Carson Benge — OGILVIE

Carson BengeOF New York Mets

Age 23 L/R 6'1" / 184 lbs MLB Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION386 act + 257 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†110

AVG/OBP/SLG.263 / .329 / .409

PA257

HR7

SB10

K%22

BB%8

BABIP319

ISO146

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 57 / POW 54

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT57

xwOBA

850.349

POWER54

Barrel%

487.9

Avg EV

5489.4

Bat Spd

4771.0

EYE52

scouting grade only

SPEED54

Sprint

7928.6

DEFENSE54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.9	$4M	+$3M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.0	$22M	+$22M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+3.2	$22M	+$21M
2029	Arb-1	$7M	+3.3	$21M	+$16M
2030	Arb-2	$12M	+3.2	$19M	+$11M
2031	Arb-3	$17M	+3.0	$16M	+$6M
Totals		$38M		$104M	+$79M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	69	58	15	3	0	3	8	20	3	3	0	259	377	466	842	207	343	29	12	352	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	69	55	15	3	0	2	11	14	3	3	0	273	420	436	857	164	333	20	16	390	157	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	3 teams	—	519	465	112	22	6	12	44	118	8	22	4	241	317	391	709	151	297	23	8	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	3 teams	—	519	441	124	25	7	15	68	92	8	22	4	281	387	472	859	190	324	18	13	381	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	MLB	NYM	—	386	353	93	12	2	11	29	83	4	15	2	263	326	402	729	139	317	22	8	323	106	+2	+2	+1	-4	+11	1.3
YTD	23	MLB	NYM	—	386	353	93	12	2	11	29	83	4	15	2	263	326	402	729	139	317	22	8	327	108	+4	+2	+1	-4	+11	1.4
ROS	23	MLB	NYM	100%	257	232	61	9	2	7	20	57	3	10	2	263	329	409	738	146	316	22	8	329	110	+3	+1	+1	-3	+7	1.0
ROS	23	MLB	NYM	100%	257	232	61	9	2	7	20	57	3	10	2	263	329	409	739	147	315	22	8	320	103	+1	+1	+1	-3	+7	0.8
FULL	23	MLB	NYM	—	643	585	154	21	4	18	49	140	7	25	4	263	328	405	733	142	318	22	8	322	105	+3	+3	+2	-7	+18	2.0
TOT	23	MLB	NYM	—	643	585	154	21	4	18	49	140	7	25	4	263	327	405	732	142	318	22	8	326	107	+5	+3	+2	-7	+18	2.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	NYM	100%	630	568	151	23	4	19	50	137	7	25	4	266	333	421	754	155	318	22	8	337	116	+11	+3	+2	-7	+18	2.9
2028	25	MLB	NYM	100%	618	556	150	23	4	20	50	133	7	25	4	270	338	433	771	164	318	22	8	341	119	+13	+3	+2	-7	+18	3.1
2029	26	MLB	NYM	100%	606	544	147	22	4	20	50	130	7	25	4	270	339	436	775	165	318	21	8	344	121	+14	+3	+2	-6	+17	3.2
2030	27	MLB	NYM	100%	593	532	144	22	4	20	49	128	7	24	4	271	340	440	780	169	318	22	8	344	121	+14	+3	+2	-6	+17	3.1
2031	28	MLB	NYM	100%	582	521	140	21	4	19	49	126	7	22	4	269	340	434	773	165	318	22	8	343	120	+13	+3	+2	-6	+16	2.9
2032	29	MLB	NYM	100%	570	511	137	20	4	19	48	125	6	20	4	268	338	434	772	166	317	22	8	341	119	+12	+2	+1	-6	+16	2.6
2033	30	MLB	NYM	100%	558	500	134	20	4	18	47	123	6	18	3	268	338	432	770	164	316	22	8	338	117	+11	+2	+0	-6	+16	2.3
2034	31	MLB	NYM	100%	547	490	128	19	3	17	46	123	6	15	3	261	332	416	748	155	314	22	8	334	114	+8	+2	-1	-6	+15	2.0
2035	32	MLB	NYM	100%	536	480	124	18	3	16	45	122	6	12	2	258	330	408	738	150	311	23	8	328	109	+6	+2	-1	-6	+15	1.6
2036	33	MLB	NYM	100%	463	416	104	14	3	13	39	108	5	8	1	250	322	392	714	142	307	23	8	321	104	+2	+1	-2	-5	+13	0.9
2037	34	MLB	NYM	96%	394	354	86	11	2	11	33	94	4	5	1	243	315	379	693	136	301	24	8	313	97	-1	+1	-3	-4	+11	0.3
2038	35	MLB	NYM	91%	340	306	73	9	2	9	28	84	3	3	1	239	309	369	678	131	296	25	8	303	90	-4	+0	-4	-4	+10	-0.2
2039	36	MLB	NYM	82%	281	253	59	7	2	7	23	72	3	2	0	233	305	360	664	126	290	26	8	292	82	-6	+0	-5	-3	+8	-0.6
2027	24	MLB	NYM	100%	630	568	151	23	4	19	50	137	7	25	4	266	333	421	754	155	317	22	8	328	109	+7	+3	+2	-7	+18	2.4
2028	25	MLB	NYM	100%	618	556	150	23	4	20	50	133	7	25	4	270	338	433	771	164	318	22	8	333	113	+9	+3	+2	-7	+18	2.6
2029	26	MLB	NYM	100%	606	544	147	22	4	20	50	130	7	25	4	270	339	436	775	165	318	21	8	335	114	+10	+3	+2	-6	+17	2.7
2030	27	MLB	NYM	100%	593	532	143	21	4	20	49	128	7	24	4	269	338	436	775	167	318	22	8	335	114	+10	+3	+2	-6	+17	2.6
2031	28	MLB	NYM	100%	582	521	140	21	4	19	49	126	7	22	4	269	340	434	773	165	317	22	8	334	114	+9	+3	+2	-6	+16	2.4
2032	29	MLB	NYM	100%	570	511	137	20	4	19	48	125	6	20	4	268	338	434	772	166	317	22	8	332	112	+8	+2	+1	-6	+16	2.2
2033	30	MLB	NYM	100%	558	500	133	19	4	18	47	123	6	18	3	266	336	428	764	162	316	22	8	329	110	+6	+2	+0	-6	+16	1.9
2034	31	MLB	NYM	100%	547	490	128	19	3	17	46	123	6	15	3	261	332	416	748	155	313	22	8	325	107	+4	+2	-1	-6	+15	1.6
2035	32	MLB	NYM	100%	536	480	124	18	3	16	45	122	6	12	2	258	330	408	738	150	310	23	8	320	103	+2	+2	-1	-6	+15	1.2
2036	33	MLB	NYM	100%	463	416	104	14	3	13	39	108	5	8	1	250	322	392	714	142	307	23	8	313	98	-1	+1	-2	-5	+13	0.6
2037	34	MLB	NYM	96%	376	338	82	11	2	10	31	90	4	5	1	243	314	376	689	133	301	24	8	305	92	-4	+1	-3	-4	+11	0.0
2038	35	MLB	NYM	91%	309	278	66	8	2	8	25	76	3	3	1	237	307	367	674	129	296	25	8	295	84	-6	+0	-4	-3	+9	-0.4
2039	36	MLB	NYM	82%	230	207	48	6	1	6	19	59	2	1	0	232	303	357	660	126	290	26	8	285	76	-6	+0	-4	-2	+7	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	6875	6173	1614	234	44	212	568	1537	76	213	37	261	331	417	748	155	314	22	8	324	106	+50	+28	-3	-74	+195	20.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	152	22	4	20	54	145	7	20	3	260	330	414	745	154	313	22	8	324	106	+5	+3	-0	-7	+18	1.9
Career	—			—	7563	6786	1765	263	51	230	629	1700	88	239	41	260	331	416	746	155	314	22	8	331	112	+98	+31	-4	-81	+214	26.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	152	23	4	20	54	146	8	21	4	261	332	417	749	156	314	22	8	331	112	+8	+3	-0	-7	+18	2.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	21	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	69	55	15	3	0	2	11	14	3	3	0	273	420	436	857	164	333	20	16	390	157	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
2025	22	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	103	90	16	1	1	3	9	19	3	3	0	178	275	311	586	133	188	18	9	268	63	-4	+1	—	—	+3	-0.1
2025	22	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	145	126	40	6	1	8	18	23	1	4	2	317	407	571	978	254	337	16	12	427	185	+14	+0	—	—	+4	1.8
2025	22	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	271	225	68	18	5	4	41	50	4	15	2	302	419	480	899	178	372	18	15	399	164	+19	+2	—	—	+8	3.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jayson Werthlast yr '17 career totals — 15 seasons, 6,366 PA	15	6,366	229	132	267	360	455	-68	-36	32.0	29.7
	/162	664	24	14	267	360	455	-7.1	-3.7	3.3	pk7: 27
#2Brett Gardnerlast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 6,577 PA	13	6,577	139	272	256	341	398	-41	+49	29.8	26.6
	/162	664	14	27	256	341	398	-4.2	+4.9	3.0	pk7: 23
#3Alex Gordonlast yr '20 AS×3GG×7SS career totals — 14 seasons, 7,250 PA	14	7,250	190	113	257	338	410	-58	+22	27.4	26.4
	/162	664	17	10	257	338	410	-5.3	+2.0	2.5	pk7: 25
#4Alex Rioslast yr '15 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,929 PA	12	6,929	169	253	277	321	434	-57	+11	25.0	25.4
#4Alex Rioslast yr '15 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,929 PA	/162	664	16	24	277	321	434	-5.5	+1.0	2.4	pk7: 26
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 15 projected seasons	15	7,635	235	246	263	329	419	-51	+8	29.5	25.0
	/162	664	20	21	263	329	419	-4.4	+0.7	2.6	pk7: 20
#5José Cruz Jr.last yr '08 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,179 PA	9	4,179	153	81	247	336	445	-35	-7	17.4	17.2
	/162	664	24	13	247	336	445	-5.6	-1.1	2.8	pk7: 17
#6Eric Byrneslast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,440 PA	8	3,440	106	125	260	321	441	-21	+3	14.9	15.2
	/162	664	20	24	260	321	441	-4.1	+0.6	2.9	pk7: 16

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carson Benge (OGILVIE)	23	52→57	52→54	55→54	52	263/327/405	142	318	18	25	22%	8%	107	+2.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Akil Baddoo 2022 · MLB	23	51→54	51→55	57→55	49	251/321/420	170	331	17	20	28%	10%	110	+2.4	230/309/382	152	301	16	23	27%	10%	95	+1.4	222/303/408	186	279	21	28	27%	10%	96	+1.1
●Michael Harris II 2023 · MLB	22	55→58	52→60	58→55	42	272/318/450	179	339	19	24	25%	6%	117	+2.9	272/311/443	171	319	20	19	21%	5%	112	+2.6	267/300/430	164	305	20	18	20%	4%	102	+1.7
●Leo Heras 2013 · AAA	23	53→63	48→55	53→55	47	264/312/407	143	290	16	18	16%	6%	102	+1.9	233/295/363	130	290	11	18	23%	8%	84	+0.6	250/325/413	162	319	16	18	25%	9%	107	+1.3
●Gregory Polanco 2015 · MLB	23	50→55	47→60	54→55	48	251/306/392	141	293	15	25	20%	7%	96	+1.5	255/315/407	152	299	15	20	19%	8%	104	+2.0	254/325/453	200	285	22	14	19%	9%	113	+2.3
●Domonic Brown 2011 · MLB	23	52→54	49→55	53→55	45	258/311/413	155	323	16	18	25%	7%	104	+2.0	250/313/403	153	296	16	13	20%	8%	102	+1.8	252/316/413	162	285	18	11	18%	8%	101	+1.4
●Andrew Benintendi 2018 · MLB	24	51→61	48→55	52→50	54	254/325/405	151	284	15	16	16%	9%	108	+2.3	258/337/414	156	306	14	15	19%	10%	115	+2.7	268/340/434	166	315	16	13	19%	9%	119	+3.1
●Carlos González 2010 · MLB	24	51→56	51→60	54→55	44	258/309/434	176	312	17	15	23%	6%	108	+2.3	267/327/455	188	311	21	21	21%	8%	121	+3.2	266/330/448	182	306	21	23	20%	8%	111	+2.4
●B.J. Upton 2008 · MLB	23	55→60	50→60	55→60	52	268/345/422	154	340	17	31	25%	10%	121	+3.2	257/345/406	149	331	14	35	24%	12%	116	+2.8	237/314/436	198	292	23	35	26%	10%	108	+2.4
●Andrés Giménez 2022 · MLB	23	48→58	48→50	55	40	239/294/384	145	300	15	23	26%	5%	90	+1.0	262/324/407	145	309	15	24	20%	5%	108	+2.3	261/323/392	131	302	14	27	18%	5%	100	+1.7
●Josh Lowe 2022 · AAA	24	47→57	53→55	58→60	45	239/303/408	169	318	21	25	31%	8%	100	+1.7	251/307/423	172	352	19	28	32%	7%	105	+2.1	252/308/426	174	353	19	33	32%	7%	102	+1.5
✕Brett Lawrie 2013 · MLB	23	53→55	49→55	53→55	47	265/317/423	159	307	14	17	19%	6%	109	+2.4	256/309/407	151	292	17	10	18%	6%	102	+1.8	254/305/406	152	293	18	6	20%	6%	97	+1.1
●Brice Turang 2023 · AAA	23	50→60	43→50	56→60	47	243/300/350	107	307	11	23	24%	8%	82	+0.5	250/312/363	113	307	11	31	21%	8%	91	+1.1	270/345/412	142	330	14	32	21%	10%	114	+2.5
●Elijah Dukes 2007 · AAA	23	52	50→55	51→50	48	259/320/420	161	299	17	15	20%	7%	109	+2.4	242/337/416	174	286	19	13	21%	11%	116	+2.8	236/343/411	176	277	18	13	21%	13%	114	+1.7
●Jason Heyward 2013 · MLB	23	51→60	55	51→50	54	259/339/449	190	304	22	15	22%	10%	125	+3.5	266/344/422	156	306	16	14	18%	10%	120	+3.1	272/353/410	138	309	13	16	16%	10%	116	+2.7
●Adam Eaton 2012 · AA	23	57→65	43→45	54→55	51	271/357/391	119	329	9	21	19%	8%	118	+3.0	279/348/386	107	335	6	23	17%	7%	111	+2.5	285/357/412	127	339	9	15	17%	8%	119	+3.3
●Trent Grisham 2020 · MLB	23	42→50	51→60	53→55	51	219/303/381	162	278	19	13	28%	10%	92	+1.2	235/321/419	184	289	21	14	25%	10%	110	+2.4	221/330/419	198	244	27	6	22%	13%	112	+1.6
●Bo Bichette 2021 · MLB	23	53→62	53→60	52→55	44	266/312/449	183	319	19	20	23%	6%	114	+2.7	290/332/471	181	341	22	15	21%	6%	128	+3.7	295/336/472	177	344	22	13	20%	5%	128	+4.1
●Sal Frelick 2023 · AAA	23	56→59	44→45	55	48	272/327/398	125	313	10	19	17%	6%	106	+2.2	263/326/369	106	304	8	19	15%	8%	98	+1.6	266/334/365	99	304	8	20	14%	8%	99	+1.4
●Michael Saunders 2010 · MLB	23	49→52	47→55	50→55	42	241/295/381	140	319	14	15	28%	7%	89	+0.9	224/292/360	136	294	15	16	27%	9%	82	+0.5	250/336/440	190	316	20	8	26%	11%	117	+2.2
●Ozzie Albies 2019 · MLB	22	52→59	49→60	56→55	45	258/303/418	160	295	16	17	19%	6%	102	+1.8	273/324/472	199	305	22	14	18%	7%	125	+3.5	275/329/488	213	303	24	15	18%	7%	127	+3.0