257	210	47	7	2	3	38	77	6	30	0	224	358	319	677	95	333	30	15	315	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	PHI	—	122	101	24	4	2	0	15	38	2	18	3	238	347	317	664	79	375	31	12	286	77	-3	+2	+0	-1	+3	0.2
YTD	23	A+	PHI	—	122	92	24	4	2	0	23	28	2	18	3	261	415	348	763	87	369	23	19	346	123	+3	+2	+0	-1	+3	0.8
ROS	23	A+	PHI	0%	122	107	20	4	1	1	12	36	2	7	1	187	281	271	552	84	257	30	10	248	48	-7	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
ROS	23	MLB	PHI	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						259	0	0	238	40	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	A+	PHI	—	123	102	24	4	2	0	15	38	2	18	3	235	345	314	658	78	369	31	12	286	77	-3	+2	+0	-1	+3	0.2
TOT	23	A+	PHI	—	244	208	44	8	3	1	27	74	4	25	4	212	314	293	607	82	319	30	11	267	63	-10	+3	+0	-1	+7	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	PHI	30%	291	256	48	9	2	3	29	82	4	14	2	188	280	273	554	86	259	28	10	259	56	-14	+2	+0	-2	+8	-0.6
2028	25	MLB	PHI	44%	358	315	60	11	2	5	35	99	5	17	2	190	282	286	567	95	262	28	10	267	62	-15	+3	+0	-2	+10	-0.5
2029	26	MLB	PHI	51%	403	354	70	13	3	6	40	111	6	19	3	198	290	302	592	105	264	28	10	272	66	-15	+3	+0	-2	+11	-0.4
2030	27	MLB	PHI	52%	423	372	73	13	3	7	42	116	6	20	3	196	288	304	592	108	264	27	10	273	67	-16	+3	+0	-3	+12	-0.4
2031	28	MLB	PHI	53%	433	380	74	13	3	7	44	119	6	20	3	195	288	300	588	105	264	27	10	272	66	-16	+3	-1	-3	+12	-0.5
2032	29	MLB	PHI	53%	431	378	74	13	3	7	44	120	6	18	3	196	290	302	591	106	263	28	10	270	65	-17	+2	-1	-3	+12	-0.7
2027	24	MLB	PHI	30%	88	78	15	3	1	1	9	25	1	4	1	192	284	295	579	103	261	28	10	249	49	-5	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
2028	25	MLB	PHI	44%	158	139	27	5	1	2	16	44	2	8	1	194	287	288	574	94	264	28	10	257	55	-8	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
2029	26	MLB	PHI	51%	205	180	36	7	1	3	20	56	3	10	1	200	291	300	591	100	265	27	10	262	59	-10	+2	+0	-1	+6	-0.3
2030	27	MLB	PHI	52%	222	195	39	7	1	4	22	61	3	11	2	200	291	308	599	108	266	27	10	264	60	-10	+1	+0	-1	+6	-0.4
2031	28	MLB	PHI	53%	231	203	40	7	1	4	23	64	3	10	2	197	288	300	589	103	265	28	10	263	59	-11	+1	-0	-1	+7	-0.5
2032	29	MLB	PHI	53%	226	198	39	7	1	4	23	63	3	10	1	197	290	303	593	106	264	28	10	261	58	-11	+2	-1	-1	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1131	994	196	36	6	18	113	313	15	53	8	197	289	300	589	103	266	28	10	261	58	-54	+7	-1	-7	+32	-2.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	112	21	3	10	65	180	9	30	5	196	288	296	584	100	266	28	10	261	58	-31	+4	-1	-4	+18	-1.3
Career	—			—	2793	2449	469	85	20	38	278	813	45	152	18	192	286	289	575	98	267	29	10	265	61	-123	+23	-2	-17	+79	-4.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	110	20	5	9	65	189	10	35	4	193	287	293	580	100	269	29	10	265	61	-29	+5	-0	-4	+18	-0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	75	62	14	4	1	0	9	20	4	7	1	226	360	323	683	97	333	27	12	322	104	+0	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
2025	22	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	106	83	18	3	1	0	18	30	2	15	0	217	369	277	646	60	327	28	17	303	90	-1	+3	—	—	+3	0.5
2025	22	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	115	101	24	3	1	3	11	37	3	12	0	238	330	376	707	139	344	32	10	322	104	+1	+2	—	—	+3	0.6
2025	22	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	36	26	5	1	0	0	9	10	1	3	0	192	417	231	647	38	312	28	25	331	112	+0	+1	—	—	+1	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	10	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
	/162	664	10	19	228	318	337	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.7
	/162	664	4	56	245	312	332	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,131	17	52	196	286	299	-7	+0	-1.4	-0.7
	/162	664	10	31	196	286	299	-4.0	+0.0	-0.8	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
John Spikerman (OGILVIE)	23	21→26	31→36	73→78	60	212/314/293	82	319	1	25	30%	11%	63	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Roberto Caro 2016 · A	22	44→38	38→40	61→60	48	208/284/299	91	280	3	20	25%	8%	63	-0.9	207/276/283	76	320	2	18	33%	8%	55	-1.4	212/285/292	79	328	2	26	33%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Max Ferguson 2023 · A	23	36→33	39→40	63→60	52	173/278/262	89	263	7	32	33%	12%	53	-1.5	178/261/269	91	271	9	28	34%	10%	46	-2.0	178/251/269	91	257	10	29	33%	9%	39	-1.5
✕Raul Linares 2013 · A	22	40	36→45	59→55	42	187/248/257	70	259	2	22	27%	6%	37	-2.7	210/259/304	94	279	6	10	25%	6%	53	-1.5	217/260/323	106	275	7	7	23%	5%	55	-0.5
✕David Hamilton 2022 · AA	24	42→41	42→50	65→70	46	207/269/319	112	274	8	36	27%	8%	62	-0.9	208/276/333	125	274	13	50	28%	8%	69	-0.4	220/282/351	131	271	15	58	24%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	64→65	42	204/266/281	77	293	2	27	29%	7%	50	-1.7	220/283/294	74	332	4	27	32%	7%	61	-1.0	230/297/289	60	352	4	45	33%	8%	61	-0.4
✕Rico Noel 2012 · A	23	41→51	37→30	62→65	43	198/264/273	75	258	5	31	24%	6%	48	-1.9	227/289/278	51	330	2	44	29%	7%	59	-1.1	223/285/267	44	315	1	49	27%	6%	52	-1.0
✕Tyler Tolbert 2022 · A	24	38→46	39→45	66→65	43	177/264/263	86	294	5	37	38%	9%	46	-2.0	200/257/301	101	289	7	38	31%	6%	52	-1.6	217/276/298	80	302	7	58	29%	6%	56	-0.6
✕Wes Rogers 2016 · A	22	47→48	38→40	65	43	223/280/308	85	293	5	35	25%	6%	63	-0.8	217/271/302	85	297	5	34	27%	6%	58	-1.2	209/263/288	80	288	5	36	28%	6%	48	-1.5
✕Taylor Lewis 2014 · A	24	37	39→45	61→55	35	181/228/275	94	281	5	18	36%	5%	32	-3.0	201/244/290	89	293	5	17	32%	5%	43	-2.2	208/231/276	68	278	4	26	26%	2%	29	-0.8
✕Carlos Willoughby 2012 · A	23	45→42	36→40	57→60	48	210/280/284	74	264	2	21	20%	7%	57	-1.2	210/280/285	75	276	3	14	23%	8%	57	-1.2	206/287/267	61	274	0	13	22%	10%	53	-0.6
✕Jorge Mateo 2018 · AA	23	39→46	44→50	63→65	36	197/241/326	129	286	10	34	34%	5%	51	-1.7	198/238/314	116	291	8	24	34%	4%	46	-2.0	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Terrance Gore 2014 · A	23	45→43	32→30	62→70	46	206/285/241	35	287	1	34	26%	8%	49	-1.8	218/274/257	39	303	1	48	26%	6%	46	-2.0	190/250/239	48	271	1	52	28%	6%	29	-1.0
✕Anthony Jackson 2008 · A	24	43→53	41→40	61→55	42	209/264/315	106	286	6	19	28%	6%	58	-1.2	230/284/308	78	295	4	25	22%	6%	64	-0.8	255/321/326	71	317	4	28	19%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Darin Mastroianni 2009 · A	23	42→52	38→40	60	41	201/253/277	76	278	5	22	29%	6%	43	-2.2	244/309/320	76	313	3	35	21%	8%	78	+0.2	252/319/328	76	317	2	38	19%	8%	81	+0.4
✕Jesus Galindo 2014 · A	23	50→52	35→40	62→65	42	234/287/293	58	317	2	37	26%	6%	61	-1.0	231/279/305	74	317	4	25	27%	5%	61	-1.0	232/279/304	72	317	3	25	26%	5%	56	-0.9
✕Chris Garia 2015 · A	22	48→55	38→40	62→60	38	229/271/312	84	315	5	30	28%	4%	59	-1.1	221/262/335	114	292	9	24	26%	5%	62	-0.9	213/251/343	130	274	10	27	25%	4%	55	-0.6
✕Cooper Bowman 2023 · A	23	39	44→45	59→60	43	191/272/302	111	287	11	31	35%	8%	60	-1.0	201/274/322	121	279	12	35	31%	8%	66	-0.6	195/268/315	120	262	12	40	29%	8%	59	-0.7
✕Hayden Cantrelle 2022 · AA	23	34	40→45	54→60	55	161/294/251	90	257	7	24	35%	14%	59	-1.1	189/306/294	105	299	8	20	35%	12%	73	-0.1	189/308/299	110	300	9	21	35%	12%	73	-0.1
✕Jordyn Adams 2023 · AA	23	40	38→45	58→60	36	190/243/268	78	298	5	24	36%	6%	37	-2.6	197/256/307	110	301	11	29	36%	7%	53	-1.5	186/248/297	110	286	13	26	38%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Kenny Wilson 2013 · A	23	41→51	37→40	58→60	42	192/266/262	70	277	4	29	30%	7%	46	-2.0	217/274/303	86	308	5	27	29%	6%	59	-1.1	195/262/289	94	302	8	22	35%	6%	49	-0.7