Josh Caron — OGILVIE

Josh CaronC Everett AquaSox

Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 215 lbs A+ K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION444 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP262

ISO126

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$11M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	20	A	Modesto Nuts	—	54	47	13	2	0	1	5	9	1	2	0	277	358	383	741	106	316	17	9	332	111	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2025	21	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	331	299	59	9	2	9	25	96	5	11	2	197	271	331	602	134	255	29	8	272	70	-12	+1	—	—	+7	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	20	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	54	48	12	2	0	1	4	12	1	2	0	250	321	354	675	104	287	22	7	284	78	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	21	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	331	308	41	6	1	6	16	140	5	11	2	133	188	218	406	84	208	42	5	180	8	-36	+1	—	—	+7	-2.8
2024	20	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	54	48	12	2	0	1	4	12	1	2	0	250	321	354	675	104	306	22	7	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	—	54	47	13	2	0	1	5	9	1	2	0	277	358	383	741	106	316	17	9	332	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	331	308	41	6	1	6	16	140	5	11	2	133	188	218	406	84	213	42	5	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ RAW	Everett AquaSox	—	331	299	59	9	2	9	25	96	5	11	2	197	271	331	602	134	255	29	8	272	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	54	49	12	2	0	1	4	12	1	2	0	245	321	347	668	102	287	22	7	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	331	307	41	6	1	6	16	140	5	11	2	134	188	218	407	85	208	42	5	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	20	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	54	49	12	2	0	1	4	12	1	2	0	245	321	347	668	102	287	22	7	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A+ MLE	Everett AquaSox	—	331	307	41	6	1	6	16	140	5	11	2	134	188	218	407	85	208	42	5	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A+ MLE	SEA	—	444	402	74	20	3	16	33	178	5	28	4	184	255	368	623	184	274	40	7	271	70	-16	+4	+0	+8	+10	0.6
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A+ RAW	SEA	—	293	254	69	17	2	19	32	90	3	20	2	272	360	579	939	307	336	31	11	400	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	AA RAW	SEA	—	151	129	30	11	2	3	19	43	2	8	2	233	338	419	756	186	325	28	13	338	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A+ MLE	SEA	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		265	33	11	259	61	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	22	A+ MLE	SEA	—	453	410	75	20	3	16	34	181	5	28	4	183	254	363	617	180	272	40	8	271	69	-17	+4	+0	+8	+10	0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	SEA	35%	430	393	75	17	2	14	30	158	4	13	2	191	255	351	606	160	271	37	7	268	67	-17	+2	+0	+8	+9	0.2
2028	24	MLB MLE	SEA	46%	475	433	86	19	3	16	34	168	5	13	2	199	265	367	632	169	273	35	7	276	73	-15	+2	+0	+8	+10	0.5
2029	25	MLB MLE	SEA	52%	496	452	90	19	3	17	36	171	5	12	2	199	266	367	633	168	275	34	7	281	76	-14	+2	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2030	26	MLB MLE	SEA	54%	507	459	93	20	3	17	38	173	5	12	2	203	271	370	641	168	275	34	7	283	78	-14	+2	+0	+9	+11	0.8
2031	27	MLB MLE	SEA	54%	508	460	92	20	3	17	38	174	5	11	2	200	268	367	636	167	275	34	7	283	78	-14	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.8
2032	28	MLB MLE	SEA	54%	504	456	92	20	3	17	38	173	5	10	2	202	271	371	641	169	274	34	8	282	77	-14	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.7
2033	29	MLB MLE	SEA	53%	494	448	88	19	3	16	38	171	5	9	1	196	267	359	626	163	273	35	8	280	76	-14	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.5
2034	30	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	484	439	85	18	2	16	37	168	5	8	1	194	264	353	617	159	271	35	8	277	74	-15	+1	-2	+9	+10	0.3
2035	31	MLB MLE	SEA	59%	456	413	79	17	2	14	35	160	5	7	1	191	263	344	607	153	269	35	8	273	71	-16	+1	-3	+8	+10	0.1
2036	32	MLB MLE	SEA	61%	425	385	72	15	2	13	33	151	4	6	1	187	258	338	596	151	265	36	8	268	67	-17	+1	-4	+8	+9	-0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	SEA	35%	149	137	26	6	1	5	10	55	1	4	1	190	250	358	608	168	268	37	7	257	67	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	SEA	46%	220	200	38	8	1	7	16	78	2	6	1	190	257	345	602	155	270	35	7	265	73	-7	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	SEA	52%	256	232	45	10	1	8	19	88	3	6	1	194	264	349	613	155	272	34	7	270	76	-7	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2030	26	MLB CTX	SEA	54%	275	250	50	11	2	9	20	94	3	6	1	200	267	368	635	168	272	34	7	272	78	-7	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2031	27	MLB CTX	SEA	54%	276	250	50	11	2	9	21	94	3	6	1	200	270	368	638	168	272	34	8	272	78	-7	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2032	28	MLB CTX	SEA	54%	274	248	48	10	1	9	21	94	3	6	1	194	265	351	616	157	271	34	8	271	77	-8	+1	-0	+5	+6	0.4
2033	29	MLB CTX	SEA	53%	262	237	46	10	1	8	20	91	3	5	1	194	265	346	611	152	270	35	8	269	76	-8	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2034	30	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	275	249	48	10	1	9	21	96	3	5	1	193	264	349	613	157	269	35	8	267	74	-9	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2035	31	MLB CTX	SEA	59%	271	245	46	10	1	8	21	95	3	4	1	188	260	335	595	147	266	35	8	263	71	-9	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.0
2036	32	MLB CTX	SEA	61%	260	235	44	9	1	8	20	92	3	4	1	187	260	336	596	149	262	35	8	258	67	-10	+0	-2	+5	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2518	2283	441	95	12	80	189	877	27	52	10	193	263	350	613	157	270	35	8	267	70	-78	+6	-6	+45	+55	2.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	115	25	3	21	49	226	7	13	3	195	265	355	620	160	272	35	8	267	70	-20	+2	-2	+12	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	5173	4702	906	192	27	164	378	1822	54	114	18	193	261	350	610	157	271	35	7	271	70	-149	+14	-10	+85	+104	4.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	114	24	3	21	47	229	7	14	2	193	260	350	611	157	270	35	7	271	70	-20	+2	-1	+12	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.8	2,519	82	52	197	263	360	+45	+20	4.3	4.0
/162	664	22	14	+11.9	+5.3	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Josh Caron (OGILVIE)	22	25	40	50	30	180/243/332	153	265	10	14	38%	7%	61	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A	22	34	46→50	44→40	39	181/247/307	126	264	15	5	36%	7%	56	-1.9	209/267/324	115	285	12	4	30%	7%	67	-1.1	208/268/318	109	276	12	2	28%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Sean Coyle 2014 · A	22	36	49→50	54→50	37	192/251/336	144	277	17	14	36%	6%	64	-1.3	200/259/334	134	299	16	13	36%	7%	67	-1.1	181/245/299	117	275	13	12	37%	7%	50	-1.3
✕Tucker Mitchell 2023 · A	22	38	43→45	51→45	35	181/259/287	106	307	11	11	42%	7%	57	-1.8	200/265/308	108	290	13	7	34%	6%	63	-1.4	190/248/282	93	268	12	5	33%	5%	49	-1.0
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	188/254/321	133	272	15	10	35%	6%	62	-1.4	207/272/348	141	302	15	9	35%	6%	75	-0.5	202/267/346	145	293	16	7	35%	6%	71	-0.3
✕Sammy Infante 2023 · A	22	33→25	46→50	48→55	34	170/235/295	125	285	15	10	44%	6%	49	-2.4	189/255/283	94	308	8	16	39%	6%	53	-2.1	180/249/253	73	294	5	20	38%	6%	42	-1.3
✕Rodolfo Castro 2021 · A	22	37→41	48→55	46→50	35	195/236/334	139	275	15	6	35%	5%	57	-1.8	212/267/368	156	279	19	8	31%	6%	78	-0.3	206/269/359	153	269	19	7	30%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Yu Chang 2018 · AA	22	36→44	49→50	49→45	39	193/251/345	152	262	17	9	33%	6%	66	-1.1	207/266/332	125	289	12	7	31%	7%	68	-1.0	212/267/370	158	271	20	6	29%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Ryan Bliss 2023 · A	23	35→45	44→45	52→60	39	184/241/293	109	256	12	21	32%	6%	50	-2.3	221/288/352	131	295	12	39	28%	8%	81	-0.1	221/289/349	127	292	11	41	26%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Fabian Pertuz 2023 · A	22	37→34	40	49→55	33	186/229/277	91	285	8	9	37%	4%	41	-3.0	175/226/265	90	273	8	12	37%	5%	38	-3.2	148/203/228	80	231	8	13	38%	5%	19	-2.4
✕Taylor Snyder 2018 · A	23	36→34	44→50	47→50	32	186/229/299	113	278	11	13	37%	4%	47	-2.6	195/241/315	120	305	12	12	38%	5%	55	-2.0	189/239/340	151	271	18	12	36%	5%	59	-1.1
✕Steven Baron 2013 · A	22	39	41→45	50	37	193/231/293	99	262	8	10	29%	4%	45	-2.7	197/236/286	89	278	6	9	30%	5%	45	-2.7	237/293/310	73	315	4	8	24%	7%	69	-0.4
✕Jase Bowen 2023 · A	22	39→40	44→50	55	35	194/253/305	111	300	12	14	38%	6%	57	-1.8	201/254/323	122	287	13	19	34%	5%	61	-1.5	203/254/335	133	288	14	24	34%	5%	62	-0.9
✕Blake Hunt 2022 · AA	23	35	43→45	49→40	39	180/241/289	109	274	11	4	37%	7%	49	-2.4	201/257/318	117	274	12	4	30%	6%	62	-1.4	208/275/351	144	265	17	1	28%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Alexander Canario 2022 · A	22	36→34	50→60	50	36	193/240/341	148	278	18	14	37%	6%	61	-1.5	207/269/387	180	291	23	14	36%	7%	83	+0.1	201/270/393	193	274	26	13	36%	8%	82	-0.0
✕Sam Huff 2020 · A	22	37→40	48→55	44→45	30	191/233/328	136	303	17	6	42%	4%	55	-1.9	212/260/373	161	331	22	4	41%	5%	76	-0.4	214/277/388	174	309	26	1	38%	7%	83	+0.0
✕Marcus Chiu 2019 · A	22	40→27	45	53→45	37	201/281/329	128	285	13	11	32%	5%	75	-0.5	179/267/301	122	311	13	6	44%	7%	63	-1.3	160/247/277	116	274	14	3	44%	7%	47	-1.5
✕Glenn Santiago 2023 · A	22	41	41→40	46→45	39	201/255/297	96	286	8	8	32%	6%	55	-1.9	198/263/285	87	291	7	9	32%	7%	57	-1.8	182/254/257	75	267	7	8	32%	8%	46	-1.1
✕Juan Uriarte 2021 · A	23	39	41→45	48→30	32	192/231/285	93	290	9	6	36%	4%	44	-2.8	198/248/282	84	293	6	6	33%	4%	50	-2.3	152/200/202	49	235	0	0	33%	2%	10	-1.2
✕Rodolfo Durán 2021 · A	23	39	47→50	47→45	36	206/242/334	128	274	16	4	31%	4%	59	-1.6	200/240/330	130	259	14	4	28%	5%	58	-1.7	225/268/375	150	277	17	3	25%	5%	76	-0.2
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	67	-1.1	208/282/338	130	278	13	10	29%	6%	76	-0.4	207/287/352	145	264	16	10	27%	6%	79	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps