Cole Messina

C Hartford Yard Goats

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 247 lbs AA HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

Scout OFP40ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	A+COL	434	.259/.358/.382	7	14	64	—	.209/.284/.309
2026	23	AACOL	364	.226/.327/.369	8	21	67	—	.205/.280/.318
2027PROJ2% MLB	24	MLBCOL	6	.207/.280/.322	0	0	63	-0.0
2028PROJ28% MLB	25	MLBCOL	101	.212/.286/.339	2	2	69	0.1
2029PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBCOL	173	.216/.289/.350	4	4	72	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$0.6M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

BB%61

Whiff%58

Z-Con%57

Speed53

ISO47

Chase%45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 3, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 89%

CompsAndrew Navigato (age 24) · Tony Thomas (age 24) · Luke Williams (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .280 / .322

PA6

HR0

K%33

BB%8

BABIP290

ISO108

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 42 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT42

scouting grade only

POWER47

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.3M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A+	Spokane Indians	—	56	50	7	1	0	1	5	11	1	0	0	140	232	220	452	80	158	20	9	216	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Spokane Indians	—	434	374	97	23	1	7	51	72	7	14	6	259	358	382	740	123	304	17	12	337	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	364	314	71	21	0	8	42	99	5	21	3	226	327	369	696	143	300	27	12	315	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	56	52	6	1	0	1	3	15	1	0	0	115	179	192	371	77	143	27	5	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	434	392	82	19	1	6	34	97	7	14	6	209	284	309	593	99	258	22	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	364	327	67	19	0	6	29	121	5	21	3	205	280	318	598	113	294	33	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	56	52	6	1	0	1	3	15	1	0	0	115	179	192	371	77	139	27	5	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	—	56	50	7	1	0	1	5	11	1	0	0	140	232	220	452	80	158	20	9	216	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	434	392	82	19	1	6	34	97	7	14	6	209	284	309	593	99	262	22	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	—	434	374	97	23	1	7	51	72	7	14	6	259	358	382	740	123	304	17	12	337	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	364	327	67	19	0	6	29	121	5	21	3	205	280	318	598	113	300	33	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA RAW	Hartford Yard Goats	—	364	314	71	21	0	8	42	99	5	21	3	226	327	369	696	143	300	27	12	315	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	56	52	6	1	0	1	3	15	1	0	0	115	179	192	371	77	143	27	5	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	434	390	82	19	1	6	34	97	7	14	6	210	284	310	594	100	258	22	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	364	327	67	19	0	6	29	121	5	21	3	205	280	318	598	113	294	33	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	56	52	6	1	0	1	3	15	1	0	0	115	179	192	371	77	143	27	5	164	-3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	434	390	82	19	1	6	34	97	7	14	6	210	284	310	594	100	258	22	8	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	364	327	67	19	0	6	29	121	5	21	3	205	280	318	598	113	294	33	8	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	COL	2%	380	342	68	16	1	6	30	117	5	10	2	198	272	303	575	105	278	31	8	262	63	-17	+1	+1	+7	+8	0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	COL	2%	6	6	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	207	280	322	602	115	290	33	0	273	63	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	COL	28%	354	319	65	15	1	7	28	107	4	8	2	203	277	318	595	115	279	30	8	270	69	-13	+1	+1	+6	+8	0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	COL	44%	396	356	73	17	1	8	32	119	5	8	2	206	280	327	607	121	280	30	8	275	72	-13	+1	+1	+7	+9	0.5
2030	27	MLB MLE	COL	50%	412	371	77	18	1	9	33	122	5	8	2	207	281	328	610	122	280	30	8	276	73	-13	+1	+1	+7	+9	0.5
2031	28	MLB MLE	COL	55%	420	378	79	18	1	9	34	124	5	7	2	207	281	328	609	121	280	30	8	275	73	-14	+1	+1	+8	+9	0.4
2032	29	MLB MLE	COL	56%	417	375	79	18	1	9	34	123	5	6	2	206	280	326	606	119	279	29	8	274	72	-14	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.3
2033	30	MLB MLE	COL	56%	412	372	76	17	1	8	33	123	4	5	2	203	276	318	594	115	277	30	8	269	69	-15	+0	-1	+7	+9	0.0
2028	25	MLB CTX	COL	28%	101	91	19	5	0	2	8	31	1	2	1	212	286	339	625	127	291	31	8	282	69	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	COL	44%	173	155	34	8	1	4	14	52	2	4	1	216	289	350	639	134	292	30	8	287	72	-6	+0	+1	+3	+4	0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	COL	50%	208	187	41	9	1	5	17	62	2	4	1	217	290	351	641	134	292	30	8	288	73	-7	+0	+1	+4	+5	0.3
2031	28	MLB CTX	COL	55%	229	205	45	10	1	5	19	68	3	4	1	217	290	350	640	133	292	30	8	288	73	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2032	29	MLB CTX	COL	56%	232	208	45	10	1	5	19	68	3	3	1	216	289	348	637	131	291	29	8	286	72	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2033	30	MLB CTX	COL	56%	231	208	45	10	1	5	19	69	2	3	1	213	285	339	624	126	288	30	8	281	69	-9	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1174	1054	229	52	5	26	96	350	13	20	6	217	291	350	641	133	297	30	8	286	68	-40	+2	+2	+21	+25	1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	127	29	3	14	53	194	7	11	3	217	290	349	640	132	298	30	8	286	68	-22	+1	+1	+12	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3585	3230	662	156	8	68	285	1050	45	85	23	205	279	321	600	116	279	29	8	269	68	-97	+4	+6	+49	+59	2.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	119	28	1	12	52	190	8	15	4	203	277	316	593	113	276	29	8	269	68	-23	+1	+1	+12	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Lou Criger'01-'12 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,522 PA	3.8	2,522	6	31	203*	288*	330*	+44	-1	3.8	4.2
/162	664	2	8	+11.6	-0.3	1.0	pk7: 5
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.8	1,180	24	19	206	277	326	+21	+6	1.5	1.5
/162	664	13	11	+11.9	+3.4	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cole Messina (OGILVIE)	24	42	47	45	49	196/270/300	104	278	5	8	31%	8%	63	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrew Navigato 2022 · AA	24	41	44→55	46→50	45	204/280/319	115	283	11	13	30%	8%	72	-0.7	220/279/374	154	275	17	14	26%	6%	84	+0.1	218/278/389	170	267	20	17	26%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Tony Thomas 2010 · AA	24	45→47	43→50	45→55	41	220/274/332	113	297	10	13	29%	6%	71	-0.8	213/262/345	132	288	12	16	29%	5%	70	-0.9	204/252/344	140	274	13	19	30%	5%	64	-0.7
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA	24	42→44	42→45	52→65	44	208/270/316	107	274	9	20	27%	7%	65	-1.2	229/287/323	94	314	7	28	27%	7%	74	-0.6	229/291/325	96	311	8	37	27%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Quincy McAfee 2022 · AA	24	42	43→45	48→45	50	206/300/320	113	269	10	10	25%	9%	79	-0.2	193/276/313	120	251	12	8	27%	8%	69	-0.9	178/260/298	120	224	14	8	26%	7%	57	-1.0
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	40	45→40	50	45	199/284/317	118	274	12	12	31%	8%	73	-0.6	204/294/293	89	285	8	11	29%	9%	71	-0.8	194/286/264	70	270	4	8	27%	9%	60	-0.6
✕Jake Rucker 2024 · AAA	24	43→42	41→45	45→50	42	206/272/311	105	288	8	11	30%	7%	65	-1.2	209/270/321	112	256	11	9	22%	7%	67	-1.1	206/270/322	116	240	13	9	20%	7%	65	-0.7
✕Travis Jones 2010 · AA	24	44→48	44→45	49→50	47	218/292/338	119	284	11	16	26%	8%	80	-0.2	213/280/325	112	292	11	13	29%	7%	72	-0.7	183/250/291	108	248	13	10	31%	7%	52	-0.9
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2017 · A	24	43→36	42→50	50	38	209/268/316	107	294	9	13	31%	5%	65	-1.2	211/280/359	148	299	17	9	34%	7%	80	-0.1	199/274/363	164	277	21	7	34%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Brennen Davis 2024 · AAA	24	37→43	43→50	46→45	41	187/271/296	108	268	12	11	33%	7%	63	-1.3	200/289/350	150	264	19	8	31%	8%	83	+0.1	188/287/362	173	236	23	4	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Chase Strumpf 2022 · AA	24	42→37	43→50	48→45	46	205/287/320	115	295	10	7	32%	9%	74	-0.5	197/296/347	150	315	17	5	39%	10%	84	+0.2	181/287/333	152	294	19	3	41%	11%	75	-0.3
✕Bryan Holaday 2012 · AA	24	43	41→45	48→40	41	209/265/302	94	279	8	7	28%	6%	61	-1.5	220/270/307	87	276	7	5	22%	5%	63	-1.3	214/275/334	120	247	13	2	19%	6%	74	-0.2
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2024 · AA	24	44→41	42→45	43→40	46	214/283/317	104	276	10	4	25%	8%	72	-0.7	219/267/300	81	280	6	5	23%	5%	61	-1.5	225/261/287	62	286	4	2	22%	4%	51	-0.5
✕Rowdey Jordan 2023 · AA	24	43→42	39→45	48→55	45	204/270/293	89	286	6	12	29%	8%	60	-1.6	204/273/315	111	282	11	20	30%	7%	68	-1.0	196/266/309	112	271	12	23	31%	7%	61	-1.0
✕Zack Short 2019 · AA	24	40→39	47→50	47→45	51	202/293/345	143	270	14	9	29%	11%	82	+0.0	198/291/335	137	280	14	7	32%	10%	79	-0.2	177/277/302	125	240	14	9	31%	11%	66	-0.8
✕Jason Lopez 2022 · AA	24	39	42→50	54→45	41	194/257/295	101	291	10	12	35%	8%	56	-1.9	208/270/316	108	304	10	9	33%	8%	66	-1.1	167/227/257	90	235	8	0	31%	7%	34	-0.6
✕Juan Zabala 2024 · AA	25	43	41→40	50	43	211/273/309	98	286	9	16	29%	7%	65	-1.2	207/260/302	95	297	9	10	31%	6%	59	-1.7	186/233/256	70	271	7	4	32%	5%	35	-1.2
✕Bryan Lavastida 2023 · MLB	24	44	44→45	50→55	44	216/281/334	118	281	11	12	27%	7%	75	-0.5	220/289/334	114	283	11	21	25%	8%	78	-0.3	221/293/333	112	282	11	27	24%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Ben Gobbel 2024 · A	24	44→41	41→45	52→50	42	208/277/307	100	306	8	14	33%	7%	67	-1.1	216/267/338	122	283	14	12	28%	5%	70	-0.8	216/266/339	123	276	15	11	27%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Clay Fuller 2011 · AA	24	42→46	43→45	53→55	44	207/280/319	112	291	11	19	31%	8%	71	-0.8	220/271/337	117	294	13	14	28%	6%	71	-0.8	221/260/336	115	281	15	15	27%	5%	63	-0.7
✕Drew Jackson 2018 · AA	25	43→45	40→45	49→55	43	208/276/300	92	277	8	15	27%	6%	65	-1.2	199/272/308	109	281	11	17	31%	7%	65	-1.2	188/275/302	114	268	12	26	32%	8%	64	-0.7

Cole Messina

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps