Josh Caron

C Everett AquaSox
Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 215 lbs A+ K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1011ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202420AModesto Nuts54.277/.358/.3831278—.245/.302/.347
202521A+SEA331.197/.271/.33191118—.144/.204/.232
202622AA/A+SEA444.258/.352/.525222878—.193/.270/.382
2027PROJMLE23MLBSEA1.184/.251/.3340065-0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB24MLBSEA115.189/.257/.34343690.1
2029PROJ44% MLB25MLBSEA184.192/.261/.34864720.2
Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$0.4M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA
Speed96
BB%71
ISO70
wRC+66
wOBA57
Chase%47
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.4 / P90 1.7, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 93%
CompsSicnarf Loopstok (age 23) · Brett Auerbach (age 24) · Kendall Simmons (age 23)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .251 / .334
PA1
HR0
K%36
BB%7
BABIP260
ISO147
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -8.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.20+0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.00.10.20.20.30.20.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE30
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.9M+$0.3M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2034Arb-1$0.4M———
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $2M +$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202420 AModesto Nuts — 5447 13201 591 20 277358383741 106316 179 332 78 — — — — — —
202521 A+Everett AquaSox — 331299 59929 25965 112 197271331602 134255 298 272 18 — — — — — —
202622 AAArkansas Travelers — 151129 301123 19432 82 233338419756 186325 2813 338 70 — — — — — —
202622 A+Everett AquaSox — 293254 6917219 32903 202 272360579939 307336 3111 400 82 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202420 A MLEModesto Nuts — 5449 12201 3121 20 245302347649 102294 226 283 78 — — — — — —
202521 A+ MLEEverett AquaSox — 331306 44716 181355 112 144204232436 88222 415 195 18 — — — — — —
202622 AA MLEArkansas Travelers — 151135 26922 14522 82 193278333611 141296 349 272 70 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEEverett AquaSox — 293263 5112114 231223 202 194266407673 213273 428 289 82 — — — — — —
202420 A MLEModesto Nuts — 5449 12201 3121 20 245302347649 102297 226 283 78 — — — — — —
202420 A RAWModesto Nuts — 5447 13201 591 20 277358383741 106316 179 332 78 — — — — — —
202521 A+ MLEEverett AquaSox — 331306 44716 181355 112 144204232436 88228 415 195 18 — — — — — —
202521 A+ RAWEverett AquaSox — 331299 59929 25965 112 197271331602 134255 298 272 18 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLE2 teams — 444399 7721316 361745 284 193268381649 188286 398 283 78 — — — — — —
202622 A+ RAW2 teams — 444383 9928422 511335 284 258352525877 266332 3011 379 78 — — — — — —
202420 A MLEModesto Nuts — 5450 12201 3121 20 240302340642 100294 226 283 78 — — — — — —
202521 A+ MLEEverett AquaSox — 331305 44716 181355 112 144204233436 89222 415 195 18 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLE2 teams — 444400 7721316 361745 284 193268380648 188281 398 283 78 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202420 A MLEModesto Nuts — 5450 12201 3121 20 240302340642 100294 226 283 78 — — — — — —
202521 A+ MLEEverett AquaSox — 331305 44716 181355 112 144204233436 89222 415 195 18 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLE2 teams — 444400 7721316 361745 284 193268380648 188281 398 283 78 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLESEA 0% 511464 8619315 371835 152 186253340593 154263 367 265 65 -21 +2 +0 +9 +11 0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202723 MLB CTXSEA 0% 11 0000 000 00 184251334586 150260 00 262 65 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLESEA 30% 381346 6615212 281334 102 191259349608 158265 357 271 69 -14 +1 +0 +7 +8 0.2
202925 MLB MLESEA 44% 416378 7316213 311424 102 194263354617 160267 347 275 72 -14 +1 +0 +7 +9 0.4
203026 MLB MLESEA 51% 435395 7817214 331464 92 197266356622 160268 348 277 74 -14 +1 +0 +8 +9 0.5
203127 MLB MLESEA 52% 440399 7917214 341464 92 198268356624 158269 338 278 74 -13 +1 +0 +8 +10 0.5
203228 MLB MLESEA 53% 438397 7817213 341444 81 199268354623 156269 338 278 74 -13 +1 -1 +8 +9 0.4
203329 MLB MLESEA 53% 430390 7616213 331424 71 196265348613 152267 338 274 72 -15 +1 -1 +8 +9 0.2
203430 MLB MLESEA 52% 417379 7316212 311404 61 193262340602 147265 347 269 68 -16 +1 -2 +7 +9 -0.0
202824 MLB CTXSEA 30% 115105 20414 8401 30 189257343600 154263 357 268 69 -4 +1 +0 +2 +2 0.1
202925 MLB CTXSEA 44% 184166 32716 14632 41 192261348609 156264 348 272 72 -6 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.2
203026 MLB CTXSEA 51% 221200 38817 17742 51 194264350614 156265 338 274 74 -7 +1 +0 +4 +5 0.2
203127 MLB CTXSEA 52% 231209 41917 18772 51 196266350616 155266 338 275 74 -7 +1 +0 +4 +5 0.3
203228 MLB CTXSEA 53% 233211 41917 18772 41 196266348615 152266 338 275 74 -7 +0 -0 +4 +5 0.2
203329 MLB CTXSEA 53% 226205 41917 17752 31 194263342606 148265 338 271 72 -8 +0 -1 +4 +5 0.1
203430 MLB CTXSEA 52% 217197 37816 16732 31 191260335595 144262 347 266 68 -8 +0 -1 +4 +5 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 14271293 25054744 10847913 276 193262348610 155265 348 272 68 -47 +3 -2 +25 +31 1.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650589 11425320 492186 123 194262348610 154266 348 272 68 -21 +1 -1 +12 +14 0.5
Career— MLE — 39963629 69115219120 296138941 10618 190259342601 152267 357 269 68 -107 +8 -4 +57 +69 2.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650590 11325320 482267 173 192260346606 154267 357 269 68 -22 +2 -1 +12 +14 0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+Everett AquaSox · 293 PAwOBA .394 → .289 (−105)K% 30.7% → 41.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA30.72%÷1.000×1.350——41.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.92%÷1.000×0.710—×0.9987.74%
HBP% /PA1.02%—×0.810—×0.9980.83%
Singles /BIP18.90%÷1.000×0.910×0.950×0.99816.31%
Doubles /BIP10.37%÷1.000×0.830×0.950×0.9988.16%
Triples /BIP1.22%÷1.000×0.820×0.950×0.9980.95%
Home runs /BIP11.59%÷1.000×0.830—×0.9989.60%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .394 → .289; ISO .307 → .224; BABIP .336 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAArkansas Travelers · 151 PAwOBA .329 → .272 (−57)K% 28.5% → 34.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.48%÷1.000×1.220——34.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.58%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0279.05%
HBP% /PA1.32%—×0.870—×1.0271.18%
Singles /BIP16.28%÷1.000×0.920×1.002×1.02715.41%
Doubles /BIP12.79%÷1.000×0.840×1.002×1.02711.05%
Triples /BIP2.33%÷1.000×0.940×1.002×1.0272.25%
Home runs /BIP3.49%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0272.87%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.

Result: wOBA .329 → .272; ISO .186 → .156; BABIP .325 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 A+Everett AquaSox · 331 PAwOBA .266 → .195 (−71)K% 29.0% → 40.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.00%÷0.957×1.350——40.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.55%÷0.999×0.710—×1.0125.43%
HBP% /PA1.51%—×0.810—×1.0121.24%
Singles /BIP19.21%÷1.001×0.910×0.972×1.01217.17%
Doubles /BIP4.43%÷0.955×0.830×0.972×1.0123.79%
Triples /BIP0.99%÷1.150×0.820×0.972×1.0120.69%
Home runs /BIP4.43%÷1.036×0.830—×1.0123.59%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 100, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 91, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.

Result: wOBA .266 → .195; ISO .134 → .093; BABIP .255 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AModesto Nuts · 54 PAwOBA .330 → .283 (−46)K% 16.7% → 22.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.67%÷0.993×1.360——22.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.26%÷1.010×0.690—×1.0156.42%
HBP% /PA1.85%—×0.780—×1.0151.47%
Singles /BIP26.32%÷0.970×0.920—×1.01525.32%
Doubles /BIP5.26%÷1.076×0.830—×1.0154.12%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.910—×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP2.63%÷0.897×0.800—×1.0152.38%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 94, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 99, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .330 → .283; ISO .106 → .090; BABIP .316 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).